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Designation: 2010 AL30 · NASA id: 3485264
Estimated diameter: 10 – 22 meters
These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.
7 kilotonnes – 252 kilotonnes of TNT
This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.
The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.
Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.
Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:
The two terms:
AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing.
See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.
So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.
Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:
| Object | Size | Orbit’s closest to Earth’s | Missed by, that day | Flagged |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 JR28 | 122–272 m | 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) | 39.2 M km | Yes — both tests pass |
| 2012 LE11 | 629–1,406 m | 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) | 26.1 M km | No — orbit never gets near enough |
| 2007 EK | 3.7–8.2 m | 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) | 4.2 M km | No — far too small |
The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.
“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.
Orbit class: APO — Near-Earth asteroid orbits which cross the Earth’s orbit similar to that of 1862 Apollo
a (semi-major axis) > 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) < 1.017 AU
| Orbital period | 390.7 days (1.07 years) |
| Eccentricity | .3075545336192343 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated) |
| Semi-major axis | 1.045831418659962 AU |
| Inclination | 3.831331517854135° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's) |
| Perihelion distance | .7241812244496556 AU (closest approach to the Sun) |
| Aphelion distance | 1.367481612870269 AU (farthest from the Sun) |
| Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance | 0.00094 AU = 141,193 km (closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing) |
| Ascending node longitude | 112.3382667369862° |
| Argument of perihelion | 97.82171278855847° |
| Mean anomaly / motion | 232.4559116870553° / .9215343898626267°/day |
| Jupiter Tisserand invariant | 5.827 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets) |
| Reference epoch / equinox | JD 2461000.5 / J2000 |
| Orbit determined | 2021-04-15 03:22:02 |
| Observed | 2010-01-10 to 2010-01-13 (3 day arc, 308 observations used) |
| Orbit uncertainty | 3 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain) |
Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 153 total.
It orbits the Sun. Not Earth, and not Venus. The column above does not say what the asteroid goes around — it says which planet a given close approach was to. 125 of them were approaches to Earth, 24 of them were approaches to Venus, 3 of them were approaches to Mars and 1 of them were approaches to Moon.
This one’s path runs from 0.724 AU at its closest to the Sun out to 1.367 AU at its farthest. For scale, Venus orbits at about 0.72 AU and Earth at 1.00 AU — so an orbit spanning that range crosses the path of every planet in between, once on the way out and once on the way back.
