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Designation: 433 · NASA id: 2000433
Estimated diameter: 22,108 – 49,436 meters
These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.
32,551,773 megatonnes – 1,213,132,953 megatonnes of TNT
This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.
The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.
Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.
Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:
The two terms:
AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing.
See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.
So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.
Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:
| Object | Size | Orbit’s closest to Earth’s | Missed by, that day | Flagged |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 JR28 | 122–272 m | 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) | 39.2 M km | Yes — both tests pass |
| 2012 LE11 | 629–1,406 m | 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) | 26.1 M km | No — orbit never gets near enough |
| 2007 EK | 3.7–8.2 m | 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) | 4.2 M km | No — far too small |
The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.
“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.
Orbit class: AMO — Near-Earth asteroid orbits similar to that of 1221 Amor
1.017 AU < q (perihelion) < 1.3 AU
| Orbital period | 643.2 days (1.76 years) |
| Eccentricity | .2228779627700761 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated) |
| Semi-major axis | 1.458243716760167 AU |
| Inclination | 10.82854410314273° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's) |
| Perihelion distance | 1.133233327946397 AU (closest approach to the Sun) |
| Aphelion distance | 1.783254105573937 AU (farthest from the Sun) |
| Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance | 0.14880 AU = 22,259,864 km (closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing) |
| Ascending node longitude | 304.2679713350896° |
| Argument of perihelion | 178.9181319135911° |
| Mean anomaly / motion | 62.51145501986792° / .5597046347038453°/day |
| Jupiter Tisserand invariant | 4.582 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets) |
| Reference epoch / equinox | JD 2461200.5 / J2000 |
| Orbit determined | 2021-05-24 17:55:05 |
| Observed | 1893-10-29 to 2021-05-13 (46582 day arc, 9130 observations used) |
| Orbit uncertainty | 0 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain) |
Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 34 total.
next approach: 2042-04-06
| Date | Passed near | Velocity (km/h) | Miss distance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2187-12-06 | Earth | 14340.18 | 57,941,309 km 151 LD |
| 2181-01-17 | Earth | 21563.42 | 29,621,996 km 77.1 LD |
| 2174-02-03 | Earth | 21619.96 | 28,184,279 km 73.3 LD |
| 2167-03-16 | Earth | 14494.51 | 56,463,284 km 147 LD |
| 2150-11-12 | Earth | 15028.21 | 68,956,354 km 179 LD |
| 2144-01-03 | Earth | 20859.67 | 44,367,795 km 115 LD |
| 2137-01-25 | Earth | 20931.39 | 22,359,243 km 58.2 LD |
| 2130-02-14 | Earth | 21737.47 | 41,612,828 km 108 LD |
| 2123-04-10 | Earth | 13513.41 | 67,274,587 km 175 LD |
| 2106-12-04 | Earth | 13870.91 | 58,685,936 km 153 LD |
| 2100-01-16 | Earth | 21653.71 | 30,499,882 km 79.3 LD |
| 2093-01-31 | Earth | 21509.69 | 27,296,208 km 71.0 LD |
| 2086-03-11 | Earth | 15213.11 | 55,547,189 km 145 LD |
| 2069-11-08 | Earth | 15283.50 | 69,522,352 km 181 LD |
| 2062-12-31 | Earth | 20636.08 | 45,321,202 km 118 LD |
| 2056-01-24 | Earth | 20954.73 | 22,407,095 km 58.3 LD |
| 2049-02-12 | Earth | 21812.63 | 40,773,698 km 106 LD |
| 2042-04-06 next | Earth | 13410.81 | 66,741,852 km 174 LD |
| 2025-11-30 | Earth | 13423.86 | 59,487,215 km 155 LD |
| 2019-01-15 | Earth | 21761.70 | 31,205,919 km 81.2 LD |
| 2012-01-31 | Earth | 21402.71 | 26,729,521 km 69.5 LD |
| 2005-03-08 | Earth | 15884.25 | 54,688,078 km 142 LD |
| 1988-11-06 | Earth | 15501.25 | 69,957,979 km 182 LD |
| 1981-12-29 | Earth | 20394.98 | 46,149,346 km 120 LD |
| 1975-01-23 | Earth | 20971.11 | 22,609,353 km 58.8 LD |
| 1968-02-11 | Earth | 21840.79 | 39,833,635 km 104 LD |
| 1961-04-04 | Earth | 13348.21 | 66,195,880 km 172 LD |
| 1944-11-27 | Earth | 13053.96 | 60,289,296 km 157 LD |
| 1938-01-13 | Earth | 21902.59 | 32,164,326 km 83.7 LD |
| 1931-01-30 | Earth | 21314.95 | 26,040,972 km 67.7 LD |
| 1924-03-05 | Earth | 16545.80 | 53,823,292 km 140 LD |
| 1917-04-20 | Earth | 17340.42 | 74,687,815 km 194 LD |
| 1907-11-05 | Earth | 15820.17 | 70,533,233 km 183 LD |
| 1900-12-27 | Earth | 20083.03 | 47,112,733 km 123 LD |
Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-09-02T15:13:09.740360+00:00.