Illustration of Earth with several asteroids passing at different distances, one flagged as potentially hazardous

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(2010 AJ30)

Designation: 2010 AJ30 · NASA id: 3485263

Estimated diameter: 77 – 171 meters

≈ a football pitch
That comparison is of size only — what an impact would do depends on speed, angle, composition and where it arrives, none of which follows from width.
(absolute magnitude H = 22.7) · JPL Small-Body Database →

Earth impact concern
No identified impact threat
Why?
  • Its closest recorded pass was 20.4 lunar distances.
  • It is not on NASA/JPL’s Sentry list, which holds every object with a computed chance of impact above zero. Most objects are not on it.
What the four levels mean
  • No identified impact threat — not on any risk list. 98.8% of the objects here.
  • On a monitored risk list — a computed chance above zero, however small. 1.2% of the objects here.
  • Among the highest-ranked — Palermo at or above −2. Two objects worldwide qualify, both studied for decades and both centuries away.
  • Exceptional — Torino 1 or more, or Palermo at or above zero. No object anywhere currently qualifies.

These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.

Energy of motion, if it ever entered the atmosphere

6.7 megatonnes – 248.7 megatonnes of TNT

This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.

The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.

Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.

Why is one asteroid “hazardous” when closer ones are not?

Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:

  • Its orbit can bring it within 0.05 AU of Earth’s — about 7.5 million km. This is the Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance, the closest the two paths ever come, not the distance on any given pass.
  • It is big enough to matter — absolute magnitude 22.0 or brighter, which is roughly 140 metres across and up. That threshold is a planning convention, not a physical boundary: it is about the size at which an impact could do regional damage. Smaller objects are not harmless, they are simply outside this definition — the Chelyabinsk object of 2013 was around 20 metres and injured about 1,500 people with the shock wave from its airburst, without ever reaching the ground intact.

The two terms: AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing. See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.

So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.

Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:

Object Size Orbit’s closest to Earth’s Missed by, that day Flagged
2013 JR28 122–272 m 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) 39.2 M km Yes — both tests pass
2012 LE11 629–1,406 m 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) 26.1 M km No — orbit never gets near enough
2007 EK 3.7–8.2 m 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) 4.2 M km No — far too small

The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.

“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.

Orbital Data

Orbit class: ATE — Near-Earth asteroid orbits similar to that of 2062 Aten
a (semi-major axis) < 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) > 0.983 AU

Orbital period266.9 days (0.73 years)
Eccentricity.3024173124070433 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated)
Semi-major axis.8112999979554858 AU
Inclination7.574410038314405° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's)
Perihelion distance.5659488330179481 AU (closest approach to the Sun)
Aphelion distance1.056651162893024 AU (farthest from the Sun)
Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance0.04558 AU = 6,818,821 km
(closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing)
Ascending node longitude303.3581189226201°
Argument of perihelion350.8272057260299°
Mean anomaly / motion63.33592716056622° / 1.348751254295708°/day
Jupiter Tisserand invariant7.160 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets)
Reference epoch / equinoxJD 2461000.5 / J2000
Orbit determined2021-04-15 03:22:01
Observed2010-01-10 to 2021-02-20 (4059 day arc, 117 observations used)
Orbit uncertainty0 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain)

Close Approach History

Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 231 total.

Why does it pass Earth and Venus? Doesn’t it orbit just one?

It orbits the Sun. Not Earth, and not Venus. The column above does not say what the asteroid goes around — it says which planet a given close approach was to. 186 of them were approaches to Earth and 45 of them were approaches to Venus.

This one’s path runs from 0.566 AU at its closest to the Sun out to 1.057 AU at its farthest. For scale, Venus orbits at about 0.72 AU and Earth at 1.00 AU — so an orbit spanning that range crosses the path of every planet in between, once on the way out and once on the way back.

Crossing a planet’s path is not the same as meeting the planet. Almost every time the asteroid crosses, that planet is somewhere else along its own orbit. A close approach is logged only on the rare occasions when both happen to arrive at the crossing point at roughly the same time — which is why the dates below are scattered rather than regular. This object takes 266.9 days to go round, against Earth’s 365.25, so the two drift in and out of step over years rather than repeating on a neat cycle.

The Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance in the table above (0.0456 AU) is the closest the two paths ever come. The miss distances below are how far apart the two bodies actually were on the day, which is almost always very much larger.

next approach: 2027-02-17

Date Passed near Velocity (km/h) Miss distance
2200-01-17 Earth 25385.89 11,195,726 km
29.1 LD
2199-01-20 Venus 41551.98 19,472,157 km
50.7 LD
2197-06-10 Earth 51626.49 63,984,145 km
166 LD
2196-12-18 Earth 63126.84 48,099,368 km
125 LD
2194-07-31 Earth 58849.35 66,803,856 km
174 LD
2194-06-29 Venus 36561.10 19,510,472 km
50.8 LD
2192-02-16 Earth 34421.05 12,103,549 km
31.5 LD
2191-09-26 Earth 35180.62 53,843,692 km
140 LD
2189-05-12 Earth 36731.85 56,264,984 km
146 LD
2188-12-14 Earth 37537.44 19,039,906 km
49.5 LD
2187-05-12 Venus 40012.37 19,341,694 km
50.3 LD
2186-07-07 Earth 59027.38 67,263,413 km
175 LD
2184-02-14 Earth 59696.59 42,359,209 km
110 LD
2183-08-27 Earth 51049.69 62,566,252 km
163 LD
2182-10-18 Venus 36435.84 19,122,848 km
49.7 LD
2181-01-11 Earth 25390.94 11,513,964 km
30.0 LD
2178-06-13 Earth 52666.54 64,492,635 km
168 LD
2177-12-19 Earth 65875.08 51,436,626 km
134 LD
2176-02-07 Earth 85306.92 73,942,655 km
192 LD
2175-09-03 Venus 38867.46 19,284,784 km
50.2 LD
2175-08-02 Earth 58480.60 66,586,814 km
173 LD
2173-02-15 Earth 32478.28 10,082,546 km
26.2 LD
2172-09-28 Earth 33160.04 52,669,105 km
137 LD
2171-02-07 Venus 36782.58 18,795,445 km
48.9 LD
2170-05-15 Earth 38314.79 57,132,521 km
149 LD
2169-12-14 Earth 39486.60 21,061,486 km
54.8 LD
2167-07-09 Earth 59160.85 67,299,878 km
175 LD
2165-02-14 Earth 58457.25 40,826,302 km
106 LD
2164-08-27 Earth 50525.93 62,250,849 km
162 LD
2163-12-22 Venus 34487.20 19,644,918 km
51.1 LD
2162-01-10 Earth 25395.48 11,600,109 km
30.2 LD
2159-06-13 Earth 52748.55 64,538,526 km
168 LD
2159-05-26 Venus 39363.87 18,470,459 km
48.1 LD
2158-12-19 Earth 66129.78 51,771,622 km
135 LD
2157-02-06 Earth 85422.18 74,078,440 km
193 LD
2156-08-01 Earth 58477.95 66,563,464 km
173 LD
2154-02-15 Earth 33140.23 10,685,736 km
27.8 LD
2153-09-27 Earth 33924.05 53,063,502 km
138 LD
2152-04-05 Venus 32821.48 20,878,176 km
54.3 LD
2151-05-14 Earth 37228.09 56,553,044 km
147 LD
2150-12-15 Earth 38088.02 19,686,338 km
51.2 LD
2148-07-06 Earth 58912.98 67,195,871 km
175 LD
2147-09-12 Venus 46345.59 19,720,923 km
51.3 LD
2146-02-13 Earth 60962.87 43,882,297 km
114 LD
2145-08-25 Earth 51586.86 62,812,615 km
163 LD
2143-01-16 Earth 25372.33 11,332,948 km
29.5 LD
2140-06-09 Earth 51196.51 63,776,489 km
166 LD
2139-12-18 Earth 62092.36 46,929,994 km
122 LD
2137-07-29 Earth 59029.87 66,889,796 km
174 LD
2135-02-17 Earth 37407.70 15,274,684 km
39.7 LD
2134-09-21 Earth 37939.79 55,306,339 km
144 LD
2132-05-27 Venus 41191.15 22,116,229 km
57.5 LD
2132-05-06 Earth 32804.31 54,126,997 km
141 LD
