Illustration of Earth with several asteroids passing at different distances, one flagged as potentially hazardous

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(2004 TB10)

Designation: 2004 TB10 · NASA id: 3256319 · Potentially Hazardous

Estimated diameter: 133 – 298 meters

≈ the Great Pyramid
That comparison is of size only — what an impact would do depends on speed, angle, composition and where it arrives, none of which follows from width.
(absolute magnitude H = 21.5) · JPL Small-Body Database →

Earth impact concern
No identified impact threat
Why?
  • Its closest recorded pass was 5.1 lunar distances.
  • It is not on NASA/JPL’s Sentry list, which holds every object with a computed chance of impact above zero. Most objects are not on it.
What the four levels mean
  • No identified impact threat — not on any risk list. 98.8% of the objects here.
  • On a monitored risk list — a computed chance above zero, however small. 1.2% of the objects here.
  • Among the highest-ranked — Palermo at or above −2. Two objects worldwide qualify, both studied for decades and both centuries away.
  • Exceptional — Torino 1 or more, or Palermo at or above zero. No object anywhere currently qualifies.

These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.

Energy of motion, if it ever entered the atmosphere

34.2 megatonnes – 1,275 megatonnes of TNT

This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.

The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.

Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.

Why is one asteroid “hazardous” when closer ones are not?

Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:

  • Its orbit can bring it within 0.05 AU of Earth’s — about 7.5 million km. This is the Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance, the closest the two paths ever come, not the distance on any given pass.
  • It is big enough to matter — absolute magnitude 22.0 or brighter, which is roughly 140 metres across and up. That threshold is a planning convention, not a physical boundary: it is about the size at which an impact could do regional damage. Smaller objects are not harmless, they are simply outside this definition — the Chelyabinsk object of 2013 was around 20 metres and injured about 1,500 people with the shock wave from its airburst, without ever reaching the ground intact.

The two terms: AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing. See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.

So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.

Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:

Object Size Orbit’s closest to Earth’s Missed by, that day Flagged
2013 JR28 122–272 m 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) 39.2 M km Yes — both tests pass
2012 LE11 629–1,406 m 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) 26.1 M km No — orbit never gets near enough
2007 EK 3.7–8.2 m 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) 4.2 M km No — far too small

The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.

“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.

Orbital Data

Orbit class: APO — Near-Earth asteroid orbits which cross the Earth’s orbit similar to that of 1862 Apollo
a (semi-major axis) > 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) < 1.017 AU

Orbital period423.3 days (1.16 years)
Eccentricity.09372369408892202 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated)
Semi-major axis1.103401639861012 AU
Inclination22.50334456557121° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's)
Perihelion distance.9999867621094635 AU (closest approach to the Sun)
Aphelion distance1.20681651761256 AU (farthest from the Sun)
Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance0.01062 AU = 1,588,924 km
(closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing)
Ascending node longitude12.81991717515628°
Argument of perihelion149.9139183386481°
Mean anomaly / motion295.1169818531707° / .8503615919520197°/day
Jupiter Tisserand invariant5.563 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets)
Reference epoch / equinoxJD 2461000.5 / J2000
Orbit determined2023-03-01 05:59:45
Observed2004-10-07 to 2019-04-27 (5315 day arc, 143 observations used)
Orbit uncertainty0 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain)

Close Approach History

Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 94 total.

