Illustration of Earth with several asteroids passing at different distances, one flagged as potentially hazardous

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433 Eros (A898 PA)

Designation: 433 · NASA id: 2000433

Estimated diameter: 22,108 – 49,436 meters

≈ more than a kilometre across
That comparison is of size only — what an impact would do depends on speed, angle, composition and where it arrives, none of which follows from width.
(absolute magnitude H = 10.4) · JPL Small-Body Database →

Earth impact concern
No identified impact threat
Why?
  • Its closest recorded pass was 58.2 lunar distances.
  • It is not on NASA/JPL’s Sentry list, which holds every object with a computed chance of impact above zero. Most objects are not on it.
What the four levels mean
  • No identified impact threat — not on any risk list. 98.8% of the objects here.
  • On a monitored risk list — a computed chance above zero, however small. 1.2% of the objects here.
  • Among the highest-ranked — Palermo at or above −2. Two objects worldwide qualify, both studied for decades and both centuries away.
  • Exceptional — Torino 1 or more, or Palermo at or above zero. No object anywhere currently qualifies.

These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.

Energy of motion, if it ever entered the atmosphere

32,551,773 megatonnes – 1,213,132,953 megatonnes of TNT

This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.

The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.

Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.

Why is one asteroid “hazardous” when closer ones are not?

Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:

  • Its orbit can bring it within 0.05 AU of Earth’s — about 7.5 million km. This is the Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance, the closest the two paths ever come, not the distance on any given pass.
  • It is big enough to matter — absolute magnitude 22.0 or brighter, which is roughly 140 metres across and up. That threshold is a planning convention, not a physical boundary: it is about the size at which an impact could do regional damage. Smaller objects are not harmless, they are simply outside this definition — the Chelyabinsk object of 2013 was around 20 metres and injured about 1,500 people with the shock wave from its airburst, without ever reaching the ground intact.

The two terms: AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing. See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.

So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.

Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:

Object Size Orbit’s closest to Earth’s Missed by, that day Flagged
2013 JR28 122–272 m 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) 39.2 M km Yes — both tests pass
2012 LE11 629–1,406 m 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) 26.1 M km No — orbit never gets near enough
2007 EK 3.7–8.2 m 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) 4.2 M km No — far too small

The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.

“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.

Orbital Data

Orbit class: AMO — Near-Earth asteroid orbits similar to that of 1221 Amor
1.017 AU < q (perihelion) < 1.3 AU

Orbital period643.2 days (1.76 years)
Eccentricity.2228779627700761 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated)
Semi-major axis1.458243716760167 AU
Inclination10.82854410314273° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's)
Perihelion distance1.133233327946397 AU (closest approach to the Sun)
Aphelion distance1.783254105573937 AU (farthest from the Sun)
Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance0.14880 AU = 22,259,864 km
(closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing)
Ascending node longitude304.2679713350896°
Argument of perihelion178.9181319135911°
Mean anomaly / motion62.51145501986792° / .5597046347038453°/day
Jupiter Tisserand invariant4.582 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets)
Reference epoch / equinoxJD 2461200.5 / J2000
Orbit determined2021-05-24 17:55:05
Observed1893-10-29 to 2021-05-13 (46582 day arc, 9130 observations used)
Orbit uncertainty0 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain)

Close Approach History

Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 34 total.

next approach: 2042-04-06

Date Passed near Velocity (km/h) Miss distance
2187-12-06 Earth 14340.18 57,941,309 km
151 LD
2181-01-17 Earth 21563.42 29,621,996 km
77.1 LD
2174-02-03 Earth 21619.96 28,184,279 km
73.3 LD
2167-03-16 Earth 14494.51 56,463,284 km
147 LD
2150-11-12 Earth 15028.21 68,956,354 km
179 LD
2144-01-03 Earth 20859.67 44,367,795 km
115 LD
2137-01-25 Earth 20931.39 22,359,243 km
58.2 LD
2130-02-14 Earth 21737.47 41,612,828 km
108 LD
2123-04-10 Earth 13513.41 67,274,587 km
175 LD
2106-12-04 Earth 13870.91 58,685,936 km
153 LD
2100-01-16 Earth 21653.71 30,499,882 km
79.3 LD
2093-01-31 Earth 21509.69 27,296,208 km
71.0 LD
2086-03-11 Earth 15213.11 55,547,189 km
145 LD
2069-11-08 Earth 15283.50 69,522,352 km
181 LD
2062-12-31 Earth 20636.08 45,321,202 km
118 LD
2056-01-24 Earth 20954.73 22,407,095 km
58.3 LD
2049-02-12 Earth 21812.63 40,773,698 km
106 LD
2042-04-06 next Earth 13410.81 66,741,852 km
174 LD
2025-11-30 Earth 13423.86 59,487,215 km
155 LD
2019-01-15 Earth 21761.70 31,205,919 km
81.2 LD
2012-01-31 Earth 21402.71 26,729,521 km
69.5 LD
2005-03-08 Earth 15884.25 54,688,078 km
142 LD
1988-11-06 Earth 15501.25 69,957,979 km
182 LD
1981-12-29 Earth 20394.98 46,149,346 km
120 LD
1975-01-23 Earth 20971.11 22,609,353 km
58.8 LD
1968-02-11 Earth 21840.79 39,833,635 km
104 LD
1961-04-04 Earth 13348.21 66,195,880 km
172 LD
1944-11-27 Earth 13053.96 60,289,296 km
157 LD
1938-01-13 Earth 21902.59 32,164,326 km
83.7 LD
1931-01-30 Earth 21314.95 26,040,972 km
67.7 LD
1924-03-05 Earth 16545.80 53,823,292 km
140 LD
1917-04-20 Earth 17340.42 74,687,815 km
194 LD
1907-11-05 Earth 15820.17 70,533,233 km
183 LD
1900-12-27 Earth 20083.03 47,112,733 km
123 LD

Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-09-02T15:13:09.740360+00:00.