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Designation: 2008 TC2 · NASA id: 3429818
Estimated diameter: 56 – 124 meters
These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.
1.4 megatonnes – 50.8 megatonnes of TNT
This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.
The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.
Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.
Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:
The two terms:
AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing.
See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.
So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.
Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:
| Object | Size | Orbit’s closest to Earth’s | Missed by, that day | Flagged |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 JR28 | 122–272 m | 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) | 39.2 M km | Yes — both tests pass |
| 2012 LE11 | 629–1,406 m | 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) | 26.1 M km | No — orbit never gets near enough |
| 2007 EK | 3.7–8.2 m | 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) | 4.2 M km | No — far too small |
The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.
“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.
Orbit class: APO — Near-Earth asteroid orbits which cross the Earth’s orbit similar to that of 1862 Apollo
a (semi-major axis) > 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) < 1.017 AU
| Orbital period | 401.8 days (1.10 years) |
| Eccentricity | .3106098830581881 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated) |
| Semi-major axis | 1.065616632809997 AU |
| Inclination | 5.756331690954308° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's) |
| Perihelion distance | .7346255751080241 AU (closest approach to the Sun) |
| Aphelion distance | 1.396607690511971 AU (farthest from the Sun) |
| Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance | 0.01807 AU = 2,703,772 km (closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing) |
| Ascending node longitude | 196.4252790332621° |
| Argument of perihelion | 71.96053953982833° |
| Mean anomaly / motion | 277.8606509424327° / .8959888144852335°/day |
| Jupiter Tisserand invariant | 5.739 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets) |
| Reference epoch / equinox | JD 2461000.5 / J2000 |
| Orbit determined | 2021-06-21 06:25:37 |
| Observed | 2008-10-03 to 2019-11-02 (4047 day arc, 94 observations used) |
| Orbit uncertainty | 0 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain) |
Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 173 total.
It orbits the Sun. Not Earth, and not Venus. The column above does not say what the asteroid goes around — it says which planet a given close approach was to. 155 of them were approaches to Earth and 18 of them were approaches to Venus.
This one’s path runs from 0.735 AU at its closest to the Sun out to 1.397 AU at its farthest. For scale, Venus orbits at about 0.72 AU and Earth at 1.00 AU — so an orbit spanning that range crosses the path of every planet in between, once on the way out and once on the way back.
Crossing a planet’s path is not the same as meeting the planet. Almost every time the asteroid crosses, that planet is somewhere else along its own orbit. A close approach is logged only on the rare occasions when both happen to arrive at the crossing point at roughly the same time — which is why the dates below are scattered rather than regular. This object takes 401.8 days to go round, against Earth’s 365.25, so the two drift in and out of step over years rather than repeating on a neat cycle.
The Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance in the table above (0.0181 AU) is the closest the two paths ever come. The miss distances below are how far apart the two bodies actually were on the day, which is almost always very much larger.
next approach: 2028-03-02
| Date | Passed near | Velocity (km/h) | Miss distance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2198-10-12 | Earth | 63783.11 | 37,949,564 km 98.7 LD |
| 2197-11-06 | Earth | 27619.94 | 47,638,195 km 124 LD |
| 2197-07-20 | Earth | 34252.64 | 41,426,811 km 108 LD |
| 2197-01-02 | Earth | 33162.62 | 63,186,533 km 164 LD |
| 2196-05-12 | Venus | 22709.51 | 10,741,763 km 27.9 LD |
| 2196-03-22 | Earth | 28433.39 | 13,882,131 km 36.1 LD |
| 2187-10-12 | Earth | 63457.31 | 37,526,731 km 97.6 LD |
| 2186-11-06 | Earth | 27479.02 | 47,252,154 km 123 LD |
| 2186-07-21 | Earth | 34052.98 | 41,290,642 km 107 LD |
| 2186-01-02 | Earth | 33182.61 | 63,135,548 km 164 LD |
| 2185-03-23 | Earth | 27293.65 | 15,531,733 km 40.4 LD |
| 2180-12-13 | Venus | 37501.70 | 12,558,997 km 32.7 LD |
| 2176-10-12 | Earth | 65316.82 | 40,061,637 km 104 LD |
| 2175-11-04 | Earth | 26992.19 | 46,132,556 km 120 LD |
| 2175-07-24 | Earth | 33425.32 | 40,750,117 km 106 LD |
| 2175-01-01 | Earth | 33312.55 | 63,345,660 km 165 LD |
| 2174-03-25 | Earth | 25863.07 | 17,782,190 km 46.3 LD |
| 2165-10-14 | Earth | 68905.14 | 45,021,791 km 117 LD |
| 2164-10-29 | Earth | 25691.50 | 42,995,484 km 112 LD |
| 2164-07-31 | Earth | 31564.77 | 39,085,031 km 102 LD |
| 2163-12-29 | Earth | 33553.19 | 63,735,457 km 166 LD |
| 2163-04-03 | Earth | 23489.56 | 23,085,653 km 60.1 LD |
| 2162-02-23 | Earth | 87240.27 | 69,816,262 km 182 LD |
| 2160-02-17 | Venus | 25414.94 | 16,550,426 km 43.1 LD |
| 2154-10-16 | Earth | 74691.21 | 52,975,227 km 138 LD |
| 2153-10-20 | Earth | 23378.89 | 37,013,207 km 96.3 LD |
| 2153-08-13 | Earth | 27437.70 | 35,359,793 km 92.0 LD |
| 2152-12-23 | Earth | 33690.43 | 63,863,386 km 166 LD |
| 2152-04-22 | Earth | 26752.01 | 30,649,092 km 79.7 LD |
| 2151-02-26 | Earth | 79602.18 | 59,588,849 km 155 LD |
| 2144-09-21 | Venus | 22847.83 | 14,675,527 km 38.2 LD |
| 2143-10-20 | Earth | 83129.95 | 64,504,075 km 168 LD |
| 2142-09-29 | Earth | 20554.25 | 26,411,419 km 68.7 LD |
| 2141-12-16 | Earth | 33537.04 | 63,426,182 km 165 LD |
| 2141-05-12 | Earth | 31929.35 | 37,007,689 km 96.3 LD |
| 2141-02-16 | Earth | 23963.86 | 43,346,908 km 113 LD |
| 2140-03-01 | Earth | 70276.03 | 46,988,326 km 122 LD |
| 2131-09-28 | Earth | 29253.70 | 11,787,763 km 30.7 LD |
| 2130-12-08 | Earth | 33118.39 | 62,043,671 km 161 LD |
| 2130-05-29 | Earth | 35758.99 | 41,255,733 km 107 LD |
| 2130-02-03 | Earth | 27642.47 | 50,697,734 km 132 LD |
| 2129-05-08 | Venus | 23306.65 | 15,192,984 km 39.5 LD |
| 2129-03-06 | Earth | 60706.39 | 33,980,332 km 88.4 LD |
| 2120-10-01 | Earth | 37541.43 | 2,524,120 km 6.57 LD |
| 2119-11-30 | Earth | 32238.86 | 59,265,733 km 154 LD |
| 2119-06-14 | Earth | 37718.32 | 43,604,620 km 113 LD |
| 2119-01-22 | Earth | 30141.41 | 56,103,867 km 146 LD |
| 2118-03-10 | Earth | 49157.73 | 18,255,945 km 47.5 LD |
| 2114-01-04 | Venus | 29641.26 | 18,418,309 km 47.9 LD |
| 2109-10-08 | Earth | 54252.73 | 24,805,959 km 64.5 LD |
| 2108-11-13 | Earth | 29343.30 | 51,798,915 km 135 LD |
| 2108-07-09 | Earth | 36411.07 | 43,219,794 km 112 LD |
