Illustration of Earth with several asteroids passing at different distances, one flagged as potentially hazardous

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(2014 BP8)

Designation: 2014 BP8 · NASA id: 3656923

Estimated diameter: 9 – 21 meters

≈ a city bus
That comparison is of size only — what an impact would do depends on speed, angle, composition and where it arrives, none of which follows from width.
(absolute magnitude H = 27.3) · JPL Small-Body Database →

Earth impact concern
No identified impact threat
Why?
  • Its closest recorded pass was 3.9 lunar distances.
  • It is not on NASA/JPL’s Sentry list, which holds every object with a computed chance of impact above zero. Most objects are not on it.
What the four levels mean
  • No identified impact threat — not on any risk list. 98.8% of the objects here.
  • On a monitored risk list — a computed chance above zero, however small. 1.2% of the objects here.
  • Among the highest-ranked — Palermo at or above −2. Two objects worldwide qualify, both studied for decades and both centuries away.
  • Exceptional — Torino 1 or more, or Palermo at or above zero. No object anywhere currently qualifies.

These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.

Energy of motion, if it ever entered the atmosphere

9 kilotonnes – 344 kilotonnes of TNT

This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.

The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.

Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.

Why is one asteroid “hazardous” when closer ones are not?

Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:

  • Its orbit can bring it within 0.05 AU of Earth’s — about 7.5 million km. This is the Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance, the closest the two paths ever come, not the distance on any given pass.
  • It is big enough to matter — absolute magnitude 22.0 or brighter, which is roughly 140 metres across and up. That threshold is a planning convention, not a physical boundary: it is about the size at which an impact could do regional damage. Smaller objects are not harmless, they are simply outside this definition — the Chelyabinsk object of 2013 was around 20 metres and injured about 1,500 people with the shock wave from its airburst, without ever reaching the ground intact.

The two terms: AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing. See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.

So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.

Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:

Object Size Orbit’s closest to Earth’s Missed by, that day Flagged
2013 JR28 122–272 m 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) 39.2 M km Yes — both tests pass
2012 LE11 629–1,406 m 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) 26.1 M km No — orbit never gets near enough
2007 EK 3.7–8.2 m 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) 4.2 M km No — far too small

The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.

“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.

Orbital Data

Orbit class: APO — Near-Earth asteroid orbits which cross the Earth’s orbit similar to that of 1862 Apollo
a (semi-major axis) > 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) < 1.017 AU

Orbital period476.0 days (1.30 years)
Eccentricity.2363918323433833 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated)
Semi-major axis1.193152561948506 AU
Inclination13.44167376403465° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's)
Perihelion distance.9111010415642964 AU (closest approach to the Sun)
Aphelion distance1.475204082332715 AU (farthest from the Sun)
Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance0.00955 AU = 1,428,217 km
(closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing)
Ascending node longitude304.2958088833357°
Argument of perihelion236.674652662539°
Mean anomaly / motion349.7334225483437° / .7562408042380143°/day
Jupiter Tisserand invariant5.266 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets)
Reference epoch / equinoxJD 2461000.5 / J2000
Orbit determined2021-04-15 09:16:38
Observed2014-01-23 to 2014-01-27 (4 day arc, 51 observations used)
Orbit uncertainty7 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain)

Close Approach History

Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 38 total.

next approach: 2027-06-29

Date Passed near Velocity (km/h) Miss distance
2130-06-22 Earth 45900.52 38,307,645 km
99.7 LD
2121-01-09 Earth 62993.00 50,269,836 km
131 LD
2117-07-01 Earth 27686.85 30,630,493 km
79.7 LD
2113-06-28 Earth 65455.94 63,888,068 km
166 LD
2104-01-21 Earth 42505.51 17,320,829 km
45.1 LD
2100-06-20 Earth 36510.22 28,712,578 km
74.7 LD
2083-06-24 Earth 54247.83 48,850,190 km
127 LD
2074-01-14 Earth 50847.50 31,373,467 km
81.6 LD
2070-06-21 Earth 31697.68 26,255,345 km
68.3 LD
2061-08-28 Earth 32768.46 71,861,777 km
187 LD
2061-01-01 Earth 78463.08 73,409,459 km
191 LD
2053-06-23 Earth 55257.68 50,203,113 km
131 LD
2044-01-18 Earth 44847.97 21,424,305 km
55.7 LD
2040-06-19 Earth 37225.26 29,365,825 km
76.4 LD
2031-08-18 Earth 32414.72 66,446,805 km
173 LD
2031-01-07 Earth 65594.00 54,328,750 km
141 LD
2027-06-29 next Earth 27721.22 30,388,319 km
79.1 LD
2023-06-29 Earth 69119.96 69,004,023 km
180 LD
2018-09-03 Earth 32845.58 74,365,796 km
193 LD
2014-07-18 Earth 29009.29 44,791,572 km
117 LD
2014-01-26 Earth 33592.71 1,491,291 km
3.88 LD
2010-06-22 Earth 52241.15 46,691,113 km
121 LD
2009-11-09 Earth 25373.03 72,356,780 km
188 LD
2001-07-29 Earth 30509.89 52,967,262 km
138 LD
2001-01-18 Earth 43245.86 18,755,655 km
48.8 LD
1997-06-19 Earth 40332.89 32,729,917 km
85.1 LD
1988-08-10 Earth 31943.61 61,949,165 km
161 LD
1988-01-11 Earth 57415.09 41,891,387 km
109 LD
1984-06-21 Earth 30400.79 26,678,039 km
69.4 LD
1975-08-23 Earth 32629.55 68,849,382 km
179 LD
1975-01-04 Earth 71903.88 63,834,867 km
166 LD
1967-06-27 Earth 67619.68 67,441,284 km
175 LD
1962-09-02 Earth 32888.83 73,500,770 km
191 LD
1958-01-28 Earth 31116.02 6,301,846 km
16.4 LD
1954-06-24 Earth 59124.99 55,919,551 km
145 LD
1949-09-05 Earth 32719.64 74,625,481 km
194 LD
1941-06-25 Earth 62401.49 60,218,000 km
157 LD
1936-08-29 Earth 32678.02 71,746,140 km
187 LD

Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-09-02T14:14:21.406251+00:00.