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Designation: 153201 · NASA id: 2153201
· Potentially Hazardous
Estimated diameter: 367 – 820 meters
These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.
4,684 megatonnes – 174,564 megatonnes of TNT
This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.
The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.
Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.
Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:
The two terms:
AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing.
See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.
So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.
Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:
| Object | Size | Orbit’s closest to Earth’s | Missed by, that day | Flagged |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 JR28 | 122–272 m | 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) | 39.2 M km | Yes — both tests pass |
| 2012 LE11 | 629–1,406 m | 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) | 26.1 M km | No — orbit never gets near enough |
| 2007 EK | 3.7–8.2 m | 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) | 4.2 M km | No — far too small |
The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.
“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.
Orbit class: ATE — Near-Earth asteroid orbits similar to that of 2062 Aten
a (semi-major axis) < 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) > 0.983 AU
| Orbital period | 317.7 days (0.87 years) |
| Eccentricity | .7807988998084086 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated) |
| Semi-major axis | .9111613385642372 AU |
| Inclination | 7.765850895402412° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's) |
| Perihelion distance | .1997275678653239 AU (closest approach to the Sun) |
| Aphelion distance | 1.622595109263151 AU (farthest from the Sun) |
| Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance | 0.00280 AU = 419,396 km (closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing) |
| Ascending node longitude | 69.18223127080445° |
| Argument of perihelion | 213.7710546745708° |
| Mean anomaly / motion | 179.4316105568918° / 1.133211956198318°/day |
| Jupiter Tisserand invariant | 6.229 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets) |
| Reference epoch / equinox | JD 2461200.5 / J2000 |
| Orbit determined | 2024-12-12 05:41:57 |
| Observed | 2000-11-29 to 2024-02-16 (8479 day arc, 1137 observations used) |
| Orbit uncertainty | 0 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain) |
Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 174 total.
It orbits the Sun. Not Earth, and not Venus. The column above does not say what the asteroid goes around — it says which planet a given close approach was to. 55 of them were approaches to Merc, 46 of them were approaches to Venus, 46 of them were approaches to Earth, 24 of them were approaches to Mars and 3 of them were approaches to Moon.
This one’s path runs from 0.200 AU at its closest to the Sun out to 1.623 AU at its farthest. For scale, Venus orbits at about 0.72 AU and Earth at 1.00 AU — so an orbit spanning that range crosses the path of every planet in between, once on the way out and once on the way back.
Crossing a planet’s path is not the same as meeting the planet. Almost every time the asteroid crosses, that planet is somewhere else along its own orbit. A close approach is logged only on the rare occasions when both happen to arrive at the crossing point at roughly the same time — which is why the dates below are scattered rather than regular. This object takes 317.7 days to go round, against Earth’s 365.25, so the two drift in and out of step over years rather than repeating on a neat cycle.
The Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance in the table above (0.0028 AU) is the closest the two paths ever come. The miss distances below are how far apart the two bodies actually were on the day, which is almost always very much larger.
