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Designation: 524522 · NASA id: 2524522
· Potentially Hazardous
Estimated diameter: 207 – 463 meters
These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.
317.4 megatonnes – 11,830 megatonnes of TNT
This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.
The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.
Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.
Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:
The two terms:
AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing.
See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.
So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.
Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:
| Object | Size | Orbit’s closest to Earth’s | Missed by, that day | Flagged |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 JR28 | 122–272 m | 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) | 39.2 M km | Yes — both tests pass |
| 2012 LE11 | 629–1,406 m | 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) | 26.1 M km | No — orbit never gets near enough |
| 2007 EK | 3.7–8.2 m | 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) | 4.2 M km | No — far too small |
The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.
“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.
Orbit class: ATE — Near-Earth asteroid orbits similar to that of 2062 Aten
a (semi-major axis) < 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) > 0.983 AU
| Orbital period | 224.8 days (0.62 years) |
| Eccentricity | .4101013526023345 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated) |
| Semi-major axis | .7235631888279334 AU |
| Inclination | 9.037338291777969° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's) |
| Perihelion distance | .4268289463963395 AU (closest approach to the Sun) |
| Aphelion distance | 1.020297431259527 AU (farthest from the Sun) |
| Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance | 0.02551 AU = 3,815,942 km (closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing) |
| Ascending node longitude | 231.4572411203793° |
| Argument of perihelion | 355.3998992629584° |
| Mean anomaly / motion | 288.8364642221298° / 1.60136148084087°/day |
| Jupiter Tisserand invariant | 7.863 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets) |
| Reference epoch / equinox | JD 2461200.5 / J2000 |
| Orbit determined | 2026-10-26 06:16:45 |
| Observed | 2002-11-11 to 2026-10-25 (8749 day arc, 618 observations used) |
| Orbit uncertainty | 0 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain) |
Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 113 total.
It orbits the Sun. Not Earth, and not Venus. The column above does not say what the asteroid goes around — it says which planet a given close approach was to. 65 of them were approaches to Merc and 48 of them were approaches to Earth.
This one’s path runs from 0.427 AU at its closest to the Sun out to 1.020 AU at its farthest. For scale, Venus orbits at about 0.72 AU and Earth at 1.00 AU — so an orbit spanning that range crosses the path of every planet in between, once on the way out and once on the way back.
Crossing a planet’s path is not the same as meeting the planet. Almost every time the asteroid crosses, that planet is somewhere else along its own orbit. A close approach is logged only on the rare occasions when both happen to arrive at the crossing point at roughly the same time — which is why the dates below are scattered rather than regular. This object takes 224.8 days to go round, against Earth’s 365.25, so the two drift in and out of step over years rather than repeating on a neat cycle.
The Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance in the table above (0.0255 AU) is the closest the two paths ever come. The miss distances below are how far apart the two bodies actually were on the day, which is almost always very much larger.
next approach: 2026-11-02
| Date | Passed near | Velocity (km/h) | Miss distance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2200-10-21 | Earth | 50372.04 | 26,891,075 km 70.0 LD |
| 2200-08-04 | Merc | 77314.24 | 5,914,421 km 15.4 LD |
| 2197-11-29 | Earth | 39838.11 | 13,364,109 km 34.8 LD |
| 2195-01-16 | Merc | 88031.58 | 10,854,189 km 28.2 LD |
| 2192-10-21 | Earth | 45278.15 | 21,196,840 km 55.1 LD |
| 2190-10-06 | Merc | 77346.23 | 12,216,918 km 31.8 LD |
| 2189-11-30 | Earth | 43929.05 | 18,218,901 km 47.4 LD |
| 2189-07-02 | Merc | 96680.18 | 14,469,271 km 37.6 LD |
| 2185-03-21 | Merc | 74788.78 | 10,941,633 km 28.5 LD |
| 2184-10-21 | Earth | 42733.01 | 18,398,310 km 47.9 LD |
| 2181-11-30 | Earth | 45351.68 | 19,933,176 km 51.9 LD |
| 2179-09-07 | Merc | 76659.24 | 11,879,427 km 30.9 LD |
| 2178-06-03 | Merc | 95153.55 | 13,804,886 km 35.9 LD |
| 2176-10-21 | Earth | 43450.06 | 19,246,024 km 50.1 LD |
| 2174-02-24 | Merc | 83734.37 | 14,837,462 km 38.6 LD |
| 2173-11-30 | Earth | 43379.44 | 17,612,254 km 45.8 LD |
| 2172-11-20 | Merc | 82865.77 | 8,523,409 km 22.2 LD |
| 2168-10-21 | Earth | 47383.00 | 23,689,793 km 61.6 LD |
| 2167-05-12 | Merc | 71951.68 | 3,458,604 km 9.00 LD |
| 2165-11-29 | Earth | 38780.08 | 12,146,793 km 31.6 LD |
| 2161-11-03 | Merc | 69723.07 | 6,371,812 km 16.6 LD |
| 2157-11-25 | Earth | 33865.41 | 6,172,827 km 16.1 LD |
| 2156-04-27 | Merc | 77216.46 | 12,121,507 km 31.5 LD |
| 2155-01-23 | Merc | 90742.04 | 11,989,761 km 31.2 LD |
| 2149-11-19 | Earth | 31182.96 | 3,508,801 km 9.13 LD |
| 2149-07-15 | Merc | 72597.64 | 3,629,787 km 9.44 LD |
| 2144-01-08 | Merc | 69956.75 | 6,747,671 km 17.6 LD |
| 2141-11-09 | Earth | 30566.81 | 4,553,436 km 11.8 LD |
| 2138-07-04 | Merc | 83167.17 | 14,630,577 km 38.1 LD |
| 2137-03-31 | Merc | 79980.89 | 7,137,511 km 18.6 LD |
| 2133-10-28 | Earth | 33629.44 | 8,462,049 km 22.0 LD |
| 2131-09-26 | Merc | 70074.59 | 6,840,625 km 17.8 LD |
| 2130-11-30 | Earth | 52722.85 | 28,825,822 km 75.0 LD |
| 2125-10-22 | Earth | 43423.65 | 19,279,191 km 50.2 LD |
| 2124-12-20 | Merc | 73378.11 | 3,967,303 km 10.3 LD |
| 2122-11-30 | Earth | 40193.84 | 13,976,858 km 36.4 LD |
| 2119-06-19 | Merc | 72823.68 | 9,659,371 km 25.1 LD |
| 2118-03-18 | Merc | 98124.56 | 14,945,000 km 38.9 LD |
| 2114-11-23 | Earth | 32600.14 | 4,706,625 km 12.2 LD |
| 2112-09-08 | Merc | 72662.50 | 3,664,257 km 9.53 LD |
| 2107-03-02 | Merc | 69616.46 | 5,905,244 km 15.4 LD |
| 2106-11-16 | Earth | 30769.41 | 3,620,794 km 9.42 LD |
| 2101-08-23 | Merc | 73787.47 | 10,303,990 km 26.8 LD |
| 2098-11-09 | Earth | 30535.09 | 4,506,684 km 11.7 LD |
| 2096-02-11 | Merc | 83320.47 | 14,686,897 km 38.2 LD |
| 2094-11-07 | Merc | 83275.21 | 8,657,980 km 22.5 LD |
| 2090-11-04 | Earth | 31009.50 | 5,440,546 km 14.2 LD |
| 2089-04-27 | Merc | 74256.04 | 4,350,960 km 11.3 LD |
| 2083-10-16 | Merc | 70620.20 | 3,402,046 km 8.85 LD |
| 2082-11-01 | Earth | 31657.36 | 6,250,223 km 16.3 LD |
| 2078-04-04 | Merc | 69512.72 | 4,842,038 km 12.6 LD |
| 2074-10-30 | Earth | 32229.39 | 6,886,728 km 17.9 LD |
