Illustration of Earth with several asteroids passing at different distances, one flagged as potentially hazardous

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(2011 LY20)

Designation: 2011 LY20 · NASA id: 3568056

Estimated diameter: 88 – 197 meters

≈ a football pitch
That comparison is of size only — what an impact would do depends on speed, angle, composition and where it arrives, none of which follows from width.
(absolute magnitude H = 22.4) · JPL Small-Body Database →

Earth impact concern
No identified impact threat
Why?
  • Its closest recorded pass was 21.6 lunar distances.
  • It is not on NASA/JPL’s Sentry list, which holds every object with a computed chance of impact above zero. Most objects are not on it.
What the four levels mean
  • No identified impact threat — not on any risk list. 98.8% of the objects here.
  • On a monitored risk list — a computed chance above zero, however small. 1.2% of the objects here.
  • Among the highest-ranked — Palermo at or above −2. Two objects worldwide qualify, both studied for decades and both centuries away.
  • Exceptional — Torino 1 or more, or Palermo at or above zero. No object anywhere currently qualifies.

These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.

Energy of motion, if it ever entered the atmosphere

2.2 megatonnes – 83.1 megatonnes of TNT

This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.

The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.

Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.

Why is one asteroid “hazardous” when closer ones are not?

Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:

  • Its orbit can bring it within 0.05 AU of Earth’s — about 7.5 million km. This is the Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance, the closest the two paths ever come, not the distance on any given pass.
  • It is big enough to matter — absolute magnitude 22.0 or brighter, which is roughly 140 metres across and up. That threshold is a planning convention, not a physical boundary: it is about the size at which an impact could do regional damage. Smaller objects are not harmless, they are simply outside this definition — the Chelyabinsk object of 2013 was around 20 metres and injured about 1,500 people with the shock wave from its airburst, without ever reaching the ground intact.

The two terms: AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing. See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.

So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.

Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:

Object Size Orbit’s closest to Earth’s Missed by, that day Flagged
2013 JR28 122–272 m 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) 39.2 M km Yes — both tests pass
2012 LE11 629–1,406 m 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) 26.1 M km No — orbit never gets near enough
2007 EK 3.7–8.2 m 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) 4.2 M km No — far too small

The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.

“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.

Orbital Data

Orbit class: AMO — Near-Earth asteroid orbits similar to that of 1221 Amor
1.017 AU < q (perihelion) < 1.3 AU

Orbital period627.4 days (1.72 years)
Eccentricity.1369786340261871 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated)
Semi-major axis1.434304522865773 AU
Inclination10.47398366084636° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's)
Perihelion distance1.237835448546038 AU (closest approach to the Sun)
Aphelion distance1.630773597185509 AU (farthest from the Sun)
Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance0.27511 AU = 41,156,618 km
(closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing)
Ascending node longitude82.7624341418465°
Argument of perihelion113.6600180706365°
Mean anomaly / motion193.089611191785° / .5737755290022994°/day
Jupiter Tisserand invariant4.651 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets)
Reference epoch / equinoxJD 2461000.5 / J2000
Orbit determined2023-07-09 09:54:46
Observed2011-06-06 to 2023-06-18 (4395 day arc, 32 observations used)
Orbit uncertainty0 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain)

Close Approach History

Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 64 total.

Why does it pass Earth and Mars? Doesn’t it orbit just one?

It orbits the Sun. Not Earth, and not Venus. The column above does not say what the asteroid goes around — it says which planet a given close approach was to. 55 of them were approaches to Earth and 9 of them were approaches to Mars.

This one’s path runs from 1.238 AU at its closest to the Sun out to 1.631 AU at its farthest. For scale, Venus orbits at about 0.72 AU and Earth at 1.00 AU — so an orbit spanning that range crosses the path of every planet in between, once on the way out and once on the way back.

Crossing a planet’s path is not the same as meeting the planet. Almost every time the asteroid crosses, that planet is somewhere else along its own orbit. A close approach is logged only on the rare occasions when both happen to arrive at the crossing point at roughly the same time — which is why the dates below are scattered rather than regular. This object takes 627.4 days to go round, against Earth’s 365.25, so the two drift in and out of step over years rather than repeating on a neat cycle.

The Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance in the table above (0.2751 AU) is the closest the two paths ever come. The miss distances below are how far apart the two bodies actually were on the day, which is almost always very much larger.

next approach: 2028-01-01

Date Passed near Velocity (km/h) Miss distance
2200-06-21 Earth 21576.93 54,601,299 km
142 LD
2193-03-10 Earth 7784.28 51,310,882 km
133 LD
2188-07-03 Earth 22254.28 62,364,527 km
162 LD
2181-04-09 Earth 9996.37 46,532,905 km
121 LD
2179-01-24 Mars 21374.80 9,428,311 km
24.5 LD
2176-07-15 Earth 22800.81 69,791,316 km
182 LD
2176-06-18 Mars 23393.63 10,033,083 km
26.1 LD
2174-01-02 Earth 27348.07 70,737,408 km
184 LD
2169-05-01 Earth 15757.66 42,337,591 km
110 LD
2162-01-11 Earth 25253.82 66,279,323 km
172 LD
2157-05-16 Earth 18346.53 41,281,195 km
107 LD
2150-01-22 Earth 22493.00 61,944,236 km
161 LD
2145-05-30 Earth 19887.53 44,026,406 km
115 LD
2139-07-25 Mars 22440.93 8,298,140 km
21.6 LD
2138-02-04 Earth 18720.19 57,820,157 km
150 LD
2136-12-17 Mars 22186.49 10,757,046 km
28.0 LD
2133-06-11 Earth 21004.62 49,699,453 km
129 LD
2126-02-21 Earth 13188.81 53,957,826 km
140 LD
2121-06-24 Earth 21841.14 56,919,383 km
148 LD
2114-03-17 Earth 6166.66 50,003,072 km
130 LD
2109-07-06 Earth 22469.55 64,422,774 km
168 LD
2106-12-25 Earth 28594.34 74,065,442 km
193 LD
2102-04-15 Earth 11799.24 45,285,718 km
118 LD
2100-01-22 Mars 23946.32 8,813,339 km
22.9 LD
2097-07-17 Earth 23028.52 71,587,881 km
186 LD
2097-06-15 Mars 20622.61 13,494,147 km
35.1 LD
2095-01-03 Earth 26816.71 69,410,648 km
181 LD
2090-05-05 Earth 16698.20 41,689,705 km
108 LD
2083-01-14 Earth 24363.67 64,565,713 km
168 LD
2078-05-21 Earth 19002.16 42,073,769 km
109 LD
2071-01-26 Earth 21033.26 59,934,506 km
156 LD
2066-06-04 Earth 20454.41 46,572,533 km
121 LD
2060-07-21 Mars 26567.92 13,838,455 km
36.0 LD
2059-02-11 Earth 16224.14 55,638,756 km
145 LD
2054-06-17 Earth 21529.84 53,853,333 km
140 LD
2047-03-06 Earth 8363.60 51,360,431 km
134 LD
2042-07-01 Earth 22339.65 62,324,067 km
162 LD
2035-04-08 Earth 9960.14 46,322,228 km
121 LD
2030-07-14 Earth 22969.72 70,413,962 km
183 LD
2028-01-01 next Earth 27130.79 70,067,668 km
182 LD
2023-05-02 Earth 16154.28 42,057,998 km
109 LD
2016-01-12 Earth 24655.59 64,906,390 km
169 LD
2011-05-20 Earth 18842.14 42,028,020 km
109 LD
2004-01-26 Earth 21118.56 59,840,089 km
156 LD
1999-06-04 Earth 20492.69 46,820,738 km
122 LD
1992-02-11 Earth 15955.25 55,288,866 km
144 LD
1987-06-18 Earth 21626.80 54,324,847 km
141 LD
1980-03-06 Earth 8059.28 51,091,459 km
133 LD
1975-07-02 Earth 22462.98 62,744,538 km
163 LD
1968-04-09 Earth 10242.89 46,085,262 km
120 LD
1963-07-15 Earth 23138.26 70,933,621 km
185 LD
1960-12-31 Earth 26926.99 69,627,227 km
181 LD
1956-05-02 Earth 16311.06 42,014,648 km
109 LD
1949-01-11 Earth 24528.16 64,613,878 km
168 LD
1944-05-18 Earth 18853.52 42,143,505 km
110 LD
1937-01-24 Earth 21254.38 59,864,061 km
156 LD
1932-06-02 Earth 20442.91 46,518,750 km
121 LD
1925-02-09 Earth 16500.25 55,493,592 km
144 LD
1921-05-22 Mars 19873.09 13,717,982 km
35.7 LD
1920-06-15 Earth 21597.29 53,580,658 km
139 LD
1918-10-15 Mars 25094.87 10,019,039 km
26.1 LD
1913-03-01 Earth 9530.96 51,618,834 km
134 LD
1908-06-28 Earth 22390.14 61,090,270 km
159 LD
1901-03-30 Earth 7539.40 47,470,845 km
123 LD

Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-09-05T21:56:33.524004+00:00.