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Designation: 2011 UH20 · NASA id: 3582138
· Potentially Hazardous
Estimated diameter: 160 – 358 meters
These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.
166.5 megatonnes – 6,204 megatonnes of TNT
This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.
The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.
Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.
Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:
The two terms:
AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing.
See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.
So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.
Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:
| Object | Size | Orbit’s closest to Earth’s | Missed by, that day | Flagged |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 JR28 | 122–272 m | 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) | 39.2 M km | Yes — both tests pass |
| 2012 LE11 | 629–1,406 m | 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) | 26.1 M km | No — orbit never gets near enough |
| 2007 EK | 3.7–8.2 m | 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) | 4.2 M km | No — far too small |
The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.
“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.
Orbit class: APO — Near-Earth asteroid orbits which cross the Earth’s orbit similar to that of 1862 Apollo
a (semi-major axis) > 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) < 1.017 AU
| Orbital period | 498.8 days (1.37 years) |
| Eccentricity | .3360835090560666 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated) |
| Semi-major axis | 1.230926783600336 AU |
| Inclination | 35.77057867368131° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's) |
| Perihelion distance | .8172325907768376 AU (closest approach to the Sun) |
| Aphelion distance | 1.644620976423834 AU (farthest from the Sun) |
| Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance | 0.01089 AU = 1,628,911 km (closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing) |
| Ascending node longitude | 21.6005147590747° |
| Argument of perihelion | 257.1691536331993° |
| Mean anomaly / motion | 173.7595335150761° / .7216983984916462°/day |
| Jupiter Tisserand invariant | 4.971 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets) |
| Reference epoch / equinox | JD 2461000.5 / J2000 |
| Orbit determined | 2022-10-08 06:02:45 |
| Observed | 2011-10-18 to 2022-10-07 (4007 day arc, 95 observations used) |
| Orbit uncertainty | 0 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain) |
Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 73 total.
next approach: 2033-04-08
| Date | Passed near | Velocity (km/h) | Miss distance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2197-04-05 | Earth | 87829.16 | 29,623,664 km 77.1 LD |
| 2190-10-12 | Earth | 79045.68 | 27,200,139 km 70.8 LD |
| 2186-10-12 | Earth | 62888.52 | 68,713,082 km 179 LD |
| 2186-04-22 | Earth | 66972.95 | 36,064,887 km 93.8 LD |
| 2182-03-30 | Earth | 99451.78 | 52,455,871 km 136 LD |
| 2175-10-09 | Earth | 71336.10 | 22,933,906 km 59.7 LD |
| 2171-04-17 | Earth | 71482.42 | 13,667,314 km 35.6 LD |
| 2167-03-24 | Earth | 111158.39 | 73,184,139 km 190 LD |
| 2164-10-19 | Earth | 100658.69 | 63,152,873 km 164 LD |
| 2160-10-08 | Earth | 66706.88 | 32,783,730 km 85.3 LD |
| 2156-04-11 | Earth | 77623.87 | 5,750,721 km 15.0 LD |
| 2149-10-15 | Earth | 88502.75 | 42,725,571 km 111 LD |
| 2145-10-09 | Earth | 63536.33 | 53,000,641 km 138 LD |
