Illustration of Earth with several asteroids passing at different distances, one flagged as potentially hazardous

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(2005 JU81)

Designation: 2005 JU81 · NASA id: 3278078 · Potentially Hazardous

Estimated diameter: 117 – 261 meters

≈ the Great Pyramid
That comparison is of size only — what an impact would do depends on speed, angle, composition and where it arrives, none of which follows from width.
(absolute magnitude H = 21.79) · JPL Small-Body Database →

Earth impact concern
No identified impact threat
Why?
  • Its closest recorded pass was 10.7 lunar distances.
  • It is not on NASA/JPL’s Sentry list, which holds every object with a computed chance of impact above zero. Most objects are not on it.
What the four levels mean
  • No identified impact threat — not on any risk list. 98.8% of the objects here.
  • On a monitored risk list — a computed chance above zero, however small. 1.2% of the objects here.
  • Among the highest-ranked — Palermo at or above −2. Two objects worldwide qualify, both studied for decades and both centuries away.
  • Exceptional — Torino 1 or more, or Palermo at or above zero. No object anywhere currently qualifies.

These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.

Energy of motion, if it ever entered the atmosphere

17.7 megatonnes – 659.0 megatonnes of TNT

This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.

The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.

Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.

Why is one asteroid “hazardous” when closer ones are not?

Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:

  • Its orbit can bring it within 0.05 AU of Earth’s — about 7.5 million km. This is the Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance, the closest the two paths ever come, not the distance on any given pass.
  • It is big enough to matter — absolute magnitude 22.0 or brighter, which is roughly 140 metres across and up. That threshold is a planning convention, not a physical boundary: it is about the size at which an impact could do regional damage. Smaller objects are not harmless, they are simply outside this definition — the Chelyabinsk object of 2013 was around 20 metres and injured about 1,500 people with the shock wave from its airburst, without ever reaching the ground intact.

The two terms: AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing. See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.

So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.

Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:

Object Size Orbit’s closest to Earth’s Missed by, that day Flagged
2013 JR28 122–272 m 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) 39.2 M km Yes — both tests pass
2012 LE11 629–1,406 m 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) 26.1 M km No — orbit never gets near enough
2007 EK 3.7–8.2 m 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) 4.2 M km No — far too small

The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.

“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.

Orbital Data

Orbit class: APO — Near-Earth asteroid orbits which cross the Earth’s orbit similar to that of 1862 Apollo
a (semi-major axis) > 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) < 1.017 AU

Orbital period430.8 days (1.18 years)
Eccentricity.277426565958567 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated)
Semi-major axis1.116273773925619 AU
Inclination17.28988286242937° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's)
Perihelion distance.8065897741558248 AU (closest approach to the Sun)
Aphelion distance1.425957773695413 AU (farthest from the Sun)
Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance0.02942 AU = 4,401,588 km
(closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing)
Ascending node longitude56.30306107279979°
Argument of perihelion72.52391768616235°
Mean anomaly / motion214.5329275389856° / .8356953617647392°/day
Jupiter Tisserand invariant5.511 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets)
Reference epoch / equinoxJD 2461000.5 / J2000
Orbit determined2023-11-06 06:05:16
Observed2005-05-12 to 2023-11-05 (6751 day arc, 83 observations used)
Orbit uncertainty0 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain)

Close Approach History

Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 94 total.

