Illustration of Earth with several asteroids passing at different distances, one flagged as potentially hazardous

← Back to current tracker · Insights · Impact risk · Lost asteroids · What arrived

(2013 NG10)

Designation: 2013 NG10 · NASA id: 3644814

Estimated diameter: 77 – 171 meters

≈ a football pitch
That comparison is of size only — what an impact would do depends on speed, angle, composition and where it arrives, none of which follows from width.
(absolute magnitude H = 22.7) · JPL Small-Body Database →

Earth impact concern
No identified impact threat
Why?
  • Its closest recorded pass was 7.9 lunar distances.
  • It is not on NASA/JPL’s Sentry list, which holds every object with a computed chance of impact above zero. Most objects are not on it.
What the four levels mean
  • No identified impact threat — not on any risk list. 98.8% of the objects here.
  • On a monitored risk list — a computed chance above zero, however small. 1.2% of the objects here.
  • Among the highest-ranked — Palermo at or above −2. Two objects worldwide qualify, both studied for decades and both centuries away.
  • Exceptional — Torino 1 or more, or Palermo at or above zero. No object anywhere currently qualifies.

These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.

Energy of motion, if it ever entered the atmosphere

10.5 megatonnes – 392.5 megatonnes of TNT

This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.

The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.

Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.

Why is one asteroid “hazardous” when closer ones are not?

Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:

  • Its orbit can bring it within 0.05 AU of Earth’s — about 7.5 million km. This is the Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance, the closest the two paths ever come, not the distance on any given pass.
  • It is big enough to matter — absolute magnitude 22.0 or brighter, which is roughly 140 metres across and up. That threshold is a planning convention, not a physical boundary: it is about the size at which an impact could do regional damage. Smaller objects are not harmless, they are simply outside this definition — the Chelyabinsk object of 2013 was around 20 metres and injured about 1,500 people with the shock wave from its airburst, without ever reaching the ground intact.

The two terms: AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing. See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.

So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.

Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:

Object Size Orbit’s closest to Earth’s Missed by, that day Flagged
2013 JR28 122–272 m 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) 39.2 M km Yes — both tests pass
2012 LE11 629–1,406 m 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) 26.1 M km No — orbit never gets near enough
2007 EK 3.7–8.2 m 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) 4.2 M km No — far too small

The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.

“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.

Orbital Data

Orbit class: ATE — Near-Earth asteroid orbits similar to that of 2062 Aten
a (semi-major axis) < 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) > 0.983 AU

Orbital period340.2 days (0.93 years)
Eccentricity.336761007662771 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated)
Semi-major axis.9536403433780114 AU
Inclination20.7303575173067° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's)
Perihelion distance.6324914603941614 AU (closest approach to the Sun)
Aphelion distance1.274789226361861 AU (farthest from the Sun)
Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance0.07375 AU = 11,033,157 km
(closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing)
Ascending node longitude111.1439113217718°
Argument of perihelion316.5696845691612°
Mean anomaly / motion338.2146737120995° / 1.058344727927087°/day
Jupiter Tisserand invariant6.210 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets)
Reference epoch / equinoxJD 2461000.5 / J2000
Orbit determined2021-04-15 08:16:59
Observed2013-07-03 to 2013-07-09 (6 day arc, 17 observations used)
Orbit uncertainty7 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain)

Close Approach History

Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 60 total.

Why does it pass Earth and Venus? Doesn’t it orbit just one?

It orbits the Sun. Not Earth, and not Venus. The column above does not say what the asteroid goes around — it says which planet a given close approach was to. 51 of them were approaches to Earth and 9 of them were approaches to Venus.

This one’s path runs from 0.632 AU at its closest to the Sun out to 1.275 AU at its farthest. For scale, Venus orbits at about 0.72 AU and Earth at 1.00 AU — so an orbit spanning that range crosses the path of every planet in between, once on the way out and once on the way back.

Crossing a planet’s path is not the same as meeting the planet. Almost every time the asteroid crosses, that planet is somewhere else along its own orbit. A close approach is logged only on the rare occasions when both happen to arrive at the crossing point at roughly the same time — which is why the dates below are scattered rather than regular. This object takes 340.2 days to go round, against Earth’s 365.25, so the two drift in and out of step over years rather than repeating on a neat cycle.

The Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance in the table above (0.0738 AU) is the closest the two paths ever come. The miss distances below are how far apart the two bodies actually were on the day, which is almost always very much larger.

next approach: 2026-11-06

Date Passed near Velocity (km/h) Miss distance
2108-07-21 Earth 45210.13 13,533,491 km
35.2 LD
2055-07-16 Earth 73224.83 44,640,080 km
116 LD
2054-07-19 Earth 43098.11 18,271,879 km
47.5 LD
2041-07-20 Earth 56368.81 19,370,849 km
50.4 LD
2030-09-02 Venus 65779.14 15,244,638 km
39.7 LD
2028-10-21 Venus 52490.91 3,798,036 km
9.88 LD
2028-07-14 Earth 76025.19 48,746,808 km
127 LD
2027-07-20 Earth 44245.38 15,329,324 km
39.9 LD
2026-12-04 Venus 46300.76 20,031,221 km
52.1 LD
2026-11-06 next Earth 51282.12 65,204,888 km
170 LD
2026-06-18 Earth 40356.13 53,425,589 km
139 LD
2025-12-28 Earth 60430.56 50,932,314 km
132 LD
2025-02-15 Earth 55351.89 40,089,857 km
104 LD
2024-03-26 Earth 78920.36 70,033,425 km
182 LD
2014-07-20 Earth 61095.49 26,446,099 km
68.8 LD
2013-07-11 Earth 40753.42 32,122,537 km
83.6 LD
2012-11-27 Earth 59035.96 61,550,856 km
160 LD
2012-05-29 Earth 38167.93 61,324,014 km
160 LD
2012-01-16 Earth 57934.53 44,208,273 km
115 LD
2011-03-04 Earth 59662.70 46,110,902 km
120 LD
2001-07-11 Earth 86331.46 63,561,583 km
165 LD
2000-07-21 Earth 50263.82 11,883,021 km
30.9 LD
1999-06-30 Earth 40518.01 45,251,465 km
118 LD
1998-12-14 Earth 60928.78 56,069,605 km
146 LD
1998-02-01 Earth 55606.93 40,068,666 km
104 LD
1998-01-24 Venus 64934.06 14,305,144 km
37.2 LD
1997-03-17 Earth 69127.42 57,918,093 km
151 LD
1996-03-13 Venus 51198.34 5,420,700 km
14.1 LD
1987-07-16 Earth 73824.61 45,492,741 km
118 LD
1986-07-20 Earth 43578.00 16,966,344 km
44.1 LD
1985-11-07 Earth 52053.53 65,048,489 km
169 LD
1985-06-17 Earth 40301.46 54,168,763 km
141 LD
1984-12-28 Earth 60296.30 50,604,539 km
132 LD
1984-02-16 Earth 55401.29 40,008,333 km
104 LD
1983-03-26 Earth 78596.60 69,474,936 km
181 LD
1973-07-18 Earth 65049.68 32,432,163 km
84.4 LD
1972-07-14 Earth 41215.19 27,111,578 km
70.5 LD
1971-11-21 Earth 57287.46 63,079,786 km
164 LD
1971-06-06 Earth 39184.90 59,391,920 km
155 LD
1971-01-09 Earth 58867.54 46,286,868 km
120 LD
1970-02-26 Earth 57457.70 43,118,333 km
112 LD
1967-04-22 Venus 64292.48 13,554,566 km
35.3 LD
1965-06-08 Venus 50453.28 6,619,541 km
17.2 LD
1960-07-08 Earth 92665.10 72,550,804 km
189 LD
1959-07-21 Earth 55226.97 17,725,445 km
46.1 LD
1958-07-06 Earth 40533.24 38,827,563 km
101 LD
1957-12-05 Earth 60319.76 59,239,560 km
154 LD
1957-05-19 Earth 36023.97 63,176,216 km
164 LD
1957-01-22 Earth 56820.90 42,025,688 km
109 LD
1956-03-09 Earth 62797.14 49,963,698 km
130 LD
1946-07-11 Earth 86355.87 63,624,322 km
166 LD
1945-07-21 Earth 50694.75 12,233,486 km
31.8 LD
1944-06-30 Earth 40537.93 44,214,526 km
115 LD
1943-12-12 Earth 60864.05 56,833,077 km
148 LD
1943-01-29 Earth 55914.27 40,464,058 km
105 LD
1942-03-14 Earth 66655.92 54,696,706 km
142 LD
1938-05-25 Venus 70456.66 20,292,669 km
52.8 LD
1936-07-12 Venus 53314.54 3,045,387 km
7.92 LD
1932-07-13 Earth 80997.77 56,020,824 km
146 LD
1931-07-21 Earth 47359.09 11,375,941 km
29.6 LD

Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-09-06T13:02:25.222473+00:00.