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Designation: 2013 HP11 · NASA id: 3635075
Estimated diameter: 22 – 49 meters
These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.
34 kilotonnes – 1.3 megatonnes of TNT
This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.
The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.
Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.
Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:
The two terms:
AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing.
See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.
So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.
Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:
| Object | Size | Orbit’s closest to Earth’s | Missed by, that day | Flagged |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 JR28 | 122–272 m | 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) | 39.2 M km | Yes — both tests pass |
| 2012 LE11 | 629–1,406 m | 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) | 26.1 M km | No — orbit never gets near enough |
| 2007 EK | 3.7–8.2 m | 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) | 4.2 M km | No — far too small |
The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.
“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.
Orbit class: AMO — Near-Earth asteroid orbits similar to that of 1221 Amor
1.017 AU < q (perihelion) < 1.3 AU
| Orbital period | 471.4 days (1.29 years) |
| Eccentricity | .1257966129592484 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated) |
| Semi-major axis | 1.185321887973028 AU |
| Inclination | 4.155612032276118° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's) |
| Perihelion distance | 1.036212409199559 AU (closest approach to the Sun) |
| Aphelion distance | 1.334431366746496 AU (farthest from the Sun) |
| Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance | 0.02999 AU = 4,486,365 km (closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing) |
| Ascending node longitude | 208.5736631074254° |
| Argument of perihelion | 9.644130118126224° |
| Mean anomaly / motion | 267.1238076874566° / .7637471765907534°/day |
| Jupiter Tisserand invariant | 5.334 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets) |
| Reference epoch / equinox | JD 2461000.5 / J2000 |
| Orbit determined | 2021-04-15 08:01:55 |
| Observed | 2013-04-19 to 2013-06-14 (56 day arc, 88 observations used) |
| Orbit uncertainty | 5 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain) |
Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 52 total.
next approach: 2031-01-07
| Date | Passed near | Velocity (km/h) | Miss distance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2107-11-08 | Earth | 22070.91 | 50,507,454 km 131 LD |
| 2103-04-30 | Earth | 9364.17 | 5,268,239 km 13.7 LD |
| 2098-10-28 | Earth | 21768.00 | 49,515,229 km 129 LD |
| 2094-05-26 | Earth | 20925.32 | 24,934,819 km 64.9 LD |
| 2089-10-08 | Earth | 20427.45 | 46,938,318 km 122 LD |
| 2085-06-12 | Earth | 41785.66 | 53,895,429 km 140 LD |
| 2085-01-08 | Earth | 15112.38 | 39,524,952 km 103 LD |
| 2080-09-12 | Earth | 16955.21 | 41,078,324 km 107 LD |
| 2080-03-31 | Earth | 47940.01 | 61,935,075 km 161 LD |
| 2075-12-11 | Earth | 19685.08 | 46,387,512 km 121 LD |
| 2071-08-07 | Earth | 9339.44 | 30,934,984 km 80.5 LD |
| 2071-04-10 | Earth | 27244.35 | 31,544,611 km 82.1 LD |
| 2066-11-19 | Earth | 21579.49 | 49,384,934 km 128 LD |
| 2062-04-21 | Earth | 11374.77 | 6,860,847 km 17.8 LD |
| 2057-11-10 | Earth | 22033.50 | 50,520,205 km 131 LD |
| 2053-04-19 | Earth | 12328.07 | 8,483,958 km 22.1 LD |
| 2048-11-19 | Earth | 21901.45 | 50,642,697 km 132 LD |
| 2044-08-08 | Earth | 10217.62 | 32,664,694 km 85.0 LD |
| 2044-04-07 | Earth | 29286.33 | 34,477,965 km 89.7 LD |
| 2039-12-11 | Earth | 20066.58 | 47,590,904 km 124 LD |
| 2035-09-13 | Earth | 17429.67 | 42,755,154 km 111 LD |
| 2035-03-29 | Earth | 50365.12 | 65,153,735 km 169 LD |
| 2031-06-12 | Earth | 42685.17 | 54,915,189 km 143 LD |
| 2031-01-07 next | Earth | 15422.06 | 40,483,154 km 105 LD |
| 2026-10-07 | Earth | 20934.50 | 48,534,748 km 126 LD |
| 2022-05-25 | Earth | 21235.39 | 25,166,366 km 65.5 LD |
| 2022-02-26 | Earth | 6071.07 | 26,922,795 km 70.0 LD |
| 2017-10-26 | Earth | 22152.75 | 50,754,127 km 132 LD |
| 2013-04-27 | Earth | 9555.28 | 4,905,995 km 12.8 LD |
| 2008-11-05 | Earth | 22157.65 | 50,588,179 km 132 LD |
| 2004-04-20 | Earth | 11285.52 | 6,830,167 km 17.8 LD |
| 1999-11-19 | Earth | 21913.79 | 50,625,287 km 132 LD |
| 1995-08-16 | Earth | 12231.86 | 35,419,935 km 92.1 LD |
| 1995-04-05 | Earth | 33607.09 | 41,092,659 km 107 LD |
| 1990-12-17 | Earth | 19038.23 | 45,834,758 km 119 LD |
| 1986-09-22 | Earth | 19263.78 | 45,944,649 km 120 LD |
| 1982-06-01 | Earth | 30875.84 | 38,227,259 km 99.4 LD |
| 1982-01-26 | Earth | 11136.83 | 34,220,156 km 89.0 LD |
| 1977-10-19 | Earth | 21995.62 | 50,575,347 km 132 LD |
| 1973-04-28 | Earth | 9586.57 | 5,591,667 km 14.5 LD |
| 1968-11-03 | Earth | 22134.61 | 50,586,799 km 132 LD |
| 1964-04-19 | Earth | 11599.14 | 7,496,551 km 19.5 LD |
| 1959-11-19 | Earth | 21877.92 | 50,462,007 km 131 LD |
| 1955-08-17 | Earth | 12706.19 | 36,140,891 km 94.0 LD |
| 1955-04-03 | Earth | 34811.60 | 43,021,910 km 112 LD |
| 1951-06-17 | Earth | 55942.61 | 73,547,304 km 191 LD |
| 1950-12-18 | Earth | 18726.43 | 45,306,412 km 118 LD |
| 1946-09-23 | Earth | 19564.89 | 46,410,596 km 121 LD |
| 1942-05-29 | Earth | 29108.37 | 35,744,585 km 93.0 LD |
| 1942-01-29 | Earth | 10192.61 | 33,084,027 km 86.1 LD |
| 1937-10-20 | Earth | 22032.55 | 50,704,376 km 132 LD |
| 1933-04-25 | Earth | 9686.49 | 4,555,536 km 11.9 LD |
Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-10-02T21:13:48.259254+00:00.