Illustration of Earth with several asteroids passing at different distances, one flagged as potentially hazardous

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(2002 UQ12)

Designation: 2002 UQ12 · NASA id: 3141525

Estimated diameter: 88 – 198 meters

≈ a football pitch
That comparison is of size only — what an impact would do depends on speed, angle, composition and where it arrives, none of which follows from width.
(absolute magnitude H = 22.39) · JPL Small-Body Database →

Earth impact concern
No identified impact threat
Why?
  • Its closest recorded pass was 8.5 lunar distances.
  • It is not on NASA/JPL’s Sentry list, which holds every object with a computed chance of impact above zero. Most objects are not on it.
What the four levels mean
  • No identified impact threat — not on any risk list. 98.8% of the objects here.
  • On a monitored risk list — a computed chance above zero, however small. 1.2% of the objects here.
  • Among the highest-ranked — Palermo at or above −2. Two objects worldwide qualify, both studied for decades and both centuries away.
  • Exceptional — Torino 1 or more, or Palermo at or above zero. No object anywhere currently qualifies.

These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.

Energy of motion, if it ever entered the atmosphere

28.3 megatonnes – 1,056 megatonnes of TNT

This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.

The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.

Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.

Why is one asteroid “hazardous” when closer ones are not?

Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:

  • Its orbit can bring it within 0.05 AU of Earth’s — about 7.5 million km. This is the Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance, the closest the two paths ever come, not the distance on any given pass.
  • It is big enough to matter — absolute magnitude 22.0 or brighter, which is roughly 140 metres across and up. That threshold is a planning convention, not a physical boundary: it is about the size at which an impact could do regional damage. Smaller objects are not harmless, they are simply outside this definition — the Chelyabinsk object of 2013 was around 20 metres and injured about 1,500 people with the shock wave from its airburst, without ever reaching the ground intact.

The two terms: AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing. See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.

So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.

Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:

Object Size Orbit’s closest to Earth’s Missed by, that day Flagged
2013 JR28 122–272 m 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) 39.2 M km Yes — both tests pass
2012 LE11 629–1,406 m 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) 26.1 M km No — orbit never gets near enough
2007 EK 3.7–8.2 m 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) 4.2 M km No — far too small

The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.

“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.

Orbital Data

Orbit class: APO — Near-Earth asteroid orbits which cross the Earth’s orbit similar to that of 1862 Apollo
a (semi-major axis) > 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) < 1.017 AU

Orbital period853.5 days (2.34 years)
Eccentricity.6986562386757172 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated)
Semi-major axis1.760859274476301 AU
Inclination2.860408311354217° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's)
Perihelion distance.5306239569334362 AU (closest approach to the Sun)
Aphelion distance2.991094592019166 AU (farthest from the Sun)
Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance0.02664 AU = 3,985,661 km
(closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing)
Ascending node longitude190.083636617844°
Argument of perihelion310.1494315450179°
Mean anomaly / motion292.602545499186° / .4218102221439932°/day
Jupiter Tisserand invariant3.786 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets)
Reference epoch / equinoxJD 2461000.5 / J2000
Orbit determined2023-10-24 06:32:42
Observed2002-10-29 to 2023-10-23 (7664 day arc, 153 observations used)
Orbit uncertainty0 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain)

Close Approach History

Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 79 total.

Why does it pass Earth, Venus and Mars? Doesn’t it orbit just one?

It orbits the Sun. Not Earth, and not Venus. The column above does not say what the asteroid goes around — it says which planet a given close approach was to. 56 of them were approaches to Earth, 21 of them were approaches to Venus and 2 of them were approaches to Mars.

This one’s path runs from 0.531 AU at its closest to the Sun out to 2.991 AU at its farthest. For scale, Venus orbits at about 0.72 AU and Earth at 1.00 AU — so an orbit spanning that range crosses the path of every planet in between, once on the way out and once on the way back.

Crossing a planet’s path is not the same as meeting the planet. Almost every time the asteroid crosses, that planet is somewhere else along its own orbit. A close approach is logged only on the rare occasions when both happen to arrive at the crossing point at roughly the same time — which is why the dates below are scattered rather than regular. This object takes 853.5 days to go round, against Earth’s 365.25, so the two drift in and out of step over years rather than repeating on a neat cycle.

The Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance in the table above (0.0266 AU) is the closest the two paths ever come. The miss distances below are how far apart the two bodies actually were on the day, which is almost always very much larger.