| 2072-09-21 | Merc | 69772.92 | 6,375,647 km 16.6 LD |
| 2067-03-11 | Merc | 70311.24 | 7,379,178 km 19.2 LD |
| 2066-10-29 | Earth | 32616.41 | 7,302,063 km 19.0 LD |
| 2061-08-27 | Merc | 71344.06 | 8,518,085 km 22.2 LD |
| 2058-10-29 | Earth | 32738.47 | 7,442,179 km 19.4 LD |
| 2056-02-13 | Merc | 72203.76 | 9,214,108 km 24.0 LD |
| 2050-10-29 | Earth | 32571.20 | 7,279,929 km 18.9 LD |
| 2050-07-31 | Merc | 72357.77 | 9,320,670 km 24.2 LD |
| 2045-01-15 | Merc | 72706.21 | 9,573,408 km 24.9 LD |
| 2042-10-30 | Earth | 32213.60 | 6,915,078 km 18.0 LD |
| 2039-07-02 | Merc | 72728.44 | 9,581,336 km 24.9 LD |
| 2034-10-31 | Earth | 31779.46 | 6,462,574 km 16.8 LD |
| 2033-12-17 | Merc | 72212.57 | 9,209,451 km 24.0 LD |
| 2028-06-02 | Merc | 71823.22 | 8,916,544 km 23.2 LD |
| 2026-11-02 next | Earth | 31382.33 | 6,018,477 km 15.7 LD |
| 2022-11-17 | Merc | 71491.33 | 8,647,293 km 22.5 LD |
| 2018-11-04 | Earth | 31064.94 | 5,630,510 km 14.6 LD |
| 2017-05-03 | Merc | 71043.16 | 8,236,018 km 21.4 LD |
| 2011-10-18 | Merc | 70583.82 | 7,744,486 km 20.1 LD |
| 2010-11-07 | Earth | 30821.66 | 5,291,129 km 13.8 LD |
| 2006-04-04 | Merc | 70386.74 | 7,516,780 km 19.6 LD |
| 2002-11-09 | Earth | 30666.63 | 5,014,596 km 13.0 LD |
| 2000-09-18 | Merc | 70299.41 | 7,385,737 km 19.2 LD |
| 1995-03-06 | Merc | 70155.43 | 7,181,218 km 18.7 LD |
| 1994-11-11 | Earth | 30593.68 | 4,825,620 km 12.6 LD |
| 1989-08-21 | Merc | 70364.06 | 7,488,833 km 19.5 LD |
| 1986-11-11 | Earth | 30558.29 | 4,710,723 km 12.3 LD |
| 1984-02-06 | Merc | 70813.46 | 8,039,667 km 20.9 LD |
| 1978-11-12 | Earth | 30550.40 | 4,700,909 km 12.2 LD |
| 1978-07-25 | Merc | 71537.28 | 8,745,143 km 22.8 LD |
| 1973-01-10 | Merc | 72933.37 | 9,764,030 km 25.4 LD |
| 1970-11-11 | Earth | 30565.44 | 4,820,270 km 12.5 LD |
| 1967-06-30 | Merc | 75939.48 | 11,384,133 km 29.6 LD |
| 1966-03-27 | Merc | 95720.43 | 13,529,822 km 35.2 LD |
| 1962-11-09 | Earth | 30646.15 | 5,028,503 km 13.1 LD |
| 1961-12-17 | Merc | 80801.58 | 13,400,108 km 34.9 LD |
| 1960-09-12 | Merc | 86389.38 | 9,661,205 km 25.1 LD |
| 1955-03-02 | Merc | 78473.46 | 6,223,892 km 16.2 LD |
| 1954-11-05 | Earth | 30956.94 | 5,386,338 km 14.0 LD |
| 1949-08-20 | Merc | 72018.66 | 3,837,308 km 9.98 LD |
| 1946-11-02 | Earth | 31712.33 | 6,025,074 km 15.7 LD |
| 1944-02-09 | Merc | 69754.11 | 5,442,159 km 14.2 LD |
| 1938-10-28 | Earth | 33446.69 | 7,578,763 km 19.7 LD |
| 1938-08-01 | Merc | 71131.50 | 8,387,129 km 21.8 LD |
| 1933-01-22 | Merc | 79063.88 | 12,668,213 km 33.0 LD |
| 1931-10-19 | Merc | 87039.58 | 9,856,744 km 25.6 LD |
| 1930-10-24 | Earth | 37049.13 | 11,214,842 km 29.2 LD |
| 1927-12-02 | Earth | 49531.43 | 24,351,203 km 63.3 LD |
| 1926-04-09 | Merc | 72474.42 | 3,982,571 km 10.4 LD |
| 1922-10-22 | Earth | 42123.52 | 16,673,248 km 43.4 LD |
| 1920-09-30 | Merc | 69898.03 | 6,368,139 km 16.6 LD |
| 1919-12-02 | Earth | 43778.44 | 17,614,880 km 45.8 LD |
| 1915-03-24 | Merc | 72576.30 | 9,540,102 km 24.8 LD |
| 1914-10-22 | Earth | 46917.47 | 22,002,961 km 57.2 LD |
| 1911-12-01 | Earth | 39762.65 | 12,903,266 km 33.6 LD |
| 1909-09-11 | Merc | 78536.74 | 12,439,895 km 32.4 LD |
| 1908-06-07 | Merc | 90137.76 | 11,152,219 km 29.0 LD |
| 1906-10-22 | Earth | 49665.72 | 25,081,944 km 65.2 LD |
| 1904-02-29 | Merc | 83835.16 | 14,417,237 km 37.5 LD |
| 1903-12-01 | Earth | 38308.95 | 11,205,929 km 29.2 LD |
| 1902-11-24 | Merc | 84249.33 | 8,733,484 km 22.7 LD |
Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-10-27T14:19:04.080685+00:00.