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Designation: 513312 · NASA id: 2513312
· Potentially Hazardous
Estimated diameter: 103 – 230 meters
These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.
17.8 megatonnes – 663.7 megatonnes of TNT
This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.
The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.
Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.
Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:
The two terms:
AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing.
See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.
So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.
Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:
| Object | Size | Orbit’s closest to Earth’s | Missed by, that day | Flagged |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 JR28 | 122–272 m | 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) | 39.2 M km | Yes — both tests pass |
| 2012 LE11 | 629–1,406 m | 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) | 26.1 M km | No — orbit never gets near enough |
| 2007 EK | 3.7–8.2 m | 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) | 4.2 M km | No — far too small |
The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.
“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.
Orbit class: APO — Near-Earth asteroid orbits which cross the Earth’s orbit similar to that of 1862 Apollo
a (semi-major axis) > 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) < 1.017 AU
| Orbital period | 468.8 days (1.28 years) |
| Eccentricity | .527683752778621 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated) |
| Semi-major axis | 1.181103895243509 AU |
| Inclination | 2.264045813783411° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's) |
| Perihelion distance | .5578545593799671 AU (closest approach to the Sun) |
| Aphelion distance | 1.804353231107051 AU (farthest from the Sun) |
| Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance | 0.00746 AU = 1,116,673 km (closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing) |
| Ascending node longitude | 1.658087063918582° |
| Argument of perihelion | 274.5711683641632° |
| Mean anomaly / motion | 312.3929321395874° / .7678421014771084°/day |
| Jupiter Tisserand invariant | 5.214 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets) |
| Reference epoch / equinox | JD 2461200.5 / J2000 |
| Orbit determined | 2025-03-11 06:22:28 |
| Observed | 2007-02-23 to 2025-02-27 (6579 day arc, 221 observations used) |
| Orbit uncertainty | 0 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain) |
Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 84 total.
It orbits the Sun. Not Earth, and not Venus. The column above does not say what the asteroid goes around — it says which planet a given close approach was to. 34 of them were approaches to Venus, 24 of them were approaches to Earth, 19 of them were approaches to Merc and 7 of them were approaches to Mars.
This one’s path runs from 0.558 AU at its closest to the Sun out to 1.804 AU at its farthest. For scale, Venus orbits at about 0.72 AU and Earth at 1.00 AU — so an orbit spanning that range crosses the path of every planet in between, once on the way out and once on the way back.
Crossing a planet’s path is not the same as meeting the planet. Almost every time the asteroid crosses, that planet is somewhere else along its own orbit. A close approach is logged only on the rare occasions when both happen to arrive at the crossing point at roughly the same time — which is why the dates below are scattered rather than regular. This object takes 468.8 days to go round, against Earth’s 365.25, so the two drift in and out of step over years rather than repeating on a neat cycle.
The Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance in the table above (0.0075 AU) is the closest the two paths ever come. The miss distances below are how far apart the two bodies actually were on the day, which is almost always very much larger.
next approach: 2027-12-20
| Date | Passed near | Velocity (km/h) | Miss distance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2200-03-31 | Venus | 82366.04 | 20,593,881 km 53.6 LD |
| 2197-07-05 | Venus | 74368.21 | 14,515,376 km 37.8 LD |
| 2186-01-30 | Venus | 67089.26 | 8,593,118 km 22.4 LD |
| 2171-12-04 | Venus | 58080.41 | 5,581,540 km 14.5 LD |
| 2170-07-11 | Venus | 48497.67 | 22,419,633 km 58.3 LD |
| 2162-10-30 | Merc | 39410.59 | 14,628,877 km 38.1 LD |
