Illustration of Earth with several asteroids passing at different distances, one flagged as potentially hazardous

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518810 (2010 CF19)

Designation: 518810 · NASA id: 2518810 · Potentially Hazardous

Estimated diameter: 113 – 254 meters

≈ the Great Pyramid
That comparison is of size only — what an impact would do depends on speed, angle, composition and where it arrives, none of which follows from width.
(absolute magnitude H = 21.85) · JPL Small-Body Database →

Earth impact concern
No identified impact threat
Why?
  • Its closest recorded pass was 13.1 lunar distances.
  • It is not on NASA/JPL’s Sentry list, which holds every object with a computed chance of impact above zero. Most objects are not on it.
What the four levels mean
  • No identified impact threat — not on any risk list. 98.8% of the objects here.
  • On a monitored risk list — a computed chance above zero, however small. 1.2% of the objects here.
  • Among the highest-ranked — Palermo at or above −2. Two objects worldwide qualify, both studied for decades and both centuries away.
  • Exceptional — Torino 1 or more, or Palermo at or above zero. No object anywhere currently qualifies.

These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.

Energy of motion, if it ever entered the atmosphere

8.2 megatonnes – 305.2 megatonnes of TNT

This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.

The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.

Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.

Why is one asteroid “hazardous” when closer ones are not?

Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:

  • Its orbit can bring it within 0.05 AU of Earth’s — about 7.5 million km. This is the Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance, the closest the two paths ever come, not the distance on any given pass.
  • It is big enough to matter — absolute magnitude 22.0 or brighter, which is roughly 140 metres across and up. That threshold is a planning convention, not a physical boundary: it is about the size at which an impact could do regional damage. Smaller objects are not harmless, they are simply outside this definition — the Chelyabinsk object of 2013 was around 20 metres and injured about 1,500 people with the shock wave from its airburst, without ever reaching the ground intact.

The two terms: AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing. See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.

So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.

Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:

Object Size Orbit’s closest to Earth’s Missed by, that day Flagged
2013 JR28 122–272 m 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) 39.2 M km Yes — both tests pass
2012 LE11 629–1,406 m 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) 26.1 M km No — orbit never gets near enough
2007 EK 3.7–8.2 m 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) 4.2 M km No — far too small

The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.

“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.

Orbital Data

Orbit class: APO — Near-Earth asteroid orbits which cross the Earth’s orbit similar to that of 1862 Apollo
a (semi-major axis) > 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) < 1.017 AU

Orbital period476.0 days (1.30 years)
Eccentricity.2698554783472137 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated)
Semi-major axis1.193113291166813 AU
Inclination7.177807133911838° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's)
Perihelion distance.8711451332565742 AU (closest approach to the Sun)
Aphelion distance1.515081449077052 AU (farthest from the Sun)
Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance0.03220 AU = 4,816,992 km
(closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing)
Ascending node longitude154.7011171673814°
Argument of perihelion265.3240231177965°
Mean anomaly / motion236.6343767377213° / .7562781415287704°/day
Jupiter Tisserand invariant5.276 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets)
Reference epoch / equinoxJD 2461200.5 / J2000
Orbit determined2026-06-23 06:21:55
Observed2010-02-14 to 2026-06-22 (5972 day arc, 186 observations used)
Orbit uncertainty0 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain)

Close Approach History

Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 32 total.

next approach: 2026-10-28

Date Passed near Velocity (km/h) Miss distance
2195-01-28 Earth 22352.03 12,136,993 km
31.6 LD
2181-11-26 Earth 20973.16 24,530,173 km
63.8 LD
2168-09-22 Earth 19996.81 14,589,254 km
38.0 LD
2155-09-11 Earth 29230.28 5,489,984 km
14.3 LD
2152-02-07 Earth 40170.05 19,854,169 km
51.6 LD
2142-09-02 Earth 44790.92 25,757,671 km
67.0 LD
2139-01-29 Earth 24212.82 10,323,919 km
26.9 LD
2125-11-13 Earth 21027.71 24,282,098 km
63.2 LD
2112-09-12 Earth 26998.61 5,474,221 km
14.2 LD
2109-02-07 Earth 43318.19 24,100,913 km
62.7 LD
2099-09-03 Earth 41290.63 20,612,074 km
53.6 LD
2096-01-30 Earth 27850.83 8,574,235 km
22.3 LD
2082-12-18 Earth 19127.25 22,860,862 km
59.5 LD
2069-10-04 Earth 18703.98 18,812,049 km
48.9 LD
2056-09-09 Earth 28749.23 5,021,751 km
13.1 LD
2053-02-04 Earth 40048.54 19,896,962 km
51.8 LD
2043-08-31 Earth 46072.70 27,510,267 km
71.6 LD
2040-01-26 Earth 22842.33 11,977,323 km
31.2 LD
2026-10-28 next Earth 20345.82 22,895,177 km
59.6 LD
2013-09-09 Earth 30140.15 5,708,543 km
14.9 LD
2010-02-02 Earth 35194.17 14,027,303 km
36.5 LD
1996-11-28 Earth 20744.91 24,408,275 km
63.5 LD
1983-09-09 Earth 29483.15 5,121,657 km
13.3 LD
1980-02-01 Earth 34262.86 13,132,804 km
34.2 LD
1966-10-30 Earth 20537.13 23,114,727 km
60.1 LD
1953-09-02 Earth 40635.08 19,512,804 km
50.8 LD
1950-01-26 Earth 23891.87 11,259,242 km
29.3 LD
1936-09-13 Earth 24384.26 7,691,594 km
20.0 LD
1933-02-04 Earth 42732.20 23,669,195 km
61.6 LD
1920-01-04 Earth 17144.87 20,890,303 km
54.3 LD
1906-09-12 Earth 25819.13 5,940,368 km
15.5 LD
1903-02-05 Earth 43256.96 24,403,961 km
63.5 LD

Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-10-24T09:08:28.981056+00:00.