| 2108-01-07 | Earth | 32646.67 | 61,572,847 km 160 LD |
| 2107-03-19 | Earth | 31946.89 | 9,279,618 km 24.1 LD |
| 2104-01-19 | Venus | 39241.16 | 13,793,771 km 35.9 LD |
| 2098-10-15 | Earth | 74873.74 | 53,345,668 km 139 LD |
| 2097-10-16 | Earth | 22756.64 | 35,467,227 km 92.3 LD |
| 2097-08-15 | Earth | 26311.51 | 34,331,093 km 89.3 LD |
| 2096-12-20 | Earth | 33660.55 | 63,576,603 km 165 LD |
| 2096-04-28 | Earth | 28612.04 | 33,105,804 km 86.1 LD |
| 2096-02-28 | Earth | 20513.13 | 37,387,839 km 97.3 LD |
| 2095-02-27 | Earth | 75536.55 | 54,042,710 km 141 LD |
| 2088-09-22 | Venus | 22368.51 | 13,574,666 km 35.3 LD |
| 2086-09-28 | Earth | 31801.59 | 7,917,343 km 20.6 LD |
| 2085-12-04 | Earth | 32752.31 | 60,916,690 km 158 LD |
| 2085-06-03 | Earth | 36875.98 | 42,480,012 km 111 LD |
| 2085-01-27 | Earth | 28872.87 | 53,134,660 km 138 LD |
| 2084-03-06 | Earth | 55108.69 | 26,340,631 km 68.5 LD |
| 2075-10-04 | Earth | 47671.18 | 15,640,066 km 40.7 LD |
| 2074-11-19 | Earth | 30755.23 | 55,243,688 km 144 LD |
| 2074-06-28 | Earth | 37588.07 | 43,952,468 km 114 LD |
| 2074-01-12 | Earth | 31808.77 | 59,858,263 km 156 LD |
| 2073-03-14 | Earth | 38731.79 | 6,311,188 km 16.4 LD |
| 2064-10-09 | Earth | 63012.76 | 37,008,194 km 96.3 LD |
| 2063-11-03 | Earth | 27194.83 | 46,432,578 km 121 LD |
| 2063-07-22 | Earth | 33677.06 | 40,984,025 km 107 LD |
| 2063-06-13 | Venus | 37908.92 | 12,783,638 km 33.3 LD |
| 2062-12-30 | Earth | 33334.52 | 63,073,235 km 164 LD |
| 2062-03-25 | Earth | 25426.06 | 18,407,074 km 47.9 LD |
| 2061-02-20 | Earth | 90082.03 | 73,604,244 km 191 LD |
| 2053-10-15 | Earth | 75948.73 | 54,729,368 km 142 LD |
| 2052-10-15 | Earth | 22668.08 | 35,163,730 km 91.5 LD |
| 2052-08-15 | Earth | 26112.33 | 34,101,146 km 88.7 LD |
| 2051-12-20 | Earth | 33632.35 | 63,679,895 km 166 LD |
| 2051-04-27 | Earth | 28295.83 | 32,562,283 km 84.7 LD |
| 2051-03-02 | Earth | 19723.99 | 36,673,913 km 95.4 LD |
| 2050-02-26 | Earth | 76794.50 | 55,844,674 km 145 LD |
| 2048-01-28 | Venus | 30662.36 | 7,918,150 km 20.6 LD |
| 2042-10-19 | Earth | 86501.43 | 69,017,402 km 180 LD |
| 2041-09-25 | Earth | 22545.37 | 22,175,916 km 57.7 LD |
| 2040-12-12 | Earth | 33530.97 | 63,131,219 km 164 LD |
| 2040-05-15 | Earth | 33257.75 | 38,410,366 km 99.9 LD |
| 2040-02-11 | Earth | 25249.48 | 45,696,516 km 119 LD |
| 2039-03-02 | Earth | 67777.18 | 43,638,491 km 114 LD |
| 2032-09-09 | Venus | 35557.46 | 10,920,239 km 28.4 LD |
| 2030-09-26 | Earth | 27698.53 | 14,079,289 km 36.6 LD |
| 2029-12-08 | Earth | 33389.70 | 62,570,452 km 163 LD |
| 2029-05-23 | Earth | 35118.81 | 40,377,187 km 105 LD |
| 2029-02-04 | Earth | 26869.91 | 49,207,380 km 128 LD |
| 2028-03-02 next | Earth | 63964.42 | 38,417,366 km 99.9 LD |
| 2019-09-26 | Earth | 26903.56 | 15,240,434 km 39.6 LD |
| 2018-12-09 | Earth | 33442.54 | 62,728,890 km 163 LD |
| 2018-05-22 | Earth | 34753.76 | 39,998,373 km 104 LD |
| 2018-02-05 | Earth | 26538.07 | 48,538,662 km 126 LD |
| 2017-03-02 | Earth | 65039.35 | 39,877,603 km 104 LD |
| 2011-10-17 | Venus | 24733.04 | 8,459,500 km 22.0 LD |
| 2009-10-20 | Earth | 89004.71 | 72,438,646 km 188 LD |
| 2008-09-25 | Earth | 23581.73 | 20,395,457 km 53.1 LD |
| 2007-12-12 | Earth | 33625.87 | 63,319,154 km 165 LD |
| 2007-05-15 | Earth | 33163.92 | 38,263,848 km 99.5 LD |
| 2007-02-11 | Earth | 25092.16 | 45,600,474 km 119 LD |
| 2006-03-01 | Earth | 69241.04 | 45,586,535 km 119 LD |
| 1998-10-18 | Earth | 85451.78 | 67,692,170 km 176 LD |
