← Back to current tracker · Insights · Impact risk · Lost asteroids · What arrived
Designation: 2006 TD · NASA id: 3347502
Estimated diameter: 88 – 197 meters
These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.
7.3 megatonnes – 273.8 megatonnes of TNT
This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.
The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.
Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.
Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:
The two terms:
AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing.
See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.
So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.
Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:
| Object | Size | Orbit’s closest to Earth’s | Missed by, that day | Flagged |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 JR28 | 122–272 m | 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) | 39.2 M km | Yes — both tests pass |
| 2012 LE11 | 629–1,406 m | 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) | 26.1 M km | No — orbit never gets near enough |
| 2007 EK | 3.7–8.2 m | 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) | 4.2 M km | No — far too small |
The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.
“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.
Orbit class: APO — Near-Earth asteroid orbits which cross the Earth’s orbit similar to that of 1862 Apollo
a (semi-major axis) > 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) < 1.017 AU
| Orbital period | 734.7 days (2.01 years) |
| Eccentricity | .3946007341519773 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated) |
| Semi-major axis | 1.59348140577332 AU |
| Inclination | 8.186427302283303° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's) |
| Perihelion distance | .964692473197643 AU (closest approach to the Sun) |
| Aphelion distance | 2.222270338348996 AU (farthest from the Sun) |
| Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance | 0.01910 AU = 2,857,110 km (closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing) |
| Ascending node longitude | 166.4021859712839° |
| Argument of perihelion | 159.565241719762° |
| Mean anomaly / motion | 205.4185552565253° / .4899858898044781°/day |
| Jupiter Tisserand invariant | 4.272 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets) |
| Reference epoch / equinox | JD 2461000.5 / J2000 |
| Orbit determined | 2021-04-15 00:01:32 |
| Observed | 2006-10-01 to 2020-04-27 (4957 day arc, 45 observations used) |
| Orbit uncertainty | 0 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain) |
Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 37 total.
next approach: 2163-06-11
| Date | Passed near | Velocity (km/h) | Miss distance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2199-07-19 | Earth | 31881.70 | 18,475,943 km 48.1 LD |
| 2197-07-26 | Earth | 29865.70 | 16,236,594 km 42.2 LD |
| 2195-08-03 | Earth | 28799.51 | 14,556,700 km 37.9 LD |
| 2193-08-08 | Earth | 28429.31 | 13,408,971 km 34.9 LD |
| 2191-08-12 | Earth | 28196.49 | 12,686,475 km 33.0 LD |
| 2189-08-14 | Earth | 28056.67 | 12,075,426 km 31.4 LD |
| 2187-08-15 | Earth | 28139.67 | 12,129,507 km 31.6 LD |
| 2185-08-12 | Earth | 28197.32 | 12,529,622 km 32.6 LD |
| 2183-08-09 | Earth | 28344.63 | 13,252,908 km 34.5 LD |
| 2181-08-03 | Earth | 28791.74 | 14,448,576 km 37.6 LD |
| 2179-07-27 | Earth | 29728.04 | 16,052,774 km 41.8 LD |
| 2177-07-19 | Earth | 31530.52 | 18,071,030 km 47.0 LD |
| 2175-07-12 | Earth | 34901.50 | 21,351,935 km 55.5 LD |
| 2173-07-05 | Earth | 39533.88 | 26,082,455 km 67.9 LD |
| 2171-06-30 | Earth | 44994.26 | 32,126,424 km 83.6 LD |
| 2169-06-24 | Earth | 51374.26 | 39,689,649 km 103 LD |
| 2167-06-20 | Earth | 58204.80 | 48,511,787 km 126 LD |
| 2165-06-15 | Earth | 65060.13 | 57,523,509 km 150 LD |
| 2163-06-11 next | Earth | 72343.03 | 67,310,689 km 175 LD |
| 2020-10-22 | Earth | 73850.31 | 64,478,797 km 168 LD |
| 2018-10-19 | Earth | 66659.26 | 54,306,302 km 141 LD |
| 2016-10-14 | Earth | 59789.35 | 44,467,315 km 116 LD |
| 2014-10-11 | Earth | 52885.68 | 34,577,704 km 90.0 LD |
| 2012-10-06 | Earth | 46893.86 | 26,120,890 km 68.0 LD |
| 2012-06-07 | Earth | 8253.62 | 73,084,119 km 190 LD |
| 2010-10-02 | Earth | 41703.27 | 18,552,033 km 48.3 LD |
| 2008-09-27 | Earth | 37446.16 | 12,257,566 km 31.9 LD |
| 2006-09-24 | Earth | 35003.72 | 8,594,907 km 22.4 LD |
| 2004-09-23 | Earth | 34459.65 | 7,657,126 km 19.9 LD |
| 2002-09-25 | Earth | 35432.46 | 9,172,828 km 23.9 LD |
| 2000-09-28 | Earth | 38575.31 | 13,975,106 km 36.4 LD |
| 1998-10-03 | Earth | 43196.57 | 20,624,622 km 53.7 LD |
| 1996-10-07 | Earth | 48582.71 | 28,504,694 km 74.2 LD |
| 1994-10-12 | Earth | 55035.03 | 37,717,190 km 98.1 LD |
| 1992-10-15 | Earth | 61734.30 | 47,313,719 km 123 LD |
| 1990-10-19 | Earth | 68481.67 | 56,883,020 km 148 LD |
| 1988-10-23 | Earth | 75878.30 | 67,509,350 km 176 LD |
Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-09-05T15:43:49.258240+00:00.