Illustration of Earth with several asteroids passing at different distances, one flagged as potentially hazardous

← Back to current tracker · Insights · Impact risk · Lost asteroids · What arrived

260277 (2004 TR12)

Designation: 260277 · NASA id: 2260277

Estimated diameter: 590 – 1,318 meters

≈ the Burj Khalifa
That comparison is of size only — what an impact would do depends on speed, angle, composition and where it arrives, none of which follows from width.
(absolute magnitude H = 18.27) · JPL Small-Body Database →

Earth impact concern
No identified impact threat
Why?
  • Its closest recorded pass was 25.1 lunar distances.
  • It is not on NASA/JPL’s Sentry list, which holds every object with a computed chance of impact above zero. Most objects are not on it.
What the four levels mean
  • No identified impact threat — not on any risk list. 98.8% of the objects here.
  • On a monitored risk list — a computed chance above zero, however small. 1.2% of the objects here.
  • Among the highest-ranked — Palermo at or above −2. Two objects worldwide qualify, both studied for decades and both centuries away.
  • Exceptional — Torino 1 or more, or Palermo at or above zero. No object anywhere currently qualifies.

These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.

Energy of motion, if it ever entered the atmosphere

2,826 megatonnes – 105,315 megatonnes of TNT

This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.

The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.

Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.

Why is one asteroid “hazardous” when closer ones are not?

Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:

  • Its orbit can bring it within 0.05 AU of Earth’s — about 7.5 million km. This is the Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance, the closest the two paths ever come, not the distance on any given pass.
  • It is big enough to matter — absolute magnitude 22.0 or brighter, which is roughly 140 metres across and up. That threshold is a planning convention, not a physical boundary: it is about the size at which an impact could do regional damage. Smaller objects are not harmless, they are simply outside this definition — the Chelyabinsk object of 2013 was around 20 metres and injured about 1,500 people with the shock wave from its airburst, without ever reaching the ground intact.

The two terms: AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing. See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.

So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.

Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:

Object Size Orbit’s closest to Earth’s Missed by, that day Flagged
2013 JR28 122–272 m 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) 39.2 M km Yes — both tests pass
2012 LE11 629–1,406 m 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) 26.1 M km No — orbit never gets near enough
2007 EK 3.7–8.2 m 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) 4.2 M km No — far too small

The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.

“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.

Orbital Data

Orbit class: ATE — Near-Earth asteroid orbits similar to that of 2062 Aten
a (semi-major axis) < 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) > 0.983 AU

Orbital period309.3 days (0.85 years)
Eccentricity.209619994968827 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated)
Semi-major axis.8951089654510355 AU
Inclination19.35944390078314° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's)
Perihelion distance.7074762286166375 AU (closest approach to the Sun)
Aphelion distance1.082741702285433 AU (farthest from the Sun)
Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance0.09643 AU = 14,426,052 km
(closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing)
Ascending node longitude155.3485931837647°
Argument of perihelion77.79508069614928°
Mean anomaly / motion330.255855468314° / 1.163831783442851°/day
Jupiter Tisserand invariant6.578 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets)
Reference epoch / equinoxJD 2461200.5 / J2000
Orbit determined2024-01-16 20:42:28
Observed2004-10-07 to 2021-12-20 (6283 day arc, 551 observations used)
Orbit uncertainty0 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain)

Close Approach History

Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 153 total.

Why does it pass Earth and Venus? Doesn’t it orbit just one?

It orbits the Sun. Not Earth, and not Venus. The column above does not say what the asteroid goes around — it says which planet a given close approach was to. 126 of them were approaches to Earth and 27 of them were approaches to Venus.

This one’s path runs from 0.707 AU at its closest to the Sun out to 1.083 AU at its farthest. For scale, Venus orbits at about 0.72 AU and Earth at 1.00 AU — so an orbit spanning that range crosses the path of every planet in between, once on the way out and once on the way back.

