Illustration of Earth with several asteroids passing at different distances, one flagged as potentially hazardous

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(2010 AL30)

Designation: 2010 AL30 · NASA id: 3485264

Estimated diameter: 10 – 22 meters

≈ a city bus
That comparison is of size only — what an impact would do depends on speed, angle, composition and where it arrives, none of which follows from width.
(absolute magnitude H = 27.2) · JPL Small-Body Database →

Earth impact concern
No identified impact threat
Why?
  • Its closest recorded pass was 0.3 lunar distances.
  • It is not on NASA/JPL’s Sentry list, which holds every object with a computed chance of impact above zero. Most objects are not on it.
What the four levels mean
  • No identified impact threat — not on any risk list. 98.8% of the objects here.
  • On a monitored risk list — a computed chance above zero, however small. 1.2% of the objects here.
  • Among the highest-ranked — Palermo at or above −2. Two objects worldwide qualify, both studied for decades and both centuries away.
  • Exceptional — Torino 1 or more, or Palermo at or above zero. No object anywhere currently qualifies.

These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.

Energy of motion, if it ever entered the atmosphere

7 kilotonnes – 252 kilotonnes of TNT

This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.

The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.

Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.

Why is one asteroid “hazardous” when closer ones are not?

Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:

  • Its orbit can bring it within 0.05 AU of Earth’s — about 7.5 million km. This is the Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance, the closest the two paths ever come, not the distance on any given pass.
  • It is big enough to matter — absolute magnitude 22.0 or brighter, which is roughly 140 metres across and up. That threshold is a planning convention, not a physical boundary: it is about the size at which an impact could do regional damage. Smaller objects are not harmless, they are simply outside this definition — the Chelyabinsk object of 2013 was around 20 metres and injured about 1,500 people with the shock wave from its airburst, without ever reaching the ground intact.

The two terms: AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing. See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.

So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.

Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:

Object Size Orbit’s closest to Earth’s Missed by, that day Flagged
2013 JR28 122–272 m 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) 39.2 M km Yes — both tests pass
2012 LE11 629–1,406 m 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) 26.1 M km No — orbit never gets near enough
2007 EK 3.7–8.2 m 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) 4.2 M km No — far too small

The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.

“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.

Orbital Data

Orbit class: APO — Near-Earth asteroid orbits which cross the Earth’s orbit similar to that of 1862 Apollo
a (semi-major axis) > 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) < 1.017 AU

Orbital period390.7 days (1.07 years)
Eccentricity.3075545336192343 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated)
Semi-major axis1.045831418659962 AU
Inclination3.831331517854135° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's)
Perihelion distance.7241812244496556 AU (closest approach to the Sun)
Aphelion distance1.367481612870269 AU (farthest from the Sun)
Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance0.00094 AU = 141,193 km
(closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing)
Ascending node longitude112.3382667369862°
Argument of perihelion97.82171278855847°
Mean anomaly / motion232.4559116870553° / .9215343898626267°/day
Jupiter Tisserand invariant5.827 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets)
Reference epoch / equinoxJD 2461000.5 / J2000
Orbit determined2021-04-15 03:22:02
Observed2010-01-10 to 2010-01-13 (3 day arc, 308 observations used)
Orbit uncertainty3 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain)

Close Approach History

Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 153 total.

Why does it pass Earth, Venus, Mars and Moon? Doesn’t it orbit just one?

It orbits the Sun. Not Earth, and not Venus. The column above does not say what the asteroid goes around — it says which planet a given close approach was to. 125 of them were approaches to Earth, 24 of them were approaches to Venus, 3 of them were approaches to Mars and 1 of them were approaches to Moon.

This one’s path runs from 0.724 AU at its closest to the Sun out to 1.367 AU at its farthest. For scale, Venus orbits at about 0.72 AU and Earth at 1.00 AU — so an orbit spanning that range crosses the path of every planet in between, once on the way out and once on the way back.

