Illustration of Earth with several asteroids passing at different distances, one flagged as potentially hazardous

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496962 (2002 GP186)

Designation: 496962 · NASA id: 2496962

Estimated diameter: 230 – 515 meters

≈ the Great Pyramid
That comparison is of size only — what an impact would do depends on speed, angle, composition and where it arrives, none of which follows from width.
(absolute magnitude H = 20.31) · JPL Small-Body Database →

Earth impact concern
No identified impact threat
Why?
  • Its closest recorded pass was 0.9 lunar distances.
  • It is not on NASA/JPL’s Sentry list, which holds every object with a computed chance of impact above zero. Most objects are not on it.
What the four levels mean
  • No identified impact threat — not on any risk list. 98.8% of the objects here.
  • On a monitored risk list — a computed chance above zero, however small. 1.2% of the objects here.
  • Among the highest-ranked — Palermo at or above −2. Two objects worldwide qualify, both studied for decades and both centuries away.
  • Exceptional — Torino 1 or more, or Palermo at or above zero. No object anywhere currently qualifies.

These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.

Energy of motion, if it ever entered the atmosphere

78.0 megatonnes – 2,907 megatonnes of TNT

This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.

The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.

Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.

Why is one asteroid “hazardous” when closer ones are not?

Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:

  • Its orbit can bring it within 0.05 AU of Earth’s — about 7.5 million km. This is the Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance, the closest the two paths ever come, not the distance on any given pass.
  • It is big enough to matter — absolute magnitude 22.0 or brighter, which is roughly 140 metres across and up. That threshold is a planning convention, not a physical boundary: it is about the size at which an impact could do regional damage. Smaller objects are not harmless, they are simply outside this definition — the Chelyabinsk object of 2013 was around 20 metres and injured about 1,500 people with the shock wave from its airburst, without ever reaching the ground intact.

The two terms: AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing. See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.

So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.

Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:

Object Size Orbit’s closest to Earth’s Missed by, that day Flagged
2013 JR28 122–272 m 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) 39.2 M km Yes — both tests pass
2012 LE11 629–1,406 m 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) 26.1 M km No — orbit never gets near enough
2007 EK 3.7–8.2 m 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) 4.2 M km No — far too small

The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.

“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.

Orbital Data

Orbit class: APO — Near-Earth asteroid orbits which cross the Earth’s orbit similar to that of 1862 Apollo
a (semi-major axis) > 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) < 1.017 AU

Orbital period532.0 days (1.46 years)
Eccentricity.3310299068182422 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated)
Semi-major axis1.284852382955093 AU
Inclination8.106610332061216° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's)
Perihelion distance.8595278183502721 AU (closest approach to the Sun)
Aphelion distance1.710176947559914 AU (farthest from the Sun)
Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance0.08135 AU = 12,169,099 km
(closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing)
Ascending node longitude31.1659328543952°
Argument of perihelion24.85693329869774°
Mean anomaly / motion330.141834077443° / .6767437014418956°/day
Jupiter Tisserand invariant4.978 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets)
Reference epoch / equinoxJD 2461200.5 / J2000
Orbit determined2024-06-06 06:23:30
Observed2002-04-03 to 2024-06-06 (8100 day arc, 119 observations used)
Orbit uncertainty0 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain)

Close Approach History

Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 76 total.

Why does it pass Earth, Mars and Venus? Doesn’t it orbit just one?

It orbits the Sun. Not Earth, and not Venus. The column above does not say what the asteroid goes around — it says which planet a given close approach was to. 69 of them were approaches to Earth, 5 of them were approaches to Mars and 2 of them were approaches to Venus.

This one’s path runs from 0.860 AU at its closest to the Sun out to 1.710 AU at its farthest. For scale, Venus orbits at about 0.72 AU and Earth at 1.00 AU — so an orbit spanning that range crosses the path of every planet in between, once on the way out and once on the way back.

Crossing a planet’s path is not the same as meeting the planet. Almost every time the asteroid crosses, that planet is somewhere else along its own orbit. A close approach is logged only on the rare occasions when both happen to arrive at the crossing point at roughly the same time — which is why the dates below are scattered rather than regular. This object takes 532.0 days to go round, against Earth’s 365.25, so the two drift in and out of step over years rather than repeating on a neat cycle.

The Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance in the table above (0.0813 AU) is the closest the two paths ever come. The miss distances below are how far apart the two bodies actually were on the day, which is almost always very much larger.

