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Designation: 418896 · NASA id: 2418896
Estimated diameter: 338 – 755 meters
These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.
705.1 megatonnes – 26,278 megatonnes of TNT
This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.
The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.
Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.
Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:
The two terms:
AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing.
See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.
So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.
Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:
| Object | Size | Orbit’s closest to Earth’s | Missed by, that day | Flagged |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 JR28 | 122–272 m | 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) | 39.2 M km | Yes — both tests pass |
| 2012 LE11 | 629–1,406 m | 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) | 26.1 M km | No — orbit never gets near enough |
| 2007 EK | 3.7–8.2 m | 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) | 4.2 M km | No — far too small |
The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.
“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.
Orbit class: APO — Near-Earth asteroid orbits which cross the Earth’s orbit similar to that of 1862 Apollo
a (semi-major axis) > 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) < 1.017 AU
| Orbital period | 547.6 days (1.50 years) |
| Eccentricity | .4288500769129997 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated) |
| Semi-major axis | 1.309980468239344 AU |
| Inclination | 13.83443734782822° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's) |
| Perihelion distance | .7481952436803738 AU (closest approach to the Sun) |
| Aphelion distance | 1.871765692798314 AU (farthest from the Sun) |
| Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance | 0.20842 AU = 31,178,889 km (closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing) |
| Ascending node longitude | 186.7716482762865° |
| Argument of perihelion | 6.510346444835545° |
| Mean anomaly / motion | 179.8347748355557° / .6573654026831506°/day |
| Jupiter Tisserand invariant | 4.852 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets) |
| Reference epoch / equinox | JD 2461200.5 / J2000 |
| Orbit determined | 2024-10-01 07:02:57 |
| Observed | 2009-01-06 to 2024-10-01 (5747 day arc, 313 observations used) |
| Orbit uncertainty | 0 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain) |
Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 74 total.
It orbits the Sun. Not Earth, and not Venus. The column above does not say what the asteroid goes around — it says which planet a given close approach was to. 55 of them were approaches to Earth and 19 of them were approaches to Venus.
This one’s path runs from 0.748 AU at its closest to the Sun out to 1.872 AU at its farthest. For scale, Venus orbits at about 0.72 AU and Earth at 1.00 AU — so an orbit spanning that range crosses the path of every planet in between, once on the way out and once on the way back.
Crossing a planet’s path is not the same as meeting the planet. Almost every time the asteroid crosses, that planet is somewhere else along its own orbit. A close approach is logged only on the rare occasions when both happen to arrive at the crossing point at roughly the same time — which is why the dates below are scattered rather than regular. This object takes 547.6 days to go round, against Earth’s 365.25, so the two drift in and out of step over years rather than repeating on a neat cycle.
The Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance in the table above (0.2084 AU) is the closest the two paths ever come. The miss distances below are how far apart the two bodies actually were on the day, which is almost always very much larger.
next approach: 2027-01-28
| Date | Passed near | Velocity (km/h) | Miss distance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2199-03-19 | Earth | 49674.23 | 35,818,134 km 93.2 LD |
| 2196-04-04 | Venus | 44917.90 | 12,371,110 km 32.2 LD |
