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Designation: 2012 HL31 · NASA id: 3603128
Estimated diameter: 87 – 194 meters
These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.
16.0 megatonnes – 597.3 megatonnes of TNT
This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.
The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.
Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.
Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:
The two terms:
AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing.
See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.
So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.
Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:
| Object | Size | Orbit’s closest to Earth’s | Missed by, that day | Flagged |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 JR28 | 122–272 m | 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) | 39.2 M km | Yes — both tests pass |
| 2012 LE11 | 629–1,406 m | 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) | 26.1 M km | No — orbit never gets near enough |
| 2007 EK | 3.7–8.2 m | 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) | 4.2 M km | No — far too small |
The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.
“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.
Orbit class: ATE — Near-Earth asteroid orbits similar to that of 2062 Aten
a (semi-major axis) < 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) > 0.983 AU
| Orbital period | 305.5 days (0.84 years) |
| Eccentricity | .3740302419315673 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated) |
| Semi-major axis | .8876841506495592 AU |
| Inclination | 19.80851478863397° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's) |
| Perihelion distance | .5556634330232867 AU (closest approach to the Sun) |
| Aphelion distance | 1.219704868275832 AU (farthest from the Sun) |
| Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance | 0.14435 AU = 21,594,004 km (closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing) |
| Ascending node longitude | 37.48379056997222° |
| Argument of perihelion | 17.54537613062057° |
| Mean anomaly / motion | 226.4731262762581° / 1.178464149647979°/day |
| Jupiter Tisserand invariant | 6.583 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets) |
| Reference epoch / equinox | JD 2461000.5 / J2000 |
| Orbit determined | 2024-01-04 06:04:03 |
| Observed | 2012-04-28 to 2022-04-28 (3652 day arc, 92 observations used) |
| Orbit uncertainty | 0 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain) |
Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 191 total.
It orbits the Sun. Not Earth, and not Venus. The column above does not say what the asteroid goes around — it says which planet a given close approach was to. 175 of them were approaches to Earth and 16 of them were approaches to Venus.
This one’s path runs from 0.556 AU at its closest to the Sun out to 1.220 AU at its farthest. For scale, Venus orbits at about 0.72 AU and Earth at 1.00 AU — so an orbit spanning that range crosses the path of every planet in between, once on the way out and once on the way back.
