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Designation: 2010 MA · NASA id: 3529626
Estimated diameter: 19 – 43 meters
These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.
136 kilotonnes – 5.1 megatonnes of TNT
This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.
The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.
Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.
Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:
The two terms:
AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing.
See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.
So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.
Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:
| Object | Size | Orbit’s closest to Earth’s | Missed by, that day | Flagged |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 JR28 | 122–272 m | 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) | 39.2 M km | Yes — both tests pass |
| 2012 LE11 | 629–1,406 m | 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) | 26.1 M km | No — orbit never gets near enough |
| 2007 EK | 3.7–8.2 m | 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) | 4.2 M km | No — far too small |
The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.
“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.
Orbit class: ATE — Near-Earth asteroid orbits similar to that of 2062 Aten
a (semi-major axis) < 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) > 0.983 AU
| Orbital period | 283.0 days (0.77 years) |
| Eccentricity | .3481217548852435 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated) |
| Semi-major axis | .8436206465074317 AU |
| Inclination | 14.0929506625499° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's) |
| Perihelion distance | .5499379465878409 AU (closest approach to the Sun) |
| Aphelion distance | 1.137303346427023 AU (farthest from the Sun) |
| Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance | 0.02236 AU = 3,345,472 km (closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing) |
| Ascending node longitude | 87.37614480325895° |
| Argument of perihelion | 32.11829581517848° |
| Mean anomaly / motion | 84.57911978061767° / 1.271988760754386°/day |
| Jupiter Tisserand invariant | 6.900 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets) |
| Reference epoch / equinox | JD 2461000.5 / J2000 |
| Orbit determined | 2021-04-15 03:56:26 |
| Observed | 2010-06-14 to 2010-06-18 (4 day arc, 34 observations used) |
| Orbit uncertainty | 6 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain) |
Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 120 total.
It orbits the Sun. Not Earth, and not Venus. The column above does not say what the asteroid goes around — it says which planet a given close approach was to. 98 of them were approaches to Earth and 22 of them were approaches to Venus.
This one’s path runs from 0.550 AU at its closest to the Sun out to 1.137 AU at its farthest. For scale, Venus orbits at about 0.72 AU and Earth at 1.00 AU — so an orbit spanning that range crosses the path of every planet in between, once on the way out and once on the way back.
Crossing a planet’s path is not the same as meeting the planet. Almost every time the asteroid crosses, that planet is somewhere else along its own orbit. A close approach is logged only on the rare occasions when both happen to arrive at the crossing point at roughly the same time — which is why the dates below are scattered rather than regular. This object takes 283.0 days to go round, against Earth’s 365.25, so the two drift in and out of step over years rather than repeating on a neat cycle.
The Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance in the table above (0.0224 AU) is the closest the two paths ever come. The miss distances below are how far apart the two bodies actually were on the day, which is almost always very much larger.
next approach: 2027-06-19
| Date | Passed near | Velocity (km/h) | Miss distance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2155-08-27 | Earth | 63300.31 | 56,722,919 km 148 LD |
| 2151-06-16 | Earth | 37914.88 | 3,220,131 km 8.38 LD |
| 2148-08-31 | Earth | 42466.05 | 39,376,346 km 102 LD |
| 2144-06-16 | Earth | 53479.77 | 24,951,915 km 64.9 LD |
| 2100-08-28 | Earth | 59691.25 | 53,004,794 km 138 LD |
| 2097-11-13 | Venus | 49313.36 | 18,868,171 km 49.1 LD |
| 2096-06-14 | Earth | 38598.72 | 3,457,062 km 8.99 LD |
| 2093-08-30 | Earth | 41358.56 | 38,622,688 km 100 LD |
| 2089-06-15 | Earth | 54352.67 | 26,192,917 km 68.1 LD |
| 2052-08-20 | Earth | 78297.97 | 72,740,750 km 189 LD |
| 2051-06-23 | Earth | 79698.02 | 61,434,336 km 160 LD |
| 2045-08-26 | Earth | 60798.50 | 54,016,918 km 141 LD |
| 2043-06-12 | Venus | 47512.58 | 15,695,296 km 40.8 LD |
| 2041-12-02 | Earth | 54870.72 | 57,252,272 km 149 LD |
| 2041-06-14 | Earth | 37804.29 | 3,491,921 km 9.08 LD |
| 2038-08-30 | Earth | 44095.24 | 40,032,920 km 104 LD |
| 2038-02-22 | Earth | 55263.87 | 66,690,811 km 173 LD |
| 2035-02-12 | Venus | 45809.08 | 18,286,250 km 47.6 LD |
| 2034-12-19 | Earth | 61372.56 | 61,236,190 km 159 LD |
| 2034-06-14 | Earth | 50046.81 | 20,011,734 km 52.1 LD |
| 2031-08-16 | Earth | 31816.79 | 34,296,566 km 89.2 LD |
| 2031-03-14 | Earth | 43126.73 | 63,299,991 km 165 LD |
| 2028-01-05 | Earth | 65103.43 | 64,494,999 km 168 LD |
| 2027-06-19 next | Earth | 65618.18 | 42,205,518 km 110 LD |
| 2025-08-26 | Venus | 42786.70 | 19,353,321 km 50.3 LD |
| 2024-10-18 | Earth | 30916.02 | 46,135,840 km 120 LD |
| 2024-07-17 | Earth | 31866.66 | 28,998,986 km 75.4 LD |
| 2022-07-08 | Venus | 53981.07 | 17,820,064 km 46.4 LD |
| 2021-08-21 | Earth | 75710.91 | 69,802,283 km 182 LD |
| 2021-01-21 | Earth | 65310.12 | 66,660,914 km 173 LD |
| 2020-06-23 | Earth | 81935.31 | 64,333,198 km 167 LD |
| 2017-11-14 | Earth | 45943.76 | 52,743,411 km 137 LD |
| 2017-06-25 | Earth | 32347.08 | 17,338,159 km 45.1 LD |
| 2014-08-27 | Earth | 59442.19 | 52,547,758 km 137 LD |
| 2014-03-12 | Venus | 37786.76 | 19,118,784 km 49.7 LD |
| 2014-02-06 | Earth | 61917.31 | 67,440,186 km 175 LD |
| 2010-12-03 | Earth | 55227.59 | 57,518,372 km 150 LD |
| 2010-06-14 | Earth | 38316.93 | 3,548,028 km 9.23 LD |
| 2007-08-30 | Earth | 42767.53 | 39,125,753 km 102 LD |
| 2007-02-24 | Earth | 54488.64 | 66,549,246 km 173 LD |
| 2004-09-17 | Venus | 42206.72 | 16,852,493 km 43.8 LD |
| 2003-12-21 | Earth | 61985.07 | 61,736,823 km 161 LD |
| 2003-06-15 | Earth | 51735.34 | 22,531,534 km 58.6 LD |
| 2001-08-04 | Venus | 61805.23 | 22,221,323 km 57.8 LD |
| 2000-08-11 | Earth | 31524.25 | 33,762,600 km 87.8 LD |
| 2000-03-17 | Earth | 41019.32 | 62,542,879 km 163 LD |
| 1997-01-07 | Earth | 65392.11 | 64,935,144 km 169 LD |
| 1996-06-18 | Earth | 67954.00 | 45,351,546 km 118 LD |
| 1993-10-24 | Earth | 34142.05 | 47,449,004 km 123 LD |
| 1993-07-13 | Earth | 31932.23 | 27,487,235 km 71.5 LD |
| 1993-04-11 | Venus | 32479.58 | 21,149,518 km 55.0 LD |
| 1990-08-22 | Earth | 72683.07 | 66,275,737 km 172 LD |
| 1990-01-24 | Earth | 64984.40 | 66,957,673 km 174 LD |
| 1989-06-25 | Earth | 84859.17 | 68,334,014 km 178 LD |
| 1986-11-19 | Earth | 48387.68 | 53,983,516 km 140 LD |
| 1986-06-21 | Earth | 32877.99 | 13,917,094 km 36.2 LD |
| 1983-10-15 | Venus | 43225.79 | 16,004,082 km 41.6 LD |
| 1983-08-28 | Earth | 55511.72 | 48,752,074 km 127 LD |
