Illustration of Earth with several asteroids passing at different distances, one flagged as potentially hazardous

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152561 (1991 RB)

Designation: 152561 · NASA id: 2152561 · Potentially Hazardous

Estimated diameter: 402 – 900 meters

≈ the Burj Khalifa
That comparison is of size only — what an impact would do depends on speed, angle, composition and where it arrives, none of which follows from width.
(absolute magnitude H = 19.1) · JPL Small-Body Database →

Earth impact concern
No identified impact threat
Why?
  • Its closest recorded pass was 14.6 lunar distances.
  • It is not on NASA/JPL’s Sentry list, which holds every object with a computed chance of impact above zero. Most objects are not on it.
What the four levels mean
  • No identified impact threat — not on any risk list. 98.8% of the objects here.
  • On a monitored risk list — a computed chance above zero, however small. 1.2% of the objects here.
  • Among the highest-ranked — Palermo at or above −2. Two objects worldwide qualify, both studied for decades and both centuries away.
  • Exceptional — Torino 1 or more, or Palermo at or above zero. No object anywhere currently qualifies.

These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.

Energy of motion, if it ever entered the atmosphere

1,615 megatonnes – 60,182 megatonnes of TNT

This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.

The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.

Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.

Why is one asteroid “hazardous” when closer ones are not?

Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:

  • Its orbit can bring it within 0.05 AU of Earth’s — about 7.5 million km. This is the Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance, the closest the two paths ever come, not the distance on any given pass.
  • It is big enough to matter — absolute magnitude 22.0 or brighter, which is roughly 140 metres across and up. That threshold is a planning convention, not a physical boundary: it is about the size at which an impact could do regional damage. Smaller objects are not harmless, they are simply outside this definition — the Chelyabinsk object of 2013 was around 20 metres and injured about 1,500 people with the shock wave from its airburst, without ever reaching the ground intact.

The two terms: AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing. See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.

So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.

Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:

Object Size Orbit’s closest to Earth’s Missed by, that day Flagged
2013 JR28 122–272 m 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) 39.2 M km Yes — both tests pass
2012 LE11 629–1,406 m 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) 26.1 M km No — orbit never gets near enough
2007 EK 3.7–8.2 m 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) 4.2 M km No — far too small

The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.

“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.

Orbital Data

Orbit class: APO — Near-Earth asteroid orbits which cross the Earth’s orbit similar to that of 1862 Apollo
a (semi-major axis) > 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) < 1.017 AU

Orbital period640.7 days (1.75 years)
Eccentricity.4856077596502326 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated)
Semi-major axis1.454489813920276 AU
Inclination19.57391791593224° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's)
Perihelion distance.748178273948367 AU (closest approach to the Sun)
Aphelion distance2.160801353892185 AU (farthest from the Sun)
Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance0.03854 AU = 5,765,188 km
(closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing)
Ascending node longitude359.2770039184246°
Argument of perihelion68.98148613120493°
Mean anomaly / motion256.9210211539494° / .5618728505475831°/day
Jupiter Tisserand invariant4.448 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets)
Reference epoch / equinoxJD 2461200.5 / J2000
Orbit determined2021-05-28 05:49:00
Observed1977-08-19 to 2020-04-27 (15592 day arc, 117 observations used)
Orbit uncertainty0 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain)

Close Approach History

Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 57 total.

