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Designation: 2014 BP8 · NASA id: 3656923
Estimated diameter: 9 – 21 meters
These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.
9 kilotonnes – 344 kilotonnes of TNT
This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.
The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.
Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.
Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:
The two terms:
AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing.
See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.
So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.
Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:
| Object | Size | Orbit’s closest to Earth’s | Missed by, that day | Flagged |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 JR28 | 122–272 m | 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) | 39.2 M km | Yes — both tests pass |
| 2012 LE11 | 629–1,406 m | 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) | 26.1 M km | No — orbit never gets near enough |
| 2007 EK | 3.7–8.2 m | 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) | 4.2 M km | No — far too small |
The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.
“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.
Orbit class: APO — Near-Earth asteroid orbits which cross the Earth’s orbit similar to that of 1862 Apollo
a (semi-major axis) > 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) < 1.017 AU
| Orbital period | 476.0 days (1.30 years) |
| Eccentricity | .2363918323433833 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated) |
| Semi-major axis | 1.193152561948506 AU |
| Inclination | 13.44167376403465° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's) |
| Perihelion distance | .9111010415642964 AU (closest approach to the Sun) |
| Aphelion distance | 1.475204082332715 AU (farthest from the Sun) |
| Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance | 0.00955 AU = 1,428,217 km (closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing) |
| Ascending node longitude | 304.2958088833357° |
| Argument of perihelion | 236.674652662539° |
| Mean anomaly / motion | 349.7334225483437° / .7562408042380143°/day |
| Jupiter Tisserand invariant | 5.266 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets) |
| Reference epoch / equinox | JD 2461000.5 / J2000 |
| Orbit determined | 2021-04-15 09:16:38 |
| Observed | 2014-01-23 to 2014-01-27 (4 day arc, 51 observations used) |
| Orbit uncertainty | 7 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain) |
Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 38 total.
next approach: 2027-06-29
| Date | Passed near | Velocity (km/h) | Miss distance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2130-06-22 | Earth | 45900.52 | 38,307,645 km 99.7 LD |
| 2121-01-09 | Earth | 62993.00 | 50,269,836 km 131 LD |
| 2117-07-01 | Earth | 27686.85 | 30,630,493 km 79.7 LD |
| 2113-06-28 | Earth | 65455.94 | 63,888,068 km 166 LD |
| 2104-01-21 | Earth | 42505.51 | 17,320,829 km 45.1 LD |
| 2100-06-20 | Earth | 36510.22 | 28,712,578 km 74.7 LD |
| 2083-06-24 | Earth | 54247.83 | 48,850,190 km 127 LD |
| 2074-01-14 | Earth | 50847.50 | 31,373,467 km 81.6 LD |
| 2070-06-21 | Earth | 31697.68 | 26,255,345 km 68.3 LD |
| 2061-08-28 | Earth | 32768.46 | 71,861,777 km 187 LD |
| 2061-01-01 | Earth | 78463.08 | 73,409,459 km 191 LD |
| 2053-06-23 | Earth | 55257.68 | 50,203,113 km 131 LD |
| 2044-01-18 | Earth | 44847.97 | 21,424,305 km 55.7 LD |
| 2040-06-19 | Earth | 37225.26 | 29,365,825 km 76.4 LD |
| 2031-08-18 | Earth | 32414.72 | 66,446,805 km 173 LD |
| 2031-01-07 | Earth | 65594.00 | 54,328,750 km 141 LD |
| 2027-06-29 next | Earth | 27721.22 | 30,388,319 km 79.1 LD |
| 2023-06-29 | Earth | 69119.96 | 69,004,023 km 180 LD |
| 2018-09-03 | Earth | 32845.58 | 74,365,796 km 193 LD |
| 2014-07-18 | Earth | 29009.29 | 44,791,572 km 117 LD |
| 2014-01-26 | Earth | 33592.71 | 1,491,291 km 3.88 LD |
| 2010-06-22 | Earth | 52241.15 | 46,691,113 km 121 LD |
| 2009-11-09 | Earth | 25373.03 | 72,356,780 km 188 LD |
| 2001-07-29 | Earth | 30509.89 | 52,967,262 km 138 LD |
| 2001-01-18 | Earth | 43245.86 | 18,755,655 km 48.8 LD |
| 1997-06-19 | Earth | 40332.89 | 32,729,917 km 85.1 LD |
| 1988-08-10 | Earth | 31943.61 | 61,949,165 km 161 LD |
| 1988-01-11 | Earth | 57415.09 | 41,891,387 km 109 LD |
| 1984-06-21 | Earth | 30400.79 | 26,678,039 km 69.4 LD |
| 1975-08-23 | Earth | 32629.55 | 68,849,382 km 179 LD |
| 1975-01-04 | Earth | 71903.88 | 63,834,867 km 166 LD |
| 1967-06-27 | Earth | 67619.68 | 67,441,284 km 175 LD |
| 1962-09-02 | Earth | 32888.83 | 73,500,770 km 191 LD |
| 1958-01-28 | Earth | 31116.02 | 6,301,846 km 16.4 LD |
| 1954-06-24 | Earth | 59124.99 | 55,919,551 km 145 LD |
| 1949-09-05 | Earth | 32719.64 | 74,625,481 km 194 LD |
| 1941-06-25 | Earth | 62401.49 | 60,218,000 km 157 LD |
| 1936-08-29 | Earth | 32678.02 | 71,746,140 km 187 LD |
Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-09-02T14:14:21.406251+00:00.