Illustration of Earth with several asteroids passing at different distances, one flagged as potentially hazardous

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(1999 SG10)

Designation: 1999 SG10 · NASA id: 3022970 · Potentially Hazardous

Estimated diameter: 187 – 419 meters

≈ the Great Pyramid
That comparison is of size only — what an impact would do depends on speed, angle, composition and where it arrives, none of which follows from width.
(absolute magnitude H = 20.76) · JPL Small-Body Database →

Earth impact concern
No identified impact threat
Why?
  • Its closest recorded pass was 9.5 lunar distances.
  • It is not on NASA/JPL’s Sentry list, which holds every object with a computed chance of impact above zero. Most objects are not on it.
What the four levels mean
  • No identified impact threat — not on any risk list. 98.8% of the objects here.
  • On a monitored risk list — a computed chance above zero, however small. 1.2% of the objects here.
  • Among the highest-ranked — Palermo at or above −2. Two objects worldwide qualify, both studied for decades and both centuries away.
  • Exceptional — Torino 1 or more, or Palermo at or above zero. No object anywhere currently qualifies.

These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.

Energy of motion, if it ever entered the atmosphere

259.3 megatonnes – 9,663 megatonnes of TNT

This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.

The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.

Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.

Why is one asteroid “hazardous” when closer ones are not?

Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:

  • Its orbit can bring it within 0.05 AU of Earth’s — about 7.5 million km. This is the Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance, the closest the two paths ever come, not the distance on any given pass.
  • It is big enough to matter — absolute magnitude 22.0 or brighter, which is roughly 140 metres across and up. That threshold is a planning convention, not a physical boundary: it is about the size at which an impact could do regional damage. Smaller objects are not harmless, they are simply outside this definition — the Chelyabinsk object of 2013 was around 20 metres and injured about 1,500 people with the shock wave from its airburst, without ever reaching the ground intact.

The two terms: AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing. See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.

So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.

Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:

Object Size Orbit’s closest to Earth’s Missed by, that day Flagged
2013 JR28 122–272 m 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) 39.2 M km Yes — both tests pass
2012 LE11 629–1,406 m 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) 26.1 M km No — orbit never gets near enough
2007 EK 3.7–8.2 m 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) 4.2 M km No — far too small

The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.

“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.

Orbital Data

Orbit class: APO — Near-Earth asteroid orbits which cross the Earth’s orbit similar to that of 1862 Apollo
a (semi-major axis) > 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) < 1.017 AU

Orbital period640.3 days (1.75 years)
Eccentricity.6133638358625966 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated)
Semi-major axis1.453925561347351 AU
Inclination23.56396506127448° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's)
Perihelion distance.5621402019806609 AU (closest approach to the Sun)
Aphelion distance2.345710920714042 AU (farthest from the Sun)
Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance0.02892 AU = 4,326,341 km
(closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing)
Ascending node longitude13.36849735031199°
Argument of perihelion103.42957041°
Mean anomaly / motion292.5263503975454° / .5621999673214201°/day
Jupiter Tisserand invariant4.344 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets)
Reference epoch / equinoxJD 2461000.5 / J2000
Orbit determined2023-03-01 05:59:02
Observed1999-09-30 to 2020-10-20 (7691 day arc, 123 observations used)
Orbit uncertainty0 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain)

Close Approach History

Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 81 total.

Why does it pass Earth and Venus? Doesn’t it orbit just one?

It orbits the Sun. Not Earth, and not Venus. The column above does not say what the asteroid goes around — it says which planet a given close approach was to. 66 of them were approaches to Earth and 15 of them were approaches to Venus.

This one’s path runs from 0.562 AU at its closest to the Sun out to 2.346 AU at its farthest. For scale, Venus orbits at about 0.72 AU and Earth at 1.00 AU — so an orbit spanning that range crosses the path of every planet in between, once on the way out and once on the way back.

Crossing a planet’s path is not the same as meeting the planet. Almost every time the asteroid crosses, that planet is somewhere else along its own orbit. A close approach is logged only on the rare occasions when both happen to arrive at the crossing point at roughly the same time — which is why the dates below are scattered rather than regular. This object takes 640.3 days to go round, against Earth’s 365.25, so the two drift in and out of step over years rather than repeating on a neat cycle.

The Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance in the table above (0.0289 AU) is the closest the two paths ever come. The miss distances below are how far apart the two bodies actually were on the day, which is almost always very much larger.

