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Designation: 2007 MF · NASA id: 3378560
Estimated diameter: 15 – 34 meters
These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.
48 kilotonnes – 1.8 megatonnes of TNT
This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.
The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.
Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.
Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:
The two terms:
AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing.
See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.
So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.
Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:
| Object | Size | Orbit’s closest to Earth’s | Missed by, that day | Flagged |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 JR28 | 122–272 m | 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) | 39.2 M km | Yes — both tests pass |
| 2012 LE11 | 629–1,406 m | 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) | 26.1 M km | No — orbit never gets near enough |
| 2007 EK | 3.7–8.2 m | 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) | 4.2 M km | No — far too small |
The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.
“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.
Orbit class: ATE — Near-Earth asteroid orbits similar to that of 2062 Aten
a (semi-major axis) < 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) > 0.983 AU
| Orbital period | 356.6 days (0.98 years) |
| Eccentricity | .05011573165299747 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated) |
| Semi-major axis | .9840655411287438 AU |
| Inclination | 17.46930222533278° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's) |
| Perihelion distance | .934748376540574 AU (closest approach to the Sun) |
| Aphelion distance | 1.033382705716914 AU (farthest from the Sun) |
| Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance | 0.01441 AU = 2,155,047 km (closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing) |
| Ascending node longitude | 85.6123106326405° |
| Argument of perihelion | 346.7126748571307° |
| Mean anomaly / motion | 151.7331143771933° / 1.009643461759128°/day |
| Jupiter Tisserand invariant | 6.116 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets) |
| Reference epoch / equinox | JD 2461000.5 / J2000 |
| Orbit determined | 2021-04-15 00:41:19 |
| Observed | 2007-06-16 to 2007-06-18 (2 day arc, 38 observations used) |
| Orbit uncertainty | 6 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain) |
Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 48 total.
next approach: 2045-01-21
| Date | Passed near | Velocity (km/h) | Miss distance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2051-06-12 | Earth | 59396.96 | 68,242,113 km 178 LD |
| 2050-06-14 | Earth | 46769.49 | 45,890,640 km 119 LD |
| 2049-11-19 | Earth | 45180.35 | 46,214,752 km 120 LD |
| 2049-06-16 | Earth | 36729.16 | 23,619,938 km 61.4 LD |
| 2048-12-04 | Earth | 37038.72 | 24,315,729 km 63.3 LD |
| 2048-06-16 | Earth | 31949.93 | 2,970,329 km 7.73 LD |
| 2047-12-18 | Earth | 34088.77 | 7,136,802 km 18.6 LD |
| 2047-06-17 | Earth | 33603.51 | 18,452,340 km 48.0 LD |
| 2046-12-29 | Earth | 37620.02 | 21,148,483 km 55.0 LD |
| 2046-06-17 | Earth | 40681.89 | 38,957,657 km 101 LD |
| 2046-01-09 | Earth | 46323.72 | 42,129,376 km 110 LD |
| 2045-06-17 | Earth | 51153.63 | 59,799,209 km 156 LD |
| 2045-01-21 next | Earth | 57928.41 | 63,631,323 km 166 LD |
| 2010-06-13 | Earth | 55470.84 | 61,816,664 km 161 LD |
| 2009-11-06 | Earth | 52642.70 | 62,166,882 km 162 LD |
| 2009-06-14 | Earth | 44060.31 | 40,771,988 km 106 LD |
| 2008-11-23 | Earth | 43238.72 | 41,243,247 km 107 LD |
| 2008-06-16 | Earth | 35411.26 | 19,894,612 km 51.8 LD |
| 2007-12-07 | Earth | 36129.59 | 20,727,718 km 53.9 LD |
| 2007-06-17 | Earth | 31852.73 | 2,565,217 km 6.67 LD |
| 2006-12-19 | Earth | 34259.90 | 7,559,960 km 19.7 LD |
| 2006-06-17 | Earth | 34420.43 | 21,458,650 km 55.8 LD |
| 2005-12-31 | Earth | 39005.11 | 25,405,157 km 66.1 LD |
| 2005-06-17 | Earth | 42623.74 | 42,901,909 km 112 LD |
| 2005-01-12 | Earth | 48821.46 | 47,345,585 km 123 LD |
| 2004-06-17 | Earth | 53946.91 | 64,528,691 km 168 LD |
| 2004-01-26 | Earth | 61179.99 | 69,564,927 km 181 LD |
| 1971-06-11 | Earth | 62231.31 | 73,274,193 km 191 LD |
| 1970-10-25 | Earth | 56848.85 | 72,258,908 km 188 LD |
| 1970-06-14 | Earth | 49478.62 | 51,484,135 km 134 LD |
| 1969-11-16 | Earth | 47474.52 | 50,727,447 km 132 LD |
| 1969-06-15 | Earth | 38942.55 | 29,704,585 km 77.3 LD |
| 1968-12-01 | Earth | 38641.24 | 29,112,647 km 75.7 LD |
| 1968-06-16 | Earth | 32622.90 | 8,469,809 km 22.0 LD |
| 1967-12-14 | Earth | 34219.32 | 9,675,756 km 25.2 LD |
| 1967-06-17 | Earth | 32487.48 | 12,259,812 km 31.9 LD |
| 1966-12-26 | Earth | 36072.01 | 16,041,086 km 41.7 LD |
| 1966-06-17 | Earth | 38246.06 | 32,794,150 km 85.3 LD |
| 1966-01-06 | Earth | 43676.36 | 36,859,256 km 95.9 LD |
| 1965-06-17 | Earth | 48076.24 | 53,893,257 km 140 LD |
| 1965-01-18 | Earth | 54786.73 | 58,550,381 km 152 LD |
| 1930-06-13 | Earth | 53171.27 | 58,097,858 km 151 LD |
| 1929-06-15 | Earth | 41981.95 | 36,776,214 km 95.7 LD |
| 1928-06-16 | Earth | 34173.08 | 15,734,857 km 40.9 LD |
| 1927-06-17 | Earth | 31820.81 | 5,417,470 km 14.1 LD |
| 1925-06-17 | Earth | 45344.13 | 48,479,191 km 126 LD |
| 1925-01-16 | Earth | 52009.62 | 53,660,587 km 140 LD |
| 1924-06-18 | Earth | 57522.15 | 70,619,749 km 184 LD |
Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-09-05T23:55:29.780860+00:00.