Illustration of Earth with several asteroids passing at different distances, one flagged as potentially hazardous

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(2004 XK3)

Designation: 2004 XK3 · NASA id: 3263254

Estimated diameter: 34 – 76 meters

≈ an airliner's wingspan
That comparison is of size only — what an impact would do depends on speed, angle, composition and where it arrives, none of which follows from width.
(absolute magnitude H = 24.47) · JPL Small-Body Database →

Earth impact concern
No identified impact threat
Why?
  • Its closest recorded pass was 1.8 lunar distances.
  • It is not on NASA/JPL’s Sentry list, which holds every object with a computed chance of impact above zero. Most objects are not on it.
What the four levels mean
  • No identified impact threat — not on any risk list. 98.8% of the objects here.
  • On a monitored risk list — a computed chance above zero, however small. 1.2% of the objects here.
  • Among the highest-ranked — Palermo at or above −2. Two objects worldwide qualify, both studied for decades and both centuries away.
  • Exceptional — Torino 1 or more, or Palermo at or above zero. No object anywhere currently qualifies.

These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.

Energy of motion, if it ever entered the atmosphere

211 kilotonnes – 7.9 megatonnes of TNT

This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.

The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.

Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.

Why is one asteroid “hazardous” when closer ones are not?

Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:

  • Its orbit can bring it within 0.05 AU of Earth’s — about 7.5 million km. This is the Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance, the closest the two paths ever come, not the distance on any given pass.
  • It is big enough to matter — absolute magnitude 22.0 or brighter, which is roughly 140 metres across and up. That threshold is a planning convention, not a physical boundary: it is about the size at which an impact could do regional damage. Smaller objects are not harmless, they are simply outside this definition — the Chelyabinsk object of 2013 was around 20 metres and injured about 1,500 people with the shock wave from its airburst, without ever reaching the ground intact.

The two terms: AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing. See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.

So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.

Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:

Object Size Orbit’s closest to Earth’s Missed by, that day Flagged
2013 JR28 122–272 m 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) 39.2 M km Yes — both tests pass
2012 LE11 629–1,406 m 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) 26.1 M km No — orbit never gets near enough
2007 EK 3.7–8.2 m 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) 4.2 M km No — far too small

The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.

“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.

Orbital Data

Orbit class: APO — Near-Earth asteroid orbits which cross the Earth’s orbit similar to that of 1862 Apollo
a (semi-major axis) > 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) < 1.017 AU

Orbital period496.9 days (1.36 years)
Eccentricity.2604667590474322 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated)
Semi-major axis1.227785157827386 AU
Inclination1.481345756287943° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's)
Perihelion distance.9079879369615466 AU (closest approach to the Sun)
Aphelion distance1.547582378693225 AU (farthest from the Sun)
Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance0.00107 AU = 159,643 km
(closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing)
Ascending node longitude57.78969860798026°
Argument of perihelion304.7056139942156°
Mean anomaly / motion212.2057587774558° / .7244701652435488°/day
Jupiter Tisserand invariant5.176 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets)
Reference epoch / equinoxJD 2461000.5 / J2000
Orbit determined2023-06-10 06:23:19
Observed2004-12-03 to 2023-06-10 (6763 day arc, 246 observations used)
Orbit uncertainty0 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain)

Close Approach History

Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 86 total.

Why does it pass Earth, Mars and Moon? Doesn’t it orbit just one?

It orbits the Sun. Not Earth, and not Venus. The column above does not say what the asteroid goes around — it says which planet a given close approach was to. 83 of them were approaches to Earth, 2 of them were approaches to Mars and 1 of them were approaches to Moon.

This one’s path runs from 0.908 AU at its closest to the Sun out to 1.548 AU at its farthest. For scale, Venus orbits at about 0.72 AU and Earth at 1.00 AU — so an orbit spanning that range crosses the path of every planet in between, once on the way out and once on the way back.

Crossing a planet’s path is not the same as meeting the planet. Almost every time the asteroid crosses, that planet is somewhere else along its own orbit. A close approach is logged only on the rare occasions when both happen to arrive at the crossing point at roughly the same time — which is why the dates below are scattered rather than regular. This object takes 496.9 days to go round, against Earth’s 365.25, so the two drift in and out of step over years rather than repeating on a neat cycle.

The Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance in the table above (0.0011 AU) is the closest the two paths ever come. The miss distances below are how far apart the two bodies actually were on the day, which is almost always very much larger.