next approach: 2030-07-19

Date Passed near Velocity (km/h) Miss distance
2200-02-16 Earth 17215.12 48,655,362 km
127 LD
2199-11-06 Earth 29469.83 19,521,841 km
50.8 LD
2197-02-06 Earth 59739.98 46,446,042 km
121 LD
2186-08-20 Earth 78280.49 69,661,752 km
181 LD
2184-03-05 Earth 25099.14 60,020,804 km
156 LD
2183-10-09 Earth 29175.22 13,573,917 km
35.3 LD
2181-01-30 Earth 46790.42 31,611,111 km
82.2 LD
2174-03-12 Mars 24687.86 5,100,614 km
13.3 LD
2168-03-13 Earth 28519.19 67,095,484 km
175 LD
2167-09-22 Earth 33867.34 12,471,385 km
32.4 LD
2165-01-22 Earth 35711.42 22,531,236 km
58.6 LD
2164-07-21 Earth 25945.16 73,735,533 km
192 LD
2151-09-09 Earth 44960.64 24,097,030 km
62.7 LD
2148-12-28 Earth 26769.53 21,285,749 km
55.4 LD
2148-08-05 Earth 20146.96 64,196,579 km
167 LD
2146-02-16 Earth 81698.69 74,702,196 km
194 LD
2135-08-31 Earth 59073.61 42,915,352 km
112 LD
2132-11-21 Earth 29479.68 21,287,882 km
55.4 LD
2130-02-09 Earth 66627.35 55,069,045 km
143 LD
2129-01-23 Mars 22933.01 10,595,113 km
27.6 LD
2119-08-22 Earth 74415.50 64,275,524 km
167 LD
2117-02-28 Earth 23397.60 57,017,958 km
148 LD
2116-10-15 Earth 28855.46 15,392,333 km
40.0 LD
2114-02-01 Earth 50204.52 35,297,934 km
91.8 LD
2103-09-30 Venus 13411.47 22,436,771 km
58.4 LD
2101-03-12 Earth 28107.11 66,465,128 km
173 LD
2100-09-22 Earth 33176.58 12,298,073 km
32.0 LD
2098-01-21 Earth 36635.62 23,091,462 km
60.1 LD
2097-07-19 Earth 26215.51 74,331,045 km
193 LD
2084-09-07 Earth 44595.82 23,817,157 km
62.0 LD
2081-12-27 Earth 26798.43 21,170,449 km
55.1 LD
2081-08-03 Earth 20271.68 64,187,759 km
167 LD
2079-02-15 Earth 81366.71 74,316,917 km
193 LD
2068-08-28 Earth 60245.37 44,686,528 km
116 LD
2065-11-16 Earth 29614.87 20,910,560 km
54.4 LD
2063-02-07 Earth 64986.84 53,018,016 km
138 LD
2052-08-19 Earth 75687.66 66,070,986 km
172 LD
2050-02-28 Earth 23948.05 58,223,851 km
151 LD
2049-10-11 Earth 28952.58 14,782,992 km
38.5 LD
2047-01-30 Earth 48762.16 33,696,273 km
87.7 LD
2034-03-12 Earth 28330.20 67,006,254 km
174 LD
2033-09-20 Earth 33703.46 12,733,949 km
33.1 LD
2031-01-20 Earth 35794.54 22,575,857 km
58.7 LD
2030-07-19 next Earth 25987.61 73,819,189 km
192 LD
2025-08-05 Mars 29668.38 8,749,456 km
22.8 LD
2017-09-06 Earth 45503.38 25,040,840 km
65.1 LD
2014-12-25 Earth 26949.82 21,177,310 km
55.1 LD
2014-08-04 Earth 19937.01 63,751,163 km
166 LD
2012-02-14 Earth 80933.31 73,786,294 km
192 LD
2004-09-11 Venus 13499.68 22,312,817 km
58.0 LD
2001-08-28 Earth 59863.60 44,268,452 km
115 LD
1998-11-16 Earth 29571.86 20,902,342 km
54.4 LD
1996-02-07 Earth 65299.87 53,460,903 km
139 LD
1985-08-19 Earth 74547.12 64,640,416 km
168 LD
1983-02-27 Earth 23371.94 57,478,375 km
150 LD
1982-10-13 Earth 28928.68 15,428,908 km
40.1 LD
1980-06-16 Mars 26423.74 349,665 km
0.91 LD — closer than the Moon
1980-01-29 Earth 49606.24 35,026,166 km
91.1 LD
1967-04-16 Mars 31841.39 14,534,271 km
37.8 LD
1966-08-31 Earth 56144.54 39,496,055 km
103 LD
1963-11-15 Earth 29293.29 20,309,167 km
52.8 LD
1961-02-03 Earth 60216.95 47,559,387 km
124 LD
1948-03-19 Earth 31437.46 74,798,023 km
195 LD
1947-09-07 Earth 45202.72 24,953,376 km
64.9 LD
1944-12-12 Earth 27597.16 21,272,671 km
55.3 LD
1944-08-13 Earth 15598.99 59,062,760 km
154 LD
1942-02-09 Earth 71629.82 62,078,115 km
161 LD
1929-03-12 Earth 28798.56 68,341,836 km
178 LD
1928-09-16 Earth 35807.77 14,474,212 km
37.7 LD
1926-01-08 Earth 28957.44 20,426,154 km
53.1 LD
1925-07-27 Earth 22565.69 67,889,351 km
177 LD
1912-08-18 Earth 76647.43 68,018,409 km
177 LD
1910-03-05 Earth 25894.43 62,354,684 km
162 LD
1909-09-29 Earth 30263.55 12,237,426 km
31.8 LD
1907-01-20 Earth 37395.57 23,721,115 km
61.7 LD
1906-07-19 Earth 26117.05 74,066,192 km
193 LD

Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-09-04T21:00:58.917328+00:00.