| 2157-10-06 | Venus | 51062.42 | 9,307,639 km 24.2 LD |
| 2156-05-09 | Venus | 45611.14 | 19,254,125 km 50.1 LD |
| 2143-08-05 | Venus | 45740.02 | 15,480,750 km 40.3 LD |
| 2142-03-07 | Venus | 46357.02 | 14,034,669 km 36.5 LD |
| 2130-10-25 | Earth | 81410.83 | 27,641,581 km 71.9 LD |
| 2129-06-08 | Venus | 45494.78 | 17,420,067 km 45.3 LD |
| 2129-03-20 | Earth | 42165.49 | 26,939,207 km 70.1 LD |
| 2128-01-10 | Venus | 47666.36 | 12,635,482 km 32.9 LD |
| 2121-10-24 | Earth | 80085.50 | 25,785,154 km 67.1 LD |
| 2120-03-20 | Earth | 43096.36 | 25,721,783 km 66.9 LD |
| 2115-04-22 | Venus | 47424.18 | 12,742,609 km 33.1 LD |
| 2113-11-23 | Venus | 45061.31 | 17,686,648 km 46.0 LD |
| 2112-10-24 | Earth | 80879.95 | 26,825,363 km 69.8 LD |
| 2111-03-21 | Earth | 42064.30 | 27,040,085 km 70.3 LD |
| 2106-03-26 | Merc | 38923.00 | 14,678,948 km 38.2 LD |
| 2102-05-17 | Merc | 39742.78 | 14,620,634 km 38.0 LD |
| 2101-03-06 | Venus | 59773.50 | 5,420,975 km 14.1 LD |
| 2098-07-09 | Merc | 39923.35 | 14,672,321 km 38.2 LD |
| 2094-08-31 | Merc | 40563.50 | 14,827,919 km 38.6 LD |
| 2092-06-15 | Mars | 33088.65 | 8,263,439 km 21.5 LD |
| 2090-10-24 | Merc | 40329.65 | 14,720,269 km 38.3 LD |
| 2087-01-18 | Venus | 84461.27 | 22,274,470 km 57.9 LD |
| 2086-12-16 | Merc | 40225.75 | 14,735,563 km 38.3 LD |
| 2085-04-05 | Mars | 35233.19 | 3,802,113 km 9.89 LD |
| 2084-04-26 | Venus | 65023.16 | 8,250,967 km 21.5 LD |
| 2083-02-08 | Merc | 39923.87 | 14,644,207 km 38.1 LD |
| 2079-04-02 | Merc | 40086.49 | 14,644,488 km 38.1 LD |
| 2075-05-26 | Merc | 40189.42 | 14,709,370 km 38.3 LD |
| 2071-08-12 | Venus | 45760.35 | 15,426,642 km 40.1 LD |
| 2071-07-18 | Merc | 40300.65 | 14,727,435 km 38.3 LD |
| 2070-03-17 | Venus | 45185.93 | 16,166,310 km 42.1 LD |
| 2067-09-09 | Merc | 40616.77 | 14,775,589 km 38.4 LD |
| 2063-11-02 | Merc | 40366.20 | 14,745,157 km 38.4 LD |
| 2059-12-25 | Merc | 40486.64 | 14,746,809 km 38.4 LD |
| 2057-07-03 | Venus | 65941.96 | 7,742,478 km 20.1 LD |
| 2056-02-17 | Merc | 39872.73 | 14,590,699 km 38.0 LD |
| 2054-10-10 | Venus | 82568.71 | 20,921,507 km 54.4 LD |
| 2052-04-11 | Merc | 39018.76 | 14,575,615 km 37.9 LD |
| 2048-06-04 | Merc | 39010.70 | 14,718,978 km 38.3 LD |
| 2042-01-20 | Venus | 47484.18 | 21,079,550 km 54.8 LD |
| 2040-08-27 | Venus | 51564.34 | 9,562,555 km 24.9 LD |
| 2039-10-15 | Mars | 34192.21 | 6,502,680 km 16.9 LD |
| 2032-08-04 | Mars | 33765.09 | 7,856,867 km 20.4 LD |
| 2027-12-20 next | Venus | 61905.76 | 5,734,773 km 14.9 LD |
| 2026-10-08 | Earth | 43688.83 | 24,922,544 km 64.8 LD |
| 2025-03-04 | Earth | 78054.58 | 22,911,214 km 59.6 LD |
| 2017-10-11 | Earth | 51850.44 | 13,413,471 km 34.9 LD |
| 2016-03-07 | Earth | 70359.12 | 12,404,712 km 32.3 LD |
| 2011-02-12 | Venus | 59313.15 | 6,686,746 km 17.4 LD |
| 2008-10-12 | Earth | 55634.42 | 8,311,996 km 21.6 LD |
| 2007-03-09 | Earth | 67739.71 | 8,792,754 km 22.9 LD |
| 2002-03-08 | Merc | 38872.49 | 14,681,817 km 38.2 LD |
| 1999-10-11 | Earth | 51809.30 | 13,547,912 km 35.2 LD |
| 1998-03-07 | Earth | 72538.89 | 15,465,518 km 40.2 LD |
| 1996-12-18 | Venus | 61325.32 | 6,909,322 km 18.0 LD |
| 1990-10-07 | Earth | 42099.99 | 27,162,514 km 70.7 LD |
| 1985-07-13 | Venus | 72425.84 | 12,433,875 km 32.3 LD |
| 1972-07-23 | Merc | 38807.69 | 14,914,950 km 38.8 LD |
| 1971-05-08 | Venus | 48577.04 | 11,358,603 km 29.5 LD |
| 1969-12-06 | Venus | 45051.06 | 16,385,022 km 42.6 LD |
| 1959-03-26 | Mars | 32164.00 | 13,146,376 km 34.2 LD |
| 1955-09-27 | Venus | 68048.24 | 10,048,224 km 26.1 LD |
| 1949-03-19 | Earth | 41368.61 | 28,165,414 km 73.3 LD |
| 1944-04-20 | Venus | 62168.65 | 5,746,974 km 15.0 LD |
| 1941-12-24 | Mars | 35806.41 | 6,598,852 km 17.2 LD |
| 1941-10-19 | Earth | 72592.06 | 15,581,416 km 40.5 LD |
| 1940-03-14 | Earth | 51674.00 | 13,538,871 km 35.2 LD |
| 1934-10-17 | Mars | 35469.65 | 3,201,792 km 8.33 LD |
| 1932-10-17 | Earth | 67892.09 | 9,230,549 km 24.0 LD |
| 1931-03-13 | Earth | 55283.96 | 8,689,594 km 22.6 LD |
| 1930-02-23 | Venus | 57224.27 | 5,594,413 km 14.6 LD |
| 1923-10-18 | Earth | 69698.30 | 11,578,527 km 30.1 LD |
| 1922-03-14 | Earth | 52583.94 | 12,348,277 km 32.1 LD |
| 1916-01-08 | Venus | 79277.48 | 17,869,828 km 46.5 LD |
| 1914-10-21 | Earth | 76853.48 | 21,328,661 km 55.5 LD |
| 1913-04-16 | Venus | 68869.53 | 10,474,557 km 27.2 LD |
| 1913-03-17 | Earth | 44600.10 | 23,536,785 km 61.2 LD |
| 1900-08-07 | Venus | 48316.42 | 11,742,978 km 30.5 LD |
Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-10-03T13:12:30.728414+00:00.