Illustration of Earth with several asteroids passing at different distances, one flagged as potentially hazardous

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(2010 FA81)

Designation: 2010 FA81 · NASA id: 3514549

Estimated diameter: 87 – 195 meters

≈ a football pitch
That comparison is of size only — what an impact would do depends on speed, angle, composition and where it arrives, none of which follows from width.
(absolute magnitude H = 22.42) · JPL Small-Body Database →

Earth impact concern
No identified impact threat
Why?
  • Its closest recorded pass was 14.9 lunar distances.
  • It is not on NASA/JPL’s Sentry list, which holds every object with a computed chance of impact above zero. Most objects are not on it.
What the four levels mean
  • No identified impact threat — not on any risk list. 98.8% of the objects here.
  • On a monitored risk list — a computed chance above zero, however small. 1.2% of the objects here.
  • Among the highest-ranked — Palermo at or above −2. Two objects worldwide qualify, both studied for decades and both centuries away.
  • Exceptional — Torino 1 or more, or Palermo at or above zero. No object anywhere currently qualifies.

These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.

Energy of motion, if it ever entered the atmosphere

5.0 megatonnes – 187.8 megatonnes of TNT

This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.

The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.

Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.

Why is one asteroid “hazardous” when closer ones are not?

Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:

  • Its orbit can bring it within 0.05 AU of Earth’s — about 7.5 million km. This is the Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance, the closest the two paths ever come, not the distance on any given pass.
  • It is big enough to matter — absolute magnitude 22.0 or brighter, which is roughly 140 metres across and up. That threshold is a planning convention, not a physical boundary: it is about the size at which an impact could do regional damage. Smaller objects are not harmless, they are simply outside this definition — the Chelyabinsk object of 2013 was around 20 metres and injured about 1,500 people with the shock wave from its airburst, without ever reaching the ground intact.

The two terms: AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing. See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.

So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.

Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:

Object Size Orbit’s closest to Earth’s Missed by, that day Flagged
2013 JR28 122–272 m 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) 39.2 M km Yes — both tests pass
2012 LE11 629–1,406 m 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) 26.1 M km No — orbit never gets near enough
2007 EK 3.7–8.2 m 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) 4.2 M km No — far too small

The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.

“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.

Orbital Data

Orbit class: APO — Near-Earth asteroid orbits which cross the Earth’s orbit similar to that of 1862 Apollo
a (semi-major axis) > 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) < 1.017 AU

Orbital period477.3 days (1.31 years)
Eccentricity.1519304215721835 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated)
Semi-major axis1.19530551713504 AU
Inclination15.47700302595456° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's)
Perihelion distance1.013702246009157 AU (closest approach to the Sun)
Aphelion distance1.376908788260924 AU (farthest from the Sun)
Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance0.03252 AU = 4,864,818 km
(closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing)
Ascending node longitude47.77783262242477°
Argument of perihelion140.8400494796783°
Mean anomaly / motion351.2442879838729° / .7541985407693844°/day
Jupiter Tisserand invariant5.266 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets)
Reference epoch / equinoxJD 2461000.5 / J2000
Orbit determined2022-12-23 04:53:27
Observed2010-03-10 to 2022-12-22 (4670 day arc, 171 observations used)
Orbit uncertainty0 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain)

Close Approach History

Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 93 total.

