Illustration of Earth with several asteroids passing at different distances, one flagged as potentially hazardous

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(2011 YD29)

Designation: 2011 YD29 · NASA id: 3591754

Estimated diameter: 15 – 33 meters

≈ the Chelyabinsk object
That comparison is of size only — what an impact would do depends on speed, angle, composition and where it arrives, none of which follows from width.
(absolute magnitude H = 26.3) · JPL Small-Body Database →

Earth impact concern
No identified impact threat
Why?
  • Its closest recorded pass was 6.0 lunar distances.
  • It is not on NASA/JPL’s Sentry list, which holds every object with a computed chance of impact above zero. Most objects are not on it.
What the four levels mean
  • No identified impact threat — not on any risk list. 98.8% of the objects here.
  • On a monitored risk list — a computed chance above zero, however small. 1.2% of the objects here.
  • Among the highest-ranked — Palermo at or above −2. Two objects worldwide qualify, both studied for decades and both centuries away.
  • Exceptional — Torino 1 or more, or Palermo at or above zero. No object anywhere currently qualifies.

These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.

Energy of motion, if it ever entered the atmosphere

42 kilotonnes – 1.6 megatonnes of TNT

This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.

The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.

Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.

Why is one asteroid “hazardous” when closer ones are not?

Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:

  • Its orbit can bring it within 0.05 AU of Earth’s — about 7.5 million km. This is the Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance, the closest the two paths ever come, not the distance on any given pass.
  • It is big enough to matter — absolute magnitude 22.0 or brighter, which is roughly 140 metres across and up. That threshold is a planning convention, not a physical boundary: it is about the size at which an impact could do regional damage. Smaller objects are not harmless, they are simply outside this definition — the Chelyabinsk object of 2013 was around 20 metres and injured about 1,500 people with the shock wave from its airburst, without ever reaching the ground intact.

The two terms: AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing. See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.

So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.

Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:

Object Size Orbit’s closest to Earth’s Missed by, that day Flagged
2013 JR28 122–272 m 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) 39.2 M km Yes — both tests pass
2012 LE11 629–1,406 m 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) 26.1 M km No — orbit never gets near enough
2007 EK 3.7–8.2 m 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) 4.2 M km No — far too small

The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.

“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.

Orbital Data

Orbit class: ATE — Near-Earth asteroid orbits similar to that of 2062 Aten
a (semi-major axis) < 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) > 0.983 AU

Orbital period244.8 days (0.67 years)
Eccentricity.3088951361858492 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated)
Semi-major axis.7658958843259114 AU
Inclination6.970118310921364° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's)
Perihelion distance.5293143708328776 AU (closest approach to the Sun)
Aphelion distance1.002477397818945 AU (farthest from the Sun)
Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance0.01527 AU = 2,284,030 km
(closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing)
Ascending node longitude281.5698153887922°
Argument of perihelion5.541022836857465°
Mean anomaly / motion78.95245684085143° / 1.470447320256078°/day
Jupiter Tisserand invariant7.518 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets)
Reference epoch / equinoxJD 2461000.5 / J2000
Orbit determined2021-04-15 05:52:20
Observed2011-12-29 to 2012-01-01 (3 day arc, 25 observations used)
Orbit uncertainty7 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain)

Close Approach History

Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 88 total.

Why does it pass Earth, Merc and Venus? Doesn’t it orbit just one?

It orbits the Sun. Not Earth, and not Venus. The column above does not say what the asteroid goes around — it says which planet a given close approach was to. 58 of them were approaches to Earth, 17 of them were approaches to Merc and 13 of them were approaches to Venus.

This one’s path runs from 0.529 AU at its closest to the Sun out to 1.002 AU at its farthest. For scale, Venus orbits at about 0.72 AU and Earth at 1.00 AU — so an orbit spanning that range crosses the path of every planet in between, once on the way out and once on the way back.

Crossing a planet’s path is not the same as meeting the planet. Almost every time the asteroid crosses, that planet is somewhere else along its own orbit. A close approach is logged only on the rare occasions when both happen to arrive at the crossing point at roughly the same time — which is why the dates below are scattered rather than regular. This object takes 244.8 days to go round, against Earth’s 365.25, so the two drift in and out of step over years rather than repeating on a neat cycle.

The Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance in the table above (0.0153 AU) is the closest the two paths ever come. The miss distances below are how far apart the two bodies actually were on the day, which is almost always very much larger.

