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Designation: 2004 XK3 · NASA id: 3263254
Estimated diameter: 34 – 76 meters
These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.
211 kilotonnes – 7.9 megatonnes of TNT
This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.
The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.
Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.
Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:
The two terms:
AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing.
See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.
So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.
Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:
| Object | Size | Orbit’s closest to Earth’s | Missed by, that day | Flagged |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 JR28 | 122–272 m | 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) | 39.2 M km | Yes — both tests pass |
| 2012 LE11 | 629–1,406 m | 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) | 26.1 M km | No — orbit never gets near enough |
| 2007 EK | 3.7–8.2 m | 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) | 4.2 M km | No — far too small |
The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.
“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.
Orbit class: APO — Near-Earth asteroid orbits which cross the Earth’s orbit similar to that of 1862 Apollo
a (semi-major axis) > 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) < 1.017 AU
| Orbital period | 496.9 days (1.36 years) |
| Eccentricity | .2604667590474322 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated) |
| Semi-major axis | 1.227785157827386 AU |
| Inclination | 1.481345756287943° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's) |
| Perihelion distance | .9079879369615466 AU (closest approach to the Sun) |
| Aphelion distance | 1.547582378693225 AU (farthest from the Sun) |
| Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance | 0.00107 AU = 159,643 km (closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing) |
| Ascending node longitude | 57.78969860798026° |
| Argument of perihelion | 304.7056139942156° |
| Mean anomaly / motion | 212.2057587774558° / .7244701652435488°/day |
| Jupiter Tisserand invariant | 5.176 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets) |
| Reference epoch / equinox | JD 2461000.5 / J2000 |
| Orbit determined | 2023-06-10 06:23:19 |
| Observed | 2004-12-03 to 2023-06-10 (6763 day arc, 246 observations used) |
| Orbit uncertainty | 0 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain) |
Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 86 total.
It orbits the Sun. Not Earth, and not Venus. The column above does not say what the asteroid goes around — it says which planet a given close approach was to. 83 of them were approaches to Earth, 2 of them were approaches to Mars and 1 of them were approaches to Moon.
This one’s path runs from 0.908 AU at its closest to the Sun out to 1.548 AU at its farthest. For scale, Venus orbits at about 0.72 AU and Earth at 1.00 AU — so an orbit spanning that range crosses the path of every planet in between, once on the way out and once on the way back.
Crossing a planet’s path is not the same as meeting the planet. Almost every time the asteroid crosses, that planet is somewhere else along its own orbit. A close approach is logged only on the rare occasions when both happen to arrive at the crossing point at roughly the same time — which is why the dates below are scattered rather than regular. This object takes 496.9 days to go round, against Earth’s 365.25, so the two drift in and out of step over years rather than repeating on a neat cycle.
The Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance in the table above (0.0011 AU) is the closest the two paths ever come. The miss distances below are how far apart the two bodies actually were on the day, which is almost always very much larger.
next approach: 2027-05-04
| Date | Passed near | Velocity (km/h) | Miss distance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2170-11-19 | Earth | 22666.26 | 1,515,828 km 3.94 LD |
| 2170-06-07 | Earth | 18570.42 | 49,570,429 km 129 LD |
| 2167-01-22 | Earth | 23336.51 | 56,552,751 km 147 LD |
| 2166-07-19 | Earth | 31821.11 | 12,122,025 km 31.5 LD |
| 2155-12-17 | Earth | 69806.55 | 63,855,017 km 166 LD |
| 2155-04-27 | Earth | 29811.23 | 73,587,961 km 191 LD |
| 2151-11-15 | Earth | 20498.17 | 4,570,600 km 11.9 LD |
| 2151-06-11 | Earth | 17237.89 | 47,473,097 km 123 LD |