next approach: 2028-09-09
| Date | Passed near | Velocity (km/h) | Miss distance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2200-07-03 | Venus | 130184.74 | 15,805,206 km 41.1 LD |
| 2198-12-06 | Earth | 105263.42 | 15,790,006 km 41.1 LD |
| 2195-04-09 | Merc | 177776.67 | 2,623,889 km 6.83 LD |
| 2194-05-08 | Venus | 127061.49 | 13,640,847 km 35.5 LD |
| 2191-12-01 | Earth | 87909.22 | 7,633,098 km 19.9 LD |
| 2191-10-23 | Merc | 175625.48 | 2,010,184 km 5.23 LD |
| 2190-07-02 | Mars | 44771.98 | 13,720,950 km 35.7 LD |
| 2188-03-13 | Venus | 126223.08 | 13,098,719 km 34.1 LD |
| 2182-01-17 | Venus | 126949.73 | 13,584,989 km 35.3 LD |
| 2181-02-10 | Earth | 90236.11 | 18,800,562 km 48.9 LD |
| 2180-05-01 | Merc | 213409.14 | 13,289,552 km 34.6 LD |
| 2177-09-09 | Merc | 160443.97 | 4,629,735 km 12.0 LD |
| 2177-05-08 | Mars | 46467.55 | 14,293,350 km 37.2 LD |
| 2175-11-23 | Venus | 129011.84 | 15,000,395 km 39.0 LD |
| 2175-05-17 | Mars | 48890.99 | 14,273,407 km 37.1 LD |
| 2174-03-25 | Merc | 185832.04 | 4,214,294 km 11.0 LD |
| 2169-12-05 | Earth | 103089.70 | 13,070,435 km 34.0 LD |
| 2169-09-27 | Venus | 131672.32 | 16,886,319 km 43.9 LD |
| 2163-08-03 | Venus | 133788.37 | 18,430,803 km 47.9 LD |
| 2162-11-30 | Earth | 83468.32 | 14,212,299 km 37.0 LD |
| 2162-10-01 | Merc | 215945.83 | 14,087,451 km 36.6 LD |
| 2162-03-20 | Mars | 45985.27 | 9,182,497 km 23.9 LD |
| 2160-02-09 | Merc | 166089.25 | 3,031,345 km 7.89 LD |
| 2159-02-13 | Earth | 78305.80 | 28,417,174 km 73.9 LD |
| 2157-06-07 | Venus | 137531.04 | 21,202,087 km 55.2 LD |
| 2156-08-24 | Merc | 175985.10 | 2,101,427 km 5.47 LD |
| 2152-02-08 | Earth | 97834.36 | 19,606,523 km 51.0 LD |
| 2149-01-24 | Mars | 44072.73 | 9,755,756 km 25.4 LD |
| 2147-12-09 | Earth | 115842.04 | 29,245,481 km 76.1 LD |
| 2142-07-10 | Merc | 185872.20 | 4,868,694 km 12.7 LD |
| 2140-12-01 | Earth | 93689.38 | 243,134 km 0.63 LD — closer than the Moon |
| 2140-12-01 | Moon | 96765.81 | 569,954 km 1.48 LD |
| 2138-12-25 | Venus | 125572.52 | 12,675,709 km 33.0 LD |
| 2135-11-18 | Mars | 46614.56 | 10,601,478 km 27.6 LD |
| 2135-07-17 | Merc | 167684.08 | 2,947,316 km 7.67 LD |
| 2134-09-23 | Merc | 155284.18 | 5,793,351 km 15.1 LD |
| 2133-11-26 | Venus | 125145.75 | 9,328,604 km 24.3 LD |
| 2131-02-07 | Earth | 99409.01 | 20,530,449 km 53.4 LD |
| 2128-07-13 | Venus | 107498.33 | 9,855,051 km 25.6 LD |
| 2124-08-12 | Mars | 44119.47 | 9,485,440 km 24.7 LD |
| 2124-03-24 | Merc | 140310.72 | 11,754,929 km 30.6 LD |
| 2124-02-12 | Earth | 77512.81 | 29,543,998 km 76.9 LD |
