Illustration of Earth with several asteroids passing at different distances, one flagged as potentially hazardous

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(2002 GR)

Designation: 2002 GR · NASA id: 3120862

Estimated diameter: 61 – 136 meters

≈ a football pitch
That comparison is of size only — what an impact would do depends on speed, angle, composition and where it arrives, none of which follows from width.
(absolute magnitude H = 23.2) · JPL Small-Body Database →

Earth impact concern
No identified impact threat
Why?
  • Its closest recorded pass was 3.0 lunar distances.
  • It is not on NASA/JPL’s Sentry list, which holds every object with a computed chance of impact above zero. Most objects are not on it.
What the four levels mean
  • No identified impact threat — not on any risk list. 98.8% of the objects here.
  • On a monitored risk list — a computed chance above zero, however small. 1.2% of the objects here.
  • Among the highest-ranked — Palermo at or above −2. Two objects worldwide qualify, both studied for decades and both centuries away.
  • Exceptional — Torino 1 or more, or Palermo at or above zero. No object anywhere currently qualifies.

These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.

Energy of motion, if it ever entered the atmosphere

1.2 megatonnes – 44.0 megatonnes of TNT

This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.

The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.

Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.

Why is one asteroid “hazardous” when closer ones are not?

Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:

  • Its orbit can bring it within 0.05 AU of Earth’s — about 7.5 million km. This is the Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance, the closest the two paths ever come, not the distance on any given pass.
  • It is big enough to matter — absolute magnitude 22.0 or brighter, which is roughly 140 metres across and up. That threshold is a planning convention, not a physical boundary: it is about the size at which an impact could do regional damage. Smaller objects are not harmless, they are simply outside this definition — the Chelyabinsk object of 2013 was around 20 metres and injured about 1,500 people with the shock wave from its airburst, without ever reaching the ground intact.

The two terms: AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing. See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.

So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.

Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:

Object Size Orbit’s closest to Earth’s Missed by, that day Flagged
2013 JR28 122–272 m 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) 39.2 M km Yes — both tests pass
2012 LE11 629–1,406 m 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) 26.1 M km No — orbit never gets near enough
2007 EK 3.7–8.2 m 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) 4.2 M km No — far too small

The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.

“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.

Orbital Data

Orbit class: APO — Near-Earth asteroid orbits which cross the Earth’s orbit similar to that of 1862 Apollo
a (semi-major axis) > 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) < 1.017 AU

Orbital period481.0 days (1.32 years)
Eccentricity.2075136982180819 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated)
Semi-major axis1.201455919871409 AU
Inclination7.328244233830276° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's)
Perihelion distance.9521373586928856 AU (closest approach to the Sun)
Aphelion distance1.450774481049933 AU (farthest from the Sun)
Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance0.00525 AU = 785,947 km
(closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing)
Ascending node longitude183.7586723161274°
Argument of perihelion313.8161160295498°
Mean anomaly / motion17.27152273624748° / .7484147040181423°/day
Jupiter Tisserand invariant5.263 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets)
Reference epoch / equinoxJD 2461000.5 / J2000
Orbit determined2021-04-14 21:21:20
Observed2002-04-03 to 2002-05-21 (48 day arc, 63 observations used)
Orbit uncertainty6 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain)

Close Approach History

Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 69 total.

Why does it pass Earth and Mars? Doesn’t it orbit just one?

It orbits the Sun. Not Earth, and not Venus. The column above does not say what the asteroid goes around — it says which planet a given close approach was to. 63 of them were approaches to Earth and 6 of them were approaches to Mars.

This one’s path runs from 0.952 AU at its closest to the Sun out to 1.451 AU at its farthest. For scale, Venus orbits at about 0.72 AU and Earth at 1.00 AU — so an orbit spanning that range crosses the path of every planet in between, once on the way out and once on the way back.

Crossing a planet’s path is not the same as meeting the planet. Almost every time the asteroid crosses, that planet is somewhere else along its own orbit. A close approach is logged only on the rare occasions when both happen to arrive at the crossing point at roughly the same time — which is why the dates below are scattered rather than regular. This object takes 481.0 days to go round, against Earth’s 365.25, so the two drift in and out of step over years rather than repeating on a neat cycle.

The Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance in the table above (0.0053 AU) is the closest the two paths ever come. The miss distances below are how far apart the two bodies actually were on the day, which is almost always very much larger.

next approach: 2026-10-20

Date Passed near Velocity (km/h) Miss distance
2162-07-17 Earth 24453.09 62,296,977 km
162 LD
2153-09-10 Earth 26891.75 59,317,564 km
154 LD
2102-03-23 Earth 20203.53 1,146,686 km
2.98 LD
2098-04-18 Earth 53153.43 51,285,306 km
133 LD
2097-10-01 Earth 24800.54 52,661,740 km
137 LD
2093-08-31 Earth 27906.76 64,290,621 km
167 LD
2089-08-01 Earth 27085.13 66,914,586 km
174 LD
2085-06-28 Earth 22127.31 59,675,615 km
155 LD
2084-11-29 Earth 58945.19 63,193,908 km
164 LD
2077-04-05 Earth 32030.10 19,729,739 km
51.3 LD
2076-10-25 Earth 19960.10 40,896,469 km
106 LD
2073-04-25 Earth 67444.18 72,026,036 km
187 LD
2072-09-17 Earth 26589.11 58,379,644 km
152 LD
2068-08-19 Earth 28005.68 66,422,975 km
173 LD
2064-07-20 Earth 25736.94 65,493,335 km
170 LD
2060-06-11 Earth 18648.54 53,522,163 km
139 LD
2059-12-07 Earth 44478.20 44,551,619 km
116 LD
2058-04-24 Mars 27763.91 13,121,493 km
34.1 LD
2056-03-05 Earth 17204.17 10,196,746 km
26.5 LD
2052-04-12 Earth 42766.05 35,932,749 km
93.5 LD
2051-10-12 Earth 22793.96 47,495,451 km
124 LD
2047-09-12 Earth 27275.94 61,115,259 km
159 LD
2045-02-22 Mars 26043.73 10,047,351 km
26.1 LD
2043-08-16 Earth 27939.02 67,057,318 km
174 LD
2039-07-19 Earth 25617.37 65,444,396 km
170 LD
2035-06-13 Earth 19179.76 54,510,863 km
142 LD
2034-12-06 Earth 46469.99 46,952,815 km
122 LD
2031-12-24 Mars 24780.55 8,700,357 km
22.6 LD
2027-04-08 Earth 35991.95 25,777,063 km
67.1 LD
2026-10-20 next Earth 21071.30 43,535,973 km
113 LD
2023-04-25 Earth 67213.92 71,572,234 km
186 LD
2022-09-19 Earth 26560.36 58,433,075 km
152 LD
2018-10-25 Mars 26279.25 10,417,944 km
27.1 LD
2018-08-23 Earth 28068.12 66,140,324 km
172 LD
2014-07-29 Earth 26877.00 67,091,442 km
175 LD
2010-06-29 Earth 22480.03 60,576,167 km
158 LD
2009-11-28 Earth 61182.30 66,108,528 km
172 LD
2006-05-11 Earth 12964.24 42,292,307 km
110 LD
2005-12-16 Earth 27581.00 25,681,570 km
66.8 LD
2005-08-25 Mars 27479.86 12,295,911 km
32.0 LD
2002-03-25 Earth 21995.79 3,060,047 km
7.96 LD
2001-11-10 Earth 15591.31 32,592,042 km
84.8 LD
1998-04-23 Earth 63741.41 66,638,325 km
173 LD
1997-09-19 Earth 26061.77 56,811,986 km
148 LD
1993-08-14 Earth 27697.76 66,285,492 km
172 LD
1989-07-06 Earth 23561.13 61,918,052 km
161 LD
1988-11-24 Earth 67148.02 74,048,127 km
193 LD
1984-12-24 Earth 19494.29 20,143,060 km
52.4 LD
1981-04-09 Earth 39677.24 31,275,558 km
81.4 LD
1980-10-13 Earth 22137.36 45,491,647 km
118 LD
1976-09-03 Earth 27458.89 62,502,401 km
163 LD
1972-07-30 Earth 26728.90 66,446,441 km
173 LD
1968-06-17 Earth 20090.73 55,912,054 km
145 LD
1967-12-02 Earth 49892.57 51,250,526 km
133 LD
1964-03-11 Earth 17523.85 7,598,707 km
19.8 LD
1960-04-16 Earth 51049.59 48,151,834 km
125 LD
1959-10-02 Earth 24422.73 51,602,156 km
134 LD
1955-08-29 Earth 27773.88 64,377,374 km
167 LD
1951-07-28 Earth 26643.01 66,569,392 km
173 LD
1949-03-19 Mars 22268.59 10,309,358 km
26.8 LD
1947-06-19 Earth 20583.48 56,806,145 km
148 LD
1946-12-01 Earth 51768.63 53,670,845 km
140 LD
1939-04-12 Earth 43412.93 36,869,527 km
95.9 LD
1925-11-24 Earth 65683.60 71,999,194 km
187 LD
1914-04-24 Earth 66411.31 70,358,614 km
183 LD
1913-09-17 Earth 26358.26 58,035,283 km
151 LD
1909-08-16 Earth 27881.99 66,541,454 km
173 LD
1905-07-14 Earth 24951.37 64,540,262 km
168 LD
1900-12-08 Earth 36250.54 34,351,857 km
89.4 LD

Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-10-15T08:02:13.018544+00:00.