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Designation: 2012 EP5 · NASA id: 3601283
Estimated diameter: 122 – 273 meters
These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.
30.7 megatonnes – 1,145 megatonnes of TNT
This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.
The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.
Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.
Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:
The two terms:
AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing.
See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.
So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.
Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:
| Object | Size | Orbit’s closest to Earth’s | Missed by, that day | Flagged |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 JR28 | 122–272 m | 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) | 39.2 M km | Yes — both tests pass |
| 2012 LE11 | 629–1,406 m | 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) | 26.1 M km | No — orbit never gets near enough |
| 2007 EK | 3.7–8.2 m | 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) | 4.2 M km | No — far too small |
The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.
“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.
Orbit class: AMO — Near-Earth asteroid orbits similar to that of 1221 Amor
1.017 AU < q (perihelion) < 1.3 AU
| Orbital period | 614.3 days (1.68 years) |
| Eccentricity | .2213035115783316 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated) |
| Semi-major axis | 1.414289148656344 AU |
| Inclination | 25.85728991997323° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's) |
| Perihelion distance | 1.101301993671566 AU (closest approach to the Sun) |
| Aphelion distance | 1.727276303641122 AU (farthest from the Sun) |
| Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance | 0.25062 AU = 37,492,518 km (closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing) |
| Ascending node longitude | 352.2146857793268° |
| Argument of perihelion | 77.63386702468492° |
| Mean anomaly / motion | 125.722419754122° / .585998845097359°/day |
| Jupiter Tisserand invariant | 4.594 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets) |
| Reference epoch / equinox | JD 2461000.5 / J2000 |
| Orbit determined | 2021-10-15 06:31:04 |
| Observed | 2012-03-13 to 2021-10-05 (3493 day arc, 70 observations used) |
| Orbit uncertainty | 0 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain) |
Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 62 total.
It orbits the Sun. Not Earth, and not Venus. The column above does not say what the asteroid goes around — it says which planet a given close approach was to. 59 of them were approaches to Earth and 3 of them were approaches to Mars.
This one’s path runs from 1.101 AU at its closest to the Sun out to 1.727 AU at its farthest. For scale, Venus orbits at about 0.72 AU and Earth at 1.00 AU — so an orbit spanning that range crosses the path of every planet in between, once on the way out and once on the way back.
Crossing a planet’s path is not the same as meeting the planet. Almost every time the asteroid crosses, that planet is somewhere else along its own orbit. A close approach is logged only on the rare occasions when both happen to arrive at the crossing point at roughly the same time — which is why the dates below are scattered rather than regular. This object takes 614.3 days to go round, against Earth’s 365.25, so the two drift in and out of step over years rather than repeating on a neat cycle.
The Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance in the table above (0.2506 AU) is the closest the two paths ever come. The miss distances below are how far apart the two bodies actually were on the day, which is almost always very much larger.