next approach: 2027-05-04

Date Passed near Velocity (km/h) Miss distance
2170-11-19 Earth 22666.26 1,515,828 km
3.94 LD
2170-06-07 Earth 18570.42 49,570,429 km
129 LD
2167-01-22 Earth 23336.51 56,552,751 km
147 LD
2166-07-19 Earth 31821.11 12,122,025 km
31.5 LD
2155-12-17 Earth 69806.55 63,855,017 km
166 LD
2155-04-27 Earth 29811.23 73,587,961 km
191 LD
2151-11-15 Earth 20498.17 4,570,600 km
11.9 LD
2151-06-11 Earth 17237.89 47,473,097 km
123 LD
2148-02-01 Earth 26332.33 63,512,961 km
165 LD
2147-07-12 Earth 43430.64 28,239,591 km
73.5 LD
2140-04-07 Mars 6411.57 14,099,262 km
36.7 LD
2136-12-01 Earth 37429.42 18,989,725 km
49.4 LD
2136-05-22 Earth 23531.84 59,551,165 km
155 LD
2133-01-14 Earth 21135.59 52,507,887 km
137 LD
2132-07-23 Earth 26054.31 5,066,828 km
13.2 LD
2121-12-03 Earth 42449.71 26,002,348 km
67.6 LD
2121-05-18 Earth 24842.26 62,399,001 km
162 LD
2118-01-14 Earth 21357.91 53,044,526 km
138 LD
2117-07-23 Earth 26818.86 5,784,625 km
15.0 LD
2106-11-24 Earth 28197.83 6,370,781 km
16.6 LD
2106-05-31 Earth 20677.92 53,749,239 km
140 LD
2103-01-27 Earth 25359.71 61,407,466 km
160 LD
2102-07-13 Earth 39680.40 22,980,376 km
59.8 LD
2091-11-24 Earth 29042.79 7,505,462 km
19.5 LD
2091-05-29 Earth 20927.74 54,311,111 km
141 LD
2088-01-22 Earth 24156.99 58,507,992 km
152 LD
2087-07-15 Earth 34798.12 16,187,209 km
42.1 LD
2085-09-16 Mars 6236.31 13,875,861 km
36.1 LD
2076-12-02 Earth 43796.73 27,753,278 km
72.2 LD
2076-05-14 Earth 25097.52 63,043,886 km
164 LD
2073-01-07 Earth 19465.87 49,349,131 km
128 LD
2072-07-26 Earth 22233.30 3,985,689 km
10.4 LD
2068-06-23 Earth 74731.65 72,657,211 km
189 LD
2061-12-12 Earth 65523.15 57,874,545 km
151 LD
2061-04-28 Earth 29151.01 72,290,631 km
188 LD
2057-10-10 Earth 19069.41 13,299,981 km
34.6 LD
2054-02-06 Earth 28343.60 68,073,501 km
177 LD
2053-07-04 Earth 52851.95 41,554,882 km
108 LD
2042-11-24 Earth 29698.50 8,367,320 km
21.8 LD
2042-05-27 Earth 21267.98 54,767,250 km
142 LD
2039-01-16 Earth 22340.40 54,751,572 km
142 LD
2038-07-18 Earth 29129.68 8,558,536 km
22.3 LD
2027-12-08 Earth 56447.75 45,243,199 km
118 LD
2027-05-04 next Earth 27764.78 68,874,369 km
179 LD
2023-09-09 Earth 19245.03 14,270,556 km
37.1 LD
2020-02-12 Earth 29607.94 71,412,348 km
186 LD
2019-06-30 Earth 60905.03 53,031,423 km
138 LD
2008-11-18 Moon 27332.97 985,487 km
2.56 LD
2008-11-18 Earth 24306.87 693,344 km
1.80 LD
2008-05-25 Earth 20197.70 51,241,919 km
133 LD
2004-11-21 Earth 27314.64 5,068,039 km
13.2 LD
2004-05-20 Earth 21556.17 53,495,600 km
139 LD
2000-11-29 Earth 39245.60 21,560,581 km
56.1 LD
2000-05-09 Earth 24778.83 60,229,082 km
157 LD
1996-12-05 Earth 52715.37 40,251,891 km
105 LD
1996-04-28 Earth 27407.74 66,178,189 km
172 LD
1992-12-12 Earth 66823.52 59,700,302 km
155 LD
1992-04-17 Earth 29422.52 70,915,190 km
184 LD
1988-04-08 Earth 30897.04 74,300,200 km
193 LD
1968-02-21 Earth 30763.23 72,538,746 km
189 LD
1967-06-20 Earth 70346.86 66,513,917 km
173 LD
1964-02-11 Earth 29195.99 68,362,608 km
178 LD
1963-06-27 Earth 56733.86 47,178,413 km
123 LD
1960-02-01 Earth 26900.81 62,846,461 km
163 LD
1959-07-04 Earth 43544.47 28,408,896 km
73.9 LD
1956-01-21 Earth 23942.11 56,386,543 km
147 LD
1955-07-11 Earth 31464.92 11,521,225 km
30.0 LD
1952-01-11 Earth 20872.80 50,389,170 km
131 LD
1951-07-20 Earth 22627.80 3,489,688 km
9.08 LD
1947-12-26 Earth 15543.78 41,448,710 km
108 LD
1947-08-20 Earth 18245.30 13,258,932 km
34.5 LD
1943-09-29 Earth 19435.39 15,203,435 km
39.6 LD
1939-11-08 Earth 19102.90 6,821,257 km
17.7 LD
1939-06-01 Earth 17920.03 47,020,882 km
122 LD
1935-11-21 Earth 26304.00 3,781,369 km
9.84 LD
1935-05-21 Earth 21265.46 52,893,602 km
138 LD
1931-12-03 Earth 45942.03 30,878,205 km
80.3 LD
1931-05-03 Earth 26197.50 63,328,974 km
165 LD
1927-12-12 Earth 66552.83 59,344,133 km
154 LD
1927-04-17 Earth 29381.64 70,634,065 km
184 LD
1911-02-23 Earth 30899.34 72,745,652 km
189 LD
1910-06-19 Earth 72024.35 68,896,239 km
179 LD
1907-02-08 Earth 28540.12 66,619,072 km
173 LD
1906-06-28 Earth 52486.76 41,175,373 km
107 LD
1903-01-23 Earth 24578.73 57,491,865 km
150 LD
1902-07-09 Earth 33285.94 14,092,307 km
36.7 LD

Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-09-08T13:21:56.220009+00:00.