| 1997-09-27 | Earth | 20927.18 | 25,362,693 km 66.0 LD |
| 1996-12-14 | Earth | 33725.82 | 63,689,511 km 166 LD |
| 1996-05-08 | Earth | 31553.38 | 36,351,208 km 94.6 LD |
| 1996-02-17 | Earth | 23519.49 | 42,561,578 km 111 LD |
| 1995-02-27 | Earth | 73113.68 | 50,779,815 km 132 LD |
| 1990-11-22 | Venus | 22397.24 | 11,279,862 km 29.3 LD |
| 1987-10-17 | Earth | 80606.42 | 61,176,211 km 159 LD |
| 1986-10-08 | Earth | 21367.64 | 31,549,231 km 82.1 LD |
| 1986-08-25 | Earth | 23191.36 | 31,334,793 km 81.5 LD |
| 1985-12-18 | Earth | 33753.72 | 63,936,110 km 166 LD |
| 1985-04-29 | Earth | 28978.81 | 33,314,152 km 86.7 LD |
| 1985-02-26 | Earth | 20640.46 | 37,943,284 km 98.7 LD |
| 1984-02-26 | Earth | 77302.80 | 56,468,306 km 147 LD |
| 1976-10-15 | Earth | 78352.58 | 58,124,150 km 151 LD |
| 1975-10-13 | Earth | 22244.27 | 34,120,089 km 88.8 LD |
| 1975-08-18 | Earth | 25324.79 | 33,316,318 km 86.7 LD |
| 1975-06-20 | Venus | 47035.73 | 20,778,836 km 54.1 LD |
| 1974-12-20 | Earth | 33768.64 | 64,043,566 km 167 LD |
| 1974-04-24 | Earth | 27414.59 | 31,412,137 km 81.7 LD |
| 1973-02-24 | Earth | 80080.39 | 60,202,426 km 157 LD |
| 1970-01-12 | Venus | 25902.51 | 16,628,364 km 43.3 LD |
| 1965-10-14 | Earth | 75187.49 | 53,809,722 km 140 LD |
| 1964-10-18 | Earth | 23517.96 | 37,412,772 km 97.3 LD |
| 1964-08-10 | Earth | 27713.52 | 35,659,395 km 92.8 LD |
| 1963-12-22 | Earth | 33701.02 | 63,910,625 km 166 LD |
| 1963-04-17 | Earth | 25789.75 | 29,115,660 km 75.7 LD |
| 1962-02-23 | Earth | 82102.46 | 62,997,249 km 164 LD |
| 1954-10-14 | Earth | 74877.85 | 53,380,296 km 139 LD |
| 1954-07-25 | Venus | 33867.92 | 9,768,653 km 25.4 LD |
| 1953-10-20 | Earth | 23844.60 | 38,230,465 km 99.5 LD |
| 1953-08-08 | Earth | 28311.82 | 36,199,910 km 94.2 LD |
| 1952-12-22 | Earth | 33741.64 | 64,067,217 km 167 LD |
| 1952-04-13 | Earth | 24991.70 | 27,666,281 km 72.0 LD |
| 1951-02-23 | Earth | 84202.18 | 65,815,054 km 171 LD |
| 1943-10-13 | Earth | 70365.92 | 47,146,803 km 123 LD |
| 1942-10-26 | Earth | 25448.25 | 42,124,416 km 110 LD |
| 1942-07-31 | Earth | 31068.24 | 38,619,488 km 100 LD |
| 1941-12-26 | Earth | 33582.61 | 63,784,264 km 166 LD |
| 1941-04-01 | Earth | 23582.24 | 23,364,056 km 60.8 LD |
| 1940-02-21 | Earth | 87548.92 | 70,350,239 km 183 LD |
| 1933-08-28 | Venus | 27310.96 | 7,410,870 km 19.3 LD |
| 1932-10-11 | Earth | 68008.28 | 43,884,217 km 114 LD |
| 1931-10-30 | Earth | 26311.30 | 44,204,116 km 115 LD |
| 1931-07-26 | Earth | 32391.69 | 39,780,150 km 103 LD |
| 1930-12-28 | Earth | 33480.52 | 63,601,921 km 165 LD |
| 1930-03-26 | Earth | 24653.30 | 19,972,056 km 52.0 LD |
| 1929-02-20 | Earth | 90300.26 | 74,026,721 km 193 LD |
| 1921-10-10 | Earth | 66422.36 | 41,695,029 km 108 LD |
| 1920-10-31 | Earth | 26701.86 | 45,131,469 km 117 LD |
| 1920-07-23 | Earth | 32932.06 | 40,285,443 km 105 LD |
| 1919-12-29 | Earth | 33413.54 | 63,401,542 km 165 LD |
| 1919-03-25 | Earth | 25202.39 | 18,954,843 km 49.3 LD |
| 1918-02-20 | Earth | 90677.37 | 74,521,134 km 194 LD |
| 1912-10-22 | Venus | 24440.79 | 15,672,650 km 40.8 LD |
| 1910-10-11 | Earth | 67051.97 | 42,564,409 km 111 LD |
| 1909-10-30 | Earth | 26353.35 | 44,266,742 km 115 LD |
| 1909-07-25 | Earth | 32410.84 | 39,858,079 km 104 LD |
| 1908-12-27 | Earth | 33473.85 | 63,421,217 km 165 LD |
| 1908-03-27 | Earth | 24172.55 | 21,013,073 km 54.7 LD |
| 1907-02-21 | Earth | 88667.24 | 71,863,435 km 187 LD |
Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-09-05T13:13:02.551395+00:00.