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Designation: 2002 GR · NASA id: 3120862
Estimated diameter: 61 – 136 meters
These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.
1.2 megatonnes – 44.0 megatonnes of TNT
This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.
The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.
Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.
Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:
The two terms:
AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing.
See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.
So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.
Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:
| Object | Size | Orbit’s closest to Earth’s | Missed by, that day | Flagged |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 JR28 | 122–272 m | 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) | 39.2 M km | Yes — both tests pass |
| 2012 LE11 | 629–1,406 m | 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) | 26.1 M km | No — orbit never gets near enough |
| 2007 EK | 3.7–8.2 m | 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) | 4.2 M km | No — far too small |
The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.
“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.
Orbit class: APO — Near-Earth asteroid orbits which cross the Earth’s orbit similar to that of 1862 Apollo
a (semi-major axis) > 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) < 1.017 AU
| Orbital period | 481.0 days (1.32 years) |
| Eccentricity | .2075136982180819 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated) |
| Semi-major axis | 1.201455919871409 AU |
| Inclination | 7.328244233830276° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's) |
| Perihelion distance | .9521373586928856 AU (closest approach to the Sun) |
| Aphelion distance | 1.450774481049933 AU (farthest from the Sun) |
| Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance | 0.00525 AU = 785,947 km (closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing) |
| Ascending node longitude | 183.7586723161274° |
| Argument of perihelion | 313.8161160295498° |
| Mean anomaly / motion | 17.27152273624748° / .7484147040181423°/day |
| Jupiter Tisserand invariant | 5.263 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets) |
| Reference epoch / equinox | JD 2461000.5 / J2000 |
| Orbit determined | 2021-04-14 21:21:20 |
| Observed | 2002-04-03 to 2002-05-21 (48 day arc, 63 observations used) |
| Orbit uncertainty | 6 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain) |
Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 69 total.
It orbits the Sun. Not Earth, and not Venus. The column above does not say what the asteroid goes around — it says which planet a given close approach was to. 63 of them were approaches to Earth and 6 of them were approaches to Mars.
This one’s path runs from 0.952 AU at its closest to the Sun out to 1.451 AU at its farthest. For scale, Venus orbits at about 0.72 AU and Earth at 1.00 AU — so an orbit spanning that range crosses the path of every planet in between, once on the way out and once on the way back.
Crossing a planet’s path is not the same as meeting the planet. Almost every time the asteroid crosses, that planet is somewhere else along its own orbit. A close approach is logged only on the rare occasions when both happen to arrive at the crossing point at roughly the same time — which is why the dates below are scattered rather than regular. This object takes 481.0 days to go round, against Earth’s 365.25, so the two drift in and out of step over years rather than repeating on a neat cycle.
The Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance in the table above (0.0053 AU) is the closest the two paths ever come. The miss distances below are how far apart the two bodies actually were on the day, which is almost always very much larger.
next approach: 2026-10-20
| Date | Passed near | Velocity (km/h) | Miss distance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2162-07-17 | Earth | 24453.09 | 62,296,977 km 162 LD |
