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Designation: 2009 TK8 · NASA id: 3471518
Estimated diameter: 246 – 550 meters
These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.
365.5 megatonnes – 13,622 megatonnes of TNT
This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.
The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.
Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.
Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:
The two terms:
AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing.
See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.
So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.
Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:
| Object | Size | Orbit’s closest to Earth’s | Missed by, that day | Flagged |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 JR28 | 122–272 m | 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) | 39.2 M km | Yes — both tests pass |
| 2012 LE11 | 629–1,406 m | 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) | 26.1 M km | No — orbit never gets near enough |
| 2007 EK | 3.7–8.2 m | 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) | 4.2 M km | No — far too small |
The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.
“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.
Orbit class: ATE — Near-Earth asteroid orbits similar to that of 2062 Aten
a (semi-major axis) < 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) > 0.983 AU
| Orbital period | 327.3 days (0.90 years) |
| Eccentricity | .3402834970997913 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated) |
| Semi-major axis | .9294138596473034 AU |
| Inclination | 21.16395662610568° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's) |
| Perihelion distance | .6131496612335043 AU (closest approach to the Sun) |
| Aphelion distance | 1.245678058061102 AU (farthest from the Sun) |
| Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance | 0.07368 AU = 11,022,700 km (closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing) |
| Ascending node longitude | 29.23200885563308° |
| Argument of perihelion | 222.2651589624449° |
| Mean anomaly / motion | 90.68464857565759° / 1.099994103537443°/day |
| Jupiter Tisserand invariant | 6.340 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets) |
| Reference epoch / equinox | JD 2461000.5 / J2000 |
| Orbit determined | 2024-10-10 17:28:47 |
| Observed | 2009-10-15 to 2019-11-17 (3685 day arc, 291 observations used) |
| Orbit uncertainty | 0 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain) |
Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 189 total.
It orbits the Sun. Not Earth, and not Venus. The column above does not say what the asteroid goes around — it says which planet a given close approach was to. 163 of them were approaches to Earth and 26 of them were approaches to Venus.
