Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:
The two terms:
AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing.
See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.
So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.
Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:
| Object | Size | Orbit’s closest to Earth’s | Missed by, that day | Flagged |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 JR28 | 122–272 m | 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) | 39.2 M km | Yes — both tests pass |
| 2012 LE11 | 629–1,406 m | 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) | 26.1 M km | No — orbit never gets near enough |
| 2007 EK | 3.7–8.2 m | 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) | 4.2 M km | No — far too small |
The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.
“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.
| Name | Diameter (m) | Hazardous | Velocity (km/h) | Miss distance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| (2008 RZ24) | 241.3 – 539.6
≈ the Burj Khalifa
|
No | 55,766
45 times the speed of sound round the Earth in 43 minutes |
16,970,236 km 44.1 LD routine
about 80 times a year |
| (2011 GG60) | 98.3 – 219.8
≈ a football pitch
|
No | 38,707
31 times the speed of sound round the Earth in 62 minutes |
67,243,869 km 175 LD |
| (2012 DM32) | 15.3 – 34.2
≈ the Chelyabinsk object
|
No | 24,103
20 times the speed of sound round the Earth in 1.7 hours |
18,348,941 km 47.7 LD routine
about 138 times a year |
| (2013 DF) | 32.0 – 71.5
≈ an airliner's wingspan
|
No | 61,055
49 times the speed of sound round the Earth in 39 minutes |
70,480,161 km 183 LD |
| (2014 BX32) | 124.3 – 278.0
≈ the Great Pyramid
|
No | 57,124
46 times the speed of sound round the Earth in 42 minutes |
27,368,454 km 71.2 LD |
| (2014 HL129) | 5.8 – 13.0
≈ a city bus
|
No | 71,976
58 times the speed of sound round the Earth in 33 minutes |
74,791,691 km 195 LD |
| 756476 (2019 NC1) | 139.5 – 311.9
≈ the Great Pyramid
|
No | 29,572
24 times the speed of sound round the Earth in 81 minutes |
24,830,440 km 64.6 LD |
The tag beside a distance says how often an approach at least that close, by an object of that size, appears in 127 years of this archive — a frequency rather than a percentile, because almost every close approach would score in the top few per cent and the scale would say nothing. Approaches beyond 50 lunar distances get no tag, since there is nothing useful to say about them. The counts are a floor: the archive holds the objects known today, and most of the undiscovered ones are small. The ≈ line beside a diameter compares size only. What an impact would do depends on speed, angle, composition and where it arrives, and none of that follows from width — the Chelyabinsk comparison in particular names a body remembered for its airburst, not for how wide it was.