← Back to current tracker · Insights · Impact risk · Lost asteroids · What arrived
Designation: 2010 SJ · NASA id: 3546741
Estimated diameter: 46 – 103 meters
These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.
702 kilotonnes – 26.2 megatonnes of TNT
This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.
The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.
Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.
Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:
The two terms:
AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing.
See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.
So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.
Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:
| Object | Size | Orbit’s closest to Earth’s | Missed by, that day | Flagged |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 JR28 | 122–272 m | 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) | 39.2 M km | Yes — both tests pass |
| 2012 LE11 | 629–1,406 m | 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) | 26.1 M km | No — orbit never gets near enough |
| 2007 EK | 3.7–8.2 m | 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) | 4.2 M km | No — far too small |
The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.
“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.
Orbit class: ATE — Near-Earth asteroid orbits similar to that of 2062 Aten
a (semi-major axis) < 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) > 0.983 AU
| Orbital period | 323.0 days (0.88 years) |
| Eccentricity | .1660320319272541 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated) |
| Semi-major axis | .9213648675687642 AU |
| Inclination | 11.30572627853537° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's) |
| Perihelion distance | .7683887864599369 AU (closest approach to the Sun) |
| Aphelion distance | 1.074340948677592 AU (farthest from the Sun) |
| Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance | 0.04930 AU = 7,375,474 km (closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing) |
| Ascending node longitude | 183.3533839092281° |
| Argument of perihelion | 335.6737555440932° |
| Mean anomaly / motion | 264.5048906580078° / 1.114439769007302°/day |
| Jupiter Tisserand invariant | 6.461 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets) |
| Reference epoch / equinox | JD 2461000.5 / J2000 |
| Orbit determined | 2021-04-15 04:12:37 |
| Observed | 2010-09-16 to 2010-10-06 (20 day arc, 74 observations used) |
| Orbit uncertainty | 6 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain) |
Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 129 total.
It orbits the Sun. Not Earth, and not Venus. The column above does not say what the asteroid goes around — it says which planet a given close approach was to. 108 of them were approaches to Earth and 21 of them were approaches to Venus.
This one’s path runs from 0.768 AU at its closest to the Sun out to 1.074 AU at its farthest. For scale, Venus orbits at about 0.72 AU and Earth at 1.00 AU — so an orbit spanning that range crosses the path of every planet in between, once on the way out and once on the way back.
Crossing a planet’s path is not the same as meeting the planet. Almost every time the asteroid crosses, that planet is somewhere else along its own orbit. A close approach is logged only on the rare occasions when both happen to arrive at the crossing point at roughly the same time — which is why the dates below are scattered rather than regular. This object takes 323.0 days to go round, against Earth’s 365.25, so the two drift in and out of step over years rather than repeating on a neat cycle.
The Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance in the table above (0.0493 AU) is the closest the two paths ever come. The miss distances below are how far apart the two bodies actually were on the day, which is almost always very much larger.