Crossing a planet’s path is not the same as meeting the planet. Almost every time the asteroid crosses, that planet is somewhere else along its own orbit. A close approach is logged only on the rare occasions when both happen to arrive at the crossing point at roughly the same time — which is why the dates below are scattered rather than regular. This object takes 390.7 days to go round, against Earth’s 365.25, so the two drift in and out of step over years rather than repeating on a neat cycle.
The Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance in the table above (0.0009 AU) is the closest the two paths ever come. The miss distances below are how far apart the two bodies actually were on the day, which is almost always very much larger.
an approach today (2026-10-27) — next after that: 2027-05-27
| Date | Passed near | Velocity (km/h) | Miss distance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2152-08-20 | Earth | 65232.91 | 43,426,486 km 113 LD |
| 2151-08-01 | Earth | 22617.31 | 17,947,411 km 46.7 LD |
| 2150-10-07 | Earth | 29923.25 | 53,882,104 km 140 LD |
| 2149-11-17 | Earth | 30429.92 | 53,473,387 km 139 LD |
| 2149-01-19 | Earth | 22849.31 | 17,098,992 km 44.5 LD |
| 2148-01-03 | Earth | 70155.69 | 48,468,923 km 126 LD |
| 2147-02-28 | Venus | 40135.56 | 17,841,907 km 46.4 LD |
| 2141-02-16 | Mars | 17693.85 | 14,383,700 km 37.4 LD |
| 2136-08-10 | Earth | 44288.40 | 14,200,657 km 36.9 LD |
| 2135-09-12 | Earth | 24965.98 | 42,903,694 km 112 LD |
| 2135-06-03 | Earth | 31915.73 | 38,130,888 km 99.2 LD |
| 2134-10-27 | Earth | 31479.41 | 56,749,367 km 148 LD |
| 2134-03-25 | Earth | 33007.23 | 38,956,729 km 101 LD |
| 2133-12-10 | Earth | 26332.23 | 43,124,739 km 112 LD |
| 2133-01-12 | Earth | 44038.66 | 12,897,335 km 33.6 LD |
| 2131-01-10 | Venus | 33610.55 | 11,789,610 km 30.7 LD |
| 2126-11-03 | Venus | 27972.26 | 8,614,651 km 22.4 LD |
| 2121-08-20 | Earth | 67234.63 | 45,994,554 km 120 LD |
| 2120-07-31 | Earth | 23256.16 | 17,183,836 km 44.7 LD |
| 2119-10-06 | Earth | 29853.91 | 53,462,092 km 139 LD |
| 2119-04-29 | Earth | 37444.31 | 42,844,239 km 111 LD |
| 2118-11-16 | Earth | 30590.87 | 53,673,875 km 140 LD |
| 2118-01-19 | Earth | 21198.25 | 19,681,820 km 51.2 LD |
| 2117-01-03 | Earth | 67528.16 | 44,921,223 km 117 LD |
| 2110-09-19 | Venus | 40980.18 | 17,819,411 km 46.4 LD |
| 2106-07-14 | Venus | 25299.11 | 6,820,572 km 17.7 LD |
| 2105-08-12 | Earth | 48808.08 | 20,487,131 km 53.3 LD |
| 2104-09-03 | Earth | 22845.77 | 38,597,669 km 100 LD |
| 2104-06-12 | Earth | 28913.02 | 35,317,716 km 91.9 LD |
| 2103-10-22 | Earth | 31228.88 | 56,257,840 km 146 LD |
| 2103-04-04 | Earth | 35304.91 | 40,998,083 km 107 LD |
| 2102-12-02 | Earth | 27940.68 | 46,883,880 km 122 LD |
| 2102-01-15 | Earth | 36551.72 | 2,483,586 km 6.46 LD |
| 2100-12-26 | Earth | 85094.82 | 68,563,002 km 178 LD |
| 2094-02-19 | Mars | 16509.02 | 13,565,691 km 35.3 LD |
| 2090-08-17 | Earth | 62406.00 | 39,490,630 km 103 LD |
| 2089-07-12 | Earth | 20243.52 | 25,820,034 km 67.2 LD |
| 2088-10-11 | Earth | 30750.38 | 55,586,461 km 145 LD |
| 2088-04-14 | Earth | 36842.90 | 42,223,941 km 110 LD |
| 2087-11-23 | Earth | 29402.54 | 50,726,186 km 132 LD |
| 2087-01-16 | Earth | 31540.79 | 4,507,439 km 11.7 LD |
