← Back to current tracker · Insights · Impact risk · Lost asteroids · What arrived
Designation: 2007 VK3 · NASA id: 3392308
Estimated diameter: 111 – 248 meters
These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.
24.0 megatonnes – 894.5 megatonnes of TNT
This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.
The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.
Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.
Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:
The two terms:
AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing.
See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.
So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.
Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:
| Object | Size | Orbit’s closest to Earth’s | Missed by, that day | Flagged |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 JR28 | 122–272 m | 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) | 39.2 M km | Yes — both tests pass |
| 2012 LE11 | 629–1,406 m | 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) | 26.1 M km | No — orbit never gets near enough |
| 2007 EK | 3.7–8.2 m | 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) | 4.2 M km | No — far too small |
The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.
“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.
Orbit class: APO — Near-Earth asteroid orbits which cross the Earth’s orbit similar to that of 1862 Apollo
a (semi-major axis) > 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) < 1.017 AU
| Orbital period | 435.4 days (1.19 years) |
| Eccentricity | .1058192479683656 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated) |
| Semi-major axis | 1.124217382423925 AU |
| Inclination | 24.82706192646729° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's) |
| Perihelion distance | 1.005253544462861 AU (closest approach to the Sun) |
| Aphelion distance | 1.24318122038499 AU (farthest from the Sun) |
| Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance | 0.06388 AU = 9,556,925 km (closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing) |
| Ascending node longitude | 38.31380859165435° |
| Argument of perihelion | 109.5158170393477° |
| Mean anomaly / motion | 317.7868602189509° / .8268536158522649°/day |
| Jupiter Tisserand invariant | 5.467 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets) |
| Reference epoch / equinox | JD 2461000.5 / J2000 |
| Orbit determined | 2021-04-15 01:04:51 |
| Observed | 2007-11-02 to 2014-03-22 (2332 day arc, 41 observations used) |
| Orbit uncertainty | 0 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain) |
Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 86 total.
an approach today (2026-10-18) — next after that: 2032-10-30
| Date | Passed near | Velocity (km/h) | Miss distance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2200-04-28 | Earth | 45552.15 | 15,959,836 km 41.5 LD |
| 2199-11-11 | Earth | 52438.46 | 39,042,277 km 102 LD |
| 2194-04-30 | Earth | 50754.54 | 22,750,238 km 59.2 LD |
| 2193-11-06 | Earth | 46254.45 | 23,506,560 km 61.2 LD |
| 2188-05-05 | Earth | 64567.52 | 56,042,717 km 146 LD |
| 2187-10-30 | Earth | 45619.27 | 36,342,068 km 94.5 LD |
| 2181-10-16 | Earth | 47002.18 | 60,110,649 km 156 LD |
| 2175-04-29 | Earth | 49549.38 | 47,168,603 km 123 LD |
| 2174-11-13 | Earth | 64933.90 | 66,664,780 km 173 LD |
| 2169-04-27 | Earth | 45572.45 | 15,415,708 km 40.1 LD |
| 2168-11-11 | Earth | 52193.34 | 38,488,185 km 100 LD |
| 2163-04-30 | Earth | 50743.06 | 22,771,708 km 59.2 LD |
| 2162-11-06 | Earth | 46291.50 | 23,482,255 km 61.1 LD |
| 2157-05-05 | Earth | 64219.49 | 55,437,659 km 144 LD |
| 2156-10-29 | Earth | 45565.80 | 36,000,061 km 93.7 LD |
| 2150-10-17 | Earth | 46975.88 | 59,300,095 km 154 LD |
| 2144-04-28 | Earth | 49991.66 | 49,053,883 km 128 LD |
| 2143-11-13 | Earth | 65781.35 | 68,374,061 km 178 LD |
| 2138-04-27 | Earth | 45535.60 | 17,484,699 km 45.5 LD |