next approach: 2032-07-31
| Date | Passed near | Velocity (km/h) | Miss distance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2194-10-13 | Earth | 31119.23 | 19,782,374 km 51.5 LD |
| 2194-04-01 | Earth | 32396.78 | 32,340,352 km 84.1 LD |
| 2193-07-31 | Earth | 52186.05 | 58,866,884 km 153 LD |
| 2190-09-27 | Venus | 28512.67 | 20,866,459 km 54.3 LD |
| 2186-09-16 | Earth | 23028.73 | 14,130,112 km 36.8 LD |
| 2186-05-21 | Earth | 23534.92 | 31,304,648 km 81.4 LD |
| 2179-10-14 | Earth | 47795.06 | 44,124,510 km 115 LD |
| 2179-03-02 | Earth | 32627.15 | 34,828,113 km 90.6 LD |
| 2178-08-01 | Earth | 33738.65 | 37,807,715 km 98.4 LD |
| 2176-08-01 | Venus | 28149.44 | 16,201,488 km 42.1 LD |
| 2171-10-08 | Earth | 25328.49 | 9,872,891 km 25.7 LD |
| 2171-04-16 | Earth | 30625.69 | 31,543,365 km 82.1 LD |
| 2170-08-03 | Earth | 61324.13 | 70,208,353 km 183 LD |
| 2164-10-07 | Earth | 68664.68 | 72,678,039 km 189 LD |
| 2164-01-22 | Earth | 24669.20 | 36,673,087 km 95.4 LD |
| 2163-09-04 | Earth | 23690.33 | 19,825,539 km 51.6 LD |
| 2162-06-08 | Venus | 28210.63 | 17,229,963 km 44.8 LD |
| 2156-10-14 | Earth | 43747.65 | 38,342,609 km 99.7 LD |
| 2156-03-08 | Earth | 32985.58 | 34,225,250 km 89.0 LD |
| 2155-07-30 | Earth | 37129.36 | 41,499,664 km 108 LD |
| 2148-10-06 | Earth | 24906.68 | 9,013,662 km 23.4 LD |
| 2148-04-17 | Earth | 30284.83 | 31,411,902 km 81.7 LD |
| 2148-04-15 | Venus | 28431.61 | 20,002,344 km 52.0 LD |
| 2147-08-03 | Earth | 62245.96 | 71,294,240 km 185 LD |
| 2141-01-16 | Earth | 22827.36 | 36,530,339 km 95.0 LD |
| 2140-09-07 | Earth | 23427.34 | 18,100,389 km 47.1 LD |
| 2140-06-05 | Earth | 19049.15 | 31,115,296 km 80.9 LD |
| 2140-04-12 | Venus | 37009.14 | 18,526,877 km 48.2 LD |
| 2133-10-14 | Earth | 46900.32 | 42,796,012 km 111 LD |
| 2133-03-02 | Earth | 32605.94 | 34,691,807 km 90.2 LD |
| 2132-07-31 | Earth | 33759.78 | 37,995,074 km 98.8 LD |
| 2126-02-17 | Venus | 32997.15 | 13,221,215 km 34.4 LD |
| 2125-10-10 | Earth | 27134.25 | 12,990,447 km 33.8 LD |
| 2125-04-09 | Earth | 31372.16 | 31,650,688 km 82.3 LD |
| 2124-08-01 | Earth | 57424.62 | 65,480,145 km 170 LD |
| 2118-01-03 | Earth | 17633.15 | 35,905,614 km 93.4 LD |
| 2117-09-14 | Earth | 23053.87 | 15,213,121 km 39.6 LD |
| 2117-05-23 | Earth | 22988.62 | 31,152,140 km 81.0 LD |
| 2111-12-25 | Venus | 29342.67 | 10,137,101 km 26.4 LD |
| 2110-10-13 | Earth | 50527.00 | 47,760,087 km 124 LD |
| 2110-02-25 | Earth | 32052.40 | 35,221,663 km 91.6 LD |
| 2109-08-03 | Earth | 30714.00 | 34,676,403 km 90.2 LD |
| 2102-10-12 | Earth | 29184.45 | 16,428,471 km 42.7 LD |
| 2102-04-04 | Earth | 31978.12 | 31,913,671 km 83.0 LD |
| 2101-07-31 | Earth | 54184.57 | 61,410,124 km 160 LD |
| 2097-11-01 | Venus | 28151.72 | 13,963,886 km 36.3 LD |
| 2094-09-19 | Earth | 22888.33 | 12,108,951 km 31.5 LD |
| 2094-05-12 | Earth | 25528.50 | 31,090,444 km 80.9 LD |
| 2087-10-11 | Earth | 55952.10 | 55,273,368 km 144 LD |
| 2087-02-14 | Earth | 30796.07 | 35,969,688 km 93.6 LD |
| 2086-08-09 | Earth | 26912.08 | 29,866,356 km 77.7 LD |
| 2079-10-13 | Earth | 33826.96 | 23,775,260 km 61.9 LD |
| 2079-03-24 | Earth | 32726.67 | 32,665,072 km 85.0 LD |
| 2078-07-29 | Earth | 47783.07 | 53,794,622 km 140 LD |
| 2075-09-06 | Venus | 36277.29 | 17,613,848 km 45.8 LD |
| 2071-09-27 | Earth | 23064.33 | 8,709,388 km 22.7 LD |
| 2071-05-02 | Earth | 27661.60 | 31,130,180 km 81.0 LD |
| 2064-10-09 | Earth | 59259.71 | 59,728,973 km 155 LD |
| 2064-02-09 | Earth | 29744.18 | 36,341,573 km 94.5 LD |
| 2063-08-16 | Earth | 25576.87 | 27,374,077 km 71.2 LD |
| 2061-07-13 | Venus | 33186.10 | 13,432,735 km 34.9 LD |
| 2056-10-13 | Earth | 33983.90 | 24,031,529 km 62.5 LD |
| 2056-03-24 | Earth | 32727.14 | 32,699,328 km 85.1 LD |
| 2055-07-29 | Earth | 48316.25 | 54,353,806 km 141 LD |