2131-12-16 Earth 33280.79 15,321,356 km
39.9 LD
2129-07-01 Earth 58134.71 66,890,651 km
174 LD
2127-02-12 Earth 66529.78 50,722,046 km
132 LD
2126-08-20 Earth 53660.95 63,958,437 km
166 LD
2125-03-28 Venus 51352.33 22,228,100 km
57.8 LD
2124-01-26 Earth 25421.08 10,128,711 km
26.3 LD
2121-06-03 Earth 48873.27 62,624,844 km
163 LD
2120-12-16 Earth 56776.60 40,623,281 km
106 LD
2120-09-08 Venus 37960.65 20,638,363 km
53.7 LD
2118-07-24 Earth 59444.38 67,195,946 km
175 LD
2116-02-17 Earth 41778.11 20,358,552 km
53.0 LD
2115-09-15 Earth 41275.91 57,162,748 km
149 LD
2113-07-17 Venus 43075.20 19,681,298 km
51.2 LD
2113-04-30 Earth 28864.78 52,024,601 km
135 LD
2112-12-18 Earth 30221.91 13,131,999 km
34.2 LD
2110-06-28 Earth 57531.57 66,677,704 km
173 LD
2109-12-24 Earth 82503.54 71,640,954 km
186 LD
2108-12-23 Venus 36278.62 19,408,874 km
50.5 LD
2108-02-11 Earth 69225.67 54,036,055 km
141 LD
2107-08-17 Earth 54556.26 64,451,139 km
168 LD
2105-01-29 Earth 25558.23 9,464,222 km
24.6 LD
2102-06-02 Earth 48272.13 62,350,134 km
162 LD
2101-12-16 Earth 55565.49 39,211,870 km
102 LD
2101-11-05 Venus 38566.83 19,254,066 km
50.1 LD
2099-07-23 Earth 59519.65 67,259,624 km
175 LD
2097-04-11 Venus 36397.49 18,995,981 km
49.4 LD
2097-02-15 Earth 41673.63 20,190,093 km
52.5 LD
2096-09-14 Earth 41181.26 57,108,644 km
149 LD
2094-05-01 Earth 29799.82 52,546,605 km
137 LD
2093-12-16 Earth 30889.42 13,603,424 km
35.4 LD
2091-06-29 Earth 57874.83 66,846,158 km
174 LD
2090-12-23 Earth 84117.30 73,600,393 km
191 LD
2090-02-25 Venus 36880.51 19,291,369 km
50.2 LD
2089-02-10 Earth 67135.98 51,436,641 km
134 LD
2088-08-18 Earth 53871.17 64,081,210 km
167 LD
2086-01-23 Earth 25389.00 10,335,273 km
26.9 LD
2085-08-02 Venus 36644.56 18,833,283 km
49.0 LD
2083-06-05 Earth 49883.86 63,196,240 km
164 LD
2082-12-16 Earth 59094.59 43,402,720 km
113 LD
2080-07-26 Earth 59293.72 67,090,415 km
175 LD
2078-06-20 Venus 38347.88 19,234,226 km
50.0 LD
2078-02-15 Earth 37656.57 15,421,194 km
40.1 LD
2077-09-19 Earth 38084.93 55,378,389 km
144 LD
2075-05-07 Earth 34124.00 54,943,976 km
143 LD
2074-12-14 Earth 34729.19 16,668,258 km
43.4 LD
2073-11-24 Venus 36379.04 18,968,530 km
49.3 LD
2072-07-03 Earth 58713.25 67,191,623 km
175 LD
2070-02-12 Earth 61921.48 44,962,182 km
117 LD
2069-08-23 Earth 51973.91 63,029,817 km
164 LD
2067-01-14 Earth 25376.61 11,486,232 km
29.9 LD
2066-10-12 Venus 39094.88 19,222,958 km
50.0 LD
2064-06-10 Earth 52209.46 64,366,341 km
167 LD
2063-12-18 Earth 64785.59 50,213,492 km
131 LD
2062-03-21 Venus 36146.61 19,367,681 km
50.4 LD
2062-02-05 Earth 85973.06 74,664,650 km
194 LD
2061-07-31 Earth 58609.31 66,654,493 km
173 LD
2059-02-14 Earth 32606.81 9,849,988 km
25.6 LD
2058-09-27 Earth 33337.60 52,671,894 km
137 LD
2056-05-14 Earth 38525.60 57,356,582 km
149 LD
2055-12-13 Earth 39860.43 21,656,503 km