next approach: 2027-12-19

Date Passed near Velocity (km/h) Miss distance
2171-12-21 Earth 68174.02 55,770,305 km
145 LD
2169-12-19 Earth 60544.26 46,395,318 km
121 LD
2167-12-18 Earth 53091.66 37,276,419 km
97.0 LD
2165-12-16 Earth 45780.39 28,441,534 km
74.0 LD
2163-12-16 Earth 39040.61 20,281,130 km
52.8 LD
2161-12-16 Earth 33173.80 13,074,496 km
34.0 LD
2155-12-25 Earth 25009.27 2,616,314 km
6.81 LD
2153-12-24 Earth 25106.30 2,788,091 km
7.25 LD
2153-09-05 Merc 42047.34 12,170,081 km
31.7 LD
2151-01-07 Merc 52831.52 12,925,879 km
33.6 LD
2147-12-16 Earth 34817.67 14,927,668 km
38.8 LD
2145-12-15 Earth 40883.42 22,149,892 km
57.6 LD
2143-12-16 Earth 47578.13 30,236,444 km
78.7 LD
2141-12-17 Earth 54519.70 38,726,794 km
101 LD
2139-12-20 Earth 61924.77 47,628,656 km
124 LD
2137-12-21 Earth 69385.94 56,696,047 km
147 LD
2135-12-24 Earth 76922.61 65,914,613 km
171 LD
2133-03-31 Venus 49941.16 18,068,209 km
47.0 LD
2124-08-18 Venus 43152.76 16,781,273 km
43.7 LD
2116-01-07 Venus 38154.52 17,213,984 km
44.8 LD
2113-03-21 Merc 44040.14 13,768,369 km
35.8 LD
2110-07-27 Merc 42594.64 12,036,256 km
31.3 LD
2109-01-21 Earth 76584.86 66,138,659 km
172 LD
2107-12-01 Merc 42255.42 10,589,859 km
27.5 LD
2107-05-29 Venus 33755.64 18,822,775 km
49.0 LD
2107-01-24 Earth 68560.83 56,502,693 km
147 LD
2105-04-06 Merc 43385.37 9,852,690 km
25.6 LD
2105-01-26 Earth 60570.41 47,007,920 km
122 LD
2103-01-28 Earth 52825.31 37,704,856 km
98.1 LD
2102-08-12 Merc 46546.70 10,295,624 km
26.8 LD
2101-01-29 Earth 45229.85 28,765,838 km
74.8 LD
2099-12-16 Merc 52271.40 12,436,489 km
32.4 LD
2099-01-28 Earth 38094.75 20,613,900 km
53.6 LD
2097-03-19 Venus 43955.99 18,318,614 km
47.7 LD
2097-01-27 Earth 31917.47 13,698,140 km
35.6 LD
2095-01-23 Earth 27353.55 8,722,847 km
22.7 LD
2091-01-12 Earth 23715.88 4,326,361 km
11.3 LD
2090-10-18 Venus 55953.36 21,051,309 km
54.8 LD
2089-01-06 Earth 23425.56 3,405,535 km
8.86 LD
2087-01-04 Earth 23460.53 2,840,016 km
7.39 LD
2085-12-31 Merc 42338.72 13,026,896 km
33.9 LD
2085-01-01 Earth 23522.43 2,567,641 km
6.68 LD
2083-01-02 Earth 23467.14 2,580,318 km
6.71 LD
2081-01-03 Earth 23425.14 2,848,186 km
7.41 LD
2079-01-07 Earth 23388.96 3,476,269 km
9.04 LD
2077-04-30 Merc 41511.78 12,743,255 km
33.2 LD
2074-10-19 Venus 44421.50 17,674,779 km
46.0 LD
2071-04-23 Merc 41704.55 13,698,760 km
35.6 LD
2071-01-28 Earth 31907.11 14,232,215 km
37.0 LD
2069-01-29 Earth 37934.45 21,056,922 km
54.8 LD
2067-01-30 Earth 44908.06 29,087,791 km
75.7 LD
2065-04-12 Merc 45279.43 11,842,769 km
30.8 LD
2065-01-28 Earth 52339.74 37,798,738 km
98.3 LD
2063-01-27 Earth 59937.16 46,866,097 km
122 LD
2061-01-25 Earth 67598.93 56,105,681 km
146 LD
2059-01-23 Earth 75421.29 65,578,879 km
171 LD
2055-11-23 Merc 41468.65 13,679,009 km
35.6 LD
2049-11-11 Merc 52544.67 14,918,416 km
38.8 LD
2040-06-22 Merc 44199.30 11,627,640 km
30.2 LD
2037-04-09 Venus 35384.98 18,464,017 km
48.0 LD
2035-09-10 Venus 54537.71 22,171,128 km
57.7 LD
2031-12-24 Earth 77870.69 67,755,512 km
176 LD
2031-01-31 Merc 41039.58 12,173,053 km
31.7 LD
2029-12-21 Earth 69650.57 57,826,642 km
150 LD
2029-11-20 Venus 42628.83 17,654,651 km
45.9 LD
2028-04-26 Venus 46285.07 19,268,727 km
50.1 LD
2027-12-19 next Earth 61639.44 48,067,354 km
125 LD
2025-12-17 Earth 53750.14 38,406,758 km
99.9 LD
2023-12-16 Earth 46159.44 29,147,304 km
75.8 LD
2022-07-05 Venus 53256.03 20,534,256 km
53.4 LD
2021-12-15 Earth 38892.77 20,424,219 km
53.1 LD
2019-12-17 Earth 32545.04 12,803,676 km
33.3 LD
2017-12-19 Earth 27859.86 6,941,725 km
18.1 LD
2015-12-24 Earth 25183.21 3,529,088 km
9.18 LD
2013-12-27 Earth 24275.25 2,464,701 km
6.41 LD
2011-12-30 Earth 23973.18 2,301,407 km
5.99 LD
2009-12-30 Earth 23751.29 2,309,035 km
6.01 LD
2008-01-01 Earth 23661.81 2,392,619 km
6.22 LD
1950-12-18 Earth 54176.47 38,775,433 km
101 LD
1948-12-16 Earth 46273.75 29,238,975 km
76.1 LD
1946-12-16 Earth 38804.49 20,247,571 km
52.7 LD
1944-12-17 Earth 32362.42 12,448,313 km
32.4 LD
1936-09-02 Merc 40783.77 11,159,289 km
29.0 LD
1931-06-20 Venus 56696.81 21,418,474 km
55.7 LD
1927-01-30 Earth 32072.91 13,857,759 km
36.1 LD
1925-01-31 Earth 38412.23 21,079,335 km
54.8 LD
1923-02-01 Earth 45708.75 29,573,102 km
76.9 LD
1921-01-30 Earth 53510.72 38,754,354 km
101 LD

Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-09-06T17:45:03.709954+00:00.