next approach: 2027-10-23

Date Passed near Velocity (km/h) Miss distance
2197-09-20 Earth 124075.59 68,722,715 km
179 LD
2196-03-01 Earth 67425.69 61,501,860 km
160 LD
2194-06-04 Venus 100600.13 19,608,985 km
51.0 LD
2190-09-22 Earth 120524.12 63,607,259 km
165 LD
2189-03-06 Earth 65951.35 58,269,511 km
152 LD
2183-12-06 Venus 68467.29 16,952,036 km
44.1 LD
2183-09-24 Earth 116933.95 58,580,520 km
152 LD
2182-03-11 Earth 64805.25 55,357,886 km
144 LD
2176-09-24 Earth 115042.04 55,767,677 km
145 LD
2175-03-14 Earth 64309.94 53,673,768 km
140 LD
2169-09-25 Earth 113354.21 53,323,873 km
139 LD
2168-03-15 Earth 63878.16 52,160,523 km
136 LD
2162-09-26 Earth 112317.98 51,722,550 km
135 LD
2161-03-16 Earth 63617.74 51,168,152 km
133 LD
2161-03-11 Venus 86473.12 4,963,385 km
12.9 LD
2155-09-28 Earth 108739.78 46,550,673 km
121 LD
2154-03-23 Earth 63319.00 46,216,490 km
120 LD
2148-09-29 Earth 104973.48 41,050,412 km
107 LD
2147-03-28 Earth 63764.70 42,086,595 km
109 LD
2141-09-30 Earth 102175.20 36,894,624 km
96.0 LD
2140-03-30 Earth 64595.88 39,034,299 km
102 LD
2134-10-01 Earth 99942.20 33,570,811 km
87.3 LD
2133-04-01 Earth 65211.58 36,865,420 km
95.9 LD
2127-12-18 Venus 78886.03 4,004,892 km
10.4 LD
2127-10-02 Earth 98716.87 31,584,372 km
82.2 LD
2126-04-01 Earth 65139.15 36,979,282 km
96.2 LD
2120-09-29 Earth 103055.28 38,119,325 km
99.2 LD
2119-03-27 Earth 63599.48 42,253,512 km
110 LD
2113-09-27 Earth 108092.37 45,478,178 km
118 LD
2112-03-20 Earth 63001.27 47,990,982 km
125 LD
2106-09-25 Earth 113545.77 53,373,889 km
139 LD
2105-03-13 Earth 63841.74 54,028,080 km
141 LD
2105-03-07 Venus 66270.09 19,925,455 km
51.8 LD
2099-09-21 Earth 120132.74 62,889,277 km
164 LD
2098-03-01 Earth 66474.91 60,848,947 km
158 LD
2092-11-29 Venus 97950.06 16,885,508 km
43.9 LD
2092-09-17 Earth 127343.23 73,005,922 km
190 LD
2091-02-20 Earth 69576.36 66,460,847 km
173 LD
2084-02-11 Earth 72055.75 70,497,264 km
183 LD
2077-02-02 Earth 73810.29 73,669,484 km
192 LD
2070-02-15 Venus 73047.25 10,707,696 km
27.9 LD
2057-11-06 Venus 101801.54 20,811,889 km
54.1 LD
2048-12-21 Earth 64666.99 74,636,527 km
194 LD
2041-12-08 Earth 56817.31 70,354,634 km
183 LD
2041-10-20 Earth 46161.95 73,086,926 km
190 LD
2040-05-12 Earth 121927.84 68,521,560 km
178 LD
2035-01-21 Venus 71776.04 12,261,616 km
31.9 LD
2034-10-24 Earth 47663.76 61,824,044 km
161 LD
2033-05-08 Earth 114454.71 58,079,628 km
151 LD
2027-10-23 next Earth 52715.20 48,562,014 km
126 LD
2026-05-04 Earth 106087.51 46,498,997 km
121 LD
2022-10-13 Venus 101984.36 20,982,701 km
54.6 LD
2020-10-19 Earth 58321.70 36,744,663 km
95.6 LD
2019-04-30 Earth 99057.70 36,909,977 km
96.0 LD
2013-10-17 Earth 63452.20 26,999,853 km
70.2 LD
2012-04-26 Earth 93567.73 29,794,919 km
77.5 LD
2006-10-15 Earth 67988.98 19,027,001 km
49.5 LD
2005-04-24 Earth 89124.15 24,735,515 km
64.3 LD
2000-01-03 Venus 84856.00 3,668,040 km
9.54 LD
1999-10-14 Earth 71108.75 13,641,545 km
35.5 LD
1998-04-23 Earth 87391.31 23,046,404 km
60.0 LD
1992-10-14 Earth 68305.79 18,425,307 km
47.9 LD
1991-04-25 Earth 90425.29 26,045,516 km
67.8 LD
1985-10-17 Earth 64233.95 25,569,146 km
66.5 LD
1984-04-27 Earth 94620.25 31,010,280 km
80.7 LD
1978-10-19 Earth 59762.54 33,936,629 km
88.3 LD
1977-05-01 Earth 100148.89 38,174,740 km
99.3 LD
1971-10-22 Earth 54619.87 44,203,790 km
115 LD
1970-05-05 Earth 106883.95 47,378,578 km
123 LD
1966-10-19 Venus 97694.43 16,561,910 km
43.1 LD
1964-10-24 Earth 49355.60 56,363,471 km
147 LD
1963-05-09 Earth 114787.88 58,407,787 km
152 LD
1957-12-03 Earth 54690.95 68,646,685 km
179 LD
1957-10-23 Earth 45672.87 70,394,386 km
183 LD
1956-05-13 Earth 123548.61 70,450,589 km
183 LD
1956-04-27 Venus 77275.03 5,933,286 km
15.4 LD
1950-12-16 Earth 62432.50 73,286,200 km
191 LD
1923-02-13 Venus 98103.11 17,023,425 km
44.3 LD
1912-08-21 Venus 73923.08 9,699,292 km
25.2 LD
1909-02-06 Earth 72678.95 72,509,146 km
189 LD
1902-02-13 Earth 70901.54 69,933,363 km
182 LD

Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-09-08T14:03:19.098589+00:00.