next approach: 2033-10-12

Date Passed near Velocity (km/h) Miss distance
2195-04-16 Earth 55242.08 45,521,401 km
118 LD
2194-10-11 Earth 41545.95 28,716,779 km
74.7 LD
2187-09-29 Earth 41756.03 36,551,808 km
95.1 LD
2187-03-20 Earth 61266.06 67,125,657 km
175 LD
2180-09-12 Earth 42695.31 54,906,081 km
143 LD
2180-03-27 Earth 46644.06 30,855,579 km
80.3 LD
2179-11-07 Earth 50898.62 65,638,544 km
171 LD
2173-04-04 Earth 43184.61 4,702,915 km
12.2 LD
2172-10-24 Earth 44745.56 42,913,485 km
112 LD
2166-04-17 Earth 56742.28 48,898,350 km
127 LD
2165-10-09 Earth 41440.29 28,285,755 km
73.6 LD
2158-09-23 Earth 42221.39 42,520,249 km
111 LD
2158-03-22 Earth 54968.20 53,638,900 km
140 LD
2151-08-28 Earth 40827.28 66,505,737 km
173 LD
2151-04-02 Earth 42856.61 8,841,758 km
23.0 LD
2150-10-29 Earth 46715.64 50,797,269 km
132 LD
2144-04-11 Earth 49368.50 30,880,377 km
80.3 LD
2143-10-16 Earth 42145.00 31,182,589 km
81.1 LD
2137-04-23 Earth 68008.36 70,954,623 km
185 LD
2136-10-02 Earth 41498.38 32,646,258 km
84.9 LD
2129-09-15 Earth 42715.14 52,010,389 km
135 LD
2129-03-26 Earth 48207.70 36,197,262 km
94.2 LD
2128-11-08 Earth 52216.63 68,999,922 km
180 LD
2122-04-04 Earth 43135.03 4,179,376 km
10.9 LD
2121-10-24 Earth 44808.94 42,749,420 km
111 LD
2115-04-18 Earth 59162.04 53,953,286 km
140 LD
2114-10-08 Earth 41341.60 28,441,160 km
74.0 LD
2107-09-19 Earth 42638.91 48,499,114 km
126 LD
2107-03-25 Earth 50200.51 41,987,985 km
109 LD
2106-11-11 Earth 53777.80 72,724,594 km
189 LD
2100-04-05 Earth 43630.96 8,392,480 km
21.8 LD
2099-10-21 Earth 44225.54 40,037,956 km
104 LD
2093-04-19 Earth 63900.69 63,306,568 km
165 LD
2092-10-03 Earth 41401.58 30,251,635 km
78.7 LD
2085-09-10 Earth 42847.73 56,781,082 km
148 LD
2085-03-27 Earth 45452.75 26,546,033 km
69.1 LD
2084-11-02 Earth 50342.20 61,681,203 km
160 LD
2078-04-10 Earth 48324.56 27,859,396 km
72.5 LD
2077-10-15 Earth 42320.17 31,252,813 km
81.3 LD
2070-09-26 Earth 41867.31 37,743,412 km
98.2 LD
2070-03-19 Earth 58974.26 62,670,602 km
163 LD
2063-08-25 Earth 40534.30 67,185,104 km
175 LD
2063-04-01 Earth 42777.81 7,490,791 km
19.5 LD
2062-10-26 Earth 46557.82 49,215,671 km
128 LD
2056-04-13 Earth 53640.08 41,812,365 km
109 LD
2055-10-11 Earth 41583.95 28,352,771 km
73.8 LD
2048-09-23 Earth 42130.94 41,729,840 km
109 LD
2048-03-20 Earth 55562.67 55,311,465 km
144 LD
2041-08-21 Earth 39374.24 68,189,635 km
177 LD
2041-04-01 Earth 42740.67 6,002,347 km
15.6 LD
2040-10-26 Earth 46265.80 48,481,382 km
126 LD
2034-04-12 Earth 51268.61 36,015,031 km
93.7 LD
2033-10-12 next Earth 41830.02 29,516,385 km
76.8 LD
2026-09-28 Earth 41660.35 35,666,462 km
92.8 LD
2026-03-18 Earth 62218.38 69,328,740 km
180 LD
2019-09-09 Earth 42668.88 57,411,371 km
149 LD
2019-03-27 Earth 45507.33 26,862,314 km
69.9 LD
2018-11-03 Earth 50312.56 62,130,653 km
162 LD
2012-04-05 Earth 44701.63 14,492,389 km
37.7 LD
2011-10-20 Earth 43516.00 37,184,272 km
96.7 LD
2005-04-18 Earth 61338.74 58,191,519 km
151 LD
2004-10-05 Earth 41341.47 29,269,613 km
76.1 LD
1997-09-18 Earth 42479.32 47,591,224 km
124 LD
1997-03-22 Earth 51208.22 44,930,187 km
117 LD
1996-11-11 Earth 54320.55 74,673,617 km
194 LD
1990-04-02 Earth 42832.08 1,995,064 km
5.19 LD
1989-10-24 Earth 45433.78 45,363,948 km
118 LD
1983-04-11 Earth 49959.60 32,370,116 km
84.2 LD
1982-10-14 Earth 42037.16 30,440,774 km
79.2 LD
1976-04-20 Earth 65550.58 66,255,941 km
172 LD
1975-10-02 Earth 41427.85 31,595,620 km
82.2 LD
1968-09-18 Earth 42368.31 46,863,929 km
122 LD
1968-03-21 Earth 52455.19 48,200,367 km
125 LD
1961-08-28 Earth 41046.96 65,115,970 km
169 LD
1961-03-29 Earth 43169.76 14,032,285 km
36.5 LD
1960-10-28 Earth 47566.86 53,372,334 km
139 LD
1954-04-07 Earth 45290.62 16,937,151 km
44.1 LD
1953-10-18 Earth 43190.79 36,018,136 km
93.7 LD
1947-04-16 Earth 57341.69 49,918,429 km
130 LD
1946-10-08 Earth 41378.11 28,571,716 km
74.3 LD
1939-09-26 Earth 41800.85 38,325,637 km
99.7 LD
1939-03-19 Earth 60245.43 65,617,576 km
171 LD
1932-09-10 Earth 42562.74 55,670,094 km
145 LD
1932-03-25 Earth 46759.58 31,961,216 km
83.1 LD
1931-11-05 Earth 51366.99 65,254,235 km
170 LD
1925-04-02 Earth 42898.37 1,946,464 km
5.06 LD
1924-10-23 Earth 45166.22 43,437,071 km
113 LD
1918-04-13 Earth 54131.70 42,561,111 km
111 LD
1917-10-09 Earth 41529.51 28,217,020 km
73.4 LD
1910-09-25 Earth 41904.45 39,548,944 km
103 LD
1910-03-19 Earth 58709.92 62,766,498 km
163 LD
1903-09-03 Earth 42017.38 62,058,308 km
161 LD
1903-03-28 Earth 44020.47 20,350,923 km
52.9 LD
1902-10-30 Earth 48926.52 56,527,703 km
147 LD

Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-09-23T02:58:47.796459+00:00.