Illustration of Earth with several asteroids passing at different distances, one flagged as potentially hazardous

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(2011 OJ45)

Designation: 2011 OJ45 · NASA id: 3575154

Estimated diameter: 17 – 38 meters

≈ the Chelyabinsk object
That comparison is of size only — what an impact would do depends on speed, angle, composition and where it arrives, none of which follows from width.
(absolute magnitude H = 26.0) · JPL Small-Body Database →

Earth impact concern
No identified impact threat
Why?
  • Its closest recorded pass was 4.6 lunar distances.
  • It is not on NASA/JPL’s Sentry list, which holds every object with a computed chance of impact above zero. Most objects are not on it.
What the four levels mean
  • No identified impact threat — not on any risk list. 98.8% of the objects here.
  • On a monitored risk list — a computed chance above zero, however small. 1.2% of the objects here.
  • Among the highest-ranked — Palermo at or above −2. Two objects worldwide qualify, both studied for decades and both centuries away.
  • Exceptional — Torino 1 or more, or Palermo at or above zero. No object anywhere currently qualifies.

These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.

Energy of motion, if it ever entered the atmosphere

14 kilotonnes – 522 kilotonnes of TNT

This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.

The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.

Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.

Why is one asteroid “hazardous” when closer ones are not?

Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:

  • Its orbit can bring it within 0.05 AU of Earth’s — about 7.5 million km. This is the Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance, the closest the two paths ever come, not the distance on any given pass.
  • It is big enough to matter — absolute magnitude 22.0 or brighter, which is roughly 140 metres across and up. That threshold is a planning convention, not a physical boundary: it is about the size at which an impact could do regional damage. Smaller objects are not harmless, they are simply outside this definition — the Chelyabinsk object of 2013 was around 20 metres and injured about 1,500 people with the shock wave from its airburst, without ever reaching the ground intact.

The two terms: AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing. See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.

So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.

Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:

Object Size Orbit’s closest to Earth’s Missed by, that day Flagged
2013 JR28 122–272 m 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) 39.2 M km Yes — both tests pass
2012 LE11 629–1,406 m 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) 26.1 M km No — orbit never gets near enough
2007 EK 3.7–8.2 m 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) 4.2 M km No — far too small

The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.

“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.

Orbital Data

Orbit class: APO — Near-Earth asteroid orbits which cross the Earth’s orbit similar to that of 1862 Apollo
a (semi-major axis) > 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) < 1.017 AU

Orbital period374.6 days (1.03 years)
Eccentricity.2035384221223431 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated)
Semi-major axis1.016965820551741 AU
Inclination.7490194841328444° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's)
Perihelion distance.8099742020842859 AU (closest approach to the Sun)
Aphelion distance1.223957439019197 AU (farthest from the Sun)
Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance0.00752 AU = 1,124,369 km
(closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing)
Ascending node longitude288.8790194246842°
Argument of perihelion135.5580273815552°
Mean anomaly / motion250.6185463903051° / .9610468036002279°/day
Jupiter Tisserand invariant5.982 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets)
Reference epoch / equinoxJD 2461000.5 / J2000
Orbit determined2021-04-15 05:11:44
Observed2011-07-28 to 2011-08-14 (17 day arc, 21 observations used)
Orbit uncertainty6 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain)

Close Approach History

Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 41 total.

Why does it pass Earth and Venus? Doesn’t it orbit just one?

It orbits the Sun. Not Earth, and not Venus. The column above does not say what the asteroid goes around — it says which planet a given close approach was to. 40 of them were approaches to Earth and 1 of them were approaches to Venus.

This one’s path runs from 0.810 AU at its closest to the Sun out to 1.224 AU at its farthest. For scale, Venus orbits at about 0.72 AU and Earth at 1.00 AU — so an orbit spanning that range crosses the path of every planet in between, once on the way out and once on the way back.

Crossing a planet’s path is not the same as meeting the planet. Almost every time the asteroid crosses, that planet is somewhere else along its own orbit. A close approach is logged only on the rare occasions when both happen to arrive at the crossing point at roughly the same time — which is why the dates below are scattered rather than regular. This object takes 374.6 days to go round, against Earth’s 365.25, so the two drift in and out of step over years rather than repeating on a neat cycle.

The Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance in the table above (0.0075 AU) is the closest the two paths ever come. The miss distances below are how far apart the two bodies actually were on the day, which is almost always very much larger.

next approach: 2049-07-29

Date Passed near Velocity (km/h) Miss distance
2098-10-08 Earth 17384.53 22,154,533 km
57.6 LD
2098-07-10 Earth 14950.24 23,203,596 km
60.4 LD
2097-08-15 Earth 18518.33 3,236,221 km
8.42 LD
2060-03-16 Earth 64292.88 60,218,893 km
157 LD
2059-03-10 Earth 49239.01 39,562,297 km
103 LD
2058-03-04 Earth 34210.98 18,826,268 km
49.0 LD
2057-02-26 Earth 19506.83 2,139,601 km
5.57 LD
2056-04-02 Earth 14895.74 22,698,892 km
59.1 LD
2056-01-06 Earth 17409.56 21,569,817 km
56.1 LD
2055-05-07 Earth 18869.76 30,534,108 km
79.4 LD
2054-11-25 Earth 22006.90 26,426,548 km
68.7 LD
2054-06-04 Earth 19101.31 31,067,508 km
80.8 LD
2053-10-16 Earth 18423.29 23,240,349 km
60.5 LD
2053-07-06 Earth 15737.79 24,684,199 km
64.2 LD
2052-08-17 Earth 16610.34 5,863,085 km
15.3 LD
2051-08-12 Earth 32137.21 16,386,802 km
42.6 LD
2050-08-05 Earth 48256.57 38,970,985 km
101 LD
2049-07-29 next Earth 64360.71 61,487,444 km
160 LD
2019-03-18 Earth 63869.81 59,553,378 km
155 LD
2018-03-10 Earth 46495.31 35,748,067 km
93.0 LD
2017-03-02 Earth 29245.23 11,914,708 km
31.0 LD
2016-02-25 Earth 12518.74 11,373,757 km
29.6 LD
2015-04-18 Earth 17141.79 26,794,420 km
69.7 LD
2014-12-20 Earth 20253.58 24,600,482 km
64.0 LD
2014-05-17 Earth 19316.69 31,492,997 km
81.9 LD
2013-11-12 Earth 21834.61 26,347,489 km
68.5 LD
2013-06-14 Earth 18437.62 29,802,500 km
77.5 LD
2012-09-29 Earth 15252.24 20,029,137 km
52.1 LD
2012-07-21 Earth 13640.23 20,449,987 km
53.2 LD
2011-08-17 Earth 21774.38 1,759,384 km
4.58 LD
2010-08-07 Earth 42759.87 31,161,481 km
81.1 LD
2009-07-29 Earth 63810.19 60,764,556 km
158 LD
1991-03-07 Venus 9844.40 15,181,112 km
39.5 LD
1986-03-19 Earth 73889.63 73,294,877 km
191 LD
1985-03-10 Earth 52158.68 43,562,042 km
113 LD
1984-02-29 Earth 30170.24 13,238,125 km
34.4 LD
1981-06-03 Earth 19324.51 31,889,357 km
83.0 LD
1979-08-16 Earth 23410.21 3,920,556 km
10.2 LD
1978-08-06 Earth 46560.35 36,556,726 km
95.1 LD
1977-07-26 Earth 69644.78 68,919,372 km
179 LD
1951-07-18 Earth 14021.16 22,286,064 km
58.0 LD

Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-09-05T03:18:58.018965+00:00.