Illustration of Earth with several asteroids passing at different distances, one flagged as potentially hazardous

← Back to current tracker · Insights · Impact risk · Lost asteroids · What arrived

513312 (2007 DM41)

Designation: 513312 · NASA id: 2513312 · Potentially Hazardous

Estimated diameter: 103 – 230 meters

≈ the Great Pyramid
That comparison is of size only — what an impact would do depends on speed, angle, composition and where it arrives, none of which follows from width.
(absolute magnitude H = 22.06) · JPL Small-Body Database →

Earth impact concern
No identified impact threat
Why?
  • Its closest recorded pass was 8.3 lunar distances.
  • It is not on NASA/JPL’s Sentry list, which holds every object with a computed chance of impact above zero. Most objects are not on it.
What the four levels mean
  • No identified impact threat — not on any risk list. 98.8% of the objects here.
  • On a monitored risk list — a computed chance above zero, however small. 1.2% of the objects here.
  • Among the highest-ranked — Palermo at or above −2. Two objects worldwide qualify, both studied for decades and both centuries away.
  • Exceptional — Torino 1 or more, or Palermo at or above zero. No object anywhere currently qualifies.

These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.

Energy of motion, if it ever entered the atmosphere

17.8 megatonnes – 663.7 megatonnes of TNT

This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.

The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.

Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.

Why is one asteroid “hazardous” when closer ones are not?

Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:

  • Its orbit can bring it within 0.05 AU of Earth’s — about 7.5 million km. This is the Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance, the closest the two paths ever come, not the distance on any given pass.
  • It is big enough to matter — absolute magnitude 22.0 or brighter, which is roughly 140 metres across and up. That threshold is a planning convention, not a physical boundary: it is about the size at which an impact could do regional damage. Smaller objects are not harmless, they are simply outside this definition — the Chelyabinsk object of 2013 was around 20 metres and injured about 1,500 people with the shock wave from its airburst, without ever reaching the ground intact.

The two terms: AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing. See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.

So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.

Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:

Object Size Orbit’s closest to Earth’s Missed by, that day Flagged
2013 JR28 122–272 m 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) 39.2 M km Yes — both tests pass
2012 LE11 629–1,406 m 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) 26.1 M km No — orbit never gets near enough
2007 EK 3.7–8.2 m 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) 4.2 M km No — far too small

The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.

“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.

Orbital Data

Orbit class: APO — Near-Earth asteroid orbits which cross the Earth’s orbit similar to that of 1862 Apollo
a (semi-major axis) > 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) < 1.017 AU

Orbital period468.8 days (1.28 years)
Eccentricity.527683752778621 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated)
Semi-major axis1.181103895243509 AU
Inclination2.264045813783411° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's)
Perihelion distance.5578545593799671 AU (closest approach to the Sun)
Aphelion distance1.804353231107051 AU (farthest from the Sun)
Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance0.00746 AU = 1,116,673 km
(closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing)
Ascending node longitude1.658087063918582°
Argument of perihelion274.5711683641632°
Mean anomaly / motion312.3929321395874° / .7678421014771084°/day
Jupiter Tisserand invariant5.214 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets)
Reference epoch / equinoxJD 2461200.5 / J2000
Orbit determined2025-03-11 06:22:28
Observed2007-02-23 to 2025-02-27 (6579 day arc, 221 observations used)
Orbit uncertainty0 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain)

Close Approach History

Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 84 total.

Why does it pass Venus, Earth, Merc and Mars? Doesn’t it orbit just one?

It orbits the Sun. Not Earth, and not Venus. The column above does not say what the asteroid goes around — it says which planet a given close approach was to. 34 of them were approaches to Venus, 24 of them were approaches to Earth, 19 of them were approaches to Merc and 7 of them were approaches to Mars.

This one’s path runs from 0.558 AU at its closest to the Sun out to 1.804 AU at its farthest. For scale, Venus orbits at about 0.72 AU and Earth at 1.00 AU — so an orbit spanning that range crosses the path of every planet in between, once on the way out and once on the way back.

Crossing a planet’s path is not the same as meeting the planet. Almost every time the asteroid crosses, that planet is somewhere else along its own orbit. A close approach is logged only on the rare occasions when both happen to arrive at the crossing point at roughly the same time — which is why the dates below are scattered rather than regular. This object takes 468.8 days to go round, against Earth’s 365.25, so the two drift in and out of step over years rather than repeating on a neat cycle.

The Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance in the table above (0.0075 AU) is the closest the two paths ever come. The miss distances below are how far apart the two bodies actually were on the day, which is almost always very much larger.