56.3 LD
2055-02-03 Venus 39882.52 19,264,292 km
50.1 LD
2053-07-08 Earth 59250.57 67,378,328 km
175 LD
2051-02-13 Earth 57020.35 38,888,120 km
101 LD
2050-08-28 Earth 49925.29 61,864,317 km
161 LD
2050-07-12 Venus 36123.73 19,266,509 km
50.1 LD
2048-01-06 Earth 25418.57 11,848,464 km
30.8 LD
2045-06-14 Earth 53630.48 65,040,944 km
169 LD
2044-12-18 Earth 68737.56 54,996,978 km
143 LD
2043-05-27 Venus 39237.92 19,217,823 km
50.0 LD
2043-02-06 Earth 82443.40 70,315,583 km
183 LD
2042-08-04 Earth 57974.55 66,276,820 km
172 LD
2040-02-13 Earth 30359.96 7,838,175 km
20.4 LD
2039-10-02 Earth 30521.39 51,079,141 km
133 LD
2038-11-01 Venus 36240.30 19,044,469 km
49.5 LD
2037-05-17 Earth 40374.52 58,346,491 km
152 LD
2036-12-13 Earth 42391.60 24,393,696 km
63.5 LD
2034-07-10 Earth 59357.21 67,392,176 km
175 LD
2032-02-14 Earth 55515.39 37,011,495 km
96.3 LD
2031-09-15 Venus 35374.83 19,443,138 km
50.6 LD
2031-08-30 Earth 49261.10 61,461,023 km
160 LD
2029-01-04 Earth 25453.16 11,908,790 km
31.0 LD
2027-02-17 next Venus 38626.86 18,533,901 km
48.2 LD
2026-06-15 Earth 53713.86 65,071,521 km
169 LD
2025-12-18 Earth 69041.61 55,418,091 km
144 LD
2024-02-06 Earth 82624.29 70,542,916 km
184 LD
2023-08-03 Earth 57983.36 66,257,725 km
172 LD
2021-02-12 Earth 31053.81 8,313,305 km
21.6 LD
2020-09-29 Earth 31559.55 51,601,131 km
134 LD
2019-12-30 Venus 33035.32 20,540,989 km
53.4 LD
2018-05-15 Earth 39037.90 57,635,326 km
150 LD
2017-12-13 Earth 40566.46 22,539,728 km
58.6 LD
2015-07-08 Earth 59118.02 67,296,689 km
175 LD
2015-06-06 Venus 46139.91 19,735,081 km
51.3 LD
2013-02-12 Earth 58793.74 41,051,520 km
107 LD
2012-08-25 Earth 50715.38 62,234,722 km
162 LD
2010-01-12 Earth 25357.29 11,725,142 km
30.5 LD
2007-06-10 Earth 51794.80 64,150,969 km
167 LD
2006-12-17 Earth 63805.46 49,157,626 km
128 LD
2004-07-28 Earth 58837.86 66,752,574 km
174 LD
2002-02-15 Earth 36414.42 13,806,567 km
35.9 LD
2001-09-20 Earth 37178.06 54,728,358 km
142 LD
2000-02-17 Venus 40353.46 21,881,150 km
56.9 LD
1999-05-06 Earth 33367.21 54,532,241 km
142 LD
1998-12-14 Earth 33915.76 16,252,253 km
42.3 LD
1996-06-30 Earth 58147.18 66,934,457 km
174 LD
1994-02-10 Earth 66401.03 50,465,545 km
131 LD
1993-08-18 Earth 53607.84 63,843,119 km
166 LD
1992-12-18 Venus 47249.87 20,670,593 km
53.8 LD
1991-01-25 Earth 25417.89 10,034,870 km
26.1 LD
1988-06-01 Earth 48536.24 62,542,884 km
163 LD
1988-05-27 Venus 36273.49 19,803,710 km
51.5 LD
1987-12-15 Earth 56269.69 40,230,369 km
105 LD
1985-07-22 Earth 59442.30 67,204,919 km
175 LD
1983-02-15 Earth 42855.28 21,411,853 km
55.7 LD
1982-09-12 Earth 42080.38 57,457,021 km
149 LD
1981-04-06 Venus 37058.85 19,247,026 km
50.1 LD
1980-04-26 Earth 27177.75 51,248,001 km
133 LD
1979-12-18 Earth 29237.51 13,008,181 km
33.8 LD
1977-06-25 Earth 57051.44 66,531,141 km
173 LD
1976-12-21 Earth 80740.71 69,636,201 km