| 2048-09-22 | Earth | 22860.32 | 10,549,695 km 27.4 LD |
| 2048-05-08 | Earth | 26400.56 | 31,138,681 km 81.0 LD |
| 2047-05-20 | Venus | 33601.39 | 13,939,873 km 36.3 LD |
| 2041-10-11 | Earth | 52268.60 | 50,133,723 km 130 LD |
| 2041-02-21 | Earth | 31838.31 | 35,523,389 km 92.4 LD |
| 2040-08-02 | Earth | 29825.79 | 33,758,597 km 87.8 LD |
| 2033-10-09 | Earth | 27067.04 | 12,661,826 km 32.9 LD |
| 2033-04-09 | Earth | 31338.04 | 31,657,349 km 82.4 LD |
| 2033-03-26 | Venus | 39344.63 | 21,569,385 km 56.1 LD |
| 2032-07-31 next | Earth | 58238.99 | 66,505,327 km 173 LD |
| 2026-10-06 | Earth | 69818.08 | 74,094,317 km 193 LD |
| 2026-01-18 | Earth | 23592.65 | 36,724,280 km 95.5 LD |
| 2025-09-04 | Earth | 23515.61 | 19,383,792 km 50.4 LD |
| 2018-10-13 | Earth | 42401.40 | 36,309,989 km 94.5 LD |
| 2018-03-10 | Earth | 32937.89 | 34,015,073 km 88.5 LD |
| 2017-07-28 | Earth | 39232.36 | 44,011,271 km 114 LD |
| 2012-12-10 | Venus | 28297.75 | 18,701,613 km 48.7 LD |
| 2010-10-01 | Earth | 23608.89 | 7,415,847 km 19.3 LD |
| 2010-04-25 | Earth | 28975.45 | 31,153,494 km 81.0 LD |
| 2003-10-09 | Earth | 60837.40 | 61,959,375 km 161 LD |
| 2003-02-06 | Earth | 29129.38 | 36,504,953 km 95.0 LD |
| 2002-08-18 | Earth | 25269.70 | 26,568,919 km 69.1 LD |
| 1998-10-16 | Venus | 28172.44 | 15,275,920 km 39.7 LD |
| 1995-10-13 | Earth | 34123.27 | 24,111,015 km 62.7 LD |
| 1995-03-25 | Earth | 32705.89 | 32,692,743 km 85.0 LD |
| 1994-07-29 | Earth | 48130.01 | 54,267,569 km 141 LD |
| 1987-09-23 | Earth | 22903.24 | 10,745,821 km 28.0 LD |
| 1987-05-09 | Earth | 26277.73 | 31,087,583 km 80.9 LD |
| 1984-08-21 | Venus | 28200.54 | 13,941,683 km 36.3 LD |
| 1980-10-11 | Earth | 53335.27 | 51,513,483 km 134 LD |
| 1980-02-20 | Earth | 31522.35 | 35,715,819 km 92.9 LD |
| 1979-08-05 | Earth | 28831.36 | 32,626,622 km 84.9 LD |
| 1972-10-11 | Earth | 28770.59 | 15,554,287 km 40.5 LD |
| 1972-04-04 | Earth | 31854.45 | 31,895,698 km 83.0 LD |
| 1971-07-31 | Earth | 55257.73 | 62,740,625 km 163 LD |
| 1970-06-28 | Venus | 28344.26 | 12,508,101 km 32.5 LD |
| 1964-09-14 | Earth | 23032.68 | 14,846,266 km 38.6 LD |
| 1964-05-20 | Earth | 23657.90 | 31,044,578 km 80.8 LD |
| 1957-10-12 | Earth | 49894.55 | 46,685,709 km 121 LD |
| 1957-02-25 | Earth | 32182.74 | 35,258,212 km 91.7 LD |
| 1956-07-31 | Earth | 31388.30 | 35,657,425 km 92.8 LD |
| 1956-05-05 | Venus | 28173.72 | 15,189,759 km 39.5 LD |
| 1949-10-11 | Earth | 28216.57 | 14,523,284 km 37.8 LD |
| 1949-04-05 | Earth | 31745.75 | 31,825,265 km 82.8 LD |
| 1948-07-29 | Earth | 55486.49 | 63,042,229 km 164 LD |
| 1942-03-15 | Venus | 28558.46 | 21,883,294 km 56.9 LD |
| 1941-09-16 | Earth | 22987.44 | 14,201,080 km 36.9 LD |
| 1941-05-17 | Earth | 24360.36 | 30,989,933 km 80.6 LD |
| 1934-10-12 | Earth | 52941.45 | 50,881,140 km 132 LD |
| 1934-03-10 | Venus | 38104.17 | 19,872,011 km 51.7 LD |
| 1934-02-19 | Earth | 31531.14 | 35,743,153 km 93.0 LD |
| 1933-08-04 | Earth | 28684.99 | 32,623,551 km 84.9 LD |
| 1926-10-12 | Earth | 30261.54 | 17,943,485 km 46.7 LD |
| 1926-03-31 | Earth | 32239.13 | 32,144,358 km 83.6 LD |
| 1925-07-29 | Earth | 52539.08 | 59,398,295 km 155 LD |
| 1920-01-15 | Venus | 33624.41 | 14,037,118 km 36.5 LD |
| 1918-09-20 | Earth | 22843.71 | 12,027,398 km 31.3 LD |
| 1918-05-11 | Earth | 25706.28 | 30,972,214 km 80.6 LD |
| 1911-10-11 | Earth | 53389.36 | 51,450,250 km 134 LD |
| 1911-02-19 | Earth | 31476.28 | 35,796,545 km 93.1 LD |
| 1910-08-04 | Earth | 28581.12 | 32,537,255 km 84.6 LD |
| 1905-11-21 | Venus | 33309.78 | 13,535,545 km 35.2 LD |
| 1903-10-12 | Earth | 29311.51 | 16,241,252 km 42.3 LD |
| 1903-04-03 | Earth | 31942.16 | 31,969,522 km 83.2 LD |
| 1902-07-30 | Earth | 54512.59 | 61,906,879 km 161 LD |
Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-10-01T09:33:50.901763+00:00.