This one’s path runs from 0.613 AU at its closest to the Sun out to 1.246 AU at its farthest. For scale, Venus orbits at about 0.72 AU and Earth at 1.00 AU — so an orbit spanning that range crosses the path of every planet in between, once on the way out and once on the way back.
Crossing a planet’s path is not the same as meeting the planet. Almost every time the asteroid crosses, that planet is somewhere else along its own orbit. A close approach is logged only on the rare occasions when both happen to arrive at the crossing point at roughly the same time — which is why the dates below are scattered rather than regular. This object takes 327.3 days to go round, against Earth’s 365.25, so the two drift in and out of step over years rather than repeating on a neat cycle.
The Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance in the table above (0.0737 AU) is the closest the two paths ever come. The miss distances below are how far apart the two bodies actually were on the day, which is almost always very much larger.
next approach: 2027-06-24
| Date | Passed near | Velocity (km/h) | Miss distance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2200-12-12 | Earth | 39339.07 | 61,919,274 km 161 LD |
| 2200-06-14 | Earth | 62033.10 | 69,149,393 km 180 LD |
| 2199-10-17 | Earth | 47753.88 | 13,565,365 km 35.3 LD |
| 2193-03-15 | Venus | 55524.97 | 6,433,810 km 16.7 LD |
| 2193-02-16 | Earth | 64395.39 | 52,178,078 km 136 LD |
| 2192-04-27 | Earth | 63655.74 | 54,526,929 km 142 LD |
| 2191-11-16 | Earth | 42711.49 | 52,325,494 km 136 LD |
| 2191-07-12 | Earth | 48914.06 | 70,629,211 km 184 LD |
| 2190-10-17 | Earth | 62599.50 | 23,476,507 km 61.1 LD |
| 2184-03-12 | Earth | 56305.28 | 43,641,807 km 114 LD |
| 2183-05-23 | Earth | 65600.15 | 63,581,138 km 165 LD |
| 2183-05-04 | Venus | 68241.79 | 15,140,791 km 39.4 LD |
| 2182-10-26 | Earth | 42984.00 | 33,284,950 km 86.6 LD |
| 2181-10-23 | Earth | 83980.12 | 54,192,934 km 141 LD |
| 2176-02-02 | Earth | 80322.24 | 69,163,436 km 180 LD |
| 2175-04-07 | Earth | 59460.68 | 47,272,040 km 123 LD |
| 2174-12-08 | Earth | 40038.37 | 61,283,380 km 159 LD |
| 2174-06-16 | Earth | 61251.03 | 69,595,376 km 181 LD |
| 2173-10-16 | Earth | 48924.79 | 12,021,684 km 31.3 LD |
| 2171-09-16 | Venus | 49831.89 | 21,770,761 km 56.6 LD |
| 2167-02-18 | Earth | 62847.28 | 50,641,374 km 132 LD |
| 2166-04-30 | Earth | 64039.96 | 55,497,672 km 144 LD |
| 2165-11-13 | Earth | 42745.28 | 50,725,375 km 132 LD |
| 2165-07-15 | Earth | 46516.63 | 70,279,101 km 183 LD |
| 2164-10-17 | Earth | 64646.18 | 26,448,481 km 68.8 LD |
| 2161-10-29 | Venus | 55701.18 | 6,340,580 km 16.5 LD |
| 2158-03-14 | Earth | 56292.86 | 43,597,666 km 113 LD |
| 2157-05-24 | Earth | 65572.95 | 64,206,165 km 167 LD |
| 2156-10-24 | Earth | 43067.52 | 31,253,765 km 81.3 LD |
| 2155-10-24 | Earth | 86195.07 | 57,211,407 km 149 LD |
| 2151-12-18 | Venus | 68019.01 | 14,919,761 km 38.8 LD |
| 2150-02-04 | Earth | 77665.31 | 66,309,311 km 173 LD |
| 2149-04-09 | Earth | 60058.97 | 48,227,793 km 125 LD |
| 2148-12-03 | Earth | 40793.46 | 60,384,141 km 157 LD |