Crossing a planet’s path is not the same as meeting the planet. Almost every time the asteroid crosses, that planet is somewhere else along its own orbit. A close approach is logged only on the rare occasions when both happen to arrive at the crossing point at roughly the same time — which is why the dates below are scattered rather than regular. This object takes 309.3 days to go round, against Earth’s 365.25, so the two drift in and out of step over years rather than repeating on a neat cycle.

The Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance in the table above (0.0964 AU) is the closest the two paths ever come. The miss distances below are how far apart the two bodies actually were on the day, which is almost always very much larger.

next approach: 2027-04-23

Date Passed near Velocity (km/h) Miss distance
2198-01-13 Earth 74684.13 61,920,001 km
161 LD
2197-05-02 Earth 37813.47 59,749,494 km
155 LD
2196-09-21 Earth 58844.91 35,668,831 km
92.8 LD
2192-02-15 Earth 43632.95 21,892,271 km
57.0 LD
2191-08-08 Earth 36862.57 41,585,848 km
108 LD
2187-01-09 Earth 80642.18 70,342,226 km
183 LD
2186-04-21 Earth 39583.75 56,703,194 km
148 LD
2185-09-18 Earth 53791.21 27,786,728 km
72.3 LD
2181-02-09 Earth 45559.98 21,660,408 km
56.3 LD
2180-07-29 Earth 36654.96 47,090,333 km
123 LD
2177-10-10 Venus 42017.07 17,887,816 km
46.5 LD
2175-04-14 Earth 40453.30 54,383,445 km
141 LD
2174-09-16 Earth 51086.03 23,621,220 km
61.4 LD
2171-01-04 Venus 42958.04 14,322,718 km
37.3 LD
2170-02-07 Earth 46691.78 22,381,246 km
58.2 LD
2169-07-24 Earth 36382.27 49,439,383 km
129 LD
2164-04-11 Earth 40673.02 53,708,537 km
140 LD
2164-03-29 Venus 43829.05 12,275,007 km
31.9 LD
2163-09-16 Earth 50522.62 22,782,790 km
59.3 LD
2159-02-08 Earth 46484.24 22,260,623 km
57.9 LD
2158-07-25 Earth 36457.94 48,922,415 km
127 LD
2157-06-23 Venus 44015.61 11,926,162 km
31.0 LD
2153-04-15 Earth 40332.20 54,947,776 km
143 LD
2152-09-16 Earth 51970.62 25,005,955 km
65.1 LD
2150-09-16 Venus 43852.49 12,206,718 km
31.8 LD
2148-02-11 Earth 45149.77 21,675,577 km
56.4 LD
2147-08-01 Earth 36749.20 45,561,637 km
119 LD
2143-12-10 Venus 43114.76 13,854,924 km
36.0 LD
2143-01-09 Earth 79826.07 69,385,771 km
181 LD
2142-04-23 Earth 39268.94 57,556,601 km
150 LD
2141-09-19 Earth 55521.34 30,605,566 km
79.6 LD
2137-03-04 Venus 42145.27 17,265,272 km
44.9 LD
2137-02-15 Earth 43250.85 22,542,666 km
58.6 LD
2136-08-11 Earth 36865.29 39,012,868 km
101 LD
2132-01-14 Earth 73261.79 60,062,760 km
156 LD
2131-05-07 Earth 37096.78 60,644,991 km
158 LD
2130-09-23 Earth 61505.42 39,992,963 km
104 LD
2130-05-28 Venus 41467.24 22,415,458 km
58.3 LD
2126-02-25 Earth 41641.82 27,753,424 km
72.2 LD
2125-08-24 Earth 37225.37 28,753,229 km
