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Designation: 2010 PW58 · NASA id: 3544935
· Potentially Hazardous
Estimated diameter: 121 – 272 meters
These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.
19.0 megatonnes – 707.8 megatonnes of TNT
This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.
The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.
Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.
Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:
The two terms:
AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing.
See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.
So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.
Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:
| Object | Size | Orbit’s closest to Earth’s | Missed by, that day | Flagged |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 JR28 | 122–272 m | 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) | 39.2 M km | Yes — both tests pass |
| 2012 LE11 | 629–1,406 m | 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) | 26.1 M km | No — orbit never gets near enough |
| 2007 EK | 3.7–8.2 m | 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) | 4.2 M km | No — far too small |
The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.
“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.
Orbit class: ATE — Near-Earth asteroid orbits similar to that of 2062 Aten
a (semi-major axis) < 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) > 0.983 AU
| Orbital period | 306.0 days (0.84 years) |
| Eccentricity | .2117576170922935 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated) |
| Semi-major axis | .8886456737261909 AU |
| Inclination | 14.2352936316362° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's) |
| Perihelion distance | .700468183418557 AU (closest approach to the Sun) |
| Aphelion distance | 1.076823164033825 AU (farthest from the Sun) |
| Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance | 0.02148 AU = 3,214,035 km (closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing) |
| Ascending node longitude | 324.4466806697351° |
| Argument of perihelion | 131.0188954613782° |
| Mean anomaly / motion | 122.8557130942934° / 1.176552002985568°/day |
| Jupiter Tisserand invariant | 6.638 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets) |
| Reference epoch / equinox | JD 2459000.5 / J2000 |
| Orbit determined | 2017-04-06 08:56:59 |
| Observed | 2010-08-05 to 2015-10-01 (1883 day arc, 32 observations used) |
| Orbit uncertainty | 2 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain) |
Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 157 total.
It orbits the Sun. Not Earth, and not Venus. The column above does not say what the asteroid goes around — it says which planet a given close approach was to. 133 of them were approaches to Earth and 24 of them were approaches to Venus.
This one’s path runs from 0.700 AU at its closest to the Sun out to 1.077 AU at its farthest. For scale, Venus orbits at about 0.72 AU and Earth at 1.00 AU — so an orbit spanning that range crosses the path of every planet in between, once on the way out and once on the way back.