| 2145-04-26 | Earth | 65731.81 | 55,783,946 km 145 LD |
| 2141-04-04 | Earth | 90461.46 | 35,100,167 km 91.3 LD |
| 2134-10-10 | Earth | 75950.41 | 23,783,300 km 61.9 LD |
| 2130-04-19 | Earth | 68643.36 | 25,799,446 km 67.1 LD |
| 2126-03-27 | Earth | 105719.93 | 63,819,337 km 166 LD |
| 2123-10-22 | Earth | 105114.49 | 70,604,795 km 184 LD |
| 2119-10-09 | Earth | 67867.70 | 29,185,153 km 75.9 LD |
| 2115-04-13 | Earth | 76481.31 | 2,946,816 km 7.67 LD |
| 2108-10-14 | Earth | 86843.10 | 40,096,159 km 104 LD |
| 2104-10-10 | Earth | 63162.20 | 59,052,794 km 154 LD |
| 2104-04-24 | Earth | 65968.80 | 47,748,530 km 124 LD |
| 2100-03-31 | Earth | 96497.40 | 47,008,134 km 122 LD |
| 2093-10-07 | Earth | 70216.66 | 24,522,146 km 63.8 LD |
| 2089-04-12 | Earth | 74797.74 | 3,236,162 km 8.42 LD |
| 2082-10-15 | Earth | 92537.41 | 49,910,552 km 130 LD |
| 2078-10-08 | Earth | 64229.61 | 46,504,039 km 121 LD |
| 2078-04-26 | Earth | 65988.37 | 63,645,548 km 166 LD |
| 2074-04-05 | Earth | 86696.59 | 27,349,672 km 71.1 LD |
| 2067-10-10 | Earth | 78812.47 | 27,264,646 km 70.9 LD |
| 2063-10-12 | Earth | 62870.48 | 70,586,974 km 184 LD |
| 2063-04-20 | Earth | 67480.30 | 32,773,897 km 85.3 LD |
| 2059-03-27 | Earth | 102183.38 | 57,644,572 km 150 LD |
| 2052-10-07 | Earth | 69240.06 | 26,091,184 km 67.9 LD |
| 2048-04-12 | Earth | 74724.90 | 3,427,506 km 8.92 LD |
| 2041-10-16 | Earth | 96093.23 | 55,949,010 km 146 LD |
| 2037-10-07 | Earth | 65550.72 | 38,079,531 km 99.1 LD |
| 2037-04-27 | Earth | 66890.71 | 74,580,630 km 194 LD |
| 2033-04-08 next | Earth | 80240.46 | 12,488,735 km 32.5 LD |
| 2026-10-13 | Earth | 87598.05 | 41,396,652 km 108 LD |
| 2022-10-08 | Earth | 63628.96 | 52,378,467 km 136 LD |
| 2022-04-25 | Earth | 65823.67 | 55,932,966 km 146 LD |
| 2018-04-03 | Earth | 89023.21 | 32,238,404 km 83.9 LD |
| 2011-10-10 | Earth | 78849.20 | 27,452,158 km 71.4 LD |
| 2007-10-11 | Earth | 62966.86 | 68,225,152 km 177 LD |
| 2007-04-21 | Earth | 67090.59 | 35,733,240 km 93.0 LD |
| 2003-03-29 | Earth | 99063.24 | 51,878,740 km 135 LD |
| 1996-10-07 | Earth | 72146.82 | 22,903,982 km 59.6 LD |
| 1992-04-15 | Earth | 70752.55 | 16,527,878 km 43.0 LD |
| 1988-03-23 | Earth | 109038.98 | 69,770,595 km 182 LD |
| 1985-10-19 | Earth | 103150.98 | 67,644,234 km 176 LD |
| 1981-10-07 | Earth | 67846.19 | 29,440,736 km 76.6 LD |
| 1977-04-11 | Earth | 75703.78 | 1,755,335 km 4.57 LD |
| 1970-10-16 | Earth | 94595.01 | 53,663,604 km 140 LD |
| 1966-10-07 | Earth | 65125.11 | 40,492,411 km 105 LD |
| 1966-04-27 | Earth | 66634.78 | 70,928,371 km 185 LD |
| 1962-04-07 | Earth | 81868.27 | 16,428,109 km 42.7 LD |
| 1955-10-13 | Earth | 85885.12 | 38,805,496 km 101 LD |
| 1951-10-09 | Earth | 63497.04 | 55,037,831 km 143 LD |
| 1951-04-24 | Earth | 65912.98 | 52,003,521 km 135 LD |
| 1947-04-02 | Earth | 90783.00 | 35,994,582 km 93.6 LD |
| 1940-10-09 | Earth | 77665.37 | 26,182,599 km 68.1 LD |
| 1936-10-11 | Earth | 62972.66 | 70,377,597 km 183 LD |
| 1936-04-19 | Earth | 67621.12 | 32,321,244 km 84.1 LD |
| 1932-03-27 | Earth | 100687.60 | 54,981,485 km 143 LD |
| 1925-10-07 | Earth | 71490.35 | 23,499,065 km 61.1 LD |
| 1921-04-15 | Earth | 71409.51 | 14,054,737 km 36.6 LD |
| 1917-03-23 | Earth | 110082.95 | 71,601,492 km 186 LD |
| 1914-10-19 | Earth | 102447.04 | 66,759,315 km 174 LD |
| 1910-10-07 | Earth | 67726.70 | 30,000,688 km 78.0 LD |
| 1906-04-11 | Earth | 75920.75 | 1,805,407 km 4.70 LD |
Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-10-07T08:46:43.225643+00:00.