74.8 LD
2121-01-19 Earth 64749.99 47,697,935 km
124 LD
2120-05-26 Earth 34076.54 62,277,475 km
162 LD
2119-09-29 Earth 70238.61 53,255,328 km
139 LD
2115-03-11 Earth 41415.45 36,863,615 km
95.9 LD
2114-09-03 Earth 39696.28 17,952,160 km
46.7 LD
2110-01-26 Earth 56312.36 35,196,572 km
91.6 LD
2109-06-18 Earth 33353.14 60,147,535 km
156 LD
2108-10-03 Earth 80102.33 67,676,883 km
176 LD
2104-03-26 Earth 41547.33 46,102,746 km
120 LD
2103-09-10 Earth 44511.30 15,369,021 km
40.0 LD
2099-02-02 Earth 49360.14 25,357,539 km
66.0 LD
2098-07-12 Earth 35503.27 53,639,695 km
140 LD
2094-02-07 Venus 58305.46 20,026,230 km
52.1 LD
2093-04-11 Earth 40725.17 53,807,542 km
140 LD
2092-09-15 Earth 50996.40 23,496,841 km
61.1 LD
2088-02-10 Earth 44933.70 21,754,484 km
56.6 LD
2087-08-02 Earth 36779.66 44,625,057 km
116 LD
2087-05-04 Venus 53056.90 14,076,310 km
36.6 LD
2083-01-09 Earth 78259.90 67,274,589 km
175 LD
2082-04-25 Earth 38879.62 58,354,160 km
152 LD
2081-09-19 Earth 56912.44 32,754,852 km
85.2 LD
2080-07-28 Venus 50105.06 11,103,529 km
28.9 LD
2077-02-16 Earth 42953.48 23,123,668 km
60.2 LD
2076-08-12 Earth 36832.89 37,677,296 km
98.0 LD
2073-10-21 Venus 48425.69 9,917,819 km
25.8 LD
2072-01-12 Earth 73591.32 60,572,951 km
158 LD
2071-05-04 Earth 37375.78 60,355,606 km
157 LD
2070-09-22 Earth 60734.97 38,670,506 km
101 LD
2067-01-15 Venus 47832.35 9,641,017 km
25.1 LD
2066-02-20 Earth 42207.68 25,173,265 km
65.5 LD
2065-08-18 Earth 36877.25 33,368,892 km
86.8 LD
2061-01-13 Earth 71208.91 57,151,919 km
149 LD
2060-05-08 Earth 36547.14 61,146,435 km
159 LD
2060-04-09 Venus 47920.38 9,684,254 km
25.2 LD
2059-09-23 Earth 62845.15 41,903,652 km
109 LD
2055-02-22 Earth 41988.17 26,143,775 km
68.0 LD
2054-08-20 Earth 36950.28 31,694,858 km
82.5 LD
2053-07-03 Venus 48691.70 10,053,331 km
26.2 LD
2050-01-13 Earth 70933.25 56,760,117 km
148 LD
2049-05-09 Earth 36503.15 61,146,594 km
159 LD
2048-09-22 Earth 62853.21 41,872,764 km
109 LD
2046-09-26 Venus 50760.55 11,674,108 km
30.4 LD
2044-02-21 Earth 42193.14 25,319,884 km
65.9 LD
2043-08-18 Earth 36852.22 33,379,404 km
86.8 LD
2039-12-20 Venus 54556.01 15,736,371 km
40.9 LD
2039-01-12 Earth 73288.42 60,167,516 km
157 LD
2038-05-03 Earth 37485.63 60,222,002 km
157 LD
2037-09-21 Earth 60230.77 37,700,783 km
98.1 LD
2033-03-13 Venus 60375.38 22,354,539 km
58.2 LD
2033-02-15 Earth 43096.27 22,975,338 km
59.8 LD
2032-08-11 Earth 36759.24 38,738,106 km
101 LD
2028-01-09 Earth 78428.47 67,535,821 km
176 LD
2027-04-23 next Earth 39325.60 57,739,400 km
150 LD
2026-09-18 Earth 55618.27 30,398,631 km
79.1 LD
2022-02-09 Earth 45148.20 21,825,756 km
56.8 LD
2021-07-30 Earth 36616.23 46,030,476 km
120 LD
2016-04-11 Earth 40768.80 53,904,318 km
140 LD