Crossing a planet’s path is not the same as meeting the planet. Almost every time the asteroid crosses, that planet is somewhere else along its own orbit. A close approach is logged only on the rare occasions when both happen to arrive at the crossing point at roughly the same time — which is why the dates below are scattered rather than regular. This object takes 306.0 days to go round, against Earth’s 365.25, so the two drift in and out of step over years rather than repeating on a neat cycle.
The Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance in the table above (0.0215 AU) is the closest the two paths ever come. The miss distances below are how far apart the two bodies actually were on the day, which is almost always very much larger.
next approach: 2031-01-30
| Date | Passed near | Velocity (km/h) | Miss distance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2200-12-10 | Earth | 33794.69 | 49,959,972 km 130 LD |
| 2200-05-05 | Earth | 44170.51 | 47,649,858 km 124 LD |
| 2195-08-13 | Earth | 26760.35 | 16,941,559 km 44.1 LD |
| 2195-03-13 | Earth | 35141.18 | 31,285,284 km 81.4 LD |
| 2190-08-10 | Earth | 48559.94 | 32,673,301 km 85.0 LD |
| 2190-01-21 | Earth | 40134.98 | 42,490,030 km 111 LD |
| 2187-07-15 | Venus | 37666.18 | 14,596,551 km 38.0 LD |
| 2184-11-23 | Earth | 28361.26 | 49,837,647 km 130 LD |
| 2184-04-24 | Earth | 38172.69 | 40,157,845 km 104 LD |
| 2180-10-17 | Venus | 46217.31 | 11,048,170 km 28.7 LD |
| 2179-08-16 | Earth | 29153.40 | 5,860,621 km 15.2 LD |
| 2179-03-01 | Earth | 36685.63 | 32,856,184 km 85.5 LD |
| 2174-08-08 | Earth | 52953.93 | 39,505,290 km 103 LD |
| 2174-01-15 | Earth | 40140.31 | 44,328,339 km 115 LD |
| 2173-05-22 | Earth | 65960.80 | 73,952,757 km 192 LD |
| 2168-11-22 | Earth | 28252.61 | 49,898,012 km 130 LD |
| 2168-04-25 | Earth | 38083.45 | 40,246,521 km 105 LD |
| 2164-10-19 | Venus | 46354.15 | 11,142,208 km 29.0 LD |
| 2163-08-15 | Earth | 27549.77 | 11,550,023 km 30.0 LD |
| 2163-03-08 | Earth | 35819.29 | 31,963,297 km 83.2 LD |
| 2158-08-11 | Earth | 46600.87 | 29,456,387 km 76.6 LD |
| 2158-01-25 | Earth | 40157.10 | 41,605,451 km 108 LD |
| 2155-07-18 | Venus | 37780.97 | 15,150,442 km 39.4 LD |
| 2153-07-30 | Earth | 74302.04 | 70,969,956 km 185 LD |
| 2152-12-11 | Earth | 34436.85 | 50,060,134 km 130 LD |
| 2152-05-06 | Earth | 45170.31 | 48,849,149 km 127 LD |
| 2147-08-06 | Earth | 26898.79 | 26,380,181 km 68.6 LD |
| 2147-03-25 | Earth | 34131.47 | 31,515,400 km 82.0 LD |
| 2142-08-14 | Earth | 37709.37 | 14,205,303 km 37.0 LD |
| 2142-02-09 | Earth | 39127.94 | 37,386,218 km 97.3 LD |
| 2139-07-25 | Venus | 38822.45 | 3,796,481 km 9.88 LD |
| 2137-08-03 | Earth | 66741.06 | 59,890,265 km 156 LD |
| 2136-12-23 | Earth | 37367.00 | 48,880,479 km 127 LD |
| 2136-05-11 | Earth | 51199.90 | 55,689,016 km 145 LD |
| 2131-08-02 | Earth | 27161.24 | 28,985,990 km 75.4 LD |
| 2131-03-28 | Earth | 34046.48 | 31,627,200 km 82.3 LD |
| 2126-08-13 | Earth | 40012.86 | 18,186,383 km 47.3 LD |
| 2126-02-04 | Earth | 39568.40 | 38,730,079 km 101 LD |
| 2123-07-19 | Venus | 38617.09 | 19,260,202 km 50.1 LD |
| 2121-07-31 | Earth | 72613.64 | 68,345,980 km 178 LD |
| 2120-12-12 | Earth | 34898.01 | 49,922,366 km 130 LD |
| 2120-05-05 | Earth | 45667.06 | 49,032,770 km 128 LD |
| 2116-10-23 | Venus | 43636.94 | 7,006,418 km 18.2 LD |
| 2115-08-12 | Earth | 26578.39 | 20,598,548 km 53.6 LD |
