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Designation: 2002 UQ12 · NASA id: 3141525
Estimated diameter: 88 – 198 meters
These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.
28.3 megatonnes – 1,056 megatonnes of TNT
This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.
The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.
Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.
Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:
The two terms:
AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing.
See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.
So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.
Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:
| Object | Size | Orbit’s closest to Earth’s | Missed by, that day | Flagged |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 JR28 | 122–272 m | 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) | 39.2 M km | Yes — both tests pass |
| 2012 LE11 | 629–1,406 m | 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) | 26.1 M km | No — orbit never gets near enough |
| 2007 EK | 3.7–8.2 m | 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) | 4.2 M km | No — far too small |
The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.
“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.
Orbit class: APO — Near-Earth asteroid orbits which cross the Earth’s orbit similar to that of 1862 Apollo
a (semi-major axis) > 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) < 1.017 AU
| Orbital period | 853.5 days (2.34 years) |
| Eccentricity | .6986562386757172 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated) |
| Semi-major axis | 1.760859274476301 AU |
| Inclination | 2.860408311354217° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's) |
| Perihelion distance | .5306239569334362 AU (closest approach to the Sun) |
| Aphelion distance | 2.991094592019166 AU (farthest from the Sun) |
| Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance | 0.02664 AU = 3,985,661 km (closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing) |
| Ascending node longitude | 190.083636617844° |
| Argument of perihelion | 310.1494315450179° |
| Mean anomaly / motion | 292.602545499186° / .4218102221439932°/day |
| Jupiter Tisserand invariant | 3.786 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets) |
| Reference epoch / equinox | JD 2461000.5 / J2000 |
| Orbit determined | 2023-10-24 06:32:42 |
| Observed | 2002-10-29 to 2023-10-23 (7664 day arc, 153 observations used) |
| Orbit uncertainty | 0 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain) |
Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 79 total.
It orbits the Sun. Not Earth, and not Venus. The column above does not say what the asteroid goes around — it says which planet a given close approach was to. 56 of them were approaches to Earth, 21 of them were approaches to Venus and 2 of them were approaches to Mars.
This one’s path runs from 0.531 AU at its closest to the Sun out to 2.991 AU at its farthest. For scale, Venus orbits at about 0.72 AU and Earth at 1.00 AU — so an orbit spanning that range crosses the path of every planet in between, once on the way out and once on the way back.
Crossing a planet’s path is not the same as meeting the planet. Almost every time the asteroid crosses, that planet is somewhere else along its own orbit. A close approach is logged only on the rare occasions when both happen to arrive at the crossing point at roughly the same time — which is why the dates below are scattered rather than regular. This object takes 853.5 days to go round, against Earth’s 365.25, so the two drift in and out of step over years rather than repeating on a neat cycle.
The Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance in the table above (0.0266 AU) is the closest the two paths ever come. The miss distances below are how far apart the two bodies actually were on the day, which is almost always very much larger.
next approach: 2030-11-13
| Date | Passed near | Velocity (km/h) | Miss distance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2197-04-19 | Venus | 71381.78 | 5,762,399 km 15.0 LD |
| 2194-11-29 | Earth | 49679.60 | 39,093,127 km 102 LD |
| 2187-11-13 | Earth | 67612.54 | 13,708,683 km 35.7 LD |
| 2183-06-09 | Earth | 112969.99 | 51,421,862 km 134 LD |
| 2183-05-20 | Venus | 79248.19 | 4,407,533 km 11.5 LD |