next approach: 2027-01-02

Date Passed near Velocity (km/h) Miss distance
2198-09-10 Earth 71454.64 20,835,428 km
54.2 LD
2191-09-05 Earth 80702.32 35,586,182 km
92.6 LD
2190-03-14 Earth 98672.36 66,923,612 km
174 LD
2184-08-30 Earth 90908.25 51,430,945 km
134 LD
2183-03-09 Earth 87753.80 52,360,279 km
136 LD
2177-08-24 Earth 101363.30 67,372,253 km
175 LD
2176-03-04 Earth 76798.98 38,464,339 km
100 LD
2169-02-28 Earth 66420.13 27,734,168 km
72.1 LD
2162-02-25 Earth 57579.78 24,376,151 km
63.4 LD
2155-02-23 Earth 49757.69 29,193,354 km
75.9 LD
2148-02-23 Earth 43689.22 39,127,449 km
102 LD
2141-02-25 Earth 40369.01 51,600,965 km
134 LD
2140-12-27 Earth 38341.14 54,724,183 km
142 LD
2134-03-03 Earth 40375.22 64,500,226 km
168 LD
2133-11-29 Earth 46242.97 54,285,075 km
141 LD
2126-11-06 Earth 46948.59 48,100,679 km
125 LD
2119-10-17 Earth 46037.61 37,467,999 km
97.5 LD
2112-10-02 Earth 48645.58 25,042,697 km
65.1 LD
2105-09-24 Earth 53739.33 13,232,422 km
34.4 LD
2098-09-18 Earth 58849.47 5,629,660 km
14.6 LD
2091-09-15 Earth 63527.39 8,532,268 km
22.2 LD
2084-09-09 Earth 71154.92 20,564,249 km
53.5 LD
2077-09-03 Earth 80105.68 34,841,281 km
90.6 LD
2076-03-12 Earth 99568.31 68,662,774 km
179 LD
2070-08-29 Earth 89970.73 50,211,925 km
131 LD
2069-03-08 Earth 88922.75 54,446,975 km
142 LD
2063-08-24 Earth 100024.97 65,583,342 km
171 LD
2062-03-04 Earth 78229.13 40,815,638 km
106 LD
2055-02-28 Earth 67768.38 29,604,229 km
77.0 LD
2048-02-25 Earth 58519.53 25,197,895 km
65.6 LD
2041-02-21 Earth 50486.00 29,064,876 km
75.6 LD
2034-02-21 Earth 44296.82 38,249,063 km
99.5 LD
2027-02-24 Earth 40730.47 49,991,579 km
130 LD
2027-01-02 next Earth 35578.57 54,230,210 km
141 LD
2020-03-01 Earth 40415.63 62,615,031 km
163 LD
2019-12-01 Earth 46051.49 54,618,351 km
142 LD
2013-03-07 Earth 41671.00 74,790,953 km
195 LD
2012-11-07 Earth 47440.52 48,904,070 km
127 LD
2005-10-17 Earth 46451.82 38,505,145 km
100 LD
1998-10-03 Earth 48477.45 26,255,235 km
68.3 LD
1991-09-24 Earth 53283.99 14,511,434 km
37.8 LD
1984-09-18 Earth 58353.49 6,622,453 km
17.2 LD
1977-09-14 Earth 62985.73 8,280,073 km
21.5 LD
1970-09-09 Earth 70637.64 19,995,505 km
52.0 LD
1963-09-04 Earth 79525.48 34,195,188 km
89.0 LD
1962-03-12 Earth 100373.58 70,216,260 km
183 LD
1956-08-29 Earth 89150.62 49,189,875 km
128 LD
1955-03-08 Earth 89927.47 56,282,082 km
146 LD
1949-08-24 Earth 98853.29 64,007,224 km
167 LD
1948-03-03 Earth 79539.16 43,028,801 km
112 LD
1941-02-27 Earth 69273.60 31,800,578 km
82.7 LD
1934-02-24 Earth 59785.99 26,232,958 km
68.2 LD
1927-02-22 Earth 51704.31 28,617,601 km
74.4 LD
1920-02-21 Earth 45185.26 36,981,317 km
96.2 LD
1913-02-22 Earth 41213.23 48,069,343 km
125 LD
1906-02-28 Earth 40480.09 60,294,247 km
157 LD
1905-12-04 Earth 45538.31 54,939,354 km
143 LD

Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-09-04T04:29:25.165517+00:00.