| 2115-03-17 | Earth | 34740.14 | 31,201,068 km 81.2 LD |
| 2110-08-12 | Earth | 44132.79 | 25,230,141 km 65.6 LD |
| 2110-01-28 | Earth | 39993.65 | 40,643,826 km 106 LD |
| 2105-07-30 | Earth | 74969.81 | 71,754,426 km 187 LD |
| 2104-12-08 | Earth | 33817.98 | 50,156,900 km 130 LD |
| 2104-05-04 | Earth | 44170.81 | 47,364,743 km 123 LD |
| 2100-10-23 | Venus | 40778.87 | 2,131,078 km 5.54 LD |
| 2099-08-09 | Earth | 26589.81 | 23,198,293 km 60.3 LD |
| 2099-03-20 | Earth | 34337.31 | 31,193,510 km 81.1 LD |
| 2094-08-13 | Earth | 37045.73 | 13,085,122 km 34.0 LD |
| 2094-02-10 | Earth | 38827.60 | 36,963,821 km 96.2 LD |
| 2091-07-24 | Venus | 37724.66 | 15,772,622 km 41.0 LD |
| 2089-08-03 | Earth | 61520.84 | 52,273,757 km 136 LD |
| 2088-12-31 | Earth | 38924.60 | 47,392,947 km 123 LD |
| 2088-05-14 | Earth | 57921.67 | 63,887,742 km 166 LD |
| 2083-11-08 | Earth | 23660.00 | 48,569,238 km 126 LD |
| 2083-04-17 | Earth | 35977.12 | 36,813,001 km 95.8 LD |
| 2078-08-14 | Earth | 27986.87 | 9,767,545 km 25.4 LD |
| 2078-03-04 | Earth | 36031.31 | 32,137,111 km 83.6 LD |
| 2075-08-05 | Venus | 44108.98 | 7,681,096 km 20.0 LD |
| 2073-08-10 | Earth | 44694.33 | 26,383,401 km 68.6 LD |
| 2073-01-27 | Earth | 39943.77 | 40,695,201 km 106 LD |
| 2068-07-31 | Earth | 67206.13 | 60,709,492 km 158 LD |
| 2067-12-23 | Earth | 37561.80 | 48,903,226 km 127 LD |
| 2067-05-12 | Earth | 53211.44 | 58,241,399 km 152 LD |
| 2066-05-09 | Venus | 39006.55 | 3,212,481 km 8.36 LD |
| 2062-10-22 | Earth | 20242.90 | 46,268,379 km 120 LD |
| 2062-07-03 | Earth | 26828.62 | 38,381,819 km 99.8 LD |
| 2062-04-10 | Earth | 34611.16 | 34,229,362 km 89.0 LD |
| 2057-08-14 | Earth | 30262.32 | 3,685,389 km 9.59 LD |
| 2057-02-24 | Earth | 37098.88 | 33,648,286 km 87.5 LD |
| 2052-08-08 | Earth | 50128.98 | 34,865,619 km 90.7 LD |
| 2052-01-19 | Earth | 40315.97 | 43,448,681 km 113 LD |
| 2050-05-20 | Venus | 55121.30 | 21,976,909 km 57.2 LD |
| 2047-07-29 | Earth | 74671.32 | 71,258,321 km 185 LD |
| 2046-12-10 | Earth | 34512.96 | 50,306,056 km 131 LD |
| 2046-05-05 | Earth | 45716.19 | 49,015,770 km 128 LD |
| 2041-07-25 | Earth | 27401.38 | 32,294,654 km 84.0 LD |
| 2041-03-31 | Earth | 33865.05 | 32,154,944 km 83.6 LD |
| 2041-02-20 | Venus | 43347.74 | 6,314,637 km 16.4 LD |
| 2036-08-14 | Earth | 30128.81 | 4,068,797 km 10.6 LD |
| 2036-02-26 | Earth | 36950.08 | 33,621,831 km 87.5 LD |
| 2031-12-01 | Venus | 44510.89 | 8,043,309 km 20.9 LD |
| 2031-08-10 | Earth | 43631.14 | 24,400,931 km 63.5 LD |
| 2031-01-30 next | Earth | 39967.64 | 40,384,712 km 105 LD |
| 2026-08-04 | Earth | 59360.90 | 48,923,072 km 127 LD |
| 2026-01-05 | Earth | 39782.83 | 46,811,873 km 122 LD |
| 2025-05-18 | Earth | 62128.71 | 68,944,525 km 179 LD |
| 2022-09-12 | Venus | 52856.63 | 19,212,482 km 50.0 LD |
| 2021-07-28 | Earth | 76065.48 | 73,269,292 km 191 LD |
| 2020-12-08 | Earth | 34402.11 | 50,493,885 km 131 LD |
| 2020-05-06 | Earth | 46137.45 | 49,813,463 km 130 LD |
| 2015-11-02 | Earth | 22517.58 | 47,990,525 km 125 LD |
| 2015-04-16 | Earth | 35299.15 | 36,129,583 km 94.0 LD |
| 2010-08-08 | Earth | 26536.20 | 23,887,630 km 62.1 LD |
| 2010-03-21 | Earth | 34149.27 | 31,366,458 km 81.6 LD |
| 2005-08-14 | Earth | 30429.91 | 3,682,273 km 9.58 LD |
