Illustration of Earth with several asteroids passing at different distances, one flagged as potentially hazardous

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(2012 HL31)

Designation: 2012 HL31 · NASA id: 3603128

Estimated diameter: 87 – 194 meters

≈ a football pitch
That comparison is of size only — what an impact would do depends on speed, angle, composition and where it arrives, none of which follows from width.
(absolute magnitude H = 22.43) · JPL Small-Body Database →

Earth impact concern
No identified impact threat
Why?
  • Its closest recorded pass was 54.2 lunar distances.
  • It is not on NASA/JPL’s Sentry list, which holds every object with a computed chance of impact above zero. Most objects are not on it.
What the four levels mean
  • No identified impact threat — not on any risk list. 98.8% of the objects here.
  • On a monitored risk list — a computed chance above zero, however small. 1.2% of the objects here.
  • Among the highest-ranked — Palermo at or above −2. Two objects worldwide qualify, both studied for decades and both centuries away.
  • Exceptional — Torino 1 or more, or Palermo at or above zero. No object anywhere currently qualifies.

These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.

Energy of motion, if it ever entered the atmosphere

16.0 megatonnes – 597.3 megatonnes of TNT

This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.

The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.

Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.

Why is one asteroid “hazardous” when closer ones are not?

Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:

  • Its orbit can bring it within 0.05 AU of Earth’s — about 7.5 million km. This is the Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance, the closest the two paths ever come, not the distance on any given pass.
  • It is big enough to matter — absolute magnitude 22.0 or brighter, which is roughly 140 metres across and up. That threshold is a planning convention, not a physical boundary: it is about the size at which an impact could do regional damage. Smaller objects are not harmless, they are simply outside this definition — the Chelyabinsk object of 2013 was around 20 metres and injured about 1,500 people with the shock wave from its airburst, without ever reaching the ground intact.

The two terms: AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing. See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.

So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.

Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:

Object Size Orbit’s closest to Earth’s Missed by, that day Flagged
2013 JR28 122–272 m 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) 39.2 M km Yes — both tests pass
2012 LE11 629–1,406 m 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) 26.1 M km No — orbit never gets near enough
2007 EK 3.7–8.2 m 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) 4.2 M km No — far too small

The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.

“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.

Orbital Data

Orbit class: ATE — Near-Earth asteroid orbits similar to that of 2062 Aten
a (semi-major axis) < 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) > 0.983 AU

Orbital period305.5 days (0.84 years)
Eccentricity.3740302419315673 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated)
Semi-major axis.8876841506495592 AU
Inclination19.80851478863397° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's)
Perihelion distance.5556634330232867 AU (closest approach to the Sun)
Aphelion distance1.219704868275832 AU (farthest from the Sun)
Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance0.14435 AU = 21,594,004 km
(closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing)
Ascending node longitude37.48379056997222°
Argument of perihelion17.54537613062057°
Mean anomaly / motion226.4731262762581° / 1.178464149647979°/day
Jupiter Tisserand invariant6.583 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets)
Reference epoch / equinoxJD 2461000.5 / J2000
Orbit determined2024-01-04 06:04:03
Observed2012-04-28 to 2022-04-28 (3652 day arc, 92 observations used)
Orbit uncertainty0 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain)

Close Approach History

Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 191 total.

Why does it pass Earth and Venus? Doesn’t it orbit just one?

It orbits the Sun. Not Earth, and not Venus. The column above does not say what the asteroid goes around — it says which planet a given close approach was to. 175 of them were approaches to Earth and 16 of them were approaches to Venus.

This one’s path runs from 0.556 AU at its closest to the Sun out to 1.220 AU at its farthest. For scale, Venus orbits at about 0.72 AU and Earth at 1.00 AU — so an orbit spanning that range crosses the path of every planet in between, once on the way out and once on the way back.

Crossing a planet’s path is not the same as meeting the planet. Almost every time the asteroid crosses, that planet is somewhere else along its own orbit. A close approach is logged only on the rare occasions when both happen to arrive at the crossing point at roughly the same time — which is why the dates below are scattered rather than regular. This object takes 305.5 days to go round, against Earth’s 365.25, so the two drift in and out of step over years rather than repeating on a neat cycle.

The Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance in the table above (0.1443 AU) is the closest the two paths ever come. The miss distances below are how far apart the two bodies actually were on the day, which is almost always very much larger.

next approach: 2027-04-08

Date Passed near Velocity (km/h) Miss distance
2196-10-13 Earth 69533.75 62,440,628 km
162 LD
2196-04-23 Earth 42634.40 26,266,960 km
68.3 LD
2191-10-01 Earth 64624.04 61,380,344 km
160 LD
2191-05-03 Earth 42401.72 31,336,176 km
81.5 LD
2191-01-18 Earth 42712.13 64,620,414 km
168 LD
2186-10-02 Venus 58080.33 21,802,672 km
56.7 LD
2186-09-18 Earth 57852.25 60,192,709 km
157 LD
2186-05-12 Earth 42397.99 35,798,631 km
93.1 LD
2186-01-01 Earth 56996.22 66,803,833 km
174 LD
2181-09-02 Earth 48405.28 58,579,819 km
152 LD
2181-05-22 Earth 42206.23 39,382,728 km
102 LD
2180-12-18 Earth 65569.61 67,363,782 km
175 LD
2180-04-14 Earth 85761.03 66,802,009 km
174 LD
2176-06-01 Earth 42071.50 42,145,624 km
110 LD
2175-12-07 Earth 70962.90 67,071,884 km
174 LD
2175-04-12 Earth 74501.77 52,615,343 km
137 LD
2175-01-06 Venus 60768.00 22,194,210 km
57.7 LD
2171-06-13 Earth 42955.39 44,753,176 km
116 LD
2170-11-25 Earth 74085.33 66,319,490 km
173 LD
2170-04-09 Earth 63578.42 39,065,466 km
102 LD
2166-06-22 Earth 48262.03 48,558,761 km
126 LD
2165-11-14 Earth 75196.94 65,383,478 km
170 LD
2165-04-09 Earth 54197.53 28,079,487 km
73.0 LD
2161-06-24 Earth 57911.36 55,141,747 km
143 LD
2160-11-03 Earth 74647.38 64,380,535 km
167 LD
2160-04-11 Earth 47377.59 22,029,580 km
57.3 LD
2156-06-22 Earth 68903.07 64,398,108 km
168 LD
2155-10-24 Earth 72655.34 63,393,889 km
165 LD
2155-04-17 Earth 43751.35 22,394,455 km
58.3 LD
2154-02-11 Venus 58487.58 20,859,563 km
54.3 LD
2150-10-12 Earth 69264.59 62,393,168 km
162 LD
2150-04-24 Earth 42614.05 26,619,337 km
69.2 LD
2145-09-30 Earth 64271.71 61,349,571 km
160 LD
2145-05-03 Earth 42383.58 31,563,849 km
82.1 LD
2145-01-16 Earth 43882.82 64,792,246 km
169 LD
2140-09-17 Earth 57414.84 60,159,483 km
157 LD
2140-05-12 Earth 42403.43 35,939,280 km
93.5 LD
2139-12-31 Earth 57617.42 66,823,961 km
174 LD
2135-09-01 Earth 47695.48 58,517,353 km
152 LD
2135-05-23 Earth 42193.45 39,453,449 km
103 LD
2134-12-18 Earth 65972.44 67,334,500 km
175 LD
2134-04-15 Earth 85181.12 66,142,927 km
172 LD
2133-03-18 Venus 57859.67 20,822,148 km
54.2 LD
2130-06-02 Earth 42109.67 42,209,002 km
110 LD
2129-12-05 Earth 71256.89 67,021,804 km
174 LD
2129-04-11 Earth 73762.85 51,766,760 km
135 LD
2125-06-13 Earth 43135.26 44,819,734 km
117 LD
2124-11-24 Earth 74221.68 66,263,224 km
172 LD
2124-04-09 Earth 63043.18 38,512,945 km
100 LD
2120-06-21 Earth 48641.42 48,709,508 km
127 LD
2119-11-13 Earth 75231.76 65,325,193 km
170 LD
2119-04-09 Earth 53807.03 27,770,553 km
72.2 LD
2115-06-24 Earth 58450.35 55,489,299 km
144 LD
2114-11-02 Earth 74590.26 64,331,968 km
167 LD
2114-04-11 Earth 47117.60 22,003,633 km
57.2 LD
2112-04-23 Venus 58102.89 21,758,645 km
56.6 LD
2110-06-22 Earth 69371.22 64,777,005 km
169 LD
2109-10-22 Earth 72540.96 63,353,429 km
165 LD
2109-04-17 Earth 43638.73 22,601,005 km
58.8 LD
2104-10-11 Earth 69049.95 62,368,356 km