| 1983-02-10 | Earth | 60570.53 | 67,425,778 km 175 LD |
| 1979-12-07 | Earth | 57192.10 | 58,637,489 km 153 LD |
| 1979-06-14 | Earth | 40923.55 | 6,413,471 km 16.7 LD |
| 1976-08-28 | Earth | 38022.44 | 36,670,993 km 95.4 LD |
| 1976-02-29 | Earth | 51367.30 | 65,830,773 km 171 LD |
| 1975-06-13 | Venus | 56770.41 | 21,334,988 km 55.5 LD |
| 1972-12-26 | Earth | 63707.20 | 63,027,779 km 164 LD |
| 1972-06-15 | Earth | 57424.75 | 30,673,108 km 79.8 LD |
| 1972-05-12 | Venus | 30370.22 | 22,425,859 km 58.3 LD |
| 1969-07-29 | Earth | 31662.60 | 31,854,035 km 82.9 LD |
| 1969-03-28 | Earth | 32667.65 | 59,385,703 km 154 LD |
| 1966-01-15 | Earth | 65798.41 | 66,101,423 km 172 LD |
| 1965-06-21 | Earth | 76075.91 | 56,542,656 km 147 LD |
| 1962-11-18 | Venus | 42161.95 | 17,041,000 km 44.3 LD |
| 1962-11-08 | Earth | 42642.11 | 51,284,279 km 133 LD |
| 1962-06-30 | Earth | 32030.11 | 21,046,093 km 54.8 LD |
| 1959-10-05 | Venus | 60013.79 | 21,155,515 km 55.0 LD |
| 1959-08-26 | Earth | 62358.84 | 55,260,892 km 144 LD |
| 1959-02-03 | Earth | 62883.38 | 67,473,489 km 176 LD |
| 1955-12-02 | Earth | 54704.06 | 57,299,050 km 149 LD |
| 1955-06-15 | Earth | 37483.78 | 3,830,031 km 9.96 LD |
| 1952-08-29 | Earth | 43600.00 | 39,498,297 km 103 LD |
| 1952-02-23 | Earth | 55065.28 | 66,663,638 km 173 LD |
| 1951-06-12 | Venus | 35851.39 | 19,669,148 km 51.2 LD |
| 1948-12-20 | Earth | 61956.55 | 61,685,130 km 160 LD |
| 1948-06-14 | Earth | 51294.56 | 21,869,743 km 56.9 LD |
| 1945-08-12 | Earth | 31612.42 | 33,623,186 km 87.5 LD |
| 1945-03-16 | Earth | 41218.03 | 62,636,871 km 163 LD |
| 1942-01-07 | Earth | 65551.76 | 65,036,079 km 169 LD |
| 1941-12-20 | Venus | 42008.38 | 17,591,066 km 45.8 LD |
| 1941-06-19 | Earth | 68312.59 | 45,942,336 km 120 LD |
| 1938-11-05 | Venus | 58625.16 | 20,315,360 km 52.8 LD |
| 1938-10-26 | Earth | 34891.36 | 47,881,654 km 125 LD |
| 1938-07-12 | Earth | 31892.24 | 26,938,117 km 70.1 LD |
| 1935-08-23 | Earth | 71716.15 | 65,073,768 km 169 LD |
| 1935-01-25 | Earth | 64957.92 | 67,042,738 km 174 LD |
| 1934-06-25 | Earth | 85828.09 | 69,593,978 km 181 LD |
| 1931-11-20 | Earth | 49206.39 | 54,484,609 km 142 LD |
| 1931-06-20 | Earth | 33248.50 | 12,643,719 km 32.9 LD |
| 1930-07-12 | Venus | 36012.42 | 19,628,266 km 51.1 LD |
| 1928-08-28 | Earth | 53895.95 | 47,237,323 km 123 LD |
| 1928-02-12 | Earth | 60102.22 | 67,383,240 km 175 LD |
| 1924-12-08 | Earth | 58020.03 | 59,160,947 km 154 LD |
| 1924-06-13 | Earth | 42276.73 | 8,467,615 km 22.0 LD |
| 1921-08-27 | Earth | 36386.90 | 35,842,318 km 93.2 LD |
| 1921-03-03 | Earth | 50141.47 | 65,475,968 km 170 LD |
| 1921-01-18 | Venus | 42042.86 | 17,310,061 km 45.0 LD |
| 1917-12-28 | Earth | 64161.51 | 63,400,305 km 165 LD |
| 1917-12-05 | Venus | 59339.99 | 20,765,232 km 54.0 LD |
| 1917-06-16 | Earth | 58969.24 | 32,955,869 km 85.7 LD |
| 1914-07-27 | Earth | 31781.02 | 31,262,304 km 81.3 LD |
| 1914-03-31 | Earth | 30695.77 | 58,632,495 km 153 LD |
| 1911-01-16 | Earth | 65859.35 | 66,234,323 km 172 LD |
| 1910-06-22 | Earth | 77150.36 | 58,002,116 km 151 LD |
| 1909-08-11 | Venus | 38202.96 | 18,989,405 km 49.4 LD |
| 1907-11-10 | Earth | 43306.73 | 51,709,336 km 135 LD |
| 1907-06-29 | Earth | 32021.71 | 20,219,105 km 52.6 LD |
| 1904-08-25 | Earth | 61568.36 | 54,429,284 km 142 LD |
| 1904-02-04 | Earth | 62792.32 | 67,473,961 km 176 LD |
| 1900-12-01 | Earth | 55052.32 | 57,534,456 km 150 LD |
| 1900-06-14 | Earth | 37839.46 | 3,811,883 km 9.92 LD |
| 1900-02-22 | Venus | 42354.63 | 18,909,589 km 49.2 LD |
Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-09-02T14:12:44.728480+00:00.