| 2148-06-19 | Earth | 60061.76 | 70,041,778 km 182 LD |
| 2147-10-16 | Earth | 50426.81 | 10,969,369 km 28.5 LD |
| 2141-02-21 | Earth | 60910.29 | 48,731,125 km 127 LD |
| 2140-05-03 | Earth | 64593.91 | 56,801,786 km 148 LD |
| 2140-05-02 | Venus | 49819.22 | 22,387,072 km 58.2 LD |
| 2139-11-10 | Earth | 42797.94 | 48,494,574 km 126 LD |
| 2139-07-21 | Earth | 42850.21 | 69,593,611 km 181 LD |
| 2138-10-18 | Earth | 67384.60 | 30,519,454 km 79.4 LD |
| 2132-03-17 | Earth | 56432.80 | 43,759,365 km 114 LD |
| 2131-05-28 | Earth | 65285.19 | 65,277,455 km 170 LD |
| 2130-10-23 | Earth | 43406.98 | 28,061,653 km 73.0 LD |
| 2130-06-16 | Venus | 54385.78 | 7,694,189 km 20.0 LD |
| 2129-10-25 | Earth | 89201.72 | 61,405,021 km 160 LD |
| 2124-02-07 | Earth | 74142.10 | 62,531,291 km 163 LD |
| 2123-04-14 | Earth | 61067.20 | 49,730,968 km 129 LD |
| 2122-11-29 | Earth | 41621.59 | 58,651,641 km 153 LD |
| 2122-06-25 | Earth | 57908.95 | 70,581,713 km 184 LD |
| 2121-10-16 | Earth | 53411.23 | 11,732,987 km 30.5 LD |
| 2120-08-04 | Venus | 64624.12 | 11,308,398 km 29.4 LD |
| 2115-02-27 | Earth | 58332.72 | 46,151,694 km 120 LD |
| 2114-05-10 | Earth | 65312.68 | 59,200,518 km 154 LD |
| 2113-11-04 | Earth | 42848.12 | 43,795,507 km 114 LD |
| 2113-08-04 | Earth | 32667.06 | 67,204,091 km 175 LD |
| 2112-10-19 | Earth | 73070.93 | 38,750,700 km 101 LD |
| 2106-03-25 | Earth | 57275.92 | 44,640,287 km 116 LD |
| 2105-12-27 | Earth | 34688.90 | 62,786,132 km 163 LD |
| 2105-06-04 | Earth | 64361.36 | 67,172,734 km 175 LD |
| 2104-10-19 | Earth | 44753.57 | 21,224,075 km 55.2 LD |
| 2103-10-27 | Earth | 95727.33 | 70,286,659 km 183 LD |
| 2099-02-03 | Venus | 51308.26 | 13,712,514 km 35.7 LD |
| 2098-02-09 | Earth | 69191.56 | 57,374,168 km 149 LD |
| 2097-04-19 | Earth | 62361.56 | 51,943,137 km 135 LD |
| 2096-11-21 | Earth | 42305.19 | 55,924,263 km 145 LD |
| 2096-06-30 | Earth | 54385.36 | 70,905,966 km 184 LD |
| 2095-10-15 | Earth | 57462.63 | 16,360,320 km 42.6 LD |
| 2089-03-24 | Venus | 58183.99 | 5,896,197 km 15.3 LD |
| 2089-03-05 | Earth | 56630.09 | 44,317,587 km 115 LD |
| 2088-05-16 | Earth | 65736.83 | 61,795,554 km 161 LD |
| 2087-10-29 | Earth | 42856.86 | 37,881,502 km 98.5 LD |
| 2086-10-21 | Earth | 79485.52 | 47,929,571 km 125 LD |
| 2081-01-29 | Earth | 83169.96 | 72,452,187 km 188 LD |
| 2080-04-01 | Earth | 58800.19 | 46,492,571 km 121 LD |
| 2079-12-11 | Earth | 39174.96 | 61,869,420 km 161 LD |
| 2079-06-12 | Earth | 62411.92 | 69,010,515 km 180 LD |
| 2079-05-14 | Venus | 70584.47 | 17,701,565 km 46.0 LD |
| 2078-10-16 | Earth | 47484.82 | 14,161,562 km 36.8 LD |
| 2072-02-15 | Earth | 64064.81 | 52,087,092 km 136 LD |
| 2071-04-27 | Earth | 63738.34 | 54,683,149 km 142 LD |
| 2070-11-14 | Earth | 42701.89 | 52,000,763 km 135 LD |
| 2070-07-10 | Earth | 48824.30 | 70,570,281 km 184 LD |
| 2069-10-16 | Earth | 62796.31 | 23,878,028 km 62.1 LD |
| 2067-09-26 | Venus | 49970.33 | 20,625,693 km 53.7 LD |