| 2123-05-31 | Merc | 194196.55 | 6,180,841 km 16.1 LD |
| 2120-11-29 | Earth | 84512.25 | 12,716,747 km 33.1 LD |
| 2119-11-18 | Merc | 206878.83 | 10,940,514 km 28.5 LD |
| 2119-02-14 | Venus | 91169.56 | 20,704,341 km 53.9 LD |
| 2113-12-06 | Earth | 107536.18 | 18,748,870 km 48.8 LD |
| 2113-05-10 | Mars | 43558.39 | 11,972,971 km 31.1 LD |
| 2111-02-04 | Earth | 109210.23 | 28,226,224 km 73.4 LD |
| 2108-09-02 | Venus | 108562.13 | 5,017,481 km 13.1 LD |
| 2108-07-25 | Merc | 178963.82 | 2,775,012 km 7.22 LD |
| 2107-10-01 | Merc | 139559.68 | 10,442,797 km 27.2 LD |
| 2104-02-10 | Earth | 86412.56 | 20,687,767 km 53.8 LD |
| 2103-04-20 | Venus | 127275.85 | 13,821,653 km 36.0 LD |
| 2102-02-05 | Mars | 44877.48 | 13,310,781 km 34.6 LD |
| 2100-11-28 | Earth | 75297.57 | 28,083,401 km 73.1 LD |
| 2098-03-21 | Venus | 121367.42 | 6,230,073 km 16.2 LD |
| 2097-03-30 | Merc | 172735.45 | 2,209,686 km 5.75 LD |
| 2096-06-05 | Merc | 148418.33 | 7,797,853 km 20.3 LD |
| 2093-12-01 | Moon | 94610.54 | 1,281,667 km 3.33 LD |
| 2093-11-30 | Earth | 94252.01 | 1,241,842 km 3.23 LD |
| 2092-11-05 | Venus | 110193.86 | 8,816,518 km 22.9 LD |
| 2084-02-09 | Earth | 86929.27 | 20,363,600 km 53.0 LD |
| 2083-06-13 | Venus | 108280.04 | 5,279,604 km 13.7 LD |
| 2080-11-27 | Earth | 77945.60 | 23,211,796 km 60.4 LD |
| 2078-01-29 | Venus | 114431.78 | 8,223,484 km 21.4 LD |
| 2077-04-03 | Merc | 159827.73 | 5,253,841 km 13.7 LD |
| 2076-06-10 | Merc | 173250.83 | 2,041,876 km 5.31 LD |
| 2073-12-04 | Earth | 106182.19 | 16,958,349 km 44.1 LD |
| 2072-11-29 | Merc | 200306.96 | 8,864,381 km 23.1 LD |
| 2071-02-03 | Earth | 107551.43 | 26,726,493 km 69.5 LD |
| 2068-09-04 | Venus | 100799.35 | 11,845,592 km 30.8 LD |
| 2066-04-13 | Mars | 48346.29 | 13,960,075 km 36.3 LD |
| 2064-02-10 | Earth | 78613.10 | 28,147,060 km 73.2 LD |
| 2063-04-24 | Venus | 123015.94 | 11,200,486 km 29.1 LD |
| 2060-11-28 | Earth | 85493.48 | 11,275,737 km 29.3 LD |
| 2058-03-28 | Venus | 136878.93 | 18,917,744 km 49.2 LD |
| 2057-04-08 | Merc | 145324.44 | 10,065,990 km 26.2 LD |
| 2056-06-14 | Merc | 192415.45 | 5,690,328 km 14.8 LD |
| 2055-01-01 | Mars | 46485.33 | 10,327,061 km 26.9 LD |
| 2053-12-06 | Earth | 114602.84 | 27,651,857 km 71.9 LD |
| 2053-11-28 | Venus | 89865.20 | 22,027,613 km 57.3 LD |
| 2052-12-03 | Merc | 189507.67 | 5,621,951 km 14.6 LD |
| 2052-02-10 | Merc | 134792.82 | 11,961,694 km 31.1 LD |
| 2051-02-05 | Earth | 99831.27 | 20,754,888 km 54.0 LD |
| 2048-07-16 | Venus | 136491.18 | 20,370,156 km 53.0 LD |
