Illustration of Earth with several asteroids passing at different distances, one flagged as potentially hazardous

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164207 Cardea (2004 GU9)

Designation: 164207 · NASA id: 2164207 · Potentially Hazardous

Estimated diameter: 154 – 344 meters

≈ the Great Pyramid
That comparison is of size only — what an impact would do depends on speed, angle, composition and where it arrives, none of which follows from width.
(absolute magnitude H = 21.19) · JPL Small-Body Database →

Earth impact concern
No identified impact threat
Why?
  • Its closest recorded pass was 56.1 lunar distances.
  • It is not on NASA/JPL’s Sentry list, which holds every object with a computed chance of impact above zero. Most objects are not on it.
What the four levels mean
  • No identified impact threat — not on any risk list. 98.8% of the objects here.
  • On a monitored risk list — a computed chance above zero, however small. 1.2% of the objects here.
  • Among the highest-ranked — Palermo at or above −2. Two objects worldwide qualify, both studied for decades and both centuries away.
  • Exceptional — Torino 1 or more, or Palermo at or above zero. No object anywhere currently qualifies.

These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.

Energy of motion, if it ever entered the atmosphere

17.4 megatonnes – 648.4 megatonnes of TNT

This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.

The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.

Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.

Why is one asteroid “hazardous” when closer ones are not?

Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:

  • Its orbit can bring it within 0.05 AU of Earth’s — about 7.5 million km. This is the Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance, the closest the two paths ever come, not the distance on any given pass.
  • It is big enough to matter — absolute magnitude 22.0 or brighter, which is roughly 140 metres across and up. That threshold is a planning convention, not a physical boundary: it is about the size at which an impact could do regional damage. Smaller objects are not harmless, they are simply outside this definition — the Chelyabinsk object of 2013 was around 20 metres and injured about 1,500 people with the shock wave from its airburst, without ever reaching the ground intact.

The two terms: AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing. See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.

So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.

Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:

Object Size Orbit’s closest to Earth’s Missed by, that day Flagged
2013 JR28 122–272 m 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) 39.2 M km Yes — both tests pass
2012 LE11 629–1,406 m 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) 26.1 M km No — orbit never gets near enough
2007 EK 3.7–8.2 m 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) 4.2 M km No — far too small

The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.

“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.

Orbital Data

Orbit class: APO — Near-Earth asteroid orbits which cross the Earth’s orbit similar to that of 1862 Apollo
a (semi-major axis) > 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) < 1.017 AU

Orbital period365.9 days (1.00 years)
Eccentricity.1359505998606398 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated)
Semi-major axis1.001148076833024 AU
Inclination13.65196847672156° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's)
Perihelion distance.8650413952382482 AU (closest approach to the Sun)
Aphelion distance1.137254758427799 AU (farthest from the Sun)
Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance0.00162 AU = 242,160 km
(closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing)
Ascending node longitude38.37013954242411°
Argument of perihelion279.3128558067677°
Mean anomaly / motion294.1746809733236° / .9839127711759788°/day
Jupiter Tisserand invariant6.042 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets)
Reference epoch / equinoxJD 2461200.5 / J2000
Orbit determined2026-03-23 06:51:29
Observed2001-05-11 to 2026-03-23 (9082 day arc, 363 observations used)
Orbit uncertainty0 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain)

Close Approach History

Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 160 total.

