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Designation: 2013 OY3 · NASA id: 3645193
Estimated diameter: 29 – 66 meters
These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.
500 kilotonnes – 18.6 megatonnes of TNT
This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.
The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.
Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.
Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:
The two terms:
AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing.
See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.
So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.
Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:
| Object | Size | Orbit’s closest to Earth’s | Missed by, that day | Flagged |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 JR28 | 122–272 m | 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) | 39.2 M km | Yes — both tests pass |
| 2012 LE11 | 629–1,406 m | 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) | 26.1 M km | No — orbit never gets near enough |
| 2007 EK | 3.7–8.2 m | 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) | 4.2 M km | No — far too small |
The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.
“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.
Orbit class: ATE — Near-Earth asteroid orbits similar to that of 2062 Aten
a (semi-major axis) < 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) > 0.983 AU
| Orbital period | 278.4 days (0.76 years) |
| Eccentricity | .3440828394327826 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated) |
| Semi-major axis | .8343190069789599 AU |
| Inclination | 2.305750260084628° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's) |
| Perihelion distance | .5472441540648998 AU (closest approach to the Sun) |
| Aphelion distance | 1.12139385989302 AU (farthest from the Sun) |
| Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance | 0.00671 AU = 1,003,797 km (closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing) |
| Ascending node longitude | 107.1759213083286° |
| Argument of perihelion | 45.8121433345765° |
| Mean anomaly / motion | 184.7013813463571° / 1.293319624743698°/day |
| Jupiter Tisserand invariant | 6.988 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets) |
| Reference epoch / equinox | JD 2461000.5 / J2000 |
| Orbit determined | 2021-04-15 08:20:18 |
| Observed | 2013-07-26 to 2013-08-04 (9 day arc, 42 observations used) |
| Orbit uncertainty | 7 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain) |
Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 82 total.
It orbits the Sun. Not Earth, and not Venus. The column above does not say what the asteroid goes around — it says which planet a given close approach was to. 62 of them were approaches to Earth and 20 of them were approaches to Venus.
This one’s path runs from 0.547 AU at its closest to the Sun out to 1.121 AU at its farthest. For scale, Venus orbits at about 0.72 AU and Earth at 1.00 AU — so an orbit spanning that range crosses the path of every planet in between, once on the way out and once on the way back.
Crossing a planet’s path is not the same as meeting the planet. Almost every time the asteroid crosses, that planet is somewhere else along its own orbit. A close approach is logged only on the rare occasions when both happen to arrive at the crossing point at roughly the same time — which is why the dates below are scattered rather than regular. This object takes 278.4 days to go round, against Earth’s 365.25, so the two drift in and out of step over years rather than repeating on a neat cycle.
The Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance in the table above (0.0067 AU) is the closest the two paths ever come. The miss distances below are how far apart the two bodies actually were on the day, which is almost always very much larger.
next approach: 2029-07-18
| Date | Passed near | Velocity (km/h) | Miss distance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2107-07-20 | Earth | 46057.62 | 21,024,007 km 54.7 LD |
| 2072-09-26 | Earth | 76922.46 | 61,727,416 km 161 LD |
| 2049-10-07 | Earth | 43344.82 | 18,737,973 km 48.7 LD |
| 2049-04-24 | Venus | 41280.16 | 1,487,173 km 3.87 LD |
| 2036-10-03 | Earth | 55368.66 | 33,879,989 km 88.1 LD |
| 2036-02-02 | Venus | 58751.18 | 14,350,911 km 37.3 LD |
| 2033-02-12 | Earth | 58677.87 | 65,270,495 km 170 LD |