| 2043-09-23 | Mars | 44984.33 | 8,729,591 km 22.7 LD |
| 2043-06-20 | Venus | 122759.29 | 7,377,356 km 19.2 LD |
| 2040-11-29 | Earth | 91045.26 | 3,164,620 km 8.23 LD |
| 2038-02-05 | Venus | 103055.94 | 12,563,805 km 32.7 LD |
| 2037-04-11 | Merc | 153547.02 | 7,281,433 km 18.9 LD |
| 2036-06-17 | Merc | 178337.25 | 2,457,287 km 6.39 LD |
| 2032-12-06 | Merc | 207519.57 | 11,144,745 km 29.0 LD |
| 2032-06-15 | Mars | 43873.14 | 9,578,490 km 24.9 LD |
| 2031-02-06 | Earth | 96551.01 | 19,270,196 km 50.1 LD |
| 2028-09-09 next | Venus | 103417.52 | 9,488,943 km 24.7 LD |
| 2023-04-28 | Venus | 126064.96 | 13,107,613 km 34.1 LD |
| 2021-08-15 | Merc | 146553.56 | 9,622,720 km 25.0 LD |
| 2021-03-10 | Mars | 43516.31 | 11,455,870 km 29.8 LD |
| 2020-11-29 | Earth | 90261.38 | 4,302,883 km 11.2 LD |
| 2020-10-22 | Merc | 187094.43 | 4,380,910 km 11.4 LD |
| 2018-03-31 | Venus | 127371.10 | 11,209,077 km 29.2 LD |
| 2017-04-10 | Merc | 214366.62 | 13,283,117 km 34.6 LD |
| 2013-12-06 | Earth | 114961.44 | 28,031,173 km 72.9 LD |
| 2012-11-15 | Venus | 104585.12 | 11,591,564 km 30.2 LD |
| 2011-02-04 | Earth | 101492.96 | 21,869,264 km 56.9 LD |
| 2009-12-05 | Mars | 44370.59 | 12,783,298 km 33.3 LD |
| 2005-12-17 | Merc | 174759.40 | 2,322,514 km 6.04 LD |
| 2005-02-23 | Merc | 147988.76 | 7,925,268 km 20.6 LD |
| 2004-02-10 | Earth | 78427.95 | 28,365,947 km 73.8 LD |
| 2003-06-19 | Venus | 95596.26 | 16,556,757 km 43.1 LD |
| 2000-11-27 | Earth | 83514.26 | 14,227,806 km 37.0 LD |
| 1998-08-31 | Mars | 46690.99 | 14,221,361 km 37.0 LD |
| 1998-02-03 | Venus | 138018.10 | 21,564,540 km 56.1 LD |
| 1994-08-25 | Merc | 143448.02 | 10,674,209 km 27.8 LD |
| 1993-12-03 | Earth | 106469.08 | 17,480,064 km 45.5 LD |
| 1993-10-31 | Merc | 189241.80 | 4,951,406 km 12.9 LD |
| 1993-01-06 | Venus | 114316.02 | 1,529,393 km 3.98 LD |
| 1991-02-02 | Earth | 109708.70 | 28,724,097 km 74.7 LD |
| 1990-04-20 | Merc | 208305.90 | 11,412,242 km 29.7 LD |
| 1987-08-24 | Venus | 116681.90 | 8,610,549 km 22.4 LD |
| 1985-05-29 | Mars | 47589.46 | 12,268,236 km 31.9 LD |
| 1984-02-09 | Earth | 84983.34 | 21,657,879 km 56.3 LD |
| 1982-07-27 | Venus | 136337.42 | 18,528,117 km 48.2 LD |
| 1980-11-26 | Earth | 77381.64 | 24,135,676 km 62.8 LD |
| 1978-12-27 | Merc | 167876.01 | 3,032,902 km 7.89 LD |
| 1978-03-05 | Merc | 156533.70 | 5,502,327 km 14.3 LD |
| 1977-03-13 | Venus | 95676.34 | 18,076,499 km 47.0 LD |
| 1974-02-19 | Mars | 44727.46 | 8,432,173 km 21.9 LD |
| 1973-12-01 | Earth | 99771.90 | 8,674,856 km 22.6 LD |
| 1967-10-16 | Venus | 106773.93 | 6,600,385 km 17.2 LD |