next approach: 2027-10-14

Date Passed near Velocity (km/h) Miss distance
2200-05-09 Earth 26183.75 23,060,189 km
60.0 LD
2199-05-10 Earth 26181.59 23,680,408 km
61.6 LD
2198-05-10 Earth 26180.98 24,448,793 km
63.6 LD
2197-05-11 Earth 26183.38 25,309,036 km
65.8 LD
2196-05-13 Earth 26201.95 26,324,482 km
68.5 LD
2195-05-16 Earth 26224.75 27,497,073 km
71.5 LD
2194-05-18 Earth 26226.53 28,747,548 km
74.8 LD
2177-11-01 Earth 25823.26 29,538,815 km
76.8 LD
2176-10-31 Earth 25732.15 28,298,589 km
73.6 LD
2175-10-30 Earth 25631.54 27,165,170 km
70.7 LD
2174-10-30 Earth 25574.86 26,094,751 km
67.9 LD
2173-10-29 Earth 25529.87 25,190,384 km
65.5 LD
2172-10-28 Earth 25499.56 24,460,341 km
63.6 LD
2171-10-29 Earth 25495.77 23,934,040 km
62.3 LD
2170-10-28 Earth 25482.61 23,582,033 km
61.3 LD
2169-10-28 Earth 25477.11 23,485,191 km
61.1 LD
2168-10-28 Earth 25492.94 23,626,109 km
61.5 LD
2167-10-28 Earth 25484.74 23,929,263 km
62.3 LD
2166-10-28 Earth 25507.39 24,348,951 km
63.3 LD
2165-10-28 Earth 25540.92 24,979,938 km
65.0 LD
2164-10-28 Earth 25561.05 25,805,947 km
67.1 LD
2163-10-29 Earth 25645.33 26,811,181 km
69.7 LD
2162-10-30 Earth 25733.90 27,943,717 km
72.7 LD
2161-10-30 Earth 25845.74 29,255,430 km
76.1 LD
2144-05-14 Earth 25939.16 28,614,135 km
74.4 LD
2143-05-13 Earth 25880.76 27,401,350 km
71.3 LD
2142-05-11 Earth 25812.92 26,295,348 km
68.4 LD
2141-05-09 Earth 25776.90 25,322,576 km
65.9 LD
2140-05-08 Earth 25736.16 24,512,622 km
63.8 LD
2139-05-08 Earth 25728.54 23,920,038 km
62.2 LD
2138-05-07 Earth 25710.90 23,461,694 km
61.0 LD
2137-05-07 Earth 25709.13 23,164,835 km
60.3 LD
2136-05-06 Earth 25702.06 23,074,910 km
60.0 LD
2135-05-07 Earth 25694.63 23,197,265 km
60.3 LD
2134-05-07 Earth 25698.95 23,480,398 km
61.1 LD
2133-05-07 Earth 25690.04 23,916,371 km
62.2 LD
2132-05-08 Earth 25703.63 24,531,531 km
63.8 LD
2131-05-10 Earth 25726.69 25,366,684 km
66.0 LD
2130-05-10 Earth 25761.15 26,341,303 km
68.5 LD
2129-05-11 Earth 25816.58 27,441,140 km
71.4 LD
2128-05-13 Earth 25883.43 28,680,791 km
74.6 LD
2110-10-23 Earth 26109.20 29,282,171 km
76.2 LD
2109-10-23 Earth 25971.37 27,935,398 km
72.7 LD
2108-10-23 Earth 25848.67 26,729,456 km
69.5 LD
2107-10-24 Earth 25769.65 25,659,889 km
66.8 LD
2106-10-25 Earth 25739.13 24,752,344 km
64.4 LD
2105-10-24 Earth 25699.61 24,100,154 km
62.7 LD
2104-10-24 Earth 25701.42 23,664,394 km
61.6 LD
2103-10-25 Earth 25695.81 23,410,920 km
60.9 LD
2102-10-25 Earth 25693.59 23,260,828 km
60.5 LD
2101-10-25 Earth 25707.40 23,335,042 km
60.7 LD
2100-10-24 Earth 25711.69 23,637,895 km
61.5 LD
2099-10-24 Earth 25731.04 24,131,479 km