Crossing a planet’s path is not the same as meeting the planet. Almost every time the asteroid crosses, that planet is somewhere else along its own orbit. A close approach is logged only on the rare occasions when both happen to arrive at the crossing point at roughly the same time — which is why the dates below are scattered rather than regular. This object takes 305.5 days to go round, against Earth’s 365.25, so the two drift in and out of step over years rather than repeating on a neat cycle.
The Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance in the table above (0.1443 AU) is the closest the two paths ever come. The miss distances below are how far apart the two bodies actually were on the day, which is almost always very much larger.
next approach: 2027-04-08
| Date | Passed near | Velocity (km/h) | Miss distance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2196-10-13 | Earth | 69533.75 | 62,440,628 km 162 LD |
| 2196-04-23 | Earth | 42634.40 | 26,266,960 km 68.3 LD |
| 2191-10-01 | Earth | 64624.04 | 61,380,344 km 160 LD |
| 2191-05-03 | Earth | 42401.72 | 31,336,176 km 81.5 LD |
| 2191-01-18 | Earth | 42712.13 | 64,620,414 km 168 LD |
| 2186-10-02 | Venus | 58080.33 | 21,802,672 km 56.7 LD |
| 2186-09-18 | Earth | 57852.25 | 60,192,709 km 157 LD |
| 2186-05-12 | Earth | 42397.99 | 35,798,631 km 93.1 LD |
| 2186-01-01 | Earth | 56996.22 | 66,803,833 km 174 LD |
| 2181-09-02 | Earth | 48405.28 | 58,579,819 km 152 LD |
| 2181-05-22 | Earth | 42206.23 | 39,382,728 km 102 LD |
| 2180-12-18 | Earth | 65569.61 | 67,363,782 km 175 LD |
| 2180-04-14 | Earth | 85761.03 | 66,802,009 km 174 LD |
| 2176-06-01 | Earth | 42071.50 | 42,145,624 km 110 LD |
| 2175-12-07 | Earth | 70962.90 | 67,071,884 km 174 LD |
| 2175-04-12 | Earth | 74501.77 | 52,615,343 km 137 LD |
| 2175-01-06 | Venus | 60768.00 | 22,194,210 km 57.7 LD |
| 2171-06-13 | Earth | 42955.39 | 44,753,176 km 116 LD |
| 2170-11-25 | Earth | 74085.33 | 66,319,490 km 173 LD |
| 2170-04-09 | Earth | 63578.42 | 39,065,466 km 102 LD |
| 2166-06-22 | Earth | 48262.03 | 48,558,761 km 126 LD |
| 2165-11-14 | Earth | 75196.94 | 65,383,478 km 170 LD |
| 2165-04-09 | Earth | 54197.53 | 28,079,487 km 73.0 LD |
| 2161-06-24 | Earth | 57911.36 | 55,141,747 km 143 LD |
| 2160-11-03 | Earth | 74647.38 | 64,380,535 km 167 LD |
| 2160-04-11 | Earth | 47377.59 | 22,029,580 km 57.3 LD |
| 2156-06-22 | Earth | 68903.07 | 64,398,108 km 168 LD |
| 2155-10-24 | Earth | 72655.34 | 63,393,889 km 165 LD |
| 2155-04-17 | Earth | 43751.35 | 22,394,455 km 58.3 LD |
| 2154-02-11 | Venus | 58487.58 | 20,859,563 km 54.3 LD |
| 2150-10-12 | Earth | 69264.59 | 62,393,168 km 162 LD |
| 2150-04-24 | Earth | 42614.05 | 26,619,337 km 69.2 LD |
| 2145-09-30 | Earth | 64271.71 | 61,349,571 km 160 LD |
| 2145-05-03 | Earth | 42383.58 | 31,563,849 km 82.1 LD |
| 2145-01-16 | Earth | 43882.82 | 64,792,246 km 169 LD |
