Illustration of Earth with several asteroids passing at different distances, one flagged as potentially hazardous

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(2011 AR26)

Designation: 2011 AR26 · NASA id: 3555163

Estimated diameter: 234 – 522 meters

≈ the Great Pyramid
That comparison is of size only — what an impact would do depends on speed, angle, composition and where it arrives, none of which follows from width.
(absolute magnitude H = 20.28) · JPL Small-Body Database →

Earth impact concern
No identified impact threat
Why?
  • Its closest recorded pass was 41.4 lunar distances.
  • It is not on NASA/JPL’s Sentry list, which holds every object with a computed chance of impact above zero. Most objects are not on it.
What the four levels mean
  • No identified impact threat — not on any risk list. 98.8% of the objects here.
  • On a monitored risk list — a computed chance above zero, however small. 1.2% of the objects here.
  • Among the highest-ranked — Palermo at or above −2. Two objects worldwide qualify, both studied for decades and both centuries away.
  • Exceptional — Torino 1 or more, or Palermo at or above zero. No object anywhere currently qualifies.

These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.

Energy of motion, if it ever entered the atmosphere

299.7 megatonnes – 11,169 megatonnes of TNT

This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.

The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.

Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.

Why is one asteroid “hazardous” when closer ones are not?

Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:

  • Its orbit can bring it within 0.05 AU of Earth’s — about 7.5 million km. This is the Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance, the closest the two paths ever come, not the distance on any given pass.
  • It is big enough to matter — absolute magnitude 22.0 or brighter, which is roughly 140 metres across and up. That threshold is a planning convention, not a physical boundary: it is about the size at which an impact could do regional damage. Smaller objects are not harmless, they are simply outside this definition — the Chelyabinsk object of 2013 was around 20 metres and injured about 1,500 people with the shock wave from its airburst, without ever reaching the ground intact.

The two terms: AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing. See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.

So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.

Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:

Object Size Orbit’s closest to Earth’s Missed by, that day Flagged
2013 JR28 122–272 m 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) 39.2 M km Yes — both tests pass
2012 LE11 629–1,406 m 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) 26.1 M km No — orbit never gets near enough
2007 EK 3.7–8.2 m 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) 4.2 M km No — far too small

The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.

“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.

Orbital Data

Orbit class: APO — Near-Earth asteroid orbits which cross the Earth’s orbit similar to that of 1862 Apollo
a (semi-major axis) > 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) < 1.017 AU

Orbital period576.0 days (1.58 years)
Eccentricity.4044627282087981 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated)
Semi-major axis1.354884089468226 AU
Inclination24.31838854121568° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's)
Perihelion distance.8068839742352137 AU (closest approach to the Sun)
Aphelion distance1.902884204701238 AU (farthest from the Sun)
Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance0.10710 AU = 16,022,082 km
(closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing)
Ascending node longitude308.4096020951841°
Argument of perihelion48.3170623844136°
Mean anomaly / motion234.4285341809855° / .6249580400870659°/day
Jupiter Tisserand invariant4.691 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets)
Reference epoch / equinoxJD 2461000.5 / J2000
Orbit determined2023-03-01 06:01:30
Observed2010-07-05 to 2022-02-04 (4232 day arc, 125 observations used)
Orbit uncertainty0 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain)

Close Approach History

Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 58 total.

