Illustration of Earth with several asteroids passing at different distances, one flagged as potentially hazardous

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612856 (2004 TP1)

Designation: 612856 · NASA id: 2612856 · Potentially Hazardous

Estimated diameter: 188 – 421 meters

≈ the Great Pyramid
That comparison is of size only — what an impact would do depends on speed, angle, composition and where it arrives, none of which follows from width.
(absolute magnitude H = 20.75) · JPL Small-Body Database →

Earth impact concern
No identified impact threat
Why?
  • Its closest recorded pass was 12.5 lunar distances.
  • It is not on NASA/JPL’s Sentry list, which holds every object with a computed chance of impact above zero. Most objects are not on it.
What the four levels mean
  • No identified impact threat — not on any risk list. 98.8% of the objects here.
  • On a monitored risk list — a computed chance above zero, however small. 1.2% of the objects here.
  • Among the highest-ranked — Palermo at or above −2. Two objects worldwide qualify, both studied for decades and both centuries away.
  • Exceptional — Torino 1 or more, or Palermo at or above zero. No object anywhere currently qualifies.

These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.

Energy of motion, if it ever entered the atmosphere

80.3 megatonnes – 2,992 megatonnes of TNT

This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.

The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.

Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.

Why is one asteroid “hazardous” when closer ones are not?

Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:

  • Its orbit can bring it within 0.05 AU of Earth’s — about 7.5 million km. This is the Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance, the closest the two paths ever come, not the distance on any given pass.
  • It is big enough to matter — absolute magnitude 22.0 or brighter, which is roughly 140 metres across and up. That threshold is a planning convention, not a physical boundary: it is about the size at which an impact could do regional damage. Smaller objects are not harmless, they are simply outside this definition — the Chelyabinsk object of 2013 was around 20 metres and injured about 1,500 people with the shock wave from its airburst, without ever reaching the ground intact.

The two terms: AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing. See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.

So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.

Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:

Object Size Orbit’s closest to Earth’s Missed by, that day Flagged
2013 JR28 122–272 m 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) 39.2 M km Yes — both tests pass
2012 LE11 629–1,406 m 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) 26.1 M km No — orbit never gets near enough
2007 EK 3.7–8.2 m 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) 4.2 M km No — far too small

The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.

“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.

Orbital Data

Orbit class: APO — Near-Earth asteroid orbits which cross the Earth’s orbit similar to that of 1862 Apollo
a (semi-major axis) > 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) < 1.017 AU

Orbital period536.0 days (1.47 years)
Eccentricity.3892200484024809 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated)
Semi-major axis1.291273764193645 AU
Inclination7.488990097351513° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's)
Perihelion distance.7886841271933407 AU (closest approach to the Sun)
Aphelion distance1.793863401193949 AU (farthest from the Sun)
Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance0.02831 AU = 4,235,774 km
(closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing)
Ascending node longitude30.01295698476688°
Argument of perihelion87.88913941262297°
Mean anomaly / motion225.7725485422413° / .6717019097529818°/day
Jupiter Tisserand invariant4.940 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets)
Reference epoch / equinoxJD 2461200.5 / J2000
Orbit determined2026-10-24 06:18:20
Observed2004-10-05 to 2026-10-23 (8053 day arc, 564 observations used)
Orbit uncertainty0 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain)

Close Approach History

Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 42 total.

Why does it pass Earth, Venus and Mars? Doesn’t it orbit just one?

It orbits the Sun. Not Earth, and not Venus. The column above does not say what the asteroid goes around — it says which planet a given close approach was to. 28 of them were approaches to Earth, 10 of them were approaches to Venus and 4 of them were approaches to Mars.

This one’s path runs from 0.789 AU at its closest to the Sun out to 1.794 AU at its farthest. For scale, Venus orbits at about 0.72 AU and Earth at 1.00 AU — so an orbit spanning that range crosses the path of every planet in between, once on the way out and once on the way back.