62.8 LD
2098-10-23 Earth 25760.18 24,814,650 km
64.6 LD
2097-10-22 Earth 25813.80 25,739,164 km
67.0 LD
2096-10-22 Earth 25892.73 26,839,626 km
69.8 LD
2095-10-21 Earth 26030.62 28,077,192 km
73.0 LD
2094-10-20 Earth 26168.84 29,364,349 km
76.4 LD
2077-05-07 Earth 25747.55 29,051,056 km
75.6 LD
2076-05-05 Earth 25610.84 27,778,747 km
72.3 LD
2075-05-06 Earth 25507.63 26,688,704 km
69.4 LD
2074-05-05 Earth 25440.13 25,740,339 km
67.0 LD
2073-05-04 Earth 25402.66 24,925,807 km
64.8 LD
2072-05-04 Earth 25367.75 24,299,102 km
63.2 LD
2071-05-04 Earth 25363.05 23,897,811 km
62.2 LD
2070-05-04 Earth 25352.02 23,612,134 km
61.4 LD
2069-05-03 Earth 25337.51 23,518,292 km
61.2 LD
2068-05-03 Earth 25351.42 23,633,023 km
61.5 LD
2067-05-04 Earth 25340.86 23,980,943 km
62.4 LD
2066-05-04 Earth 25361.97 24,503,250 km
63.7 LD
2065-05-04 Earth 25387.91 25,196,823 km
65.5 LD
2064-05-04 Earth 25421.57 26,084,321 km
67.9 LD
2063-05-05 Earth 25517.19 27,177,709 km
70.7 LD
2062-05-05 Earth 25612.36 28,327,818 km
73.7 LD
2061-05-05 Earth 25762.76 29,590,493 km
77.0 LD
2044-10-12 Earth 26332.86 29,803,603 km
77.5 LD
2043-10-15 Earth 26249.00 28,403,366 km
73.9 LD
2042-10-17 Earth 26170.88 27,100,294 km
70.5 LD
2041-10-18 Earth 26122.70 25,994,593 km
67.6 LD
2040-10-19 Earth 26087.97 25,051,837 km
65.2 LD
2039-10-21 Earth 26059.03 24,258,304 km
63.1 LD
2038-10-21 Earth 26057.96 23,572,549 km
61.3 LD
2037-10-21 Earth 26052.39 23,072,377 km
60.0 LD
2036-10-21 Earth 26056.49 22,769,760 km
59.2 LD
2035-10-22 Earth 26068.64 22,656,509 km
58.9 LD
2034-10-22 Earth 26068.82 22,719,596 km
59.1 LD
2033-10-21 Earth 26079.86 23,061,461 km
60.0 LD
2032-10-20 Earth 26084.09 23,594,818 km
61.4 LD
2031-10-20 Earth 26107.09 24,272,191 km
63.1 LD
2030-10-19 Earth 26134.19 25,057,456 km
65.2 LD
2029-10-18 Earth 26179.73 26,014,565 km
67.7 LD
2028-10-16 Earth 26242.01 27,137,512 km
70.6 LD
2027-10-14 next Earth 26308.66 28,358,377 km
73.8 LD
2026-10-12 Earth 26375.28 29,671,918 km
77.2 LD
2010-04-28 Earth 25488.15 29,467,523 km
76.7 LD
2009-04-28 Earth 25389.34 28,200,066 km
73.4 LD
2008-04-29 Earth 25280.92 27,057,736 km
70.4 LD
2007-04-30 Earth 25223.68 26,087,826 km
67.9 LD
2006-04-30 Earth 25190.73 25,186,644 km
65.5 LD
2005-04-30 Earth 25153.00 24,440,908 km
63.6 LD
2004-04-30 Earth 25142.98 23,919,804 km
62.2 LD
2003-04-30 Earth 25143.71 23,630,308 km
61.5 LD
2002-04-30 Earth 25134.10 23,497,286 km
61.1 LD
2001-04-30 Earth 25134.84 23,571,136 km
61.3 LD
2000-04-30 Earth 25147.84 23,848,383 km
62.0 LD
1999-04-30 Earth 25139.57 24,353,182 km
63.4 LD
1998-04-30 Earth 25170.23 24,955,240 km
64.9 LD