| 2180-11-03 | Earth | 86033.83 | 13,855,580 km 36.0 LD |
| 2176-06-02 | Earth | 98943.61 | 32,123,845 km 83.6 LD |
| 2173-10-27 | Earth | 102950.00 | 36,870,138 km 95.9 LD |
| 2171-08-31 | Venus | 58596.60 | 15,204,158 km 39.6 LD |
| 2169-05-24 | Earth | 80584.16 | 8,660,301 km 22.5 LD |
| 2166-10-19 | Earth | 121312.28 | 61,690,880 km 160 LD |
| 2162-05-13 | Earth | 62282.08 | 20,785,437 km 54.1 LD |
| 2155-04-16 | Earth | 51673.60 | 47,694,558 km 124 LD |
| 2148-03-14 | Earth | 71842.24 | 62,344,155 km 162 LD |
| 2148-02-06 | Venus | 60820.11 | 12,621,159 km 32.8 LD |
| 2141-02-19 | Earth | 81108.40 | 66,912,414 km 174 LD |
| 2134-02-27 | Venus | 71770.19 | 3,261,318 km 8.48 LD |
| 2134-01-25 | Earth | 77796.73 | 65,079,843 km 169 LD |
| 2126-12-18 | Earth | 53944.77 | 50,031,122 km 130 LD |
| 2119-11-13 | Earth | 67450.17 | 12,797,520 km 33.3 LD |
| 2115-06-06 | Earth | 108377.31 | 45,668,443 km 119 LD |
| 2112-10-29 | Earth | 95937.99 | 27,785,196 km 72.3 LD |
| 2110-07-14 | Venus | 94712.20 | 18,427,425 km 47.9 LD |
| 2108-05-23 | Earth | 82228.35 | 10,440,302 km 27.2 LD |
| 2108-05-01 | Venus | 84553.14 | 9,527,618 km 24.8 LD |
| 2105-10-18 | Earth | 121718.11 | 62,770,498 km 163 LD |
| 2101-05-10 | Earth | 59393.04 | 24,608,424 km 64.0 LD |
| 2094-04-08 | Earth | 54943.75 | 51,156,449 km 133 LD |
| 2087-03-10 | Earth | 73795.11 | 63,571,269 km 165 LD |
| 2080-02-17 | Earth | 82145.79 | 67,699,181 km 176 LD |
| 2073-01-31 | Earth | 81313.43 | 67,105,524 km 175 LD |
| 2073-01-09 | Venus | 71586.65 | 5,083,201 km 13.2 LD |
| 2066-01-17 | Earth | 76207.22 | 64,534,266 km 168 LD |
| 2061-08-21 | Mars | 75225.81 | 14,890,334 km 38.7 LD |
| 2061-04-28 | Venus | 85749.76 | 10,152,928 km 26.4 LD |
| 2059-01-03 | Earth | 67338.28 | 59,598,221 km 155 LD |
| 2051-12-19 | Earth | 56593.59 | 52,605,741 km 137 LD |
| 2049-08-16 | Venus | 96652.97 | 18,888,761 km 49.1 LD |
| 2047-06-07 | Venus | 91882.05 | 14,701,701 km 38.2 LD |
| 2044-11-28 | Earth | 48877.19 | 41,805,988 km 109 LD |
| 2037-12-07 | Venus | 97553.55 | 19,533,801 km 50.8 LD |
| 2037-11-18 | Earth | 54967.13 | 30,750,249 km 80.0 LD |
| 2035-09-29 | Venus | 92924.67 | 15,473,726 km 40.3 LD |
| 2030-11-13 next | Earth | 61877.32 | 21,222,607 km 55.2 LD |
| 2026-06-12 | Earth | 127140.04 | 70,108,809 km 182 LD |
| 2026-04-03 | Venus | 88945.87 | 12,362,281 km 32.2 LD |
| 2023-11-10 | Earth | 67936.24 | 13,111,306 km 34.1 LD |
| 2019-06-10 | Earth | 122366.24 | 63,773,800 km 166 LD |
| 2016-11-07 | Earth | 72296.50 | 7,473,181 km 19.4 LD |
| 2014-07-30 | Venus | 75368.90 | 4,054,258 km 10.5 LD |
| 2012-06-08 | Earth | 119053.29 | 59,358,912 km 154 LD |
| 2009-11-06 | Earth | 74368.45 | 5,380,451 km 14.0 LD |
| 2005-06-08 | Earth | 118234.35 | 58,265,163 km 152 LD |
| 2002-12-03 | Venus | 56900.56 | 18,698,443 km 48.6 LD |
| 2002-11-05 | Earth | 75664.58 | 4,215,204 km 11.0 LD |
| 1998-06-09 | Earth | 119871.10 | 60,500,961 km 157 LD |
| 1995-11-06 | Earth | 74371.80 | 4,947,118 km 12.9 LD |
| 1991-06-10 | Earth | 121717.51 | 63,221,449 km 164 LD |
| 1988-11-08 | Earth | 70720.94 | 9,031,124 km 23.5 LD |
| 1984-06-11 | Earth | 125528.61 | 68,686,288 km 179 LD |
| 1981-11-10 | Earth | 66404.15 | 14,427,193 km 37.5 LD |
| 1979-09-21 | Venus | 60032.16 | 13,711,082 km 35.7 LD |
| 1977-06-13 | Earth | 129948.96 | 74,640,342 km 194 LD |
| 1974-11-13 | Earth | 61336.69 | 21,282,453 km 55.4 LD |
| 1968-01-28 | Venus | 96381.11 | 19,161,847 km 49.8 LD |
| 1967-11-15 | Earth | 59242.88 | 24,038,001 km 62.5 LD |
| 1960-11-17 | Earth | 55753.79 | 28,842,048 km 75.0 LD |
| 1958-08-12 | Venus | 61881.97 | 11,823,553 km 30.8 LD |
| 1953-11-26 | Earth | 49101.80 | 39,682,192 km 103 LD |
| 1946-12-13 | Earth | 53241.31 | 49,731,140 km 129 LD |
| 1939-12-30 | Earth | 64316.24 | 57,724,386 km 150 LD |
| 1935-06-19 | Venus | 91747.05 | 14,890,029 km 38.7 LD |
| 1933-01-13 | Earth | 74638.31 | 63,772,645 km 166 LD |
| 1930-07-03 | Mars | 70749.10 | 13,089,870 km 34.1 LD |
| 1926-01-28 | Earth | 81704.51 | 67,507,837 km 176 LD |
| 1919-02-15 | Earth | 82711.36 | 68,153,462 km 177 LD |
| 1914-07-18 | Venus | 84758.00 | 8,603,607 km 22.4 LD |
| 1912-03-07 | Earth | 75109.77 | 64,616,964 km 168 LD |
| 1905-04-04 | Earth | 56288.81 | 52,986,340 km 138 LD |
Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-09-05T08:13:38.403880+00:00.