181 LD
1976-09-07 Venus 38247.23 18,571,451 km
48.3 LD
1975-02-09 Earth 71346.95 56,559,974 km
147 LD
1974-08-14 Earth 55221.65 64,734,125 km
168 LD
1972-02-02 Earth 25940.40 8,374,253 km
21.8 LD
1969-07-20 Venus 33095.61 20,525,862 km
53.4 LD
1969-05-29 Earth 46607.48 61,605,806 km
160 LD
1968-12-14 Earth 52532.63 35,880,859 km
93.3 LD
1966-07-19 Earth 59595.63 67,356,675 km
175 LD
1964-12-26 Venus 43171.60 19,004,936 km
49.4 LD
1964-02-15 Earth 45392.97 24,450,933 km
63.6 LD
1963-09-10 Earth 43754.07 58,373,940 km
152 LD
1961-04-22 Earth 24504.32 49,966,385 km
130 LD
1960-12-19 Earth 28053.53 12,508,265 km
32.5 LD
1958-06-24 Earth 56675.39 66,402,263 km
173 LD
1957-12-21 Earth 79118.46 67,668,929 km
176 LD
1957-11-02 Venus 35123.67 21,701,936 km
56.5 LD
1956-02-09 Earth 72651.91 58,138,472 km
151 LD
1955-08-13 Earth 55640.05 64,965,622 km
169 LD
1953-04-16 Venus 48793.31 20,620,002 km
53.6 LD
1953-02-02 Earth 26117.35 8,036,337 km
20.9 LD
1952-10-20 Earth 16814.89 45,167,317 km
118 LD
1950-05-28 Earth 46364.24 61,509,163 km
160 LD
1949-12-14 Earth 52049.35 35,318,714 km
91.9 LD
1947-07-19 Earth 59632.16 67,394,083 km
175 LD
1946-02-20 Venus 36802.14 22,322,145 km
58.1 LD
1945-02-15 Earth 45229.61 24,217,998 km
63.0 LD
1944-09-09 Earth 43665.14 58,324,257 km
152 LD
1942-04-24 Earth 25337.83 50,395,730 km
131 LD
1941-12-19 Earth 28419.13 12,698,872 km
33.0 LD
1941-08-06 Venus 51873.66 21,898,820 km
57.0 LD
1939-06-25 Earth 56959.63 66,541,597 km
173 LD
1938-12-22 Earth 80166.67 68,927,679 km
179 LD
1937-02-09 Earth 71322.00 56,452,000 km
147 LD
1936-08-13 Earth 55266.48 64,770,755 km
168 LD
1934-01-31 Earth 25768.14 8,715,885 km
22.7 LD
1931-05-31 Earth 47590.29 62,152,228 km
162 LD
1930-12-15 Earth 54381.10 38,024,299 km
98.9 LD
1929-11-28 Venus 52792.71 22,326,996 km
58.1 LD
1928-07-21 Earth 59581.28 67,324,192 km
175 LD
1926-02-15 Earth 42330.33 20,642,949 km
53.7 LD
1925-09-13 Earth 41744.83 57,270,446 km
149 LD
1923-04-30 Earth 29358.70 52,462,459 km
136 LD
1922-12-16 Earth 30650.41 13,952,225 km
36.3 LD
1920-06-28 Earth 57843.16 66,914,002 km
174 LD
1919-12-23 Earth 84126.38 73,719,814 km
192 LD
1918-03-21 Venus 52384.50 22,129,263 km
57.6 LD
1918-02-10 Earth 66981.22 51,045,488 km
133 LD
1917-08-18 Earth 53888.35 64,014,553 km
167 LD
1915-01-23 Earth 25387.91 10,453,702 km
27.2 LD
1912-06-04 Earth 50010.30 63,389,324 km
165 LD
1911-12-16 Earth 59524.58 44,080,122 km
115 LD
1909-07-26 Earth 59254.79 67,061,073 km
174 LD
1907-02-15 Earth 37148.85 14,412,444 km
37.5 LD
1906-09-20 Earth 37783.89 55,055,240 km
143 LD
1906-07-14 Venus 50123.97 21,148,342 km
55.0 LD
1904-05-07 Earth 34423.44 55,246,820 km
144 LD
1903-12-14 Earth 35107.54 17,429,987 km
45.3 LD
1901-07-03 Earth 58749.46 67,265,888 km
175 LD

Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-09-08T13:23:14.711806+00:00.