1997-04-29 Earth 25188.18 25,696,414 km
66.8 LD
1996-04-28 Earth 25233.75 26,629,477 km
69.3 LD
1995-04-28 Earth 25321.28 27,748,347 km
72.2 LD
1994-04-27 Earth 25390.34 28,976,975 km
75.4 LD
1977-10-09 Earth 26607.87 29,430,748 km
76.6 LD
1976-10-11 Earth 26606.97 28,166,321 km
73.3 LD
1975-10-14 Earth 26593.57 26,965,965 km
70.2 LD
1974-10-16 Earth 26569.92 25,849,051 km
67.2 LD
1973-10-17 Earth 26556.49 24,869,557 km
64.7 LD
1972-10-18 Earth 26559.11 23,999,376 km
62.4 LD
1971-10-20 Earth 26553.13 23,264,823 km
60.5 LD
1970-10-20 Earth 26567.00 22,676,679 km
59.0 LD
1969-10-21 Earth 26587.44 22,302,289 km
58.0 LD
1968-10-21 Earth 26577.48 22,137,218 km
57.6 LD
1967-10-21 Earth 26600.32 22,112,249 km
57.5 LD
1966-10-21 Earth 26594.00 22,197,062 km
57.7 LD
1965-10-21 Earth 26593.10 22,488,853 km
58.5 LD
1964-10-20 Earth 26612.12 22,929,134 km
59.6 LD
1963-10-20 Earth 26606.90 23,527,311 km
61.2 LD
1962-10-18 Earth 26632.47 24,270,608 km
63.1 LD
1961-10-17 Earth 26639.12 25,178,358 km
65.5 LD
1960-10-14 Earth 26671.51 26,230,396 km
68.2 LD
1959-10-13 Earth 26693.39 27,341,992 km
71.1 LD
1958-10-11 Earth 26709.28 28,539,370 km
74.2 LD
1957-10-07 Earth 26695.84 29,820,350 km
77.6 LD
1942-04-22 Earth 25236.58 29,215,451 km
76.0 LD
1941-04-24 Earth 25195.48 27,927,675 km
72.7 LD
1940-04-25 Earth 25129.71 26,788,289 km
69.7 LD
1939-04-26 Earth 25116.85 25,841,796 km
67.2 LD
1938-04-27 Earth 25106.30 24,989,822 km
65.0 LD
1937-04-27 Earth 25068.94 24,305,339 km
63.2 LD
1936-04-27 Earth 25088.90 23,809,235 km
61.9 LD
1935-04-28 Earth 25089.00 23,475,040 km
61.1 LD
1934-04-28 Earth 25072.52 23,272,087 km
60.5 LD
1933-04-28 Earth 25094.87 23,242,184 km
60.5 LD
1932-04-27 Earth 25082.05 23,411,768 km
60.9 LD
1931-04-28 Earth 25081.25 23,822,018 km
62.0 LD
1930-04-27 Earth 25101.06 24,352,877 km
63.4 LD
1929-04-26 Earth 25095.90 25,069,828 km
65.2 LD
1928-04-25 Earth 25128.58 25,970,664 km
67.6 LD
1927-04-25 Earth 25154.89 26,991,400 km
70.2 LD
1926-04-23 Earth 25179.94 28,066,065 km
73.0 LD
1925-04-21 Earth 25233.84 29,206,489 km
76.0 LD
1909-10-09 Earth 27136.18 28,746,255 km
74.8 LD
1908-10-11 Earth 27172.18 27,575,360 km
71.7 LD
1907-10-14 Earth 27164.62 26,431,257 km
68.8 LD
1906-10-16 Earth 27164.88 25,363,416 km
66.0 LD
1905-10-17 Earth 27183.50 24,411,952 km
63.5 LD
1904-10-19 Earth 27186.01 23,587,347 km
61.4 LD
1903-10-20 Earth 27189.07 22,882,167 km
59.5 LD
1902-10-21 Earth 27203.44 22,298,715 km
58.0 LD
1901-10-22 Earth 27216.95 21,862,170 km
56.9 LD
1900-10-22 Earth 27220.37 21,568,594 km
56.1 LD

Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-10-07T08:46:49.767207+00:00.