| 2005-02-25 | Earth | 37070.51 | 33,872,478 km 88.1 LD |
| 2001-10-03 | Venus | 38240.74 | 5,728,221 km 14.9 LD |
| 2000-08-11 | Earth | 40442.49 | 18,959,636 km 49.3 LD |
| 2000-02-04 | Earth | 39614.79 | 39,157,153 km 102 LD |
| 1995-08-06 | Earth | 56476.67 | 44,523,049 km 116 LD |
| 1995-01-09 | Earth | 40178.65 | 46,033,765 km 120 LD |
| 1994-05-20 | Earth | 64836.41 | 71,955,939 km 187 LD |
| 1992-07-15 | Venus | 42091.95 | 4,005,774 km 10.4 LD |
| 1990-07-29 | Earth | 71958.64 | 67,352,987 km 175 LD |
| 1989-12-16 | Earth | 36532.31 | 50,081,763 km 130 LD |
| 1989-05-10 | Earth | 50482.74 | 54,700,483 km 142 LD |
| 1984-11-22 | Earth | 29066.04 | 50,414,485 km 131 LD |
| 1984-04-27 | Earth | 39452.89 | 41,772,954 km 109 LD |
| 1979-07-09 | Earth | 27163.19 | 37,343,859 km 97.1 LD |
| 1979-04-10 | Earth | 34113.84 | 33,943,707 km 88.3 LD |
| 1974-08-09 | Earth | 26404.63 | 22,763,223 km 59.2 LD |
| 1974-03-20 | Earth | 34166.75 | 31,384,198 km 81.6 LD |
| 1971-08-15 | Venus | 41237.10 | 2,340,289 km 6.09 LD |
| 1969-08-14 | Earth | 27475.86 | 11,772,029 km 30.6 LD |
| 1969-03-09 | Earth | 35395.40 | 32,074,204 km 83.4 LD |
| 1964-08-14 | Earth | 28275.09 | 8,775,593 km 22.8 LD |
| 1964-03-05 | Earth | 35866.71 | 32,595,551 km 84.8 LD |
| 1959-12-13 | Venus | 53470.91 | 19,643,865 km 51.1 LD |
| 1959-08-15 | Earth | 28365.48 | 8,462,852 km 22.0 LD |
| 1959-03-06 | Earth | 35869.91 | 32,719,476 km 85.1 LD |
| 1957-06-08 | Venus | 39261.81 | 21,406,385 km 55.7 LD |
| 1954-08-14 | Earth | 27532.73 | 11,447,095 km 29.8 LD |
| 1954-03-09 | Earth | 35429.33 | 32,347,780 km 84.2 LD |
| 1949-08-13 | Earth | 26743.53 | 15,606,993 km 40.6 LD |
| 1949-03-14 | Earth | 34829.42 | 31,954,693 km 83.1 LD |
| 1945-10-18 | Venus | 50715.91 | 16,195,091 km 42.1 LD |
| 1944-08-10 | Earth | 26345.00 | 22,046,591 km 57.4 LD |
| 1944-03-22 | Earth | 33944.59 | 31,789,444 km 82.7 LD |
| 1943-04-15 | Venus | 39328.65 | 21,429,800 km 55.7 LD |
| 1939-08-01 | Earth | 27012.34 | 29,750,439 km 77.4 LD |
| 1939-04-01 | Earth | 33417.93 | 32,416,227 km 84.3 LD |
| 1934-07-13 | Earth | 27469.77 | 36,625,711 km 95.3 LD |
| 1934-04-11 | Earth | 33721.61 | 34,274,164 km 89.2 LD |
| 1929-11-05 | Earth | 23939.38 | 48,897,839 km 127 LD |
| 1929-04-22 | Earth | 35961.04 | 38,173,329 km 99.3 LD |
| 1929-02-27 | Venus | 37829.60 | 8,303,450 km 21.6 LD |
| 1924-11-20 | Earth | 28932.41 | 50,692,240 km 132 LD |
| 1924-04-30 | Earth | 39646.33 | 42,617,897 km 111 LD |
| 1919-12-02 | Earth | 32938.25 | 51,212,437 km 133 LD |
| 1919-05-07 | Earth | 44427.40 | 48,101,272 km 125 LD |
| 1915-07-28 | Earth | 75856.94 | 72,833,347 km 189 LD |
| 1915-01-10 | Venus | 42373.55 | 4,012,749 km 10.4 LD |
| 1914-12-14 | Earth | 36204.22 | 50,867,344 km 132 LD |
| 1914-05-13 | Earth | 50986.17 | 56,000,968 km 146 LD |
| 1910-08-01 | Earth | 64971.50 | 57,186,235 km 149 LD |
| 1909-12-31 | Earth | 39742.73 | 48,446,039 km 126 LD |
| 1909-05-20 | Earth | 62281.60 | 69,366,189 km 180 LD |
| 1905-08-05 | Earth | 54535.72 | 41,722,597 km 109 LD |
| 1905-01-16 | Earth | 40786.31 | 44,911,403 km 117 LD |
| 1900-08-08 | Earth | 44906.01 | 26,656,075 km 69.3 LD |
| 1900-01-31 | Earth | 40174.32 | 40,829,225 km 106 LD |
Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-09-06T00:19:14.061432+00:00.