| 2153-09-10 | Earth | 26891.75 | 59,317,564 km 154 LD |
| 2102-03-23 | Earth | 20203.53 | 1,146,686 km 2.98 LD |
| 2098-04-18 | Earth | 53153.43 | 51,285,306 km 133 LD |
| 2097-10-01 | Earth | 24800.54 | 52,661,740 km 137 LD |
| 2093-08-31 | Earth | 27906.76 | 64,290,621 km 167 LD |
| 2089-08-01 | Earth | 27085.13 | 66,914,586 km 174 LD |
| 2085-06-28 | Earth | 22127.31 | 59,675,615 km 155 LD |
| 2084-11-29 | Earth | 58945.19 | 63,193,908 km 164 LD |
| 2077-04-05 | Earth | 32030.10 | 19,729,739 km 51.3 LD |
| 2076-10-25 | Earth | 19960.10 | 40,896,469 km 106 LD |
| 2073-04-25 | Earth | 67444.18 | 72,026,036 km 187 LD |
| 2072-09-17 | Earth | 26589.11 | 58,379,644 km 152 LD |
| 2068-08-19 | Earth | 28005.68 | 66,422,975 km 173 LD |
| 2064-07-20 | Earth | 25736.94 | 65,493,335 km 170 LD |
| 2060-06-11 | Earth | 18648.54 | 53,522,163 km 139 LD |
| 2059-12-07 | Earth | 44478.20 | 44,551,619 km 116 LD |
| 2058-04-24 | Mars | 27763.91 | 13,121,493 km 34.1 LD |
| 2056-03-05 | Earth | 17204.17 | 10,196,746 km 26.5 LD |
| 2052-04-12 | Earth | 42766.05 | 35,932,749 km 93.5 LD |
| 2051-10-12 | Earth | 22793.96 | 47,495,451 km 124 LD |
| 2047-09-12 | Earth | 27275.94 | 61,115,259 km 159 LD |
| 2045-02-22 | Mars | 26043.73 | 10,047,351 km 26.1 LD |
| 2043-08-16 | Earth | 27939.02 | 67,057,318 km 174 LD |
| 2039-07-19 | Earth | 25617.37 | 65,444,396 km 170 LD |
| 2035-06-13 | Earth | 19179.76 | 54,510,863 km 142 LD |
| 2034-12-06 | Earth | 46469.99 | 46,952,815 km 122 LD |
| 2031-12-24 | Mars | 24780.55 | 8,700,357 km 22.6 LD |
| 2027-04-08 | Earth | 35991.95 | 25,777,063 km 67.1 LD |
| 2026-10-20 next | Earth | 21071.30 | 43,535,973 km 113 LD |
| 2023-04-25 | Earth | 67213.92 | 71,572,234 km 186 LD |
| 2022-09-19 | Earth | 26560.36 | 58,433,075 km 152 LD |
| 2018-10-25 | Mars | 26279.25 | 10,417,944 km 27.1 LD |
| 2018-08-23 | Earth | 28068.12 | 66,140,324 km 172 LD |
| 2014-07-29 | Earth | 26877.00 | 67,091,442 km 175 LD |
| 2010-06-29 | Earth | 22480.03 | 60,576,167 km 158 LD |
| 2009-11-28 | Earth | 61182.30 | 66,108,528 km 172 LD |
| 2006-05-11 | Earth | 12964.24 | 42,292,307 km 110 LD |
| 2005-12-16 | Earth | 27581.00 | 25,681,570 km 66.8 LD |
| 2005-08-25 | Mars | 27479.86 | 12,295,911 km 32.0 LD |
| 2002-03-25 | Earth | 21995.79 | 3,060,047 km 7.96 LD |
| 2001-11-10 | Earth | 15591.31 | 32,592,042 km 84.8 LD |
| 1998-04-23 | Earth | 63741.41 | 66,638,325 km 173 LD |
| 1997-09-19 | Earth | 26061.77 | 56,811,986 km 148 LD |
| 1993-08-14 | Earth | 27697.76 | 66,285,492 km 172 LD |
| 1989-07-06 | Earth | 23561.13 | 61,918,052 km 161 LD |
| 1988-11-24 | Earth | 67148.02 | 74,048,127 km 193 LD |
| 1984-12-24 | Earth | 19494.29 | 20,143,060 km 52.4 LD |
| 1981-04-09 | Earth | 39677.24 | 31,275,558 km 81.4 LD |
| 1980-10-13 | Earth | 22137.36 | 45,491,647 km 118 LD |
| 1976-09-03 | Earth | 27458.89 | 62,502,401 km 163 LD |
| 1972-07-30 | Earth | 26728.90 | 66,446,441 km 173 LD |
| 1968-06-17 | Earth | 20090.73 | 55,912,054 km 145 LD |
| 1967-12-02 | Earth | 49892.57 | 51,250,526 km 133 LD |
| 1964-03-11 | Earth | 17523.85 | 7,598,707 km 19.8 LD |
| 1960-04-16 | Earth | 51049.59 | 48,151,834 km 125 LD |
| 1959-10-02 | Earth | 24422.73 | 51,602,156 km 134 LD |
| 1955-08-29 | Earth | 27773.88 | 64,377,374 km 167 LD |
| 1951-07-28 | Earth | 26643.01 | 66,569,392 km 173 LD |
| 1949-03-19 | Mars | 22268.59 | 10,309,358 km 26.8 LD |
| 1947-06-19 | Earth | 20583.48 | 56,806,145 km 148 LD |
| 1946-12-01 | Earth | 51768.63 | 53,670,845 km 140 LD |
| 1939-04-12 | Earth | 43412.93 | 36,869,527 km 95.9 LD |
| 1925-11-24 | Earth | 65683.60 | 71,999,194 km 187 LD |
| 1914-04-24 | Earth | 66411.31 | 70,358,614 km 183 LD |
| 1913-09-17 | Earth | 26358.26 | 58,035,283 km 151 LD |
| 1909-08-16 | Earth | 27881.99 | 66,541,454 km 173 LD |
| 1905-07-14 | Earth | 24951.37 | 64,540,262 km 168 LD |
| 1900-12-08 | Earth | 36250.54 | 34,351,857 km 89.4 LD |
Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-10-15T08:02:13.018544+00:00.