Illustration of Earth with several asteroids passing at different distances, one flagged as potentially hazardous

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(2013 TL)

Designation: 2013 TL · NASA id: 3648745

Estimated diameter: 97 – 216 meters

≈ a football pitch
That comparison is of size only — what an impact would do depends on speed, angle, composition and where it arrives, none of which follows from width.
(absolute magnitude H = 22.2) · JPL Small-Body Database →

Earth impact concern
No identified impact threat
Why?
  • Its closest recorded pass was 10.3 lunar distances.
  • It is not on NASA/JPL’s Sentry list, which holds every object with a computed chance of impact above zero. Most objects are not on it.
What the four levels mean
  • No identified impact threat — not on any risk list. 98.8% of the objects here.
  • On a monitored risk list — a computed chance above zero, however small. 1.2% of the objects here.
  • Among the highest-ranked — Palermo at or above −2. Two objects worldwide qualify, both studied for decades and both centuries away.
  • Exceptional — Torino 1 or more, or Palermo at or above zero. No object anywhere currently qualifies.

These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.

Energy of motion, if it ever entered the atmosphere

14.4 megatonnes – 535.1 megatonnes of TNT

This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.

The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.

Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.

Why is one asteroid “hazardous” when closer ones are not?

Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:

  • Its orbit can bring it within 0.05 AU of Earth’s — about 7.5 million km. This is the Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance, the closest the two paths ever come, not the distance on any given pass.
  • It is big enough to matter — absolute magnitude 22.0 or brighter, which is roughly 140 metres across and up. That threshold is a planning convention, not a physical boundary: it is about the size at which an impact could do regional damage. Smaller objects are not harmless, they are simply outside this definition — the Chelyabinsk object of 2013 was around 20 metres and injured about 1,500 people with the shock wave from its airburst, without ever reaching the ground intact.

The two terms: AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing. See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.

So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.

Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:

Object Size Orbit’s closest to Earth’s Missed by, that day Flagged
2013 JR28 122–272 m 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) 39.2 M km Yes — both tests pass
2012 LE11 629–1,406 m 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) 26.1 M km No — orbit never gets near enough
2007 EK 3.7–8.2 m 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) 4.2 M km No — far too small

The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.

“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.

Orbital Data

Orbit class: APO — Near-Earth asteroid orbits which cross the Earth’s orbit similar to that of 1862 Apollo
a (semi-major axis) > 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) < 1.017 AU

Orbital period789.1 days (2.16 years)
Eccentricity.4598230186521927 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated)
Semi-major axis1.671114400877252 AU
Inclination5.890443559663629° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's)
Perihelion distance.9026975325527237 AU (closest approach to the Sun)
Aphelion distance2.439531269201781 AU (farthest from the Sun)
Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance0.02775 AU = 4,151,670 km
(closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing)
Ascending node longitude14.72109006714554°
Argument of perihelion62.04747202627711°
Mean anomaly / motion198.4676955454521° / .4562415155635913°/day
Jupiter Tisserand invariant4.115 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets)
Reference epoch / equinoxJD 2461000.5 / J2000
Orbit determined2021-04-15 08:42:45
Observed2013-10-01 to 2014-04-04 (185 day arc, 52 observations used)
Orbit uncertainty5 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain)

Close Approach History

Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 31 total.

Why does it pass Earth and Mars? Doesn’t it orbit just one?

It orbits the Sun. Not Earth, and not Venus. The column above does not say what the asteroid goes around — it says which planet a given close approach was to. 26 of them were approaches to Earth and 5 of them were approaches to Mars.

This one’s path runs from 0.903 AU at its closest to the Sun out to 2.440 AU at its farthest. For scale, Venus orbits at about 0.72 AU and Earth at 1.00 AU — so an orbit spanning that range crosses the path of every planet in between, once on the way out and once on the way back.

Crossing a planet’s path is not the same as meeting the planet. Almost every time the asteroid crosses, that planet is somewhere else along its own orbit. A close approach is logged only on the rare occasions when both happen to arrive at the crossing point at roughly the same time — which is why the dates below are scattered rather than regular. This object takes 789.1 days to go round, against Earth’s 365.25, so the two drift in and out of step over years rather than repeating on a neat cycle.

The Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance in the table above (0.0278 AU) is the closest the two paths ever come. The miss distances below are how far apart the two bodies actually were on the day, which is almost always very much larger.

next approach: 2029-02-15

Date Passed near Velocity (km/h) Miss distance
2163-02-21 Earth 75899.40 59,438,734 km
155 LD
2160-10-03 Earth 63932.84 40,899,704 km
106 LD
2159-01-26 Mars 49525.51 14,947,238 km
38.9 LD
2147-10-23 Earth 36664.84 5,115,666 km
13.3 LD
2122-01-16 Earth 29798.83 15,191,883 km
39.5 LD
2110-11-24 Mars 44337.45 4,964,803 km
12.9 LD
2109-02-07 Earth 51987.05 28,476,359 km
74.1 LD
2106-09-21 Earth 87116.27 73,881,048 km
192 LD
2096-02-19 Earth 75325.77 58,717,404 km
153 LD
2093-10-01 Earth 65169.43 42,732,271 km
111 LD
2080-10-13 Earth 45455.86 15,192,134 km
39.5 LD
2067-10-26 Earth 33496.82 5,117,250 km
13.3 LD
2057-06-22 Mars 40312.28 12,192,540 km
31.7 LD
2054-12-13 Earth 28247.76 18,081,386 km
47.0 LD
2042-01-29 Earth 40363.02 17,208,033 km
44.8 LD
2029-02-15 next Earth 70169.22 51,916,223 km
135 LD
2026-09-29 Earth 68931.31 47,966,664 km
125 LD
2014-02-19 Earth 16002.77 73,729,128 km
192 LD
2013-10-14 Earth 43757.06 12,739,943 km
33.1 LD
2009-04-25 Mars 50080.09 14,459,846 km
37.6 LD
2000-10-31 Earth 30403.88 8,628,259 km
22.4 LD
1987-12-31 Earth 27995.58 17,214,916 km
44.8 LD
1975-02-02 Earth 46965.82 23,351,559 km
60.7 LD
1962-02-18 Earth 75961.99 59,815,324 km
156 LD
1959-10-01 Earth 63437.00 40,019,874 km
104 LD
1955-11-30 Mars 42538.04 6,150,590 km
16.0 LD
1946-10-23 Earth 34552.95 3,967,906 km
10.3 LD
1934-01-10 Earth 29152.75 15,941,731 km
41.5 LD
1921-02-08 Earth 57902.31 36,233,935 km
94.3 LD
1918-09-22 Earth 80459.96 64,412,258 km
168 LD
1905-10-07 Earth 51932.73 23,903,785 km
62.2 LD

Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-09-23T02:58:57.638168+00:00.