2015-09-15 Earth 50663.35 22,621,326 km
58.8 LD
2011-02-04 Earth 47880.23 23,671,721 km
61.6 LD
2010-07-16 Earth 35744.77 52,040,125 km
135 LD
2005-04-02 Earth 41472.87 50,162,376 km
130 LD
2004-09-11 Earth 47161.11 17,646,696 km
45.9 LD
2000-02-01 Earth 50258.87 26,520,677 km
69.0 LD
1999-07-06 Earth 34729.73 55,455,533 km
144 LD
1995-01-22 Venus 41575.32 21,600,152 km
56.2 LD
1994-03-28 Earth 41706.08 47,857,462 km
124 LD
1993-09-09 Earth 45463.90 15,751,211 km
41.0 LD
1989-01-30 Earth 51209.97 27,821,655 km
72.4 LD
1988-07-02 Earth 34366.26 56,515,965 km
147 LD
1988-04-17 Venus 41840.75 19,231,055 km
50.0 LD
1983-03-29 Earth 41712.95 48,001,447 km
125 LD
1982-09-10 Earth 45629.09 15,929,045 km
41.4 LD
1981-07-11 Venus 42044.34 18,023,811 km
46.9 LD
1978-01-31 Earth 50157.30 26,480,390 km
68.9 LD
1977-07-07 Earth 34846.86 55,102,503 km
143 LD
1974-10-05 Venus 41878.95 19,014,102 km
49.5 LD
1972-04-03 Earth 41499.69 50,644,976 km
132 LD
1971-09-12 Earth 47910.39 18,716,982 km
48.7 LD
1967-12-28 Venus 41587.34 21,799,726 km
56.7 LD
1967-02-05 Earth 47551.19 23,554,408 km
61.3 LD
1966-07-20 Earth 36009.66 50,771,342 km
132 LD
1961-04-14 Earth 40567.83 55,013,528 km
143 LD
1960-09-15 Earth 52525.41 25,658,762 km
66.8 LD
1956-02-12 Earth 44312.30 22,160,819 km
57.7 LD
1955-08-06 Earth 36736.68 42,481,592 km
111 LD
1951-01-10 Earth 75255.41 63,262,177 km
165 LD
1950-04-30 Earth 38179.48 59,702,307 km
155 LD
1949-09-20 Earth 59802.09 37,085,166 km
96.5 LD
1945-02-21 Earth 42086.20 26,540,761 km
69.0 LD
1944-08-20 Earth 36936.66 30,776,140 km
80.1 LD
1940-01-17 Earth 66260.91 50,295,664 km
131 LD
1939-05-20 Earth 34692.07 62,207,652 km
162 LD
1938-09-26 Earth 68726.07 50,752,016 km
132 LD
1934-03-06 Earth 41620.51 34,746,923 km
90.4 LD
1933-08-30 Earth 38826.63 19,702,822 km
51.3 LD
1929-01-22 Earth 58534.13 38,777,075 km
101 LD
1928-06-08 Earth 33012.74 61,370,974 km
160 LD
1927-09-30 Earth 77101.05 63,094,433 km
164 LD
1924-12-03 Venus 58919.72 20,600,986 km
53.6 LD
1923-03-18 Earth 41795.27 42,221,233 km
110 LD
1922-09-06 Earth 42078.60 14,443,604 km
37.6 LD
1918-02-27 Venus 55190.40 16,311,143 km
42.4 LD
1918-01-27 Earth 53310.28 30,987,661 km
80.6 LD
1917-06-25 Earth 33563.93 58,457,821 km
152 LD
1916-10-03 Earth 83547.88 72,325,528 km
188 LD
1912-03-26 Earth 41823.70 46,882,751 km
122 LD
1911-09-09 Earth 44982.12 15,248,879 km
39.7 LD
1911-05-24 Venus 53691.73 14,592,544 km
38.0 LD
1907-01-31 Earth 50803.90 27,456,618 km
71.4 LD
1906-07-04 Earth 34491.94 55,956,662 km
146 LD
1904-08-16 Venus 52946.36 13,777,912 km
35.8 LD
1901-03-30 Earth 41759.37 48,840,232 km
127 LD
1900-09-10 Earth 46353.27 16,541,513 km
43.0 LD

Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-09-04T23:01:34.302965+00:00.