Crossing a planet’s path is not the same as meeting the planet. Almost every time the asteroid crosses, that planet is somewhere else along its own orbit. A close approach is logged only on the rare occasions when both happen to arrive at the crossing point at roughly the same time — which is why the dates below are scattered rather than regular. This object takes 536.0 days to go round, against Earth’s 365.25, so the two drift in and out of step over years rather than repeating on a neat cycle.

The Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance in the table above (0.0283 AU) is the closest the two paths ever come. The miss distances below are how far apart the two bodies actually were on the day, which is almost always very much larger.

next approach: 2026-11-01

Date Passed near Velocity (km/h) Miss distance
2194-05-01 Venus 30266.30 20,469,548 km
53.3 LD
2186-10-29 Earth 56227.48 24,167,824 km
62.9 LD
2181-04-02 Earth 32795.13 11,491,464 km
29.9 LD
2175-03-31 Venus 18674.61 14,385,275 km
37.4 LD
2174-11-30 Mars 40488.28 9,127,103 km
23.7 LD
2161-11-14 Earth 30717.91 14,596,756 km
38.0 LD
2159-02-23 Earth 29691.68 29,739,595 km
77.4 LD
2156-04-17 Earth 57583.47 26,293,203 km
68.4 LD
2139-11-05 Earth 42791.69 6,433,196 km
16.7 LD
2134-04-08 Earth 40948.08 4,905,954 km
12.8 LD
2129-09-22 Venus 23415.75 16,285,027 km
42.4 LD
2117-10-26 Earth 59993.66 29,479,613 km
76.7 LD
2114-12-14 Earth 28739.46 28,222,966 km
73.4 LD
2114-09-21 Mars 43853.20 12,974,100 km
33.8 LD
2112-03-26 Earth 28510.69 18,006,590 km
46.8 LD
2110-08-20 Venus 17081.76 16,110,557 km
41.9 LD
2092-11-06 Earth 37869.36 5,520,951 km
14.4 LD
2087-04-12 Earth 49692.76 15,145,751 km
39.4 LD
2084-03-17 Venus 32445.23 22,164,053 km
57.7 LD
2070-11-03 Earth 43199.24 6,629,639 km
17.2 LD
2065-04-07 Earth 42675.17 6,450,417 km
16.8 LD
2065-02-17 Venus 26001.26 17,852,573 km
46.4 LD
2054-07-14 Mars 41006.17 10,025,845 km
26.1 LD
2048-10-30 Earth 48194.00 12,789,160 km
33.3 LD
2046-01-23 Venus 29307.31 20,073,865 km
52.2 LD
2043-04-07 Earth 41042.69 5,376,784 km
14.0 LD
2026-11-01 next Earth 45617.31 9,300,212 km
24.2 LD
2021-04-08 Earth 44258.54 8,290,556 km
21.6 LD
2004-11-02 Earth 41632.67 4,816,414 km
12.5 LD
1999-04-10 Earth 46814.30 11,606,129 km
30.2 LD
1982-10-30 Earth 46818.05 10,870,291 km
28.3 LD
1977-04-05 Earth 40789.11 5,606,849 km
14.6 LD
1960-10-25 Earth 54684.58 21,811,023 km
56.7 LD
1955-04-01 Earth 34149.90 10,146,452 km
26.4 LD
1950-09-16 Venus 31377.28 21,600,825 km
56.2 LD
1935-11-18 Earth 27950.58 19,275,420 km
50.1 LD
1933-03-01 Earth 27540.98 27,184,400 km
70.7 LD
1931-08-15 Venus 18015.44 14,509,792 km
37.7 LD
1913-11-06 Earth 35998.09 6,925,783 km
18.0 LD
1912-07-15 Venus 16650.51 15,727,783 km
40.9 LD
1908-04-13 Earth 55136.27 22,992,518 km
59.8 LD
1907-10-27 Mars 44293.68 14,479,780 km
37.7 LD

Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-10-27T02:20:40.184105+00:00.