Illustration of Earth with several asteroids passing at different distances, one flagged as potentially hazardous

← Back to current tracker · Insights · Impact risk · Lost asteroids · What arrived

(2007 MF)

Designation: 2007 MF · NASA id: 3378560

Estimated diameter: 15 – 34 meters

≈ the Chelyabinsk object
That comparison is of size only — what an impact would do depends on speed, angle, composition and where it arrives, none of which follows from width.
(absolute magnitude H = 26.2) · JPL Small-Body Database →

Earth impact concern
No identified impact threat
Why?
  • Its closest recorded pass was 6.7 lunar distances.
  • It is not on NASA/JPL’s Sentry list, which holds every object with a computed chance of impact above zero. Most objects are not on it.
What the four levels mean
  • No identified impact threat — not on any risk list. 98.8% of the objects here.
  • On a monitored risk list — a computed chance above zero, however small. 1.2% of the objects here.
  • Among the highest-ranked — Palermo at or above −2. Two objects worldwide qualify, both studied for decades and both centuries away.
  • Exceptional — Torino 1 or more, or Palermo at or above zero. No object anywhere currently qualifies.

These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.

Energy of motion, if it ever entered the atmosphere

48 kilotonnes – 1.8 megatonnes of TNT

This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.

The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.

Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.

Why is one asteroid “hazardous” when closer ones are not?

Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:

  • Its orbit can bring it within 0.05 AU of Earth’s — about 7.5 million km. This is the Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance, the closest the two paths ever come, not the distance on any given pass.
  • It is big enough to matter — absolute magnitude 22.0 or brighter, which is roughly 140 metres across and up. That threshold is a planning convention, not a physical boundary: it is about the size at which an impact could do regional damage. Smaller objects are not harmless, they are simply outside this definition — the Chelyabinsk object of 2013 was around 20 metres and injured about 1,500 people with the shock wave from its airburst, without ever reaching the ground intact.

The two terms: AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing. See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.

So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.

Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:

Object Size Orbit’s closest to Earth’s Missed by, that day Flagged
2013 JR28 122–272 m 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) 39.2 M km Yes — both tests pass
2012 LE11 629–1,406 m 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) 26.1 M km No — orbit never gets near enough
2007 EK 3.7–8.2 m 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) 4.2 M km No — far too small

The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.

“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.

Orbital Data

Orbit class: ATE — Near-Earth asteroid orbits similar to that of 2062 Aten
a (semi-major axis) < 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) > 0.983 AU

Orbital period356.6 days (0.98 years)
Eccentricity.05011573165299747 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated)
Semi-major axis.9840655411287438 AU
Inclination17.46930222533278° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's)
Perihelion distance.934748376540574 AU (closest approach to the Sun)
Aphelion distance1.033382705716914 AU (farthest from the Sun)
Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance0.01441 AU = 2,155,047 km
(closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing)
Ascending node longitude85.6123106326405°
Argument of perihelion346.7126748571307°
Mean anomaly / motion151.7331143771933° / 1.009643461759128°/day
Jupiter Tisserand invariant6.116 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets)
Reference epoch / equinoxJD 2461000.5 / J2000
Orbit determined2021-04-15 00:41:19
Observed2007-06-16 to 2007-06-18 (2 day arc, 38 observations used)
Orbit uncertainty6 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain)

Close Approach History

Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 48 total.

next approach: 2045-01-21

Date Passed near Velocity (km/h) Miss distance
2051-06-12 Earth 59396.96 68,242,113 km
178 LD
2050-06-14 Earth 46769.49 45,890,640 km
119 LD
2049-11-19 Earth 45180.35 46,214,752 km
120 LD
2049-06-16 Earth 36729.16 23,619,938 km
61.4 LD
2048-12-04 Earth 37038.72 24,315,729 km
63.3 LD
2048-06-16 Earth 31949.93 2,970,329 km
7.73 LD
2047-12-18 Earth 34088.77 7,136,802 km
18.6 LD
2047-06-17 Earth 33603.51 18,452,340 km
48.0 LD
2046-12-29 Earth 37620.02 21,148,483 km
55.0 LD
2046-06-17 Earth 40681.89 38,957,657 km
101 LD
2046-01-09 Earth 46323.72 42,129,376 km
110 LD
2045-06-17 Earth 51153.63 59,799,209 km
156 LD
2045-01-21 next Earth 57928.41 63,631,323 km
166 LD
2010-06-13 Earth 55470.84 61,816,664 km
161 LD
2009-11-06 Earth 52642.70 62,166,882 km
162 LD
2009-06-14 Earth 44060.31 40,771,988 km
106 LD
2008-11-23 Earth 43238.72 41,243,247 km
107 LD
2008-06-16 Earth 35411.26 19,894,612 km
51.8 LD
2007-12-07 Earth 36129.59 20,727,718 km
53.9 LD
2007-06-17 Earth 31852.73 2,565,217 km
6.67 LD
2006-12-19 Earth 34259.90 7,559,960 km
19.7 LD
2006-06-17 Earth 34420.43 21,458,650 km
55.8 LD
2005-12-31 Earth 39005.11 25,405,157 km
66.1 LD
2005-06-17 Earth 42623.74 42,901,909 km
112 LD
2005-01-12 Earth 48821.46 47,345,585 km
123 LD
2004-06-17 Earth 53946.91 64,528,691 km
168 LD
2004-01-26 Earth 61179.99 69,564,927 km
181 LD
1971-06-11 Earth 62231.31 73,274,193 km
191 LD
1970-10-25 Earth 56848.85 72,258,908 km
188 LD
1970-06-14 Earth 49478.62 51,484,135 km
134 LD
1969-11-16 Earth 47474.52 50,727,447 km
132 LD
1969-06-15 Earth 38942.55 29,704,585 km
77.3 LD
1968-12-01 Earth 38641.24 29,112,647 km
75.7 LD
1968-06-16 Earth 32622.90 8,469,809 km
22.0 LD
1967-12-14 Earth 34219.32 9,675,756 km
25.2 LD
1967-06-17 Earth 32487.48 12,259,812 km
31.9 LD
1966-12-26 Earth 36072.01 16,041,086 km
41.7 LD
1966-06-17 Earth 38246.06 32,794,150 km
85.3 LD
1966-01-06 Earth 43676.36 36,859,256 km
95.9 LD
1965-06-17 Earth 48076.24 53,893,257 km
140 LD
1965-01-18 Earth 54786.73 58,550,381 km
152 LD
1930-06-13 Earth 53171.27 58,097,858 km
151 LD
1929-06-15 Earth 41981.95 36,776,214 km
95.7 LD
1928-06-16 Earth 34173.08 15,734,857 km
40.9 LD
1927-06-17 Earth 31820.81 5,417,470 km
14.1 LD
1925-06-17 Earth 45344.13 48,479,191 km
126 LD
1925-01-16 Earth 52009.62 53,660,587 km
140 LD
1924-06-18 Earth 57522.15 70,619,749 km
184 LD

Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-09-05T23:55:29.780860+00:00.