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Designation: 2010 DO · NASA id: 3508146
· Potentially Hazardous
Estimated diameter: 124 – 277 meters
These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.
116.0 megatonnes – 4,324 megatonnes of TNT
This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.
The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.
Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.
Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:
The two terms:
AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing.
See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.
So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.
Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:
| Object | Size | Orbit’s closest to Earth’s | Missed by, that day | Flagged |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 JR28 | 122–272 m | 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) | 39.2 M km | Yes — both tests pass |
| 2012 LE11 | 629–1,406 m | 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) | 26.1 M km | No — orbit never gets near enough |
| 2007 EK | 3.7–8.2 m | 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) | 4.2 M km | No — far too small |
The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.
“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.
Orbit class: APO — Near-Earth asteroid orbits which cross the Earth’s orbit similar to that of 1862 Apollo
a (semi-major axis) > 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) < 1.017 AU
| Orbital period | 748.3 days (2.05 years) |
| Eccentricity | .7455576259446918 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated) |
| Semi-major axis | 1.613108846033142 AU |
| Inclination | 11.95337880490778° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's) |
| Perihelion distance | .4104432443942914 AU (closest approach to the Sun) |
| Aphelion distance | 2.815774447671993 AU (farthest from the Sun) |
| Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance | 0.01827 AU = 2,733,258 km (closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing) |
| Ascending node longitude | 154.2358551667413° |
| Argument of perihelion | 117.0476580709429° |
| Mean anomaly / motion | 224.2283979781991° / .4810703212053726°/day |
| Jupiter Tisserand invariant | 3.952 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets) |
| Reference epoch / equinox | JD 2461000.5 / J2000 |
| Orbit determined | 2024-10-25 06:59:41 |
| Observed | 2010-02-16 to 2024-10-24 (5364 day arc, 66 observations used) |
| Orbit uncertainty | 0 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain) |
Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 73 total.
It orbits the Sun. Not Earth, and not Venus. The column above does not say what the asteroid goes around — it says which planet a given close approach was to. 50 of them were approaches to Earth, 19 of them were approaches to Venus and 4 of them were approaches to Merc.
This one’s path runs from 0.410 AU at its closest to the Sun out to 2.816 AU at its farthest. For scale, Venus orbits at about 0.72 AU and Earth at 1.00 AU — so an orbit spanning that range crosses the path of every planet in between, once on the way out and once on the way back.
Crossing a planet’s path is not the same as meeting the planet. Almost every time the asteroid crosses, that planet is somewhere else along its own orbit. A close approach is logged only on the rare occasions when both happen to arrive at the crossing point at roughly the same time — which is why the dates below are scattered rather than regular. This object takes 748.3 days to go round, against Earth’s 365.25, so the two drift in and out of step over years rather than repeating on a neat cycle.
The Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance in the table above (0.0183 AU) is the closest the two paths ever come. The miss distances below are how far apart the two bodies actually were on the day, which is almost always very much larger.
next approach: 2028-10-27
| Date | Passed near | Velocity (km/h) | Miss distance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2200-10-23 | Earth | 105983.24 | 31,404,257 km 81.7 LD |