| 2086-02-09 | Venus | 39349.43 | 16,654,983 km 43.3 LD |
| 2085-12-28 | Earth | 79037.77 | 60,533,917 km 157 LD |
| 2081-11-29 | Venus | 22504.17 | 5,259,974 km 13.7 LD |
| 2075-08-26 | Earth | 82704.24 | 67,463,368 km 176 LD |
| 2074-08-07 | Earth | 38963.18 | 7,297,304 km 19.0 LD |
| 2073-09-15 | Earth | 26104.46 | 45,403,923 km 118 LD |
| 2073-05-25 | Earth | 33603.94 | 39,691,436 km 103 LD |
| 2072-10-28 | Earth | 31306.17 | 56,227,072 km 146 LD |
| 2072-03-17 | Earth | 31487.25 | 37,610,236 km 97.8 LD |
| 2071-12-12 | Earth | 25397.51 | 40,905,458 km 106 LD |
| 2071-01-10 | Earth | 45681.15 | 15,349,227 km 39.9 LD |
| 2065-11-03 | Venus | 21362.70 | 2,786,698 km 7.25 LD |
| 2061-08-21 | Venus | 36801.90 | 15,383,102 km 40.0 LD |
| 2059-08-19 | Earth | 67181.23 | 45,908,992 km 119 LD |
| 2058-07-28 | Earth | 22184.23 | 18,713,650 km 48.7 LD |
| 2057-10-06 | Earth | 30088.21 | 54,209,608 km 141 LD |
| 2057-04-23 | Earth | 37366.82 | 42,730,053 km 111 LD |
| 2056-11-16 | Earth | 30211.94 | 52,989,601 km 138 LD |
| 2056-01-18 | Earth | 24649.43 | 14,385,308 km 37.4 LD |
| 2054-12-30 | Earth | 72245.74 | 51,329,369 km 134 LD |
| 2044-08-24 | Earth | 81254.89 | 65,282,897 km 170 LD |
| 2043-08-05 | Earth | 35871.49 | 3,915,607 km 10.2 LD |
| 2042-09-20 | Earth | 27440.24 | 48,283,805 km 126 LD |
| 2042-05-16 | Earth | 35232.45 | 41,162,854 km 107 LD |
| 2041-11-02 | Earth | 31371.28 | 56,258,398 km 146 LD |
| 2041-03-23 | Venus | 23039.15 | 3,805,748 km 9.90 LD |
| 2041-03-04 | Earth | 27564.45 | 33,862,025 km 88.1 LD |
| 2040-12-21 | Earth | 22926.82 | 35,656,779 km 92.8 LD |
| 2040-01-06 | Earth | 56724.26 | 30,067,938 km 78.2 LD |
| 2039-07-24 | Mars | 17463.96 | 13,459,148 km 35.0 LD |
| 2037-01-06 | Venus | 27709.17 | 8,589,688 km 22.3 LD |
| 2029-08-26 | Earth | 88128.23 | 74,629,277 km 194 LD |
| 2028-08-07 | Earth | 42539.29 | 11,659,716 km 30.3 LD |
| 2027-09-12 | Earth | 25740.25 | 44,732,360 km 116 LD |
| 2027-05-27 next | Earth | 33086.41 | 39,247,775 km 102 LD |
| 2026-10-27 today | Earth | 31490.02 | 56,901,417 km 148 LD |
| 2026-03-15 | Earth | 31149.51 | 37,208,142 km 96.8 LD |
| 2025-12-12 | Earth | 25142.95 | 40,493,807 km 105 LD |
| 2025-01-08 | Earth | 48894.54 | 19,541,496 km 50.8 LD |
| 2016-08-03 | Venus | 40390.98 | 17,344,409 km 45.1 LD |
| 2013-08-12 | Earth | 55174.75 | 29,093,064 km 75.7 LD |
| 2012-08-23 | Earth | 21075.41 | 34,988,569 km 91.0 LD |
| 2012-06-18 | Earth | 26194.07 | 32,732,991 km 85.2 LD |
| 2012-05-17 | Venus | 19432.75 | 3,549,183 km 9.23 LD |
| 2011-10-16 | Earth | 31079.14 | 56,200,066 km 146 LD |
| 2011-04-06 | Earth | 36045.51 | 41,613,301 km 108 LD |
| 2010-11-27 | Earth | 28470.48 | 48,494,583 km 126 LD |
| 2010-01-14 | Moon | 33936.36 | 279,376 km 0.73 LD — closer than the Moon |
| 2010-01-13 | Earth | 35823.94 | 129,019 km 0.34 LD — closer than the Moon |
| 2009-01-12 | Earth | 36331.85 | 2,080,081 km 5.41 LD |
| 2008-01-12 | Earth | 40818.10 | 8,420,415 km 21.9 LD |
| 2007-01-10 | Earth | 46189.63 | 15,740,876 km 40.9 LD |
| 2006-02-25 | Venus | 26054.94 | 1,672,756 km 4.35 LD |
| 2006-01-07 | Earth | 51905.92 | 23,355,491 km 60.8 LD |
| 2005-01-04 | Earth | 61602.72 | 36,398,071 km 94.7 LD |
| 2004-01-01 | Earth | 71242.33 | 49,475,589 km 129 LD |
