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Designation: 453563 · NASA id: 2453563
· Potentially Hazardous
Estimated diameter: 240 – 537 meters
These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.
156.0 megatonnes – 5,812 megatonnes of TNT
This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.
The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.
Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.
Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:
The two terms:
AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing.
See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.
So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.
Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:
| Object | Size | Orbit’s closest to Earth’s | Missed by, that day | Flagged |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 JR28 | 122–272 m | 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) | 39.2 M km | Yes — both tests pass |
| 2012 LE11 | 629–1,406 m | 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) | 26.1 M km | No — orbit never gets near enough |
| 2007 EK | 3.7–8.2 m | 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) | 4.2 M km | No — far too small |
The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.
“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.
Orbit class: ATE — Near-Earth asteroid orbits similar to that of 2062 Aten
a (semi-major axis) < 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) > 0.983 AU
| Orbital period | 271.3 days (0.74 years) |
| Eccentricity | .2775894451947896 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated) |
| Semi-major axis | .820102637379525 AU |
| Inclination | 10.0248373400032° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's) |
| Perihelion distance | .592450801266559 AU (closest approach to the Sun) |
| Aphelion distance | 1.047754473492491 AU (farthest from the Sun) |
| Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance | 0.01087 AU = 1,625,620 km (closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing) |
| Ascending node longitude | 279.6837036960382° |
| Argument of perihelion | 29.03294336225909° |
| Mean anomaly / motion | 158.6217053177513° / 1.327094230414672°/day |
| Jupiter Tisserand invariant | 7.096 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets) |
| Reference epoch / equinox | JD 2461200.5 / J2000 |
| Orbit determined | 2026-06-16 11:32:29 |
| Observed | 2010-01-16 to 2024-11-29 (5431 day arc, 305 observations used) |
| Orbit uncertainty | 0 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain) |
Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 77 total.
It orbits the Sun. Not Earth, and not Venus. The column above does not say what the asteroid goes around — it says which planet a given close approach was to. 40 of them were approaches to Earth and 37 of them were approaches to Venus.
This one’s path runs from 0.592 AU at its closest to the Sun out to 1.048 AU at its farthest. For scale, Venus orbits at about 0.72 AU and Earth at 1.00 AU — so an orbit spanning that range crosses the path of every planet in between, once on the way out and once on the way back.
Crossing a planet’s path is not the same as meeting the planet. Almost every time the asteroid crosses, that planet is somewhere else along its own orbit. A close approach is logged only on the rare occasions when both happen to arrive at the crossing point at roughly the same time — which is why the dates below are scattered rather than regular. This object takes 271.3 days to go round, against Earth’s 365.25, so the two drift in and out of step over years rather than repeating on a neat cycle.
The Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance in the table above (0.0109 AU) is the closest the two paths ever come. The miss distances below are how far apart the two bodies actually were on the day, which is almost always very much larger.
next approach: 2032-09-20
| Date | Passed near | Velocity (km/h) | Miss distance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2200-12-10 | Venus | 39422.79 | 21,206,977 km 55.2 LD |
| 2190-02-14 | Earth | 26817.69 | 21,266,835 km 55.3 LD |
| 2189-08-26 | Venus | 42850.47 | 19,196,200 km 49.9 LD |
| 2187-01-03 | Earth | 26824.22 | 6,212,748 km 16.2 LD |