Crossing a planet’s path is not the same as meeting the planet. Almost every time the asteroid crosses, that planet is somewhere else along its own orbit. A close approach is logged only on the rare occasions when both happen to arrive at the crossing point at roughly the same time — which is why the dates below are scattered rather than regular. This object takes 390.7 days to go round, against Earth’s 365.25, so the two drift in and out of step over years rather than repeating on a neat cycle.

The Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance in the table above (0.0009 AU) is the closest the two paths ever come. The miss distances below are how far apart the two bodies actually were on the day, which is almost always very much larger.

an approach today (2026-10-27) — next after that: 2027-05-27

Date Passed near Velocity (km/h) Miss distance
2152-08-20 Earth 65232.91 43,426,486 km
113 LD
2151-08-01 Earth 22617.31 17,947,411 km
46.7 LD
2150-10-07 Earth 29923.25 53,882,104 km
140 LD
2149-11-17 Earth 30429.92 53,473,387 km
139 LD
2149-01-19 Earth 22849.31 17,098,992 km
44.5 LD
2148-01-03 Earth 70155.69 48,468,923 km
126 LD
2147-02-28 Venus 40135.56 17,841,907 km
46.4 LD
2141-02-16 Mars 17693.85 14,383,700 km
37.4 LD
2136-08-10 Earth 44288.40 14,200,657 km
36.9 LD
2135-09-12 Earth 24965.98 42,903,694 km
112 LD
2135-06-03 Earth 31915.73 38,130,888 km
99.2 LD
2134-10-27 Earth 31479.41 56,749,367 km
148 LD
2134-03-25 Earth 33007.23 38,956,729 km
101 LD
2133-12-10 Earth 26332.23 43,124,739 km
112 LD
2133-01-12 Earth 44038.66 12,897,335 km
33.6 LD
2131-01-10 Venus 33610.55 11,789,610 km
30.7 LD
2126-11-03 Venus 27972.26 8,614,651 km
22.4 LD
2121-08-20 Earth 67234.63 45,994,554 km
120 LD
2120-07-31 Earth 23256.16 17,183,836 km
44.7 LD
2119-10-06 Earth 29853.91 53,462,092 km
139 LD
2119-04-29 Earth 37444.31 42,844,239 km
111 LD
2118-11-16 Earth 30590.87 53,673,875 km
140 LD
2118-01-19 Earth 21198.25 19,681,820 km
51.2 LD
2117-01-03 Earth 67528.16 44,921,223 km
117 LD
2110-09-19 Venus 40980.18 17,819,411 km
46.4 LD
2106-07-14 Venus 25299.11 6,820,572 km
17.7 LD
2105-08-12 Earth 48808.08 20,487,131 km
53.3 LD
2104-09-03 Earth 22845.77 38,597,669 km
100 LD
2104-06-12 Earth 28913.02 35,317,716 km
91.9 LD
2103-10-22 Earth 31228.88 56,257,840 km
146 LD
2103-04-04 Earth 35304.91 40,998,083 km
107 LD
2102-12-02 Earth 27940.68 46,883,880 km
122 LD
2102-01-15 Earth 36551.72 2,483,586 km
6.46 LD
2100-12-26 Earth 85094.82 68,563,002 km
178 LD
2094-02-19 Mars 16509.02 13,565,691 km
35.3 LD
2090-08-17 Earth 62406.00 39,490,630 km
103 LD
2089-07-12 Earth 20243.52 25,820,034 km
67.2 LD
2088-10-11 Earth 30750.38 55,586,461 km
145 LD
2088-04-14 Earth 36842.90 42,223,941 km
110 LD
2087-11-23 Earth 29402.54 50,726,186 km