| 2196-04-02 | Earth | 50765.11 | 37,729,953 km 98.2 LD |
| 2193-07-28 | Earth | 29860.30 | 72,343,148 km 188 LD |
| 2193-04-15 | Earth | 50459.46 | 38,859,198 km 101 LD |
| 2190-04-29 | Earth | 48689.86 | 39,473,386 km 103 LD |
| 2187-05-13 | Earth | 45650.88 | 39,303,601 km 102 LD |
| 2185-10-24 | Venus | 42503.69 | 4,578,716 km 11.9 LD |
| 2184-05-28 | Earth | 42101.64 | 38,369,994 km 99.8 LD |
| 2181-06-13 | Earth | 40501.17 | 36,974,314 km 96.2 LD |
| 2178-06-26 | Earth | 45013.76 | 36,361,349 km 94.6 LD |
| 2175-07-03 | Earth | 52351.12 | 38,397,262 km 99.9 LD |
| 2175-05-11 | Venus | 42501.21 | 4,172,479 km 10.9 LD |
| 2172-07-08 | Earth | 59719.14 | 42,839,936 km 111 LD |
| 2169-07-12 | Earth | 67386.71 | 49,383,861 km 128 LD |
| 2166-07-17 | Earth | 75326.55 | 57,488,373 km 150 LD |
| 2164-11-25 | Venus | 42548.25 | 4,053,638 km 10.5 LD |
| 2163-07-21 | Earth | 82933.80 | 66,075,612 km 172 LD |
| 2154-06-11 | Venus | 42536.13 | 4,082,662 km 10.6 LD |
| 2143-12-24 | Venus | 42666.98 | 5,954,321 km 15.5 LD |
| 2133-06-30 | Venus | 48661.92 | 18,949,200 km 49.3 LD |
| 2099-02-05 | Venus | 48175.75 | 15,077,808 km 39.2 LD |
| 2088-08-12 | Venus | 42557.82 | 4,029,800 km 10.5 LD |
| 2083-12-28 | Earth | 90669.27 | 71,670,053 km 186 LD |
| 2080-12-29 | Earth | 86118.83 | 66,193,446 km 172 LD |
| 2078-02-15 | Venus | 48912.12 | 19,525,226 km 50.8 LD |
| 2078-01-01 | Earth | 81580.07 | 60,830,209 km 158 LD |
| 2075-01-03 | Earth | 78170.93 | 56,927,513 km 148 LD |
| 2072-01-05 | Earth | 74745.26 | 53,107,234 km 138 LD |
| 2069-01-06 | Earth | 71753.34 | 49,884,982 km 130 LD |
| 2066-01-08 | Earth | 68979.19 | 46,982,140 km 122 LD |
| 2063-01-09 | Earth | 66561.54 | 44,579,799 km 116 LD |
| 2060-01-11 | Earth | 64151.50 | 42,266,467 km 110 LD |
| 2057-01-12 | Earth | 62245.54 | 40,542,762 km 105 LD |
| 2054-03-05 | Venus | 44410.59 | 8,396,925 km 21.8 LD |
| 2054-01-13 | Earth | 60495.15 | 39,055,701 km 102 LD |
| 2051-01-16 | Earth | 57581.42 | 36,736,066 km 95.6 LD |
| 2048-01-19 | Earth | 54891.68 | 34,824,025 km 90.6 LD |
| 2045-01-20 | Earth | 52815.59 | 33,565,115 km 87.3 LD |
| 2043-09-02 | Venus | 50858.71 | 22,375,936 km 58.2 LD |
| 2042-01-22 | Earth | 51249.74 | 32,726,300 km 85.1 LD |
| 2039-01-24 | Earth | 50276.83 | 32,282,344 km 84.0 LD |
| 2036-01-26 | Earth | 49410.53 | 31,913,002 km 83.0 LD |
| 2033-01-26 | Earth | 48910.43 | 31,733,905 km 82.6 LD |
| 2030-01-27 | Earth | 48541.90 | 31,620,378 km 82.3 LD |
| 2027-01-28 next | Earth | 48027.03 | 31,473,600 km 81.9 LD |
| 2024-01-30 | Earth | 47576.19 | 31,355,283 km 81.6 LD |
| 2021-01-29 | Earth | 47381.72 | 31,319,006 km 81.5 LD |
| 2019-09-07 | Venus | 48349.58 | 19,087,145 km 49.7 LD |
| 2018-01-29 | Earth | 47403.05 | 31,331,788 km 81.5 LD |
| 2015-01-29 | Earth | 47742.04 | 31,424,122 km 81.7 LD |
| 2012-01-28 | Earth | 48127.00 | 31,534,281 km 82.0 LD |
| 2009-01-26 | Earth | 48856.40 | 31,768,051 km 82.6 LD |
| 2006-03-13 | Venus | 46414.92 | 12,108,397 km 31.5 LD |
| 2006-01-24 | Earth | 49752.13 | 32,122,304 km 83.6 LD |
| 2003-01-24 | Earth | 50062.20 | 32,247,741 km 83.9 LD |
| 2000-01-24 | Earth | 50409.31 | 32,401,108 km 84.3 LD |
| 1997-01-22 | Earth | 51134.42 | 32,761,639 km 85.2 LD |
| 1994-01-21 | Earth | 52126.85 | 33,286,205 km 86.6 LD |
| 1991-01-19 | Earth | 53562.04 | 34,110,890 km 88.7 LD |
| 1988-01-18 | Earth | 55073.05 | 35,038,924 km 91.2 LD |
| 1985-01-15 | Earth | 57129.42 | 36,467,034 km 94.9 LD |
| 1982-02-28 | Venus | 46656.80 | 16,655,333 km 43.3 LD |
| 1982-01-14 | Earth | 59409.22 | 38,209,061 km 99.4 LD |
| 1979-01-11 | Earth | 63042.52 | 41,380,398 km 108 LD |
| 1976-01-09 | Earth | 66772.91 | 44,909,689 km 117 LD |
| 1973-01-05 | Earth | 71106.43 | 49,324,315 km 128 LD |
| 1970-01-03 | Earth | 75616.81 | 54,138,796 km 141 LD |
| 1968-08-20 | Venus | 43799.51 | 11,066,784 km 28.8 LD |
| 1966-12-31 | Earth | 81220.61 | 60,510,936 km 157 LD |
| 1963-12-28 | Earth | 87463.59 | 67,901,090 km 177 LD |
| 1955-01-31 | Venus | 49857.62 | 21,549,306 km 56.1 LD |
| 1924-12-28 | Venus | 46381.87 | 11,984,628 km 31.2 LD |
| 1911-06-11 | Venus | 42914.24 | 4,918,910 km 12.8 LD |
Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-09-04T21:00:43.497130+00:00.