next approach: 2027-05-02

Date Passed near Velocity (km/h) Miss distance
2197-04-26 Earth 36495.58 42,009,737 km
109 LD
2193-05-18 Earth 43447.15 35,325,430 km
91.9 LD
2192-12-11 Earth 30225.13 43,983,454 km
114 LD
2188-10-31 Earth 33852.43 55,804,416 km
145 LD
2184-09-15 Earth 27033.65 66,169,604 km
172 LD
2180-05-02 Earth 30254.52 19,582,463 km
50.9 LD
2176-05-25 Earth 55236.85 56,560,886 km
147 LD
2175-11-29 Earth 32116.71 46,106,639 km
120 LD
2171-10-22 Earth 33417.93 59,480,369 km
155 LD
2167-08-31 Earth 22234.32 66,055,879 km
172 LD
2163-05-07 Earth 30205.19 5,925,925 km
15.4 LD
2159-05-29 Earth 62450.57 68,448,868 km
178 LD
2158-11-22 Earth 32931.90 48,028,032 km
125 LD
2154-10-17 Earth 33023.45 61,119,833 km
159 LD
2150-08-25 Earth 20749.33 65,860,004 km
171 LD
2146-05-07 Earth 30247.42 5,731,330 km
14.9 LD
2142-05-28 Earth 60783.95 65,603,244 km
171 LD
2141-11-24 Earth 32770.55 47,691,696 km
124 LD
2137-10-20 Earth 33399.02 60,260,795 km
157 LD
2133-09-05 Earth 24173.99 66,761,909 km
174 LD
2129-05-02 Earth 30004.70 17,980,767 km
46.8 LD
2125-05-22 Earth 51270.02 49,546,049 km
129 LD
2124-12-02 Earth 31644.69 45,446,716 km
118 LD
2120-10-29 Earth 33912.02 57,084,926 km
149 LD
2116-09-21 Earth 28598.77 66,481,914 km
173 LD
2112-04-27 Earth 35451.46 39,821,354 km
104 LD
2108-05-15 Earth 39614.96 27,216,792 km
70.8 LD
2107-12-17 Earth 29237.84 43,682,069 km
114 LD
2103-11-10 Earth 33803.09 52,796,505 km
137 LD
2099-10-05 Earth 31501.71 64,393,137 km
168 LD
2095-07-23 Earth 15007.07 62,887,335 km
164 LD
2095-04-22 Earth 44790.58 61,048,868 km
159 LD
2091-05-09 Earth 32060.55 8,120,360 km
21.1 LD
2091-01-02 Earth 24947.52 43,877,859 km
114 LD
2086-11-16 Earth 33299.77 49,607,894 km
129 LD
2082-10-11 Earth 32406.21 62,704,801 km
163 LD
2078-08-11 Earth 17374.13 64,831,415 km
169 LD
2078-04-23 Earth 47784.83 67,953,310 km
177 LD
2074-05-07 Earth 31367.19 6,082,567 km
15.8 LD
2074-01-05 Earth 23963.47 43,855,035 km
114 LD
2069-11-15 Earth 33374.63 49,664,520 km
129 LD
2065-10-07 Earth 31875.19 63,434,587 km
165 LD
2061-04-24 Earth 42781.49 57,631,738 km
150 LD
2057-05-11 Earth 35848.84 18,489,440 km
48.1 LD
2056-12-20 Earth 28126.69 43,031,853 km
112 LD
2052-11-06 Earth 33716.34 52,770,612 km
137 LD
2048-09-25 Earth 29749.21 65,537,523 km
170 LD
2044-04-27 Earth 34499.62 37,735,748 km
98.2 LD
2040-05-18 Earth 45722.27 39,250,927 km
102 LD
2039-12-07 Earth 30785.04 43,755,742 km
114 LD
2035-10-28 Earth 33763.37 56,905,697 km
148 LD
2031-09-11 Earth 25984.84 66,754,266 km
174 LD
2027-05-02 next Earth 29868.21 17,705,887 km
46.1 LD
2023-05-24 Earth 56206.77 57,776,556 km
150 LD
2022-11-26 Earth 32304.97 46,065,763 km
120 LD
2018-10-19 Earth 33230.46 60,139,555 km
156 LD
2014-08-27 Earth 21855.28 66,415,052 km
173 LD
2010-05-05 Earth 30017.24 6,787,449 km
17.7 LD
2006-05-27 Earth 61466.79 66,506,541 km
173 LD
2005-11-21 Earth 32802.78 47,655,360 km
124 LD
2001-10-16 Earth 33074.00 61,213,905 km
159 LD
1997-08-26 Earth 21679.25 66,578,812 km
173 LD
1993-05-04 Earth 29706.50 9,684,400 km
25.2 LD
1989-05-24 Earth 57195.68 59,429,262 km
155 LD
1988-11-24 Earth 32367.90 46,571,171 km
121 LD
1984-10-21 Earth 33567.40 59,491,250 km
155 LD
1980-09-09 Earth 25873.57 67,291,129 km
175 LD
1976-04-29 Earth 31281.00 26,938,142 km
70.1 LD
1972-05-18 Earth 46343.20 40,268,689 km
105 LD
1971-12-06 Earth 30855.91 44,039,158 km
115 LD
1967-11-01 Earth 33920.73 55,599,220 km
145 LD
1963-09-25 Earth 29764.44 66,259,083 km
172 LD
1959-04-25 Earth 38835.24 49,194,240 km
128 LD
1955-05-12 Earth 35853.08 18,478,465 km
48.1 LD
1954-12-21 Earth 28203.54 42,944,548 km
112 LD
1950-11-11 Earth 33634.55 51,418,926 km
134 LD
1946-10-06 Earth 31823.70 64,070,635 km
167 LD
1942-08-04 Earth 16087.19 64,370,272 km
167 LD
1942-04-25 Earth 45932.67 65,881,207 km
171 LD
1938-05-07 Earth 31211.97 5,803,662 km
15.1 LD
1938-01-04 Earth 24490.69 43,448,415 km
113 LD
1934-05-29 Earth 66203.63 74,049,108 km
193 LD
1933-11-16 Earth 33214.83 49,025,394 km
128 LD
1929-10-10 Earth 32389.47 62,877,702 km
164 LD
1925-08-11 Earth 17580.89 65,226,095 km
170 LD
1925-04-29 Earth 46610.82 69,543,398 km
181 LD
1921-05-07 Earth 31176.65 5,748,533 km
15.0 LD
1921-01-03 Earth 24857.14 43,243,805 km
112 LD
1916-11-14 Earth 33275.04 49,602,318 km
129 LD
1912-10-05 Earth 31723.37 63,907,389 km
166 LD
1908-04-25 Earth 42560.09 58,684,872 km
153 LD
1904-05-10 Earth 35486.01 17,439,204 km
45.4 LD
1903-12-20 Earth 28363.39 42,349,709 km
110 LD

Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-09-05T17:47:18.575097+00:00.