132 LD
2087-01-16 Earth 31540.79 4,507,439 km
11.7 LD
2086-02-09 Venus 39349.43 16,654,983 km
43.3 LD
2085-12-28 Earth 79037.77 60,533,917 km
157 LD
2081-11-29 Venus 22504.17 5,259,974 km
13.7 LD
2075-08-26 Earth 82704.24 67,463,368 km
176 LD
2074-08-07 Earth 38963.18 7,297,304 km
19.0 LD
2073-09-15 Earth 26104.46 45,403,923 km
118 LD
2073-05-25 Earth 33603.94 39,691,436 km
103 LD
2072-10-28 Earth 31306.17 56,227,072 km
146 LD
2072-03-17 Earth 31487.25 37,610,236 km
97.8 LD
2071-12-12 Earth 25397.51 40,905,458 km
106 LD
2071-01-10 Earth 45681.15 15,349,227 km
39.9 LD
2065-11-03 Venus 21362.70 2,786,698 km
7.25 LD
2061-08-21 Venus 36801.90 15,383,102 km
40.0 LD
2059-08-19 Earth 67181.23 45,908,992 km
119 LD
2058-07-28 Earth 22184.23 18,713,650 km
48.7 LD
2057-10-06 Earth 30088.21 54,209,608 km
141 LD
2057-04-23 Earth 37366.82 42,730,053 km
111 LD
2056-11-16 Earth 30211.94 52,989,601 km
138 LD
2056-01-18 Earth 24649.43 14,385,308 km
37.4 LD
2054-12-30 Earth 72245.74 51,329,369 km
134 LD
2044-08-24 Earth 81254.89 65,282,897 km
170 LD
2043-08-05 Earth 35871.49 3,915,607 km
10.2 LD
2042-09-20 Earth 27440.24 48,283,805 km
126 LD
2042-05-16 Earth 35232.45 41,162,854 km
107 LD
2041-11-02 Earth 31371.28 56,258,398 km
146 LD
2041-03-23 Venus 23039.15 3,805,748 km
9.90 LD
2041-03-04 Earth 27564.45 33,862,025 km
88.1 LD
2040-12-21 Earth 22926.82 35,656,779 km
92.8 LD
2040-01-06 Earth 56724.26 30,067,938 km
78.2 LD
2039-07-24 Mars 17463.96 13,459,148 km
35.0 LD
2037-01-06 Venus 27709.17 8,589,688 km
22.3 LD
2029-08-26 Earth 88128.23 74,629,277 km
194 LD
2028-08-07 Earth 42539.29 11,659,716 km
30.3 LD
2027-09-12 Earth 25740.25 44,732,360 km
116 LD
2027-05-27 next Earth 33086.41 39,247,775 km
102 LD
2026-10-27 today Earth 31490.02 56,901,417 km
148 LD
2026-03-15 Earth 31149.51 37,208,142 km
96.8 LD
2025-12-12 Earth 25142.95 40,493,807 km
105 LD
2025-01-08 Earth 48894.54 19,541,496 km
50.8 LD
2016-08-03 Venus 40390.98 17,344,409 km
45.1 LD
2013-08-12 Earth 55174.75 29,093,064 km
75.7 LD
2012-08-23 Earth 21075.41 34,988,569 km
91.0 LD
2012-06-18 Earth 26194.07 32,732,991 km
85.2 LD
2012-05-17 Venus 19432.75 3,549,183 km
9.23 LD
2011-10-16 Earth 31079.14 56,200,066 km
146 LD
2011-04-06 Earth 36045.51 41,613,301 km
108 LD
2010-11-27 Earth 28470.48 48,494,583 km
126 LD
2010-01-14 Moon 33936.36 279,376 km
0.73 LD — closer than the Moon
2010-01-13 Earth 35823.94 129,019 km
0.34 LD — closer than the Moon
2009-01-12 Earth 36331.85 2,080,081 km
5.41 LD
2008-01-12 Earth 40818.10 8,420,415 km
21.9 LD
2007-01-10 Earth 46189.63 15,740,876 km
40.9 LD
2006-02-25 Venus 26054.94 1,672,756 km
4.35 LD
2006-01-07 Earth 51905.92 23,355,491 km
60.8 LD
2005-01-04 Earth 61602.72 36,398,071 km
94.7 LD
2004-01-01 Earth 71242.33 49,475,589 km