162 LD
2104-04-24 Earth 42599.32 26,820,783 km
69.8 LD
2100-07-30 Venus 60416.40 22,091,134 km
57.5 LD
2099-09-29 Earth 64073.75 61,346,695 km
160 LD
2099-05-02 Earth 42380.13 31,700,686 km
82.5 LD
2099-01-15 Earth 44616.15 64,891,371 km
169 LD
2094-09-15 Earth 57027.05 60,151,517 km
156 LD
2094-05-12 Earth 42421.14 36,058,082 km
93.8 LD
2093-12-29 Earth 58165.41 66,855,260 km
174 LD
2089-08-30 Earth 47252.36 58,493,312 km
152 LD
2089-05-21 Earth 42183.22 39,473,978 km
103 LD
2088-12-16 Earth 66223.88 67,312,648 km
175 LD
2088-04-13 Earth 84764.13 65,685,840 km
171 LD
2084-06-01 Earth 42129.59 42,198,092 km
110 LD
2083-12-04 Earth 71427.73 66,972,375 km
174 LD
2083-04-10 Earth 73367.30 51,346,302 km
134 LD
2079-09-03 Venus 58600.23 20,975,247 km
54.6 LD
2079-06-13 Earth 43242.57 44,806,426 km
117 LD
2078-11-23 Earth 74289.60 66,220,149 km
172 LD
2078-04-08 Earth 62740.14 38,221,684 km
99.4 LD
2074-06-21 Earth 49011.26 48,844,801 km
127 LD
2073-11-11 Earth 75248.72 65,272,760 km
170 LD
2073-04-07 Earth 53476.37 27,523,557 km
71.6 LD
2069-06-22 Earth 58712.99 55,626,270 km
145 LD
2068-10-31 Earth 74578.75 64,307,040 km
167 LD
2068-04-10 Earth 47012.17 22,051,651 km
57.4 LD
2064-06-20 Earth 69685.70 65,016,843 km
169 LD
2063-10-21 Earth 72463.41 63,337,958 km
165 LD
2063-04-16 Earth 43585.06 22,759,813 km
59.2 LD
2058-10-10 Earth 68993.15 62,383,359 km
162 LD
2058-10-09 Venus 57889.25 20,999,326 km
54.6 LD
2058-04-24 Earth 42596.14 26,953,918 km
70.1 LD
2053-09-28 Earth 63892.27 61,353,011 km
160 LD
2053-05-02 Earth 42379.86 31,820,868 km
82.8 LD
2053-01-13 Earth 45270.10 64,981,274 km
169 LD
2048-09-14 Earth 56923.06 60,170,936 km
157 LD
2048-05-11 Earth 42421.51 36,018,414 km
93.7 LD
2047-12-29 Earth 58284.20 66,843,837 km
174 LD
2043-08-30 Earth 46963.19 58,492,126 km
152 LD
2043-05-22 Earth 42187.93 39,440,043 km
103 LD
2042-12-16 Earth 66385.16 67,279,707 km
175 LD
2042-04-13 Earth 84537.33 65,458,660 km
170 LD
2038-06-01 Earth 42142.93 42,111,469 km
110 LD
2037-12-04 Earth 71462.62 66,939,827 km
174 LD
2037-11-14 Venus 58164.01 21,885,406 km
56.9 LD
2037-04-10 Earth 73261.74 51,281,364 km
133 LD
2033-06-12 Earth 43317.65 44,744,852 km
116 LD
2032-11-22 Earth 74316.37 66,177,743 km
172 LD
2032-04-07 Earth 62598.03 38,146,981 km
99.2 LD
2028-06-20 Earth 49046.85 48,762,618 km
127 LD
2027-11-12 Earth 75274.03 65,261,021 km
170 LD
2027-04-08 next Earth 53524.94 27,691,064 km
72.0 LD
2026-02-19 Venus 60397.21 22,179,633 km
57.7 LD
2023-06-22 Earth 58713.89 55,543,891 km
144 LD
2022-11-01 Earth 74606.48 64,310,257 km
167 LD
2022-04-10 Earth 46953.35 22,157,749 km
57.6 LD
2018-06-20 Earth 69684.93 64,957,389 km
169 LD
2017-10-21 Earth 72506.85 63,366,269 km
165 LD
2017-04-15 Earth 43596.50 22,819,157 km
59.4 LD
2012-10-09 Earth 69003.53 62,409,491 km
162 LD
2012-04-23 Earth 42603.49 26,963,772 km
70.1 LD
2007-09-28 Earth 63921.65 61,394,452 km
160 LD
2007-05-02 Earth 42386.27 31,751,857 km
82.6 LD
2007-01-14 Earth 45207.19 64,945,529 km
169 LD
2005-03-28 Venus 58250.33 20,915,519 km
54.4 LD
2002-09-15 Earth 56918.28 60,203,302 km
157 LD
2002-05-11 Earth 42421.70 35,964,377 km
93.6 LD