| 2140-09-17 | Earth | 57414.84 | 60,159,483 km 157 LD |
| 2140-05-12 | Earth | 42403.43 | 35,939,280 km 93.5 LD |
| 2139-12-31 | Earth | 57617.42 | 66,823,961 km 174 LD |
| 2135-09-01 | Earth | 47695.48 | 58,517,353 km 152 LD |
| 2135-05-23 | Earth | 42193.45 | 39,453,449 km 103 LD |
| 2134-12-18 | Earth | 65972.44 | 67,334,500 km 175 LD |
| 2134-04-15 | Earth | 85181.12 | 66,142,927 km 172 LD |
| 2133-03-18 | Venus | 57859.67 | 20,822,148 km 54.2 LD |
| 2130-06-02 | Earth | 42109.67 | 42,209,002 km 110 LD |
| 2129-12-05 | Earth | 71256.89 | 67,021,804 km 174 LD |
| 2129-04-11 | Earth | 73762.85 | 51,766,760 km 135 LD |
| 2125-06-13 | Earth | 43135.26 | 44,819,734 km 117 LD |
| 2124-11-24 | Earth | 74221.68 | 66,263,224 km 172 LD |
| 2124-04-09 | Earth | 63043.18 | 38,512,945 km 100 LD |
| 2120-06-21 | Earth | 48641.42 | 48,709,508 km 127 LD |
| 2119-11-13 | Earth | 75231.76 | 65,325,193 km 170 LD |
| 2119-04-09 | Earth | 53807.03 | 27,770,553 km 72.2 LD |
| 2115-06-24 | Earth | 58450.35 | 55,489,299 km 144 LD |
| 2114-11-02 | Earth | 74590.26 | 64,331,968 km 167 LD |
| 2114-04-11 | Earth | 47117.60 | 22,003,633 km 57.2 LD |
| 2112-04-23 | Venus | 58102.89 | 21,758,645 km 56.6 LD |
| 2110-06-22 | Earth | 69371.22 | 64,777,005 km 169 LD |
| 2109-10-22 | Earth | 72540.96 | 63,353,429 km 165 LD |
| 2109-04-17 | Earth | 43638.73 | 22,601,005 km 58.8 LD |
| 2104-10-11 | Earth | 69049.95 | 62,368,356 km 162 LD |
| 2104-04-24 | Earth | 42599.32 | 26,820,783 km 69.8 LD |
| 2100-07-30 | Venus | 60416.40 | 22,091,134 km 57.5 LD |
| 2099-09-29 | Earth | 64073.75 | 61,346,695 km 160 LD |
| 2099-05-02 | Earth | 42380.13 | 31,700,686 km 82.5 LD |
| 2099-01-15 | Earth | 44616.15 | 64,891,371 km 169 LD |
| 2094-09-15 | Earth | 57027.05 | 60,151,517 km 156 LD |
| 2094-05-12 | Earth | 42421.14 | 36,058,082 km 93.8 LD |
| 2093-12-29 | Earth | 58165.41 | 66,855,260 km 174 LD |
| 2089-08-30 | Earth | 47252.36 | 58,493,312 km 152 LD |
| 2089-05-21 | Earth | 42183.22 | 39,473,978 km 103 LD |
| 2088-12-16 | Earth | 66223.88 | 67,312,648 km 175 LD |
| 2088-04-13 | Earth | 84764.13 | 65,685,840 km 171 LD |
| 2084-06-01 | Earth | 42129.59 | 42,198,092 km 110 LD |
| 2083-12-04 | Earth | 71427.73 | 66,972,375 km 174 LD |
| 2083-04-10 | Earth | 73367.30 | 51,346,302 km 134 LD |
| 2079-09-03 | Venus | 58600.23 | 20,975,247 km 54.6 LD |
| 2079-06-13 | Earth | 43242.57 | 44,806,426 km 117 LD |
| 2078-11-23 | Earth | 74289.60 | 66,220,149 km 172 LD |
| 2078-04-08 | Earth | 62740.14 | 38,221,684 km 99.4 LD |
| 2074-06-21 | Earth | 49011.26 | 48,844,801 km 127 LD |
| 2073-11-11 | Earth | 75248.72 | 65,272,760 km 170 LD |
| 2073-04-07 | Earth | 53476.37 | 27,523,557 km 71.6 LD |
| 2069-06-22 | Earth | 58712.99 | 55,626,270 km 145 LD |
| 2068-10-31 | Earth | 74578.75 | 64,307,040 km 167 LD |
| 2068-04-10 | Earth | 47012.17 | 22,051,651 km 57.4 LD |
| 2064-06-20 | Earth | 69685.70 | 65,016,843 km 169 LD |
| 2063-10-21 | Earth | 72463.41 | 63,337,958 km 165 LD |