| 2137-11-11 | Earth | 52960.89 | 40,330,829 km 105 LD |
| 2132-04-29 | Earth | 49879.88 | 20,085,807 km 52.3 LD |
| 2131-11-07 | Earth | 46564.06 | 23,774,236 km 61.8 LD |
| 2126-05-05 | Earth | 62598.48 | 52,052,230 km 135 LD |
| 2125-10-30 | Earth | 45502.61 | 33,903,786 km 88.2 LD |
| 2119-10-19 | Earth | 46892.57 | 56,755,783 km 148 LD |
| 2113-04-29 | Earth | 50876.38 | 52,923,484 km 138 LD |
| 2112-11-12 | Earth | 67739.73 | 71,927,832 km 187 LD |
| 2107-04-28 | Earth | 45646.84 | 21,116,579 km 54.9 LD |
| 2106-11-11 | Earth | 54220.49 | 43,504,641 km 113 LD |
| 2101-04-29 | Earth | 48828.81 | 16,549,375 km 43.1 LD |
| 2100-11-07 | Earth | 47058.89 | 24,580,975 km 63.9 LD |
| 2095-05-03 | Earth | 60787.75 | 48,191,608 km 125 LD |
| 2094-10-30 | Earth | 45402.32 | 31,643,042 km 82.3 LD |
| 2088-10-18 | Earth | 46813.19 | 54,290,407 km 141 LD |
| 2082-04-29 | Earth | 51645.03 | 56,102,963 km 146 LD |
| 2076-04-26 | Earth | 45796.88 | 23,749,401 km 61.8 LD |
| 2075-11-11 | Earth | 55146.34 | 45,680,269 km 119 LD |
| 2070-04-28 | Earth | 48246.47 | 14,684,754 km 38.2 LD |
| 2069-11-06 | Earth | 47390.38 | 25,212,265 km 65.6 LD |
| 2064-05-02 | Earth | 59957.34 | 46,409,546 km 121 LD |
| 2063-10-31 | Earth | 45376.74 | 30,712,324 km 79.9 LD |
| 2057-10-19 | Earth | 46756.26 | 53,650,281 km 140 LD |
| 2051-04-29 | Earth | 51691.49 | 56,375,827 km 147 LD |
| 2045-04-26 | Earth | 45747.72 | 23,465,714 km 61.0 LD |
| 2044-11-10 | Earth | 55057.95 | 45,296,507 km 118 LD |
| 2039-04-28 | Earth | 48497.86 | 15,486,976 km 40.3 LD |
| 2038-11-06 | Earth | 47198.92 | 24,785,479 km 64.5 LD |
| 2033-05-02 | Earth | 60704.64 | 47,957,800 km 125 LD |
| 2032-10-30 next | Earth | 45417.03 | 31,637,601 km 82.3 LD |
| 2026-10-18 today | Earth | 46870.06 | 55,288,223 km 144 LD |
| 2020-04-28 | Earth | 50948.20 | 53,603,200 km 139 LD |
| 2019-11-11 | Earth | 68072.08 | 72,352,819 km 188 LD |
| 2014-04-26 | Earth | 45590.32 | 20,449,937 km 53.2 LD |
| 2013-11-10 | Earth | 53922.19 | 42,547,911 km 111 LD |
| 2008-04-28 | Earth | 49358.08 | 18,533,332 km 48.2 LD |
| 2007-11-06 | Earth | 46760.28 | 23,796,478 km 61.9 LD |
| 2002-05-03 | Earth | 62470.84 | 51,868,354 km 135 LD |
| 2001-10-29 | Earth | 45482.30 | 34,012,480 km 88.5 LD |
| 1995-10-17 | Earth | 46971.70 | 58,157,347 km 151 LD |
| 1989-04-27 | Earth | 50014.16 | 49,664,459 km 129 LD |
| 1988-11-11 | Earth | 66130.00 | 68,639,592 km 179 LD |
| 1983-04-26 | Earth | 45490.24 | 16,975,165 km 44.2 LD |
| 1982-11-10 | Earth | 52742.70 | 39,407,330 km 103 LD |
| 1977-04-28 | Earth | 50444.68 | 21,949,212 km 57.1 LD |
| 1976-11-04 | Earth | 46309.97 | 23,279,542 km 60.6 LD |
| 1971-05-04 | Earth | 64202.71 | 55,367,336 km 144 LD |
| 1970-10-28 | Earth | 45624.43 | 36,218,392 km 94.2 LD |
| 1964-10-14 | Earth | 47037.13 | 60,365,123 km 157 LD |
| 1958-04-27 | Earth | 49402.43 | 47,198,606 km 123 LD |
| 1957-11-11 | Earth | 64983.05 | 66,328,229 km 173 LD |
| 1952-04-26 | Earth | 45524.01 | 15,345,263 km 39.9 LD |
| 1951-11-10 | Earth | 52112.37 | 37,870,134 km 98.5 LD |
| 1946-04-29 | Earth | 50839.92 | 23,213,280 km 60.4 LD |
| 1945-11-04 | Earth | 46214.26 | 23,200,129 km 60.4 LD |
| 1940-05-03 | Earth | 64561.85 | 56,163,990 km 146 LD |
| 1939-10-28 | Earth | 45617.42 | 36,777,791 km 95.7 LD |
| 1933-10-14 | Earth | 47019.53 | 60,488,697 km 157 LD |
| 1927-04-27 | Earth | 49544.25 | 47,785,357 km 124 LD |
| 1926-11-11 | Earth | 65202.43 | 66,811,200 km 174 LD |
| 1921-04-26 | Earth | 45475.68 | 16,325,472 km 42.5 LD |
| 1920-11-09 | Earth | 52488.22 | 38,714,711 km 101 LD |
| 1915-04-29 | Earth | 50301.62 | 21,590,724 km 56.2 LD |
| 1914-11-05 | Earth | 46352.51 | 23,271,687 km 60.5 LD |
| 1909-05-03 | Earth | 63403.22 | 53,765,050 km 140 LD |
| 1908-10-28 | Earth | 45570.12 | 35,285,937 km 91.8 LD |
| 1902-10-16 | Earth | 46970.27 | 58,568,698 km 152 LD |
Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-10-15T22:01:01.650544+00:00.