| 2063-03-11 | Earth | 56218.59 | 43,788,767 km 114 LD |
| 2062-05-21 | Earth | 65754.89 | 63,555,473 km 165 LD |
| 2061-10-25 | Earth | 42965.88 | 33,122,613 km 86.2 LD |
| 2060-10-22 | Earth | 84304.66 | 54,667,529 km 142 LD |
| 2057-11-10 | Venus | 54886.55 | 7,169,022 km 18.6 LD |
| 2055-02-01 | Earth | 78653.32 | 67,534,134 km 176 LD |
| 2054-04-07 | Earth | 59875.03 | 48,024,350 km 125 LD |
| 2053-12-03 | Earth | 40658.70 | 60,465,922 km 157 LD |
| 2053-06-17 | Earth | 60483.27 | 69,913,789 km 182 LD |
| 2052-10-14 | Earth | 50135.60 | 11,204,267 km 29.1 LD |
| 2047-12-31 | Venus | 64559.62 | 11,303,018 km 29.4 LD |
| 2046-02-21 | Earth | 60183.79 | 48,209,592 km 125 LD |
| 2045-05-03 | Earth | 64843.11 | 57,350,037 km 149 LD |
| 2044-11-07 | Earth | 42823.68 | 47,438,966 km 123 LD |
| 2044-07-21 | Earth | 41310.88 | 69,226,678 km 180 LD |
| 2043-10-18 | Earth | 68615.03 | 32,405,471 km 84.3 LD |
| 2037-03-18 | Earth | 56566.71 | 44,052,507 km 115 LD |
| 2036-05-28 | Earth | 65187.74 | 65,783,014 km 171 LD |
| 2035-10-21 | Earth | 43654.00 | 26,348,221 km 68.5 LD |
| 2034-10-24 | Earth | 90796.44 | 63,633,137 km 166 LD |
| 2029-02-05 | Earth | 73166.06 | 61,639,584 km 160 LD |
| 2028-04-13 | Earth | 61298.16 | 50,109,288 km 130 LD |
| 2027-11-27 | Earth | 41785.43 | 58,230,800 km 151 LD |
| 2027-06-24 next | Earth | 57717.10 | 70,590,828 km 184 LD |
| 2026-10-15 | Earth | 53680.93 | 12,187,273 km 31.7 LD |
| 2026-07-01 | Venus | 51591.08 | 13,041,427 km 33.9 LD |
| 2020-02-28 | Earth | 57700.86 | 45,725,595 km 119 LD |
| 2019-05-11 | Earth | 65536.72 | 59,869,298 km 156 LD |
| 2018-11-02 | Earth | 42854.51 | 42,256,496 km 110 LD |
| 2017-10-19 | Earth | 74824.07 | 41,347,500 km 108 LD |
| 2016-08-19 | Venus | 58303.08 | 6,012,154 km 15.6 LD |
| 2011-03-27 | Earth | 57726.52 | 45,305,657 km 118 LD |
| 2010-12-19 | Earth | 36899.32 | 62,547,038 km 163 LD |
| 2010-06-06 | Earth | 63877.19 | 67,826,352 km 176 LD |
| 2009-10-17 | Earth | 45541.25 | 18,636,681 km 48.5 LD |
| 2008-10-26 | Earth | 98342.51 | 73,828,234 km 192 LD |
| 2006-10-09 | Venus | 71104.47 | 18,299,586 km 47.6 LD |
| 2003-02-11 | Earth | 67130.09 | 55,399,469 km 144 LD |
| 2002-04-21 | Earth | 62920.14 | 52,930,563 km 138 LD |
| 2001-11-18 | Earth | 42537.18 | 54,611,902 km 142 LD |
| 2001-07-03 | Earth | 52954.32 | 70,853,962 km 184 LD |
| 2000-10-15 | Earth | 59003.21 | 18,622,516 km 48.4 LD |
| 1995-02-22 | Venus | 50006.89 | 20,868,742 km 54.3 LD |
| 1994-03-05 | Earth | 56441.84 | 44,328,139 km 115 LD |
| 1993-05-16 | Earth | 65822.46 | 62,013,553 km 161 LD |
| 1992-10-28 | Earth | 42895.80 | 37,232,100 km 96.9 LD |
| 1991-10-21 | Earth | 80102.15 | 48,861,748 km 127 LD |
| 1986-01-29 | Earth | 82474.85 | 71,812,120 km 187 LD |
| 1985-04-08 | Venus | 54295.35 | 7,955,046 km 20.7 LD |
| 1985-04-02 | Earth | 58928.30 | 46,751,089 km 122 LD |
| 1984-12-09 | Earth | 39431.55 | 61,600,776 km 160 LD |
| 1984-06-11 | Earth | 62332.07 | 69,097,922 km 180 LD |