| 2063-04-16 | Earth | 43585.06 | 22,759,813 km 59.2 LD |
| 2058-10-10 | Earth | 68993.15 | 62,383,359 km 162 LD |
| 2058-10-09 | Venus | 57889.25 | 20,999,326 km 54.6 LD |
| 2058-04-24 | Earth | 42596.14 | 26,953,918 km 70.1 LD |
| 2053-09-28 | Earth | 63892.27 | 61,353,011 km 160 LD |
| 2053-05-02 | Earth | 42379.86 | 31,820,868 km 82.8 LD |
| 2053-01-13 | Earth | 45270.10 | 64,981,274 km 169 LD |
| 2048-09-14 | Earth | 56923.06 | 60,170,936 km 157 LD |
| 2048-05-11 | Earth | 42421.51 | 36,018,414 km 93.7 LD |
| 2047-12-29 | Earth | 58284.20 | 66,843,837 km 174 LD |
| 2043-08-30 | Earth | 46963.19 | 58,492,126 km 152 LD |
| 2043-05-22 | Earth | 42187.93 | 39,440,043 km 103 LD |
| 2042-12-16 | Earth | 66385.16 | 67,279,707 km 175 LD |
| 2042-04-13 | Earth | 84537.33 | 65,458,660 km 170 LD |
| 2038-06-01 | Earth | 42142.93 | 42,111,469 km 110 LD |
| 2037-12-04 | Earth | 71462.62 | 66,939,827 km 174 LD |
| 2037-11-14 | Venus | 58164.01 | 21,885,406 km 56.9 LD |
| 2037-04-10 | Earth | 73261.74 | 51,281,364 km 133 LD |
| 2033-06-12 | Earth | 43317.65 | 44,744,852 km 116 LD |
| 2032-11-22 | Earth | 74316.37 | 66,177,743 km 172 LD |
| 2032-04-07 | Earth | 62598.03 | 38,146,981 km 99.2 LD |
| 2028-06-20 | Earth | 49046.85 | 48,762,618 km 127 LD |
| 2027-11-12 | Earth | 75274.03 | 65,261,021 km 170 LD |
| 2027-04-08 next | Earth | 53524.94 | 27,691,064 km 72.0 LD |
| 2026-02-19 | Venus | 60397.21 | 22,179,633 km 57.7 LD |
| 2023-06-22 | Earth | 58713.89 | 55,543,891 km 144 LD |
| 2022-11-01 | Earth | 74606.48 | 64,310,257 km 167 LD |
| 2022-04-10 | Earth | 46953.35 | 22,157,749 km 57.6 LD |
| 2018-06-20 | Earth | 69684.93 | 64,957,389 km 169 LD |
| 2017-10-21 | Earth | 72506.85 | 63,366,269 km 165 LD |
| 2017-04-15 | Earth | 43596.50 | 22,819,157 km 59.4 LD |
| 2012-10-09 | Earth | 69003.53 | 62,409,491 km 162 LD |
| 2012-04-23 | Earth | 42603.49 | 26,963,772 km 70.1 LD |
| 2007-09-28 | Earth | 63921.65 | 61,394,452 km 160 LD |
| 2007-05-02 | Earth | 42386.27 | 31,751,857 km 82.6 LD |
| 2007-01-14 | Earth | 45207.19 | 64,945,529 km 169 LD |
| 2005-03-28 | Venus | 58250.33 | 20,915,519 km 54.4 LD |
| 2002-09-15 | Earth | 56918.28 | 60,203,302 km 157 LD |
| 2002-05-11 | Earth | 42421.70 | 35,964,377 km 93.6 LD |
| 2001-12-29 | Earth | 58361.19 | 66,813,868 km 174 LD |
| 1997-08-29 | Earth | 46860.83 | 58,524,832 km 152 LD |
| 1997-05-21 | Earth | 42184.18 | 39,321,756 km 102 LD |
| 1996-12-15 | Earth | 66382.80 | 67,241,226 km 175 LD |
| 1996-04-12 | Earth | 84617.09 | 65,632,592 km 171 LD |
| 1992-05-31 | Earth | 42162.06 | 41,980,368 km 109 LD |
| 1991-12-04 | Earth | 71443.22 | 66,912,958 km 174 LD |
| 1991-04-10 | Earth | 73354.29 | 51,489,836 km 134 LD |
| 1987-06-12 | Earth | 43349.51 | 44,616,410 km 116 LD |
| 1986-11-22 | Earth | 74332.58 | 66,172,793 km 172 LD |
| 1986-04-07 | Earth | 62679.34 | 38,342,818 km 99.7 LD |
| 1984-05-02 | Venus | 57919.21 | 21,087,852 km 54.9 LD |
| 1982-06-20 | Earth | 48984.22 | 48,626,770 km 127 LD |
| 1981-11-11 | Earth | 75306.60 | 65,259,948 km 170 LD |
