Illustration of Earth with several asteroids passing at different distances, one flagged as potentially hazardous

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(2013 GM3)

Designation: 2013 GM3 · NASA id: 3634154 · Sentry Object

Estimated diameter: 15 – 33 meters

≈ the Chelyabinsk object
That comparison is of size only — what an impact would do depends on speed, angle, composition and where it arrives, none of which follows from width.
(absolute magnitude H = 26.3) · JPL Small-Body Database →

Earth impact concern
On a monitored risk list
Why?
  • Its closest recorded pass was 0.2 lunar distances.
  • It is on the Sentry list, which holds every object with a computed chance above zero — 2,207 of them. Being listed is not by itself a warning.
  • The computed chance is about 1 in 7,102, over the window 2034–2126.
  • Palermo -4.53 — below zero, meaning less than the background risk from everything not yet found.
  • Torino 0.
  • Last observed 2013-04-13. A listing often reflects a short observation arc rather than a known trajectory, and more observations usually remove an object from the list.
What the four levels mean
  • No identified impact threat — not on any risk list. 98.8% of the objects here.
  • On a monitored risk list — a computed chance above zero, however small. 1.2% of the objects here.
  • Among the highest-ranked — Palermo at or above −2. Two objects worldwide qualify, both studied for decades and both centuries away.
  • Exceptional — Torino 1 or more, or Palermo at or above zero. No object anywhere currently qualifies.

These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.

Energy of motion, if it ever entered the atmosphere

38 kilotonnes – 1.4 megatonnes of TNT

This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.

The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.

Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.

Why is one asteroid “hazardous” when closer ones are not?

Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:

  • Its orbit can bring it within 0.05 AU of Earth’s — about 7.5 million km. This is the Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance, the closest the two paths ever come, not the distance on any given pass.
  • It is big enough to matter — absolute magnitude 22.0 or brighter, which is roughly 140 metres across and up. That threshold is a planning convention, not a physical boundary: it is about the size at which an impact could do regional damage. Smaller objects are not harmless, they are simply outside this definition — the Chelyabinsk object of 2013 was around 20 metres and injured about 1,500 people with the shock wave from its airburst, without ever reaching the ground intact.

The two terms: AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing. See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.

So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.

Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:

Object Size Orbit’s closest to Earth’s Missed by, that day Flagged
2013 JR28 122–272 m 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) 39.2 M km Yes — both tests pass
2012 LE11 629–1,406 m 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) 26.1 M km No — orbit never gets near enough
2007 EK 3.7–8.2 m 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) 4.2 M km No — far too small

The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.

“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.

Orbital Data

Orbit class: ATE — Near-Earth asteroid orbits similar to that of 2062 Aten
a (semi-major axis) < 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) > 0.983 AU

Orbital period279.4 days (0.76 years)
Eccentricity.287270551931035 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated)
Semi-major axis.8364330896910798 AU
Inclination.01761681678422915° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's)
Perihelion distance.5961504943621424 AU (closest approach to the Sun)
Aphelion distance1.076715685020017 AU (farthest from the Sun)
Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance0.00014 AU = 21,197 km
(closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing)
Ascending node longitude57.61284745290674°
Argument of perihelion291.5269396484497°
Mean anomaly / motion51.82103549942257° / 1.288419430746537°/day
Jupiter Tisserand invariant6.989 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets)
Reference epoch / equinoxJD 2461000.5 / J2000
Orbit determined2021-04-15 07:55:56
Observed2013-04-01 to 2013-04-13 (12 day arc, 61 observations used)
Orbit uncertainty7 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain)

Close Approach History

Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 37 total.

Why does it pass Earth, Venus and Moon? Doesn’t it orbit just one?

It orbits the Sun. Not Earth, and not Venus. The column above does not say what the asteroid goes around — it says which planet a given close approach was to. 25 of them were approaches to Earth, 11 of them were approaches to Venus and 1 of them were approaches to Moon.

This one’s path runs from 0.596 AU at its closest to the Sun out to 1.077 AU at its farthest. For scale, Venus orbits at about 0.72 AU and Earth at 1.00 AU — so an orbit spanning that range crosses the path of every planet in between, once on the way out and once on the way back.

Crossing a planet’s path is not the same as meeting the planet. Almost every time the asteroid crosses, that planet is somewhere else along its own orbit. A close approach is logged only on the rare occasions when both happen to arrive at the crossing point at roughly the same time — which is why the dates below are scattered rather than regular. This object takes 279.4 days to go round, against Earth’s 365.25, so the two drift in and out of step over years rather than repeating on a neat cycle.

The Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance in the table above (0.0001 AU) is the closest the two paths ever come. The miss distances below are how far apart the two bodies actually were on the day, which is almost always very much larger.

no approaches on record after today — jumps to the most recent

Date Passed near Velocity (km/h) Miss distance
2026-04-14 Moon 23283.88 86,388 km
0.22 LD — closer than the Moon
2026-04-14 Earth 26674.23 260,528 km
0.68 LD — closer than the Moon
2025-11-14 Earth 30426.15 47,293,375 km
123 LD
2024-02-23 Venus 33094.90 3,019,172 km
7.85 LD
2023-04-09 Earth 65370.81 51,460,619 km
134 LD
2022-09-29 Earth 49084.27 59,949,084 km
156 LD
2021-02-27 Venus 29793.82 18,892,903 km
49.1 LD
2019-08-21 Earth 49197.40 60,743,903 km
158 LD
2019-02-07 Earth 71510.48 59,082,802 km
154 LD
2018-03-02 Venus 30225.10 19,059,132 km
49.6 LD
2016-07-08 Earth 33282.27 50,989,097 km
133 LD
2016-01-28 Earth 32542.10 9,334,269 km
24.3 LD
2015-03-08 Venus 33486.11 2,601,228 km
6.77 LD
2013-04-06 Earth 21548.23 6,912,954 km
18.0 LD
2012-11-26 Earth 23960.35 42,995,271 km
112 LD
2012-02-16 Venus 57333.06 18,359,773 km
47.8 LD
2010-04-12 Earth 56387.55 39,757,749 km
103 LD
2009-10-08 Earth 46953.53 58,453,443 km
152 LD
2006-08-30 Earth 50708.27 61,500,469 km
160 LD
2006-02-10 Earth 80435.64 70,365,575 km
183 LD
2003-07-20 Earth 38711.57 54,567,353 km
142 LD
2003-01-29 Earth 41361.89 20,422,138 km
53.1 LD
2001-12-28 Venus 41101.09 4,523,417 km
11.8 LD
2000-03-18 Earth 20717.89 11,974,820 km
31.2 LD
1998-12-17 Venus 24483.28 13,792,452 km
35.9 LD
1997-04-14 Earth 50037.51 31,564,489 km
82.1 LD
1996-10-14 Earth 44788.51 57,040,978 km
148 LD
1995-12-21 Venus 32183.96 20,490,539 km
53.3 LD
1993-09-03 Earth 51095.62 61,597,718 km
160 LD
1990-07-22 Earth 39563.14 55,122,288 km
143 LD
1990-01-29 Earth 42844.74 22,167,093 km
57.7 LD
1989-12-17 Venus 34130.82 2,179,676 km
5.67 LD
1986-11-24 Venus 49004.04 11,104,831 km
28.9 LD
1984-04-12 Earth 55623.81 38,659,874 km
101 LD
1971-04-12 Earth 58777.77 42,623,238 km
111 LD
1970-10-06 Earth 47965.52 59,168,111 km
154 LD
1970-08-19 Venus 28611.24 7,113,506 km
18.5 LD

Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-10-05T23:41:37.914776+00:00.