next approach: 2027-12-20

Date Passed near Velocity (km/h) Miss distance
2200-03-31 Venus 82366.04 20,593,881 km
53.6 LD
2197-07-05 Venus 74368.21 14,515,376 km
37.8 LD
2186-01-30 Venus 67089.26 8,593,118 km
22.4 LD
2171-12-04 Venus 58080.41 5,581,540 km
14.5 LD
2170-07-11 Venus 48497.67 22,419,633 km
58.3 LD
2162-10-30 Merc 39410.59 14,628,877 km
38.1 LD
2157-10-06 Venus 51062.42 9,307,639 km
24.2 LD
2156-05-09 Venus 45611.14 19,254,125 km
50.1 LD
2143-08-05 Venus 45740.02 15,480,750 km
40.3 LD
2142-03-07 Venus 46357.02 14,034,669 km
36.5 LD
2130-10-25 Earth 81410.83 27,641,581 km
71.9 LD
2129-06-08 Venus 45494.78 17,420,067 km
45.3 LD
2129-03-20 Earth 42165.49 26,939,207 km
70.1 LD
2128-01-10 Venus 47666.36 12,635,482 km
32.9 LD
2121-10-24 Earth 80085.50 25,785,154 km
67.1 LD
2120-03-20 Earth 43096.36 25,721,783 km
66.9 LD
2115-04-22 Venus 47424.18 12,742,609 km
33.1 LD
2113-11-23 Venus 45061.31 17,686,648 km
46.0 LD
2112-10-24 Earth 80879.95 26,825,363 km
69.8 LD
2111-03-21 Earth 42064.30 27,040,085 km
70.3 LD
2106-03-26 Merc 38923.00 14,678,948 km
38.2 LD
2102-05-17 Merc 39742.78 14,620,634 km
38.0 LD
2101-03-06 Venus 59773.50 5,420,975 km
14.1 LD
2098-07-09 Merc 39923.35 14,672,321 km
38.2 LD
2094-08-31 Merc 40563.50 14,827,919 km
38.6 LD
2092-06-15 Mars 33088.65 8,263,439 km
21.5 LD
2090-10-24 Merc 40329.65 14,720,269 km
38.3 LD
2087-01-18 Venus 84461.27 22,274,470 km
57.9 LD
2086-12-16 Merc 40225.75 14,735,563 km
38.3 LD
2085-04-05 Mars 35233.19 3,802,113 km
9.89 LD
2084-04-26 Venus 65023.16 8,250,967 km
21.5 LD
2083-02-08 Merc 39923.87 14,644,207 km
38.1 LD
2079-04-02 Merc 40086.49 14,644,488 km
38.1 LD
2075-05-26 Merc 40189.42 14,709,370 km
38.3 LD
2071-08-12 Venus 45760.35 15,426,642 km
40.1 LD
2071-07-18 Merc 40300.65 14,727,435 km
38.3 LD
2070-03-17 Venus 45185.93 16,166,310 km
42.1 LD
2067-09-09 Merc 40616.77 14,775,589 km
38.4 LD
2063-11-02 Merc 40366.20 14,745,157 km
38.4 LD
2059-12-25 Merc 40486.64 14,746,809 km
38.4 LD
2057-07-03 Venus 65941.96 7,742,478 km
20.1 LD
2056-02-17 Merc 39872.73 14,590,699 km
38.0 LD
2054-10-10 Venus 82568.71 20,921,507 km
54.4 LD
2052-04-11 Merc 39018.76 14,575,615 km
37.9 LD
2048-06-04 Merc 39010.70 14,718,978 km
38.3 LD
2042-01-20 Venus 47484.18 21,079,550 km
54.8 LD
2040-08-27 Venus 51564.34 9,562,555 km
24.9 LD
2039-10-15 Mars 34192.21 6,502,680 km
16.9 LD
2032-08-04 Mars 33765.09 7,856,867 km
20.4 LD
2027-12-20 next Venus 61905.76 5,734,773 km
14.9 LD
2026-10-08 Earth 43688.83 24,922,544 km
64.8 LD
2025-03-04 Earth 78054.58 22,911,214 km
59.6 LD
2017-10-11 Earth 51850.44 13,413,471 km
34.9 LD
2016-03-07 Earth 70359.12 12,404,712 km
32.3 LD
2011-02-12 Venus 59313.15 6,686,746 km
17.4 LD
2008-10-12 Earth 55634.42 8,311,996 km
21.6 LD
2007-03-09 Earth 67739.71 8,792,754 km
22.9 LD
2002-03-08 Merc 38872.49 14,681,817 km
38.2 LD
1999-10-11 Earth 51809.30 13,547,912 km
35.2 LD
1998-03-07 Earth 72538.89 15,465,518 km
40.2 LD
1996-12-18 Venus 61325.32 6,909,322 km
18.0 LD
1990-10-07 Earth 42099.99 27,162,514 km
70.7 LD
1985-07-13 Venus 72425.84 12,433,875 km
32.3 LD
1972-07-23 Merc 38807.69 14,914,950 km
38.8 LD
1971-05-08 Venus 48577.04 11,358,603 km
29.5 LD
1969-12-06 Venus 45051.06 16,385,022 km
42.6 LD
1959-03-26 Mars 32164.00 13,146,376 km
34.2 LD
1955-09-27 Venus 68048.24 10,048,224 km
26.1 LD
1949-03-19 Earth 41368.61 28,165,414 km
73.3 LD
1944-04-20 Venus 62168.65 5,746,974 km
15.0 LD
1941-12-24 Mars 35806.41 6,598,852 km
17.2 LD
1941-10-19 Earth 72592.06 15,581,416 km
40.5 LD
1940-03-14 Earth 51674.00 13,538,871 km
35.2 LD
1934-10-17 Mars 35469.65 3,201,792 km
8.33 LD
1932-10-17 Earth 67892.09 9,230,549 km
24.0 LD
1931-03-13 Earth 55283.96 8,689,594 km
22.6 LD
1930-02-23 Venus 57224.27 5,594,413 km
14.6 LD
1923-10-18 Earth 69698.30 11,578,527 km
30.1 LD
1922-03-14 Earth 52583.94 12,348,277 km
32.1 LD
1916-01-08 Venus 79277.48 17,869,828 km
46.5 LD
1914-10-21 Earth 76853.48 21,328,661 km
55.5 LD
1913-04-16 Venus 68869.53 10,474,557 km
27.2 LD
1913-03-17 Earth 44600.10 23,536,785 km
61.2 LD
1900-08-07 Venus 48316.42 11,742,978 km
30.5 LD

Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-10-03T13:12:30.728414+00:00.