next approach: 2030-11-13

Date Passed near Velocity (km/h) Miss distance
2197-04-19 Venus 71381.78 5,762,399 km
15.0 LD
2194-11-29 Earth 49679.60 39,093,127 km
102 LD
2187-11-13 Earth 67612.54 13,708,683 km
35.7 LD
2183-06-09 Earth 112969.99 51,421,862 km
134 LD
2183-05-20 Venus 79248.19 4,407,533 km
11.5 LD
2180-11-03 Earth 86033.83 13,855,580 km
36.0 LD
2176-06-02 Earth 98943.61 32,123,845 km
83.6 LD
2173-10-27 Earth 102950.00 36,870,138 km
95.9 LD
2171-08-31 Venus 58596.60 15,204,158 km
39.6 LD
2169-05-24 Earth 80584.16 8,660,301 km
22.5 LD
2166-10-19 Earth 121312.28 61,690,880 km
160 LD
2162-05-13 Earth 62282.08 20,785,437 km
54.1 LD
2155-04-16 Earth 51673.60 47,694,558 km
124 LD
2148-03-14 Earth 71842.24 62,344,155 km
162 LD
2148-02-06 Venus 60820.11 12,621,159 km
32.8 LD
2141-02-19 Earth 81108.40 66,912,414 km
174 LD
2134-02-27 Venus 71770.19 3,261,318 km
8.48 LD
2134-01-25 Earth 77796.73 65,079,843 km
169 LD
2126-12-18 Earth 53944.77 50,031,122 km
130 LD
2119-11-13 Earth 67450.17 12,797,520 km
33.3 LD
2115-06-06 Earth 108377.31 45,668,443 km
119 LD
2112-10-29 Earth 95937.99 27,785,196 km
72.3 LD
2110-07-14 Venus 94712.20 18,427,425 km
47.9 LD
2108-05-23 Earth 82228.35 10,440,302 km
27.2 LD
2108-05-01 Venus 84553.14 9,527,618 km
24.8 LD
2105-10-18 Earth 121718.11 62,770,498 km
163 LD
2101-05-10 Earth 59393.04 24,608,424 km
64.0 LD
2094-04-08 Earth 54943.75 51,156,449 km
133 LD
2087-03-10 Earth 73795.11 63,571,269 km
165 LD
2080-02-17 Earth 82145.79 67,699,181 km
176 LD
2073-01-31 Earth 81313.43 67,105,524 km
175 LD
2073-01-09 Venus 71586.65 5,083,201 km
13.2 LD
2066-01-17 Earth 76207.22 64,534,266 km
168 LD
2061-08-21 Mars 75225.81 14,890,334 km
38.7 LD
2061-04-28 Venus 85749.76 10,152,928 km
26.4 LD
2059-01-03 Earth 67338.28 59,598,221 km
155 LD
2051-12-19 Earth 56593.59 52,605,741 km
137 LD
2049-08-16 Venus 96652.97 18,888,761 km
49.1 LD
2047-06-07 Venus 91882.05 14,701,701 km
38.2 LD
2044-11-28 Earth 48877.19 41,805,988 km
109 LD
2037-12-07 Venus 97553.55 19,533,801 km
50.8 LD
2037-11-18 Earth 54967.13 30,750,249 km
80.0 LD
2035-09-29 Venus 92924.67 15,473,726 km
40.3 LD
2030-11-13 next Earth 61877.32 21,222,607 km
55.2 LD
2026-06-12 Earth 127140.04 70,108,809 km
182 LD
2026-04-03 Venus 88945.87 12,362,281 km
32.2 LD
2023-11-10 Earth 67936.24 13,111,306 km
34.1 LD
2019-06-10 Earth 122366.24 63,773,800 km
166 LD
2016-11-07 Earth 72296.50 7,473,181 km
19.4 LD
2014-07-30 Venus 75368.90 4,054,258 km
10.5 LD
2012-06-08 Earth 119053.29 59,358,912 km
154 LD
2009-11-06 Earth 74368.45 5,380,451 km
14.0 LD
2005-06-08 Earth 118234.35 58,265,163 km
152 LD
2002-12-03 Venus 56900.56 18,698,443 km
48.6 LD
2002-11-05 Earth 75664.58 4,215,204 km
11.0 LD
1998-06-09 Earth 119871.10 60,500,961 km
157 LD
1995-11-06 Earth 74371.80 4,947,118 km
12.9 LD
1991-06-10 Earth 121717.51 63,221,449 km
164 LD
1988-11-08 Earth 70720.94 9,031,124 km
23.5 LD
1984-06-11 Earth 125528.61 68,686,288 km
179 LD
1981-11-10 Earth 66404.15 14,427,193 km
37.5 LD
1979-09-21 Venus 60032.16 13,711,082 km
35.7 LD
1977-06-13 Earth 129948.96 74,640,342 km
194 LD
1974-11-13 Earth 61336.69 21,282,453 km
55.4 LD
1968-01-28 Venus 96381.11 19,161,847 km
49.8 LD
1967-11-15 Earth 59242.88 24,038,001 km
62.5 LD
1960-11-17 Earth 55753.79 28,842,048 km
75.0 LD
1958-08-12 Venus 61881.97 11,823,553 km
30.8 LD
1953-11-26 Earth 49101.80 39,682,192 km
103 LD
1946-12-13 Earth 53241.31 49,731,140 km
129 LD
1939-12-30 Earth 64316.24 57,724,386 km
150 LD
1935-06-19 Venus 91747.05 14,890,029 km
38.7 LD
1933-01-13 Earth 74638.31 63,772,645 km
166 LD
1930-07-03 Mars 70749.10 13,089,870 km
34.1 LD
1926-01-28 Earth 81704.51 67,507,837 km
176 LD
1919-02-15 Earth 82711.36 68,153,462 km
177 LD
1914-07-18 Venus 84758.00 8,603,607 km
22.4 LD
1912-03-07 Earth 75109.77 64,616,964 km
168 LD
1905-04-04 Earth 56288.81 52,986,340 km
138 LD

Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-09-05T08:13:38.403880+00:00.