| 2198-10-08 | Earth | 76442.78 | 34,085,719 km 88.7 LD |
| 2196-09-03 | Earth | 68020.36 | 66,265,812 km 172 LD |
| 2186-04-14 | Earth | 56870.44 | 69,215,680 km 180 LD |
| 2184-03-09 | Earth | 74634.78 | 26,844,131 km 69.8 LD |
| 2182-02-25 | Earth | 104298.94 | 16,594,462 km 43.2 LD |
| 2180-02-13 | Earth | 134799.26 | 56,705,135 km 148 LD |
| 2163-12-06 | Venus | 76870.57 | 20,647,522 km 53.7 LD |
| 2157-10-30 | Earth | 123461.90 | 49,063,508 km 128 LD |
| 2157-10-16 | Venus | 88170.80 | 10,679,471 km 27.8 LD |
| 2155-10-16 | Earth | 91483.31 | 24,615,699 km 64.0 LD |
| 2153-09-25 | Earth | 62948.18 | 50,642,817 km 132 LD |
| 2151-08-25 | Venus | 97699.74 | 5,598,444 km 14.6 LD |
| 2145-07-03 | Venus | 106619.71 | 9,282,198 km 24.1 LD |
| 2141-03-12 | Earth | 67087.97 | 37,640,026 km 97.9 LD |
| 2139-05-12 | Venus | 119168.23 | 19,212,097 km 50.0 LD |
| 2139-02-28 | Earth | 97308.84 | 7,462,668 km 19.4 LD |
| 2137-02-14 | Earth | 129145.86 | 49,296,631 km 128 LD |
| 2131-01-07 | Venus | 122475.75 | 21,592,703 km 56.2 LD |
| 2124-11-15 | Venus | 110152.94 | 11,372,790 km 29.6 LD |
| 2118-09-24 | Venus | 101991.97 | 5,710,361 km 14.9 LD |
| 2114-10-27 | Earth | 118366.46 | 42,831,814 km 111 LD |
| 2112-10-12 | Earth | 85832.59 | 25,713,165 km 66.9 LD |
| 2112-07-31 | Venus | 98085.93 | 4,643,904 km 12.1 LD |
| 2110-09-15 | Earth | 61228.66 | 58,707,726 km 153 LD |
| 2106-06-06 | Venus | 95744.97 | 5,072,327 km 13.2 LD |
| 2100-04-12 | Venus | 91828.77 | 7,252,691 km 18.9 LD |
| 2100-03-21 | Earth | 49725.41 | 62,974,266 km 164 LD |
| 2098-03-05 | Earth | 80611.01 | 17,902,919 km 46.6 LD |
| 2096-02-21 | Earth | 112307.68 | 26,883,591 km 69.9 LD |
| 2094-02-18 | Venus | 81568.84 | 15,423,825 km 40.1 LD |
| 2094-02-07 | Earth | 144316.03 | 68,867,054 km 179 LD |
| 2071-10-25 | Earth | 114556.51 | 38,290,900 km 99.6 LD |
| 2069-10-10 | Earth | 84692.23 | 25,895,450 km 67.4 LD |
| 2067-09-16 | Earth | 60737.54 | 57,792,681 km 150 LD |
| 2057-04-23 | Earth | 69393.38 | 74,709,630 km 194 LD |
| 2055-03-10 | Earth | 68461.51 | 35,448,745 km 92.2 LD |
| 2053-02-25 | Earth | 98671.18 | 8,690,585 km 22.6 LD |
| 2051-02-13 | Earth | 130264.51 | 50,826,852 km 132 LD |
| 2028-10-27 next | Earth | 122155.19 | 46,537,033 km 121 LD |
| 2026-10-13 | Earth | 91054.05 | 23,042,474 km 59.9 LD |
| 2024-09-21 | Earth | 61400.11 | 52,477,584 km 137 LD |
| 2020-08-03 | Venus | 78994.92 | 18,319,091 km 47.7 LD |
| 2014-06-13 | Venus | 87068.73 | 11,131,404 km 29.0 LD |
| 2014-04-23 | Earth | 69573.39 | 74,782,547 km 195 LD |
| 2012-03-08 | Earth | 70865.54 | 31,915,148 km 83.0 LD |
| 2010-02-24 | Earth | 102235.67 | 13,221,447 km 34.4 LD |
| 2008-04-19 | Venus | 91783.32 | 7,216,052 km 18.8 LD |
| 2008-02-11 | Earth | 135335.26 | 57,223,046 km 149 LD |
| 2004-02-23 | Merc | 99418.91 | 14,431,443 km 37.5 LD |
| 2002-02-24 | Venus | 93639.34 | 5,948,903 km 15.5 LD |
| 1995-12-30 | Venus | 90290.79 | 8,237,950 km 21.4 LD |
| 1991-10-15 | Merc | 97435.42 | 13,751,730 km 35.8 LD |
| 1989-11-01 | Venus | 83682.22 | 13,976,596 km 36.4 LD |
| 1987-10-27 | Earth | 122273.02 | 46,350,117 km 121 LD |
| 1985-10-11 | Earth | 87417.33 | 23,474,963 km 61.1 LD |
| 1983-09-12 | Earth | 60852.55 | 59,622,242 km 155 LD |
| 1983-09-03 | Venus | 75211.86 | 21,752,316 km 56.6 LD |
| 1973-03-12 | Earth | 63497.51 | 42,787,287 km 111 LD |
| 1971-02-25 | Earth | 98391.74 | 7,738,738 km 20.1 LD |
| 1969-02-10 | Earth | 135115.31 | 56,886,892 km 148 LD |
| 1950-11-02 | Earth | 137418.53 | 64,276,303 km 167 LD |
| 1948-10-17 | Earth | 100836.08 | 24,614,217 km 64.0 LD |
| 1946-09-28 | Earth | 65861.69 | 44,643,169 km 116 LD |
| 1936-03-15 | Earth | 56267.41 | 53,418,985 km 139 LD |
| 1934-02-28 | Earth | 91937.40 | 2,026,131 km 5.27 LD |
| 1932-02-14 | Earth | 126008.49 | 45,139,225 km 117 LD |
| 1930-03-17 | Merc | 102233.79 | 14,619,660 km 38.0 LD |
| 1913-09-30 | Merc | 103794.00 | 12,901,208 km 33.6 LD |
| 1911-11-02 | Earth | 135618.74 | 61,768,662 km 161 LD |
| 1909-10-18 | Earth | 102361.95 | 25,294,811 km 65.8 LD |
| 1907-10-01 | Earth | 70230.99 | 38,794,998 km 101 LD |
| 1905-08-19 | Earth | 77508.58 | 73,833,036 km 192 LD |
Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-09-04T13:11:25.609125+00:00.