next approach: 2031-01-17

Date Passed near Velocity (km/h) Miss distance
2195-06-22 Earth 33429.71 67,316,852 km
175 LD
2194-11-22 Earth 38585.39 11,718,404 km
30.5 LD
2189-05-09 Earth 45847.16 14,604,791 km
38.0 LD
2187-10-26 Earth 77554.63 59,495,273 km
155 LD
2182-06-01 Earth 33470.41 52,696,179 km
137 LD
2181-12-18 Earth 34445.47 37,793,637 km
98.3 LD
2176-05-14 Earth 62498.89 39,545,993 km
103 LD
2174-11-05 Earth 58897.33 30,124,812 km
78.4 LD
2169-05-12 Earth 33510.62 30,450,658 km
79.2 LD
2168-10-05 Earth 27970.06 69,005,018 km
180 LD
2163-05-22 Earth 80480.72 66,884,780 km
174 LD
2162-07-01 Earth 33068.28 72,042,767 km
187 LD
2161-11-16 Earth 43478.31 4,105,602 km
10.7 LD
2156-05-07 Earth 39592.13 12,636,279 km
32.9 LD
2154-10-21 Earth 87081.75 73,856,847 km
192 LD
2149-06-15 Earth 33598.16 63,334,541 km
165 LD
2148-11-26 Earth 36129.98 20,074,581 km
52.2 LD
2143-05-10 Earth 49848.82 20,168,928 km
52.5 LD
2141-10-28 Earth 72634.58 51,972,312 km
135 LD
2136-05-27 Earth 33313.89 48,384,700 km
126 LD
2136-01-03 Earth 33853.46 42,828,485 km
111 LD
2130-05-16 Earth 65488.21 44,200,506 km
115 LD
2128-11-06 Earth 56078.25 25,353,041 km
66.0 LD
2123-05-12 Earth 33797.07 28,122,531 km
73.2 LD
2122-09-29 Earth 27488.26 70,737,539 km
184 LD
2117-05-22 Earth 80943.46 67,567,715 km
176 LD
2116-06-30 Earth 33144.78 71,877,545 km
187 LD
2115-11-16 Earth 43246.72 4,151,160 km
10.8 LD
2110-05-08 Earth 39264.13 13,050,863 km
34.0 LD
2108-10-20 Earth 87592.99 74,557,678 km
194 LD
2103-06-17 Earth 33596.42 64,443,374 km
168 LD
2102-11-25 Earth 36672.57 17,984,276 km
46.8 LD
2097-05-08 Earth 47832.76 17,340,994 km
45.1 LD
2095-10-26 Earth 75102.84 55,748,701 km
145 LD
2090-05-30 Earth 33464.65 51,856,730 km
135 LD
2089-12-20 Earth 34485.53 38,935,976 km
101 LD
2084-05-13 Earth 61607.78 38,229,842 km
99.5 LD
2082-11-03 Earth 59966.54 31,872,967 km
82.9 LD
2077-05-14 Earth 33210.79 34,222,916 km
89.0 LD
2076-10-14 Earth 28983.03 66,446,387 km
173 LD
2071-05-19 Earth 75932.55 60,109,138 km
156 LD
2070-07-05 Earth 32888.58 74,441,068 km
194 LD
2069-11-12 Earth 47025.51 9,361,845 km
24.4 LD
2064-05-07 Earth 35958.95 19,294,433 km
50.2 LD
2058-05-22 Earth 84678.27 73,004,205 km
190 LD
2057-06-25 Earth 33434.69 70,063,191 km
182 LD
2056-11-17 Earth 41151.70 6,088,635 km
15.8 LD
2051-05-07 Earth 41486.94 11,931,857 km
31.0 LD
2049-10-21 Earth 83655.15 68,607,214 km
178 LD
2044-06-09 Earth 33633.20 60,250,257 km
157 LD
2043-12-01 Earth 35056.93 26,133,218 km
68.0 LD
2038-05-10 Earth 53173.32 25,226,698 km
65.6 LD
2036-10-29 Earth 68544.66 45,660,661 km
119 LD
2031-05-22 Earth 33206.38 44,233,051 km
115 LD
2031-01-17 next Earth 31891.80 46,109,475 km
120 LD
2025-05-15 Earth 68604.54 49,057,849 km
128 LD
2023-11-08 Earth 53017.24 20,051,697 km
52.2 LD
2018-05-09 Earth 34376.57 25,030,348 km
65.1 LD
2017-09-20 Earth 27105.04 72,941,162 km
190 LD
2012-05-21 Earth 82632.04 69,991,360 km
182 LD
2011-06-27 Earth 33389.46 70,917,438 km
184 LD
2010-11-16 Earth 42113.37 4,862,975 km
12.7 LD
2005-05-06 Earth 41506.54 11,979,602 km
31.2 LD
2003-10-22 Earth 83145.38 67,825,167 km
176 LD
1998-06-07 Earth 33617.90 58,580,880 km
152 LD
1997-12-04 Earth 34759.31 29,281,589 km
76.2 LD
1992-05-10 Earth 56077.71 29,702,083 km
77.3 LD
1990-10-31 Earth 65012.79 40,033,703 km
104 LD
1985-05-17 Earth 33111.95 38,933,506 km
101 LD
1985-02-10 Earth 26736.57 47,968,796 km
125 LD
1979-05-18 Earth 73853.31 56,965,327 km
148 LD
1977-11-10 Earth 48176.50 11,511,431 km
29.9 LD
1972-05-07 Earth 36180.46 18,748,367 km
48.8 LD
1965-06-21 Earth 33598.31 68,032,174 km
177 LD
1964-11-19 Earth 39202.53 10,529,228 km
27.4 LD
1959-05-07 Earth 44570.57 13,663,498 km
35.5 LD
1957-10-23 Earth 78654.44 61,107,740 km
159 LD
1952-06-02 Earth 33554.91 54,345,374 km
141 LD
1951-12-14 Earth 34650.02 35,749,115 km
93.0 LD
1946-05-12 Earth 60256.76 36,242,556 km
94.3 LD
1944-11-02 Earth 60626.86 32,906,371 km
85.6 LD
1939-05-14 Earth 33260.65 33,866,288 km
88.1 LD
1938-10-10 Earth 28254.27 67,455,340 km
175 LD
1933-05-19 Earth 77478.70 62,388,055 km
162 LD
1932-07-02 Earth 33166.53 73,352,934 km
191 LD
1931-11-13 Earth 45303.47 6,739,551 km
17.5 LD
1926-05-07 Earth 37113.89 16,712,366 km
43.5 LD
1919-06-21 Earth 33678.16 67,714,559 km
176 LD
1918-11-20 Earth 38963.12 11,255,508 km
29.3 LD
1913-05-07 Earth 43810.41 13,154,126 km
34.2 LD
1911-10-23 Earth 80018.40 63,166,712 km
164 LD
1906-06-05 Earth 33640.58 56,789,397 km
148 LD
1905-12-08 Earth 34736.04 32,078,273 km
83.5 LD
1900-05-10 Earth 56744.10 30,899,370 km
80.4 LD

Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-09-05T15:41:46.360829+00:00.