next approach: 2029-06-23

Date Passed near Velocity (km/h) Miss distance
2196-12-25 Earth 58695.10 48,548,292 km
126 LD
2193-07-08 Earth 74604.70 34,857,340 km
90.7 LD
2185-12-30 Earth 48774.66 54,384,711 km
141 LD
2185-09-26 Earth 52490.03 57,329,481 km
149 LD
2182-06-23 Earth 95299.45 68,656,956 km
179 LD
2175-01-10 Earth 49137.80 72,123,810 km
188 LD
2174-08-17 Earth 55192.91 33,245,040 km
86.5 LD
2166-12-28 Earth 75367.88 60,963,273 km
159 LD
2163-07-23 Earth 61843.63 15,900,600 km
41.4 LD
2155-12-26 Earth 55620.79 48,175,657 km
125 LD
2152-07-04 Earth 78487.40 41,548,272 km
108 LD
2145-01-01 Earth 48387.01 57,655,839 km
150 LD
2144-09-16 Earth 54343.89 53,220,494 km
138 LD
2133-08-11 Earth 55729.03 27,675,587 km
72.0 LD
2125-12-27 Earth 70531.82 56,799,560 km
148 LD
2122-07-19 Earth 64726.23 18,826,829 km
49.0 LD
2114-12-26 Earth 52770.25 48,787,189 km
127 LD
2111-07-02 Earth 82804.59 48,811,187 km
127 LD
2104-01-04 Earth 48340.25 61,618,052 km
160 LD
2103-09-06 Earth 55050.02 47,904,595 km
125 LD
2092-08-03 Earth 56960.22 21,540,966 km
56.0 LD
2084-12-24 Earth 65430.04 53,105,477 km
138 LD
2081-07-13 Earth 68406.52 24,629,690 km
64.1 LD
2073-12-26 Earth 50581.16 50,579,459 km
132 LD
2070-06-27 Earth 87884.21 57,267,982 km
149 LD
2063-01-05 Earth 48601.68 66,098,109 km
172 LD
2062-08-26 Earth 55217.66 41,549,263 km
108 LD
2054-12-29 Earth 82662.68 69,320,668 km
180 LD
2051-07-29 Earth 58762.43 17,331,931 km
45.1 LD
2043-12-24 Earth 61046.87 50,673,926 km
132 LD
2040-07-09 Earth 72204.33 31,131,528 km
81.0 LD
2032-12-27 Earth 49284.48 53,045,459 km
138 LD
2032-10-01 Earth 50819.02 59,248,902 km
154 LD
2029-06-23 next Earth 92307.32 64,561,913 km
168 LD
2022-01-06 Earth 48932.06 69,442,312 km
181 LD
2021-08-20 Earth 55303.47 36,595,960 km
95.2 LD
2013-12-27 Earth 78681.31 65,474,446 km
170 LD
2010-07-25 Earth 60452.59 15,935,960 km
41.5 LD
2002-12-23 Earth 57772.39 49,606,884 km
129 LD
1999-07-06 Earth 75551.23 36,957,945 km
96.1 LD
1991-12-29 Earth 48679.94 55,499,711 km
144 LD
1991-09-22 Earth 53548.94 56,169,223 km
146 LD
1988-06-20 Earth 95881.37 70,341,192 km
183 LD
1981-01-08 Earth 49311.65 72,575,409 km
189 LD
1980-08-14 Earth 55524.67 31,910,271 km
83.0 LD
1972-12-25 Earth 74781.48 61,881,030 km
161 LD
1969-07-21 Earth 62341.47 16,569,887 km
43.1 LD
1961-12-23 Earth 55395.92 49,367,123 km
128 LD
1958-07-03 Earth 78725.88 42,521,834 km
111 LD
1950-12-30 Earth 48375.63 58,171,680 km
151 LD
1950-09-14 Earth 54768.25 52,571,870 km
137 LD
1939-08-09 Earth 56060.88 26,908,724 km
70.0 LD
1931-12-25 Earth 70561.10 58,290,696 km
152 LD
1928-07-17 Earth 64869.48 19,440,306 km
50.6 LD
1920-12-23 Earth 52737.09 49,863,618 km
130 LD
1917-06-29 Earth 83098.71 50,038,403 km
130 LD
1910-01-01 Earth 48329.54 61,971,653 km
161 LD
1909-09-04 Earth 55396.26 47,169,803 km
123 LD

Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-09-02T15:12:30.537035+00:00.