| 2148-02-01 | Earth | 26332.33 | 63,512,961 km 165 LD |
| 2147-07-12 | Earth | 43430.64 | 28,239,591 km 73.5 LD |
| 2140-04-07 | Mars | 6411.57 | 14,099,262 km 36.7 LD |
| 2136-12-01 | Earth | 37429.42 | 18,989,725 km 49.4 LD |
| 2136-05-22 | Earth | 23531.84 | 59,551,165 km 155 LD |
| 2133-01-14 | Earth | 21135.59 | 52,507,887 km 137 LD |
| 2132-07-23 | Earth | 26054.31 | 5,066,828 km 13.2 LD |
| 2121-12-03 | Earth | 42449.71 | 26,002,348 km 67.6 LD |
| 2121-05-18 | Earth | 24842.26 | 62,399,001 km 162 LD |
| 2118-01-14 | Earth | 21357.91 | 53,044,526 km 138 LD |
| 2117-07-23 | Earth | 26818.86 | 5,784,625 km 15.0 LD |
| 2106-11-24 | Earth | 28197.83 | 6,370,781 km 16.6 LD |
| 2106-05-31 | Earth | 20677.92 | 53,749,239 km 140 LD |
| 2103-01-27 | Earth | 25359.71 | 61,407,466 km 160 LD |
| 2102-07-13 | Earth | 39680.40 | 22,980,376 km 59.8 LD |
| 2091-11-24 | Earth | 29042.79 | 7,505,462 km 19.5 LD |
| 2091-05-29 | Earth | 20927.74 | 54,311,111 km 141 LD |
| 2088-01-22 | Earth | 24156.99 | 58,507,992 km 152 LD |
| 2087-07-15 | Earth | 34798.12 | 16,187,209 km 42.1 LD |
| 2085-09-16 | Mars | 6236.31 | 13,875,861 km 36.1 LD |
| 2076-12-02 | Earth | 43796.73 | 27,753,278 km 72.2 LD |
| 2076-05-14 | Earth | 25097.52 | 63,043,886 km 164 LD |
| 2073-01-07 | Earth | 19465.87 | 49,349,131 km 128 LD |
| 2072-07-26 | Earth | 22233.30 | 3,985,689 km 10.4 LD |
| 2068-06-23 | Earth | 74731.65 | 72,657,211 km 189 LD |
| 2061-12-12 | Earth | 65523.15 | 57,874,545 km 151 LD |
| 2061-04-28 | Earth | 29151.01 | 72,290,631 km 188 LD |
| 2057-10-10 | Earth | 19069.41 | 13,299,981 km 34.6 LD |
| 2054-02-06 | Earth | 28343.60 | 68,073,501 km 177 LD |
| 2053-07-04 | Earth | 52851.95 | 41,554,882 km 108 LD |
| 2042-11-24 | Earth | 29698.50 | 8,367,320 km 21.8 LD |
| 2042-05-27 | Earth | 21267.98 | 54,767,250 km 142 LD |
| 2039-01-16 | Earth | 22340.40 | 54,751,572 km 142 LD |
| 2038-07-18 | Earth | 29129.68 | 8,558,536 km 22.3 LD |
| 2027-12-08 | Earth | 56447.75 | 45,243,199 km 118 LD |
| 2027-05-04 next | Earth | 27764.78 | 68,874,369 km 179 LD |
| 2023-09-09 | Earth | 19245.03 | 14,270,556 km 37.1 LD |
| 2020-02-12 | Earth | 29607.94 | 71,412,348 km 186 LD |
| 2019-06-30 | Earth | 60905.03 | 53,031,423 km 138 LD |
| 2008-11-18 | Moon | 27332.97 | 985,487 km 2.56 LD |
| 2008-11-18 | Earth | 24306.87 | 693,344 km 1.80 LD |
| 2008-05-25 | Earth | 20197.70 | 51,241,919 km 133 LD |
| 2004-11-21 | Earth | 27314.64 | 5,068,039 km 13.2 LD |
| 2004-05-20 | Earth | 21556.17 | 53,495,600 km 139 LD |
| 2000-11-29 | Earth | 39245.60 | 21,560,581 km 56.1 LD |
| 2000-05-09 | Earth | 24778.83 | 60,229,082 km 157 LD |
| 1996-12-05 | Earth | 52715.37 | 40,251,891 km 105 LD |
| 1996-04-28 | Earth | 27407.74 | 66,178,189 km 172 LD |
| 1992-12-12 | Earth | 66823.52 | 59,700,302 km 155 LD |
| 1992-04-17 | Earth | 29422.52 | 70,915,190 km 184 LD |
| 1988-04-08 | Earth | 30897.04 | 74,300,200 km 193 LD |
| 1968-02-21 | Earth | 30763.23 | 72,538,746 km 189 LD |
| 1967-06-20 | Earth | 70346.86 | 66,513,917 km 173 LD |
| 1964-02-11 | Earth | 29195.99 | 68,362,608 km 178 LD |
| 1963-06-27 | Earth | 56733.86 | 47,178,413 km 123 LD |
| 1960-02-01 | Earth | 26900.81 | 62,846,461 km 163 LD |
| 1959-07-04 | Earth | 43544.47 | 28,408,896 km 73.9 LD |
| 1956-01-21 | Earth | 23942.11 | 56,386,543 km 147 LD |
| 1955-07-11 | Earth | 31464.92 | 11,521,225 km 30.0 LD |
| 1952-01-11 | Earth | 20872.80 | 50,389,170 km 131 LD |
| 1951-07-20 | Earth | 22627.80 | 3,489,688 km 9.08 LD |
| 1947-12-26 | Earth | 15543.78 | 41,448,710 km 108 LD |
| 1947-08-20 | Earth | 18245.30 | 13,258,932 km 34.5 LD |
| 1943-09-29 | Earth | 19435.39 | 15,203,435 km 39.6 LD |
| 1939-11-08 | Earth | 19102.90 | 6,821,257 km 17.7 LD |
| 1939-06-01 | Earth | 17920.03 | 47,020,882 km 122 LD |
| 1935-11-21 | Earth | 26304.00 | 3,781,369 km 9.84 LD |
| 1935-05-21 | Earth | 21265.46 | 52,893,602 km 138 LD |
| 1931-12-03 | Earth | 45942.03 | 30,878,205 km 80.3 LD |
| 1931-05-03 | Earth | 26197.50 | 63,328,974 km 165 LD |
| 1927-12-12 | Earth | 66552.83 | 59,344,133 km 154 LD |
| 1927-04-17 | Earth | 29381.64 | 70,634,065 km 184 LD |
| 1911-02-23 | Earth | 30899.34 | 72,745,652 km 189 LD |
| 1910-06-19 | Earth | 72024.35 | 68,896,239 km 179 LD |
| 1907-02-08 | Earth | 28540.12 | 66,619,072 km 173 LD |
| 1906-06-28 | Earth | 52486.76 | 41,175,373 km 107 LD |
| 1903-01-23 | Earth | 24578.73 | 57,491,865 km 150 LD |
| 1902-07-09 | Earth | 33285.94 | 14,092,307 km 36.7 LD |
Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-09-08T13:21:56.220009+00:00.