| 1983-10-16 | Earth | 47818.76 | 13,677,520 km 35.6 LD |
| 1977-02-17 | Earth | 62173.05 | 50,388,106 km 131 LD |
| 1976-04-29 | Earth | 64302.47 | 55,915,651 km 145 LD |
| 1975-11-11 | Earth | 42828.05 | 49,869,425 km 130 LD |
| 1975-07-15 | Earth | 45808.78 | 70,090,751 km 182 LD |
| 1975-05-29 | Venus | 63518.58 | 10,281,921 km 26.7 LD |
| 1974-10-16 | Earth | 65438.53 | 27,833,258 km 72.4 LD |
| 1968-03-14 | Earth | 56237.39 | 43,886,553 km 114 LD |
| 1967-05-25 | Earth | 65651.00 | 64,645,454 km 168 LD |
| 1966-10-23 | Earth | 43243.37 | 29,865,804 km 77.7 LD |
| 1965-10-23 | Earth | 87426.68 | 59,029,933 km 154 LD |
| 1960-02-03 | Earth | 76239.99 | 65,049,527 km 169 LD |
| 1959-04-10 | Earth | 60453.77 | 48,896,885 km 127 LD |
| 1958-11-30 | Earth | 41168.71 | 59,570,944 km 155 LD |
| 1958-06-19 | Earth | 59645.73 | 70,164,479 km 183 LD |
| 1957-10-14 | Earth | 51257.16 | 11,223,130 km 29.2 LD |
| 1953-11-27 | Venus | 51201.99 | 14,276,271 km 37.1 LD |
| 1951-02-22 | Earth | 59377.15 | 47,624,857 km 124 LD |
| 1950-05-05 | Earth | 65108.57 | 57,983,723 km 151 LD |
| 1949-11-06 | Earth | 42850.74 | 46,097,226 km 120 LD |
| 1949-07-24 | Earth | 39050.71 | 68,681,332 km 179 LD |
| 1948-10-17 | Earth | 70215.44 | 34,824,285 km 90.6 LD |
| 1944-01-15 | Venus | 58225.53 | 6,064,837 km 15.8 LD |
| 1942-03-21 | Earth | 56860.96 | 44,496,006 km 116 LD |
| 1942-01-04 | Earth | 31048.66 | 62,407,892 km 162 LD |
| 1941-05-31 | Earth | 64939.32 | 66,495,406 km 173 LD |
| 1940-10-19 | Earth | 44127.21 | 23,801,646 km 61.9 LD |
| 1939-10-25 | Earth | 93303.27 | 67,089,679 km 175 LD |
| 1934-03-06 | Venus | 72174.12 | 19,475,130 km 50.7 LD |
| 1934-02-07 | Earth | 70768.30 | 59,243,961 km 154 LD |
| 1933-04-16 | Earth | 61914.56 | 51,144,083 km 133 LD |
| 1932-11-23 | Earth | 42131.39 | 56,990,899 km 148 LD |
| 1932-06-26 | Earth | 56402.53 | 70,729,406 km 184 LD |
| 1931-10-15 | Earth | 55300.77 | 13,953,859 km 36.3 LD |
| 1925-02-28 | Earth | 57227.37 | 45,440,952 km 118 LD |
| 1924-05-11 | Earth | 65689.22 | 60,261,417 km 157 LD |
| 1923-11-01 | Earth | 42875.82 | 41,527,474 km 108 LD |
| 1922-10-19 | Earth | 75311.96 | 42,132,786 km 110 LD |
| 1922-07-20 | Venus | 50082.82 | 20,345,539 km 52.9 LD |
| 1916-03-27 | Earth | 57830.93 | 45,542,886 km 118 LD |
| 1915-12-18 | Earth | 37346.85 | 62,356,094 km 162 LD |
| 1915-06-06 | Earth | 63855.74 | 67,908,931 km 177 LD |
| 1914-10-17 | Earth | 45690.09 | 18,287,147 km 47.6 LD |
| 1913-10-26 | Earth | 98725.31 | 74,399,016 km 194 LD |
| 1912-09-03 | Venus | 54632.68 | 7,596,903 km 19.8 LD |
| 1908-02-12 | Earth | 65792.67 | 54,234,585 km 141 LD |
| 1907-04-23 | Earth | 63349.03 | 53,710,313 km 140 LD |
| 1906-11-16 | Earth | 42693.15 | 53,355,753 km 139 LD |
| 1906-07-06 | Earth | 51487.30 | 70,756,965 km 184 LD |
| 1905-10-15 | Earth | 60763.57 | 21,230,991 km 55.2 LD |
| 1902-10-24 | Venus | 63801.93 | 10,645,140 km 27.7 LD |
Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-10-11T12:53:15.900143+00:00.