| 1981-04-07 | Earth | 53531.64 | 27,815,883 km 72.4 LD |
| 1977-06-21 | Earth | 58741.79 | 55,500,022 km 144 LD |
| 1976-10-31 | Earth | 74639.63 | 64,313,811 km 167 LD |
| 1976-04-09 | Earth | 46964.75 | 22,266,811 km 57.9 LD |
| 1972-06-19 | Earth | 69465.63 | 64,707,660 km 168 LD |
| 1971-10-21 | Earth | 72564.33 | 63,393,390 km 165 LD |
| 1971-04-16 | Earth | 43625.18 | 22,845,062 km 59.4 LD |
| 1966-10-10 | Earth | 69009.12 | 62,435,885 km 162 LD |
| 1966-04-23 | Earth | 42599.54 | 26,947,615 km 70.1 LD |
| 1963-06-09 | Venus | 58398.30 | 22,392,380 km 58.3 LD |
| 1961-09-28 | Earth | 63959.84 | 61,430,671 km 160 LD |
| 1961-05-02 | Earth | 42377.88 | 31,654,673 km 82.3 LD |
| 1961-01-13 | Earth | 45046.01 | 64,882,347 km 169 LD |
| 1956-09-14 | Earth | 56886.52 | 60,245,293 km 157 LD |
| 1956-05-11 | Earth | 42427.50 | 35,866,352 km 93.3 LD |
| 1955-12-29 | Earth | 58381.59 | 66,774,469 km 174 LD |
| 1951-09-14 | Venus | 59635.58 | 21,766,981 km 56.6 LD |
| 1951-08-30 | Earth | 46994.61 | 58,601,562 km 152 LD |
| 1951-05-21 | Earth | 42202.15 | 39,204,782 km 102 LD |
| 1950-12-16 | Earth | 66360.88 | 67,212,403 km 175 LD |
| 1950-04-13 | Earth | 84735.84 | 65,844,519 km 171 LD |
| 1946-06-01 | Earth | 42171.94 | 41,891,954 km 109 LD |
| 1945-12-03 | Earth | 71491.02 | 66,890,655 km 174 LD |
| 1945-04-09 | Earth | 73304.07 | 51,512,340 km 134 LD |
| 1941-06-12 | Earth | 43378.13 | 44,511,247 km 116 LD |
| 1940-11-22 | Earth | 74343.34 | 66,166,522 km 172 LD |
| 1940-04-07 | Earth | 62753.70 | 38,518,108 km 100 LD |
| 1936-06-19 | Earth | 49038.10 | 48,570,527 km 126 LD |
| 1935-11-11 | Earth | 75324.27 | 65,245,274 km 170 LD |
| 1935-04-07 | Earth | 53480.50 | 27,877,674 km 72.5 LD |
| 1931-06-22 | Earth | 58679.15 | 55,391,135 km 144 LD |
| 1930-10-31 | Earth | 74660.40 | 64,310,660 km 167 LD |
| 1930-10-19 | Venus | 58188.96 | 20,974,188 km 54.6 LD |
| 1930-04-10 | Earth | 46946.53 | 22,364,014 km 58.2 LD |
| 1926-06-19 | Earth | 69661.60 | 64,832,521 km 169 LD |
| 1925-10-20 | Earth | 72507.21 | 63,374,649 km 165 LD |
| 1925-04-15 | Earth | 43596.83 | 22,946,945 km 59.7 LD |
| 1920-10-09 | Earth | 68977.09 | 62,446,835 km 162 LD |
| 1920-04-23 | Earth | 42592.07 | 26,945,208 km 70.1 LD |
| 1915-09-28 | Earth | 63859.51 | 61,455,471 km 160 LD |
| 1915-05-02 | Earth | 42388.93 | 31,707,552 km 82.5 LD |
| 1915-01-13 | Earth | 45463.22 | 64,917,571 km 169 LD |
| 1910-09-14 | Earth | 56788.76 | 60,279,734 km 157 LD |
| 1910-05-11 | Earth | 42424.10 | 35,851,181 km 93.3 LD |
| 1909-12-28 | Earth | 58556.64 | 66,760,003 km 174 LD |
| 1909-11-25 | Venus | 57990.90 | 21,351,794 km 55.5 LD |
| 1905-08-29 | Earth | 46596.08 | 58,578,089 km 152 LD |
| 1905-05-21 | Earth | 42212.67 | 39,200,711 km 102 LD |
| 1904-12-15 | Earth | 66575.35 | 67,181,835 km 175 LD |
| 1904-04-12 | Earth | 84395.69 | 65,483,696 km 170 LD |
| 1900-05-31 | Earth | 42186.37 | 41,834,673 km 109 LD |
Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-09-05T18:38:34.239254+00:00.