2001-12-29 Earth 58361.19 66,813,868 km
174 LD
1997-08-29 Earth 46860.83 58,524,832 km
152 LD
1997-05-21 Earth 42184.18 39,321,756 km
102 LD
1996-12-15 Earth 66382.80 67,241,226 km
175 LD
1996-04-12 Earth 84617.09 65,632,592 km
171 LD
1992-05-31 Earth 42162.06 41,980,368 km
109 LD
1991-12-04 Earth 71443.22 66,912,958 km
174 LD
1991-04-10 Earth 73354.29 51,489,836 km
134 LD
1987-06-12 Earth 43349.51 44,616,410 km
116 LD
1986-11-22 Earth 74332.58 66,172,793 km
172 LD
1986-04-07 Earth 62679.34 38,342,818 km
99.7 LD
1984-05-02 Venus 57919.21 21,087,852 km
54.9 LD
1982-06-20 Earth 48984.22 48,626,770 km
127 LD
1981-11-11 Earth 75306.60 65,259,948 km
170 LD
1981-04-07 Earth 53531.64 27,815,883 km
72.4 LD
1977-06-21 Earth 58741.79 55,500,022 km
144 LD
1976-10-31 Earth 74639.63 64,313,811 km
167 LD
1976-04-09 Earth 46964.75 22,266,811 km
57.9 LD
1972-06-19 Earth 69465.63 64,707,660 km
168 LD
1971-10-21 Earth 72564.33 63,393,390 km
165 LD
1971-04-16 Earth 43625.18 22,845,062 km
59.4 LD
1966-10-10 Earth 69009.12 62,435,885 km
162 LD
1966-04-23 Earth 42599.54 26,947,615 km
70.1 LD
1963-06-09 Venus 58398.30 22,392,380 km
58.3 LD
1961-09-28 Earth 63959.84 61,430,671 km
160 LD
1961-05-02 Earth 42377.88 31,654,673 km
82.3 LD
1961-01-13 Earth 45046.01 64,882,347 km
169 LD
1956-09-14 Earth 56886.52 60,245,293 km
157 LD
1956-05-11 Earth 42427.50 35,866,352 km
93.3 LD
1955-12-29 Earth 58381.59 66,774,469 km
174 LD
1951-09-14 Venus 59635.58 21,766,981 km
56.6 LD
1951-08-30 Earth 46994.61 58,601,562 km
152 LD
1951-05-21 Earth 42202.15 39,204,782 km
102 LD
1950-12-16 Earth 66360.88 67,212,403 km
175 LD
1950-04-13 Earth 84735.84 65,844,519 km
171 LD
1946-06-01 Earth 42171.94 41,891,954 km
109 LD
1945-12-03 Earth 71491.02 66,890,655 km
174 LD
1945-04-09 Earth 73304.07 51,512,340 km
134 LD
1941-06-12 Earth 43378.13 44,511,247 km
116 LD
1940-11-22 Earth 74343.34 66,166,522 km
172 LD
1940-04-07 Earth 62753.70 38,518,108 km
100 LD
1936-06-19 Earth 49038.10 48,570,527 km
126 LD
1935-11-11 Earth 75324.27 65,245,274 km
170 LD
1935-04-07 Earth 53480.50 27,877,674 km
72.5 LD
1931-06-22 Earth 58679.15 55,391,135 km
144 LD
1930-10-31 Earth 74660.40 64,310,660 km
167 LD
1930-10-19 Venus 58188.96 20,974,188 km
54.6 LD
1930-04-10 Earth 46946.53 22,364,014 km
58.2 LD
1926-06-19 Earth 69661.60 64,832,521 km
169 LD
1925-10-20 Earth 72507.21 63,374,649 km
165 LD
1925-04-15 Earth 43596.83 22,946,945 km
59.7 LD
1920-10-09 Earth 68977.09 62,446,835 km
162 LD
1920-04-23 Earth 42592.07 26,945,208 km
70.1 LD
1915-09-28 Earth 63859.51 61,455,471 km
160 LD
1915-05-02 Earth 42388.93 31,707,552 km
82.5 LD
1915-01-13 Earth 45463.22 64,917,571 km
169 LD
1910-09-14 Earth 56788.76 60,279,734 km
157 LD
1910-05-11 Earth 42424.10 35,851,181 km
93.3 LD
1909-12-28 Earth 58556.64 66,760,003 km
174 LD
1909-11-25 Venus 57990.90 21,351,794 km
55.5 LD
1905-08-29 Earth 46596.08 58,578,089 km
152 LD
1905-05-21 Earth 42212.67 39,200,711 km
102 LD
1904-12-15 Earth 66575.35 67,181,835 km
175 LD
1904-04-12 Earth 84395.69 65,483,696 km
170 LD
1900-05-31 Earth 42186.37 41,834,673 km
109 LD

Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-09-05T18:38:34.239254+00:00.