129 LD
2003-03-24 Venus 43955.11 17,244,467 km
44.9 LD
2002-12-28 Earth 80983.50 62,399,291 km
162 LD
2001-12-24 Earth 90211.61 74,727,099 km
194 LD
1988-11-29 Venus 33742.48 7,781,860 km
20.2 LD
1985-12-27 Venus 33243.88 8,985,865 km
23.4 LD
1971-09-05 Venus 41703.29 14,360,912 km
37.4 LD
1968-10-01 Venus 27577.78 5,500,483 km
14.3 LD
1954-06-16 Venus 37199.10 10,671,967 km
27.8 LD
1953-09-06 Earth 87219.31 72,608,901 km
189 LD
1952-09-02 Earth 78085.26 60,285,364 km
157 LD
1951-08-30 Earth 68972.11 47,926,238 km
125 LD
1951-07-15 Venus 32625.13 8,573,001 km
22.3 LD
1950-08-26 Earth 60636.75 36,611,533 km
95.2 LD
1949-08-23 Earth 52431.71 25,373,504 km
66.0 LD
1948-08-19 Earth 44418.08 14,553,411 km
37.9 LD
1947-08-17 Earth 36882.42 5,905,705 km
15.4 LD
1946-08-14 Earth 29935.31 8,705,769 km
22.6 LD
1945-08-12 Earth 22930.09 18,189,314 km
47.3 LD
1944-08-26 Earth 20194.22 28,165,759 km
73.3 LD
1944-07-21 Earth 19349.90 28,634,197 km
74.5 LD
1943-09-12 Earth 23408.54 35,756,194 km
93.0 LD
1943-06-28 Earth 27125.42 35,689,204 km
92.8 LD
1942-09-24 Earth 25953.14 41,216,488 km
107 LD
1942-06-12 Earth 32233.75 40,367,829 km
105 LD
1941-10-04 Earth 27797.34 45,144,387 km
117 LD
1941-05-30 Earth 35970.20 43,564,447 km
113 LD
1940-10-12 Earth 29067.97 47,794,505 km
124 LD
1940-05-18 Earth 38538.36 45,591,076 km
119 LD
1939-10-22 Earth 29879.68 49,377,349 km
128 LD
1939-05-08 Earth 39914.72 46,647,708 km
121 LD
1938-10-30 Earth 30258.81 49,906,148 km
130 LD
1938-04-26 Earth 40121.84 46,801,724 km
122 LD
1937-11-07 Earth 30214.56 49,423,105 km
129 LD
1937-04-15 Earth 39289.96 46,042,713 km
120 LD
1937-04-14 Venus 21253.36 3,723,570 km
9.69 LD
1936-11-15 Earth 29687.94 47,778,162 km
124 LD
1936-04-04 Earth 37436.22 44,489,238 km
116 LD
1935-11-24 Earth 28833.22 45,473,541 km
118 LD
1935-03-24 Earth 34450.62 42,004,549 km
109 LD
1934-12-02 Earth 27511.62 42,135,427 km
110 LD
1934-03-11 Earth 30134.78 38,386,232 km
99.9 LD
1933-12-11 Earth 25674.32 37,613,108 km
97.8 LD
1933-02-23 Earth 24118.80 33,231,773 km
86.5 LD
1932-12-22 Earth 23327.80 31,722,109 km
82.5 LD
1932-01-07 Earth 21246.93 23,868,406 km
62.1 LD
1931-01-14 Earth 24976.02 14,390,440 km
37.4 LD
1930-01-14 Earth 31319.70 5,043,770 km
13.1 LD
1929-01-12 Earth 37064.57 3,010,823 km
7.83 LD
1928-01-10 Earth 44926.03 13,890,762 km
36.1 LD
1927-01-07 Earth 53202.39 25,274,006 km
65.7 LD
1926-01-03 Earth 61759.61 36,800,984 km
95.7 LD
1924-12-31 Earth 70378.39 48,447,508 km
126 LD
1923-12-28 Earth 79152.89 60,092,242 km
156 LD
1923-02-04 Venus 28542.08 3,687,445 km
9.59 LD
1922-12-24 Earth 87889.96 71,602,138 km
186 LD
1920-02-29 Venus 34514.75 10,091,426 km
26.3 LD

Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-09-06T18:51:19.653470+00:00.