Illustration of Earth with several asteroids passing at different distances, one flagged as potentially hazardous

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(2013 HP11)

Designation: 2013 HP11 · NASA id: 3635075

Estimated diameter: 22 – 49 meters

≈ an airliner's wingspan
That comparison is of size only — what an impact would do depends on speed, angle, composition and where it arrives, none of which follows from width.
(absolute magnitude H = 25.4) · JPL Small-Body Database →

Earth impact concern
No identified impact threat
Why?
  • Its closest recorded pass was 11.9 lunar distances.
  • It is not on NASA/JPL’s Sentry list, which holds every object with a computed chance of impact above zero. Most objects are not on it.
What the four levels mean
  • No identified impact threat — not on any risk list. 98.8% of the objects here.
  • On a monitored risk list — a computed chance above zero, however small. 1.2% of the objects here.
  • Among the highest-ranked — Palermo at or above −2. Two objects worldwide qualify, both studied for decades and both centuries away.
  • Exceptional — Torino 1 or more, or Palermo at or above zero. No object anywhere currently qualifies.

These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.

Energy of motion, if it ever entered the atmosphere

34 kilotonnes – 1.3 megatonnes of TNT

This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.

The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.

Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.

Why is one asteroid “hazardous” when closer ones are not?

Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:

  • Its orbit can bring it within 0.05 AU of Earth’s — about 7.5 million km. This is the Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance, the closest the two paths ever come, not the distance on any given pass.
  • It is big enough to matter — absolute magnitude 22.0 or brighter, which is roughly 140 metres across and up. That threshold is a planning convention, not a physical boundary: it is about the size at which an impact could do regional damage. Smaller objects are not harmless, they are simply outside this definition — the Chelyabinsk object of 2013 was around 20 metres and injured about 1,500 people with the shock wave from its airburst, without ever reaching the ground intact.

The two terms: AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing. See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.

So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.

Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:

Object Size Orbit’s closest to Earth’s Missed by, that day Flagged
2013 JR28 122–272 m 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) 39.2 M km Yes — both tests pass
2012 LE11 629–1,406 m 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) 26.1 M km No — orbit never gets near enough
2007 EK 3.7–8.2 m 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) 4.2 M km No — far too small

The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.

“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.

Orbital Data

Orbit class: AMO — Near-Earth asteroid orbits similar to that of 1221 Amor
1.017 AU < q (perihelion) < 1.3 AU

Orbital period471.4 days (1.29 years)
Eccentricity.1257966129592484 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated)
Semi-major axis1.185321887973028 AU
Inclination4.155612032276118° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's)
Perihelion distance1.036212409199559 AU (closest approach to the Sun)
Aphelion distance1.334431366746496 AU (farthest from the Sun)
Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance0.02999 AU = 4,486,365 km
(closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing)
Ascending node longitude208.5736631074254°
Argument of perihelion9.644130118126224°
Mean anomaly / motion267.1238076874566° / .7637471765907534°/day
Jupiter Tisserand invariant5.334 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets)
Reference epoch / equinoxJD 2461000.5 / J2000
Orbit determined2021-04-15 08:01:55
Observed2013-04-19 to 2013-06-14 (56 day arc, 88 observations used)
Orbit uncertainty5 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain)

Close Approach History

Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 52 total.

next approach: 2031-01-07

Date Passed near Velocity (km/h) Miss distance
2107-11-08 Earth 22070.91 50,507,454 km
131 LD
2103-04-30 Earth 9364.17 5,268,239 km
13.7 LD
2098-10-28 Earth 21768.00 49,515,229 km
129 LD
2094-05-26 Earth 20925.32 24,934,819 km
64.9 LD
2089-10-08 Earth 20427.45 46,938,318 km
122 LD
2085-06-12 Earth 41785.66 53,895,429 km
140 LD
2085-01-08 Earth 15112.38 39,524,952 km
103 LD
2080-09-12 Earth 16955.21 41,078,324 km
107 LD
2080-03-31 Earth 47940.01 61,935,075 km
161 LD
2075-12-11 Earth 19685.08 46,387,512 km
121 LD
2071-08-07 Earth 9339.44 30,934,984 km
80.5 LD
2071-04-10 Earth 27244.35 31,544,611 km
82.1 LD
2066-11-19 Earth 21579.49 49,384,934 km
128 LD
2062-04-21 Earth 11374.77 6,860,847 km
17.8 LD
2057-11-10 Earth 22033.50 50,520,205 km
131 LD
2053-04-19 Earth 12328.07 8,483,958 km
22.1 LD
2048-11-19 Earth 21901.45 50,642,697 km
132 LD
2044-08-08 Earth 10217.62 32,664,694 km
85.0 LD
2044-04-07 Earth 29286.33 34,477,965 km
89.7 LD
2039-12-11 Earth 20066.58 47,590,904 km
124 LD
2035-09-13 Earth 17429.67 42,755,154 km
111 LD
2035-03-29 Earth 50365.12 65,153,735 km
169 LD
2031-06-12 Earth 42685.17 54,915,189 km
143 LD
2031-01-07 next Earth 15422.06 40,483,154 km
105 LD
2026-10-07 Earth 20934.50 48,534,748 km
126 LD
2022-05-25 Earth 21235.39 25,166,366 km
65.5 LD
2022-02-26 Earth 6071.07 26,922,795 km
70.0 LD
2017-10-26 Earth 22152.75 50,754,127 km
132 LD
2013-04-27 Earth 9555.28 4,905,995 km
12.8 LD
2008-11-05 Earth 22157.65 50,588,179 km
132 LD
2004-04-20 Earth 11285.52 6,830,167 km
17.8 LD
1999-11-19 Earth 21913.79 50,625,287 km
132 LD
1995-08-16 Earth 12231.86 35,419,935 km
92.1 LD
1995-04-05 Earth 33607.09 41,092,659 km
107 LD
1990-12-17 Earth 19038.23 45,834,758 km
119 LD
1986-09-22 Earth 19263.78 45,944,649 km
120 LD
1982-06-01 Earth 30875.84 38,227,259 km
99.4 LD
1982-01-26 Earth 11136.83 34,220,156 km
89.0 LD
1977-10-19 Earth 21995.62 50,575,347 km
132 LD
1973-04-28 Earth 9586.57 5,591,667 km
14.5 LD
1968-11-03 Earth 22134.61 50,586,799 km
132 LD
1964-04-19 Earth 11599.14 7,496,551 km
19.5 LD
1959-11-19 Earth 21877.92 50,462,007 km
131 LD
1955-08-17 Earth 12706.19 36,140,891 km
94.0 LD
1955-04-03 Earth 34811.60 43,021,910 km
112 LD
1951-06-17 Earth 55942.61 73,547,304 km
191 LD
1950-12-18 Earth 18726.43 45,306,412 km
118 LD
1946-09-23 Earth 19564.89 46,410,596 km
121 LD
1942-05-29 Earth 29108.37 35,744,585 km
93.0 LD
1942-01-29 Earth 10192.61 33,084,027 km
86.1 LD
1937-10-20 Earth 22032.55 50,704,376 km
132 LD
1933-04-25 Earth 9686.49 4,555,536 km
11.9 LD

Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-10-02T21:13:48.259254+00:00.