| 2033-01-10 | Venus | 40537.66 | 2,193,075 km 5.71 LD |
| 2032-07-25 | Earth | 69537.10 | 51,889,076 km 135 LD |
| 2030-01-05 | Venus | 30772.45 | 19,446,735 km 50.6 LD |
| 2030-01-03 | Earth | 43384.96 | 56,507,484 km 147 LD |
| 2029-07-18 next | Earth | 32144.31 | 2,526,407 km 6.57 LD |
| 2026-09-08 | Earth | 24151.67 | 16,552,739 km 43.1 LD |
| 2023-10-07 | Earth | 43439.78 | 18,761,578 km 48.8 LD |
| 2023-04-08 | Earth | 48250.01 | 61,069,139 km 159 LD |
| 2021-01-10 | Venus | 57043.66 | 12,774,093 km 33.2 LD |
| 2020-09-25 | Earth | 77192.43 | 62,047,831 km 161 LD |
| 2020-03-04 | Earth | 59140.32 | 66,108,718 km 172 LD |
| 2017-02-01 | Earth | 56460.15 | 64,090,700 km 167 LD |
| 2016-07-22 | Earth | 58896.71 | 37,953,111 km 98.7 LD |
| 2013-12-27 | Earth | 39429.74 | 54,258,500 km 141 LD |
| 2013-12-17 | Venus | 35041.14 | 6,486,984 km 16.9 LD |
| 2013-07-20 | Earth | 28014.85 | 3,631,411 km 9.45 LD |
| 2010-09-22 | Earth | 23953.48 | 13,391,816 km 34.8 LD |
| 2010-05-11 | Earth | 28807.78 | 49,918,773 km 130 LD |
| 2007-10-05 | Earth | 52063.48 | 29,697,645 km 77.3 LD |
| 2007-03-30 | Earth | 52231.01 | 63,054,081 km 164 LD |
| 2005-01-04 | Venus | 33357.05 | 7,841,986 km 20.4 LD |
| 2004-09-22 | Earth | 86949.87 | 74,580,678 km 194 LD |
| 2004-02-24 | Earth | 59538.11 | 66,062,571 km 172 LD |
| 2003-07-30 | Earth | 80948.13 | 66,557,176 km 173 LD |
| 2001-12-17 | Venus | 62192.97 | 17,301,939 km 45.0 LD |
| 2001-01-19 | Earth | 51543.02 | 61,255,377 km 159 LD |
| 2000-07-19 | Earth | 46020.30 | 21,075,380 km 54.8 LD |
| 1997-12-05 | Earth | 24715.45 | 45,493,943 km 118 LD |
| 1997-08-13 | Earth | 24023.28 | 15,786,146 km 41.1 LD |
| 1994-11-20 | Venus | 38458.14 | 3,694,165 km 9.61 LD |
| 1994-10-07 | Earth | 33166.93 | 7,485,403 km 19.5 LD |
| 1994-04-20 | Earth | 41754.40 | 57,518,350 km 150 LD |
| 1991-09-30 | Earth | 67812.44 | 49,972,188 km 130 LD |
| 1991-03-14 | Earth | 57230.87 | 65,361,397 km 170 LD |
| 1988-02-09 | Earth | 58096.41 | 64,995,452 km 169 LD |
| 1987-07-25 | Earth | 66341.11 | 47,722,354 km 124 LD |
| 1985-12-06 | Venus | 29482.22 | 11,401,820 km 29.7 LD |
| 1985-01-03 | Earth | 43648.69 | 56,644,041 km 147 LD |
| 1984-07-18 | Earth | 32589.83 | 3,275,686 km 8.52 LD |
| 1982-11-21 | Venus | 63634.96 | 18,442,379 km 48.0 LD |
| 1981-09-02 | Earth | 24205.73 | 16,957,243 km 44.1 LD |
| 1978-11-17 | Venus | 55275.63 | 11,251,126 km 29.3 LD |
| 1978-10-07 | Earth | 38066.06 | 12,482,421 km 32.5 LD |
| 1978-04-14 | Earth | 44985.74 | 59,397,499 km 155 LD |
| 1975-09-28 | Earth | 70402.72 | 53,272,400 km 139 LD |
| 1975-03-12 | Earth | 57910.54 | 65,707,151 km 171 LD |
| 1971-07-26 | Earth | 67366.88 | 48,995,395 km 127 LD |
| 1968-07-17 | Earth | 36101.99 | 7,947,721 km 20.7 LD |
| 1966-11-23 | Venus | 64472.31 | 19,128,919 km 49.8 LD |
| 1962-11-19 | Venus | 54189.99 | 10,305,913 km 26.8 LD |
| 1962-10-07 | Earth | 34112.70 | 8,304,063 km 21.6 LD |
| 1962-04-18 | Earth | 42523.10 | 57,995,599 km 151 LD |
| 1959-11-16 | Venus | 29742.81 | 18,813,612 km 48.9 LD |
| 1959-09-29 | Earth | 66831.53 | 48,652,161 km 127 LD |
| 1959-03-15 | Earth | 57139.90 | 65,375,899 km 170 LD |
| 1956-02-12 | Earth | 58861.47 | 65,528,564 km 170 LD |
| 1955-07-26 | Earth | 70145.95 | 52,579,106 km 137 LD |
| 1952-07-17 | Earth | 38301.26 | 10,838,720 km 28.2 LD |
| 1950-11-24 | Venus | 61140.06 | 16,272,814 km 42.3 LD |
| 1946-11-19 | Venus | 59962.73 | 15,228,565 km 39.6 LD |
| 1946-10-07 | Earth | 33695.13 | 7,934,488 km 20.6 LD |
| 1943-09-29 | Earth | 66907.65 | 48,763,289 km 127 LD |
| 1939-07-26 | Earth | 69566.50 | 51,852,052 km 135 LD |
| 1936-07-17 | Earth | 37607.30 | 9,889,285 km 25.7 LD |
| 1934-11-24 | Venus | 53197.96 | 9,487,814 km 24.7 LD |
| 1933-08-22 | Earth | 24252.01 | 16,913,837 km 44.0 LD |
| 1930-11-19 | Venus | 66408.11 | 20,724,332 km 53.9 LD |
| 1930-10-07 | Earth | 33539.84 | 7,813,524 km 20.3 LD |
| 1930-04-19 | Earth | 42019.49 | 57,727,233 km 150 LD |
| 1927-09-30 | Earth | 65817.61 | 47,438,941 km 123 LD |
| 1923-07-27 | Earth | 72034.79 | 55,153,433 km 143 LD |
| 1920-07-17 | Earth | 41113.63 | 14,537,562 km 37.8 LD |
| 1914-11-22 | Venus | 64627.64 | 19,225,973 km 50.0 LD |
| 1911-10-01 | Earth | 59986.94 | 40,016,093 km 104 LD |
| 1904-07-19 | Earth | 48937.85 | 24,872,001 km 64.7 LD |
Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-09-02T15:15:21.783405+00:00.