| 1966-11-11 | Merc | 220619.82 | 13,297,723 km 34.6 LD |
| 1964-02-07 | Earth | 90120.86 | 18,989,883 km 49.4 LD |
| 1963-05-01 | Merc | 184629.00 | 4,314,682 km 11.2 LD |
| 1962-11-14 | Mars | 43567.06 | 10,115,326 km 26.3 LD |
| 1962-07-07 | Merc | 136184.83 | 11,498,179 km 29.9 LD |
| 1962-06-02 | Venus | 124731.00 | 12,299,363 km 32.0 LD |
| 1957-05-05 | Venus | 127572.05 | 11,413,621 km 29.7 LD |
| 1953-11-29 | Earth | 93805.77 | 970,181 km 2.52 LD |
| 1953-11-29 | Moon | 96348.81 | 1,167,405 km 3.04 LD |
| 1952-01-08 | Merc | 135961.89 | 13,370,205 km 34.8 LD |
| 1951-12-21 | Venus | 99802.98 | 14,825,243 km 38.6 LD |
| 1951-08-10 | Mars | 43627.97 | 11,551,693 km 30.1 LD |
| 1951-03-17 | Merc | 210613.35 | 10,571,844 km 27.5 LD |
| 1947-09-05 | Merc | 164091.93 | 4,027,925 km 10.5 LD |
| 1946-11-12 | Merc | 169863.33 | 2,417,653 km 6.29 LD |
| 1944-02-08 | Earth | 86212.52 | 20,654,401 km 53.7 LD |
| 1943-05-04 | Merc | 194829.46 | 7,213,561 km 18.8 LD |
| 1942-07-28 | Venus | 121013.52 | 5,983,522 km 15.6 LD |
| 1942-07-11 | Merc | 131557.60 | 13,029,650 km 33.9 LD |
| 1940-11-26 | Earth | 79392.75 | 20,747,560 km 54.0 LD |
| 1940-04-28 | Mars | 43737.85 | 11,709,531 km 30.5 LD |
| 1937-03-17 | Venus | 96871.12 | 17,125,775 km 44.6 LD |
| 1933-12-05 | Earth | 111860.27 | 24,320,422 km 63.3 LD |
| 1931-02-04 | Earth | 100440.69 | 21,000,596 km 54.6 LD |
| 1929-01-15 | Mars | 43809.32 | 11,773,463 km 30.6 LD |
| 1927-10-24 | Venus | 127370.12 | 11,220,232 km 29.2 LD |
| 1920-11-30 | Earth | 97520.51 | 5,848,263 km 15.2 LD |
| 1918-02-13 | Venus | 130108.38 | 15,763,171 km 41.0 LD |
| 1917-10-03 | Mars | 43781.33 | 11,681,720 km 30.4 LD |
| 1914-09-08 | Merc | 138144.21 | 12,626,847 km 32.8 LD |
| 1913-11-15 | Merc | 210195.77 | 10,443,964 km 27.2 LD |
| 1913-01-19 | Venus | 139520.30 | 21,049,605 km 54.8 LD |
| 1911-02-09 | Earth | 78910.10 | 27,566,752 km 71.7 LD |
| 1910-05-08 | Merc | 153221.40 | 7,439,294 km 19.4 LD |
| 1909-07-15 | Merc | 189622.11 | 4,989,462 km 13.0 LD |
| 1908-09-22 | Venus | 100269.86 | 12,359,101 km 32.2 LD |
| 1907-11-28 | Earth | 87780.71 | 7,809,113 km 20.3 LD |
| 1906-06-20 | Mars | 43661.30 | 11,488,241 km 29.9 LD |
| 1906-01-04 | Merc | 170117.63 | 2,657,822 km 6.91 LD |
| 1905-03-13 | Merc | 164508.04 | 3,493,212 km 9.09 LD |
| 1903-05-13 | Venus | 116128.85 | 8,482,138 km 22.1 LD |
| 1901-09-02 | Merc | 192219.53 | 6,448,031 km 16.8 LD |
| 1900-11-09 | Merc | 136040.94 | 11,611,599 km 30.2 LD |
Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-09-02T14:13:39.389733+00:00.