| 2003-03-24 | Venus | 43955.11 | 17,244,467 km 44.9 LD |
| 2002-12-28 | Earth | 80983.50 | 62,399,291 km 162 LD |
| 2001-12-24 | Earth | 90211.61 | 74,727,099 km 194 LD |
| 1988-11-29 | Venus | 33742.48 | 7,781,860 km 20.2 LD |
| 1985-12-27 | Venus | 33243.88 | 8,985,865 km 23.4 LD |
| 1971-09-05 | Venus | 41703.29 | 14,360,912 km 37.4 LD |
| 1968-10-01 | Venus | 27577.78 | 5,500,483 km 14.3 LD |
| 1954-06-16 | Venus | 37199.10 | 10,671,967 km 27.8 LD |
| 1953-09-06 | Earth | 87219.31 | 72,608,901 km 189 LD |
| 1952-09-02 | Earth | 78085.26 | 60,285,364 km 157 LD |
| 1951-08-30 | Earth | 68972.11 | 47,926,238 km 125 LD |
| 1951-07-15 | Venus | 32625.13 | 8,573,001 km 22.3 LD |
| 1950-08-26 | Earth | 60636.75 | 36,611,533 km 95.2 LD |
| 1949-08-23 | Earth | 52431.71 | 25,373,504 km 66.0 LD |
| 1948-08-19 | Earth | 44418.08 | 14,553,411 km 37.9 LD |
| 1947-08-17 | Earth | 36882.42 | 5,905,705 km 15.4 LD |
| 1946-08-14 | Earth | 29935.31 | 8,705,769 km 22.6 LD |
| 1945-08-12 | Earth | 22930.09 | 18,189,314 km 47.3 LD |
| 1944-08-26 | Earth | 20194.22 | 28,165,759 km 73.3 LD |
| 1944-07-21 | Earth | 19349.90 | 28,634,197 km 74.5 LD |
| 1943-09-12 | Earth | 23408.54 | 35,756,194 km 93.0 LD |
| 1943-06-28 | Earth | 27125.42 | 35,689,204 km 92.8 LD |
| 1942-09-24 | Earth | 25953.14 | 41,216,488 km 107 LD |
| 1942-06-12 | Earth | 32233.75 | 40,367,829 km 105 LD |
| 1941-10-04 | Earth | 27797.34 | 45,144,387 km 117 LD |
| 1941-05-30 | Earth | 35970.20 | 43,564,447 km 113 LD |
| 1940-10-12 | Earth | 29067.97 | 47,794,505 km 124 LD |
| 1940-05-18 | Earth | 38538.36 | 45,591,076 km 119 LD |
| 1939-10-22 | Earth | 29879.68 | 49,377,349 km 128 LD |
| 1939-05-08 | Earth | 39914.72 | 46,647,708 km 121 LD |
| 1938-10-30 | Earth | 30258.81 | 49,906,148 km 130 LD |
| 1938-04-26 | Earth | 40121.84 | 46,801,724 km 122 LD |
| 1937-11-07 | Earth | 30214.56 | 49,423,105 km 129 LD |
| 1937-04-15 | Earth | 39289.96 | 46,042,713 km 120 LD |
| 1937-04-14 | Venus | 21253.36 | 3,723,570 km 9.69 LD |
| 1936-11-15 | Earth | 29687.94 | 47,778,162 km 124 LD |
| 1936-04-04 | Earth | 37436.22 | 44,489,238 km 116 LD |
| 1935-11-24 | Earth | 28833.22 | 45,473,541 km 118 LD |
| 1935-03-24 | Earth | 34450.62 | 42,004,549 km 109 LD |
| 1934-12-02 | Earth | 27511.62 | 42,135,427 km 110 LD |
| 1934-03-11 | Earth | 30134.78 | 38,386,232 km 99.9 LD |
| 1933-12-11 | Earth | 25674.32 | 37,613,108 km 97.8 LD |
| 1933-02-23 | Earth | 24118.80 | 33,231,773 km 86.5 LD |
| 1932-12-22 | Earth | 23327.80 | 31,722,109 km 82.5 LD |
| 1932-01-07 | Earth | 21246.93 | 23,868,406 km 62.1 LD |
| 1931-01-14 | Earth | 24976.02 | 14,390,440 km 37.4 LD |
| 1930-01-14 | Earth | 31319.70 | 5,043,770 km 13.1 LD |
| 1929-01-12 | Earth | 37064.57 | 3,010,823 km 7.83 LD |
| 1928-01-10 | Earth | 44926.03 | 13,890,762 km 36.1 LD |
| 1927-01-07 | Earth | 53202.39 | 25,274,006 km 65.7 LD |
| 1926-01-03 | Earth | 61759.61 | 36,800,984 km 95.7 LD |
| 1924-12-31 | Earth | 70378.39 | 48,447,508 km 126 LD |
| 1923-12-28 | Earth | 79152.89 | 60,092,242 km 156 LD |
| 1923-02-04 | Venus | 28542.08 | 3,687,445 km 9.59 LD |
| 1922-12-24 | Earth | 87889.96 | 71,602,138 km 186 LD |
| 1920-02-29 | Venus | 34514.75 | 10,091,426 km 26.3 LD |
Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-09-06T18:51:19.653470+00:00.