| 2185-11-30 | Venus | 43476.70 | 13,560,964 km 35.3 LD |
| 2183-12-27 | Earth | 42817.71 | 20,227,120 km 52.6 LD |
| 2182-03-09 | Venus | 56116.07 | 20,495,959 km 53.3 LD |
| 2172-01-12 | Venus | 36084.86 | 22,183,968 km 57.7 LD |
| 2167-02-07 | Earth | 26011.23 | 19,781,698 km 51.5 LD |
| 2164-06-08 | Venus | 42934.90 | 19,916,236 km 51.8 LD |
| 2164-01-01 | Earth | 27664.24 | 4,155,306 km 10.8 LD |
| 2160-12-26 | Earth | 42408.10 | 19,673,834 km 51.2 LD |
| 2160-09-06 | Venus | 45161.77 | 13,527,560 km 35.2 LD |
| 2150-07-01 | Venus | 36820.45 | 21,814,500 km 56.7 LD |
| 2144-02-27 | Earth | 33752.89 | 26,509,092 km 69.0 LD |
| 2142-11-19 | Venus | 42358.32 | 17,037,256 km 44.3 LD |
| 2141-01-27 | Earth | 25578.95 | 17,467,727 km 45.4 LD |
| 2139-02-19 | Venus | 50126.69 | 16,119,856 km 41.9 LD |
| 2137-12-30 | Earth | 28802.76 | 1,997,542 km 5.20 LD |
| 2134-12-27 | Earth | 40275.58 | 16,705,910 km 43.5 LD |
| 2132-08-27 | Venus | 37771.11 | 21,474,736 km 55.9 LD |
| 2125-01-04 | Venus | 43563.33 | 13,249,035 km 34.5 LD |
| 2112-02-21 | Earth | 28445.65 | 22,842,067 km 59.4 LD |
| 2110-11-21 | Venus | 42077.37 | 15,866,866 km 41.3 LD |
| 2109-01-23 | Earth | 25461.84 | 16,208,106 km 42.2 LD |
| 2106-01-01 | Earth | 27745.83 | 3,909,842 km 10.2 LD |
| 2102-12-27 | Earth | 36039.98 | 10,770,866 km 28.0 LD |
| 2099-12-27 | Earth | 48573.36 | 28,119,053 km 73.2 LD |
| 2096-09-21 | Venus | 42232.30 | 14,313,747 km 37.2 LD |
| 2082-07-29 | Venus | 42260.16 | 14,226,086 km 37.0 LD |
| 2077-02-24 | Earth | 31442.51 | 24,939,928 km 64.9 LD |
| 2074-02-03 | Earth | 25772.90 | 19,219,409 km 50.0 LD |
| 2071-01-10 | Earth | 25637.20 | 11,108,524 km 28.9 LD |
| 2068-05-28 | Venus | 44146.87 | 13,086,597 km 34.0 LD |
| 2067-12-28 | Earth | 30445.38 | 2,358,881 km 6.14 LD |
| 2064-12-26 | Earth | 45185.27 | 23,562,621 km 61.3 LD |
| 2054-04-28 | Venus | 42908.04 | 20,943,170 km 54.5 LD |
| 2050-07-24 | Venus | 44980.09 | 13,536,108 km 35.2 LD |
| 2045-02-14 | Earth | 27032.07 | 21,339,453 km 55.5 LD |
| 2042-01-13 | Earth | 25495.61 | 12,581,025 km 32.7 LD |
| 2038-12-27 | Earth | 31998.99 | 4,686,237 km 12.2 LD |
| 2036-06-22 | Venus | 42831.67 | 19,818,894 km 51.6 LD |
| 2035-12-27 | Earth | 49617.09 | 29,475,463 km 76.7 LD |
| 2032-09-20 next | Venus | 44640.04 | 13,604,747 km 35.4 LD |
| 2022-07-14 | Venus | 37359.78 | 21,552,698 km 56.1 LD |
| 2019-02-17 | Earth | 27615.22 | 21,784,629 km 56.7 LD |
| 2016-01-12 | Earth | 25616.68 | 11,904,475 km 31.0 LD |
| 2014-12-03 | Venus | 42322.63 | 17,102,244 km 44.5 LD |
| 2012-12-26 | Earth | 34295.89 | 8,287,105 km 21.6 LD |
| 2011-03-05 | Venus | 49396.92 | 15,869,092 km 41.3 LD |
| 1996-02-27 | Earth | 38161.87 | 29,599,598 km 77.0 LD |
| 1993-05-22 | Venus | 42390.00 | 17,118,332 km 44.5 LD |
| 1993-02-03 | Earth | 25867.95 | 18,932,249 km 49.3 LD |
| 1990-01-01 | Earth | 27408.10 | 4,701,073 km 12.2 LD |
| 1989-08-23 | Venus | 49226.09 | 15,705,148 km 40.9 LD |
| 1986-12-26 | Earth | 40185.28 | 16,764,628 km 43.6 LD |
| 1983-02-27 | Venus | 44476.64 | 21,911,088 km 57.0 LD |
| 1975-07-27 | Venus | 42828.09 | 19,733,477 km 51.3 LD |
| 1971-10-24 | Venus | 45889.02 | 13,993,563 km 36.4 LD |
| 1967-02-15 | Earth | 27221.84 | 21,332,283 km 55.5 LD |
| 1964-01-13 | Earth | 25596.62 | 12,270,835 km 31.9 LD |
| 1960-12-26 | Earth | 32715.14 | 5,938,937 km 15.4 LD |
| 1957-09-27 | Venus | 43099.52 | 21,048,102 km 54.8 LD |
| 1953-12-26 | Venus | 43393.68 | 13,757,244 km 35.8 LD |
| 1943-10-14 | Venus | 39977.85 | 21,367,578 km 55.6 LD |
| 1941-02-14 | Earth | 27096.66 | 21,045,927 km 54.8 LD |
| 1938-01-09 | Earth | 25770.41 | 10,530,369 km 27.4 LD |
| 1936-03-09 | Venus | 42608.51 | 18,432,750 km 48.0 LD |
| 1934-12-26 | Earth | 35455.54 | 10,159,268 km 26.4 LD |
| 1932-06-08 | Venus | 46908.73 | 14,579,123 km 37.9 LD |
| 1922-04-05 | Venus | 35561.72 | 22,436,724 km 58.4 LD |
| 1915-02-06 | Earth | 26137.05 | 19,355,883 km 50.4 LD |
| 1914-08-23 | Venus | 42389.64 | 16,863,978 km 43.9 LD |
| 1912-01-03 | Earth | 26662.63 | 6,518,602 km 17.0 LD |
| 1910-11-23 | Venus | 50804.35 | 16,893,564 km 43.9 LD |
| 1908-12-25 | Earth | 38752.54 | 14,791,275 km 38.5 LD |
| 1904-05-30 | Venus | 43772.63 | 21,872,475 km 56.9 LD |
Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-09-02T13:13:28.518587+00:00.