next approach: 2044-03-09
| Date | Passed near | Velocity (km/h) | Miss distance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2197-02-20 | Earth | 49089.19 | 53,836,749 km 140 LD |
| 2196-09-30 | Earth | 59707.29 | 57,188,148 km 149 LD |
| 2192-03-02 | Earth | 47849.56 | 58,282,050 km 152 LD |
| 2187-03-14 | Earth | 48318.49 | 73,943,067 km 192 LD |
| 2174-09-12 | Earth | 46459.61 | 69,614,594 km 181 LD |
| 2169-09-22 | Earth | 46819.81 | 45,427,042 km 118 LD |
| 2165-02-13 | Earth | 53352.21 | 64,055,415 km 167 LD |
| 2164-09-28 | Earth | 50839.19 | 39,495,765 km 103 LD |
| 2160-02-23 | Earth | 48565.85 | 53,487,937 km 139 LD |
| 2159-10-01 | Earth | 62469.43 | 62,768,735 km 163 LD |
| 2157-12-04 | Mars | 48295.01 | 14,276,409 km 37.1 LD |
| 2155-03-05 | Earth | 47929.08 | 60,752,836 km 158 LD |
| 2137-09-14 | Earth | 46512.73 | 64,405,710 km 168 LD |
| 2132-09-24 | Earth | 47135.05 | 41,831,289 km 109 LD |
| 2128-02-15 | Earth | 51839.72 | 60,517,597 km 157 LD |
| 2127-09-30 | Earth | 52613.44 | 42,383,251 km 110 LD |
| 2125-12-16 | Mars | 46426.93 | 10,684,355 km 27.8 LD |
| 2123-02-24 | Earth | 48225.19 | 53,786,909 km 140 LD |
| 2122-09-30 | Earth | 65886.38 | 69,663,082 km 181 LD |
| 2118-03-07 | Earth | 47972.71 | 63,924,826 km 166 LD |
| 2100-09-16 | Earth | 46491.96 | 58,748,368 km 153 LD |
| 2095-09-25 | Earth | 47784.84 | 38,988,023 km 101 LD |
| 2093-12-27 | Mars | 44889.34 | 12,736,751 km 33.1 LD |
| 2091-02-16 | Earth | 50584.28 | 57,498,180 km 150 LD |
| 2090-09-29 | Earth | 54788.62 | 46,689,794 km 121 LD |
| 2086-02-25 | Earth | 47969.48 | 54,871,106 km 143 LD |
| 2081-03-08 | Earth | 48127.98 | 67,252,417 km 175 LD |
| 2063-09-18 | Earth | 46549.10 | 53,716,544 km 140 LD |
| 2059-02-09 | Earth | 56544.16 | 72,620,422 km 189 LD |
| 2058-09-26 | Earth | 48545.08 | 37,705,504 km 98.1 LD |
| 2054-02-17 | Earth | 49709.77 | 55,660,466 km 145 LD |
| 2053-09-29 | Earth | 57090.22 | 51,405,655 km 134 LD |
| 2049-02-27 | Earth | 47886.92 | 56,407,004 km 147 LD |
| 2044-03-09 next | Earth | 48196.31 | 70,369,804 km 183 LD |
| 2026-09-19 | Earth | 46610.77 | 49,646,713 km 129 LD |
| 2022-02-09 | Earth | 54928.24 | 68,857,211 km 179 LD |
| 2021-09-26 | Earth | 49471.38 | 37,720,501 km 98.1 LD |
| 2017-02-18 | Earth | 49091.36 | 54,618,557 km 142 LD |
| 2016-09-29 | Earth | 59358.87 | 56,139,364 km 146 LD |
| 2012-02-29 | Earth | 47878.26 | 58,203,401 km 151 LD |
| 2007-03-12 | Earth | 48309.67 | 73,289,528 km 191 LD |
| 1994-09-10 | Earth | 46501.23 | 70,716,453 km 184 LD |
| 1989-09-21 | Earth | 46751.34 | 46,143,191 km 120 LD |
| 1985-02-10 | Earth | 53515.55 | 65,581,479 km 171 LD |
| 1984-09-27 | Earth | 50501.56 | 38,645,819 km 101 LD |
| 1980-02-20 | Earth | 48689.79 | 54,116,200 km 141 LD |
| 1979-09-29 | Earth | 61638.90 | 60,965,432 km 159 LD |
| 1975-03-02 | Earth | 47879.09 | 60,179,465 km 157 LD |
| 1957-09-11 | Earth | 46497.14 | 66,447,322 km 173 LD |
| 1952-09-22 | Earth | 47003.87 | 42,977,895 km 112 LD |
| 1948-02-12 | Earth | 52306.22 | 62,655,241 km 163 LD |
| 1947-09-28 | Earth | 51770.88 | 40,522,269 km 105 LD |
| 1943-02-22 | Earth | 48306.74 | 54,087,883 km 141 LD |
| 1942-09-29 | Earth | 64278.67 | 66,158,670 km 172 LD |
| 1938-03-04 | Earth | 47981.97 | 62,420,284 km 162 LD |
| 1920-09-13 | Earth | 46548.21 | 61,988,264 km 161 LD |
| 1915-09-24 | Earth | 47363.28 | 40,223,882 km 105 LD |
| 1911-02-14 | Earth | 51156.02 | 59,995,764 km 156 LD |
| 1910-09-28 | Earth | 53451.79 | 43,547,092 km 113 LD |
| 1906-02-23 | Earth | 48107.04 | 54,611,297 km 142 LD |
| 1905-09-28 | Earth | 67301.82 | 72,137,814 km 188 LD |
| 1901-03-05 | Earth | 48013.10 | 65,140,832 km 169 LD |
Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-09-14T08:06:13.375111+00:00.