Illustration of Earth with several asteroids passing at different distances, one flagged as potentially hazardous

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(2014 JR24)

Designation: 2014 JR24 · NASA id: 3670633 · Sentry Object

Estimated diameter: 4 – 8 meters

≈ a city bus
That comparison is of size only — what an impact would do depends on speed, angle, composition and where it arrives, none of which follows from width.
(absolute magnitude H = 29.3) · JPL Small-Body Database →

Earth impact concern
On a monitored risk list
Why?
  • Its closest recorded pass was 0.3 lunar distances.
  • It is on the Sentry list, which holds every object with a computed chance above zero — 2,207 of them. Being listed is not by itself a warning.
  • The computed chance is about 1 in 851, over the window 2069–2122.
  • Palermo -5.17 — below zero, meaning less than the background risk from everything not yet found.
  • Torino 0.
  • Last observed 2014-05-07. A listing often reflects a short observation arc rather than a known trajectory, and more observations usually remove an object from the list.
What the four levels mean
  • No identified impact threat — not on any risk list. 98.8% of the objects here.
  • On a monitored risk list — a computed chance above zero, however small. 1.2% of the objects here.
  • Among the highest-ranked — Palermo at or above −2. Two objects worldwide qualify, both studied for decades and both centuries away.
  • Exceptional — Torino 1 or more, or Palermo at or above zero. No object anywhere currently qualifies.

These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.

Energy of motion, if it ever entered the atmosphere

130 tonnes – 5 kilotonnes of TNT

This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.

The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.

Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.

Why is one asteroid “hazardous” when closer ones are not?

Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:

  • Its orbit can bring it within 0.05 AU of Earth’s — about 7.5 million km. This is the Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance, the closest the two paths ever come, not the distance on any given pass.
  • It is big enough to matter — absolute magnitude 22.0 or brighter, which is roughly 140 metres across and up. That threshold is a planning convention, not a physical boundary: it is about the size at which an impact could do regional damage. Smaller objects are not harmless, they are simply outside this definition — the Chelyabinsk object of 2013 was around 20 metres and injured about 1,500 people with the shock wave from its airburst, without ever reaching the ground intact.

The two terms: AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing. See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.

So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.

Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:

Object Size Orbit’s closest to Earth’s Missed by, that day Flagged
2013 JR28 122–272 m 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) 39.2 M km Yes — both tests pass
2012 LE11 629–1,406 m 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) 26.1 M km No — orbit never gets near enough
2007 EK 3.7–8.2 m 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) 4.2 M km No — far too small

The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.

“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.

Orbital Data

Orbit class: APO — Near-Earth asteroid orbits which cross the Earth’s orbit similar to that of 1862 Apollo
a (semi-major axis) > 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) < 1.017 AU

Orbital period402.6 days (1.10 years)
Eccentricity.1186163082102588 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated)
Semi-major axis1.067023095768254 AU
Inclination.9277202008419002° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's)
Perihelion distance.9404567553731427 AU (closest approach to the Sun)
Aphelion distance1.193589436163366 AU (farthest from the Sun)
Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance0.00100 AU = 149,940 km
(closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing)
Ascending node longitude48.63785425451858°
Argument of perihelion245.8954707309203°
Mean anomaly / motion116.7724360037393° / .8942178691412216°/day
Jupiter Tisserand invariant5.776 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets)
Reference epoch / equinoxJD 2461000.5 / J2000
Orbit determined2021-04-15 09:57:51
Observed2014-04-30 to 2014-05-07 (7 day arc, 56 observations used)
Orbit uncertainty5 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain)

Close Approach History

Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 33 total.

Why does it pass Earth and Moon? Doesn’t it orbit just one?

It orbits the Sun. Not Earth, and not Venus. The column above does not say what the asteroid goes around — it says which planet a given close approach was to. 32 of them were approaches to Earth and 1 of them were approaches to Moon.

This one’s path runs from 0.940 AU at its closest to the Sun out to 1.194 AU at its farthest. For scale, Venus orbits at about 0.72 AU and Earth at 1.00 AU — so an orbit spanning that range crosses the path of every planet in between, once on the way out and once on the way back.

Crossing a planet’s path is not the same as meeting the planet. Almost every time the asteroid crosses, that planet is somewhere else along its own orbit. A close approach is logged only on the rare occasions when both happen to arrive at the crossing point at roughly the same time — which is why the dates below are scattered rather than regular. This object takes 402.6 days to go round, against Earth’s 365.25, so the two drift in and out of step over years rather than repeating on a neat cycle.

The Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance in the table above (0.0010 AU) is the closest the two paths ever come. The miss distances below are how far apart the two bodies actually were on the day, which is almost always very much larger.

an approach today (2026-10-17) — next after that: 2035-04-14

Date Passed near Velocity (km/h) Miss distance
2059-10-11 Earth 52780.11 55,092,954 km
143 LD
2058-12-03 Earth 14405.10 27,059,761 km
70.4 LD
2047-09-21 Earth 12237.61 2,599,030 km
6.76 LD
2047-02-16 Earth 14789.49 28,005,185 km
72.9 LD
2046-04-15 Earth 50948.47 52,819,240 km
137 LD
2036-08-30 Earth 9667.53 8,097,328 km
21.1 LD
2036-02-28 Earth 13516.04 25,955,656 km
67.5 LD
2035-04-14 next Earth 57058.13 61,389,369 km
160 LD
2026-10-17 today Earth 60071.66 65,155,068 km
169 LD
2025-11-24 Earth 12911.24 24,605,260 km
64.0 LD
2025-06-13 Earth 10459.57 9,645,071 km
25.1 LD
2015-10-14 Earth 50435.31 51,763,848 km
135 LD
2014-12-14 Earth 15199.86 28,411,638 km
73.9 LD
2014-05-07 Earth 16683.37 106,774 km
0.28 LD — closer than the Moon
2014-05-07 Moon 18733.45 450,433 km
1.17 LD
2008-12-21 Earth 22465.00 48,633,700 km
127 LD
2003-08-14 Earth 15085.59 4,553,856 km
11.8 LD
2003-03-14 Earth 10714.75 28,583,923 km
74.4 LD
1997-11-12 Earth 19058.97 41,864,778 km
109 LD
1997-04-15 Earth 39650.30 36,811,944 km
95.8 LD
1992-09-10 Earth 61939.42 68,682,730 km
179 LD
1992-01-05 Earth 21918.43 47,259,474 km
123 LD
1986-08-13 Earth 14961.24 4,441,802 km
11.6 LD
1986-03-11 Earth 10950.99 28,526,382 km
74.2 LD
1980-10-23 Earth 15327.28 35,016,249 km
91.1 LD
1980-04-22 Earth 24794.63 15,896,255 km
41.4 LD
1974-12-09 Earth 21758.86 46,714,844 km
122 LD
1974-04-04 Earth 61723.76 67,953,392 km
177 LD
1969-09-04 Earth 48532.47 49,825,681 km
130 LD
1969-01-18 Earth 20615.56 44,546,580 km
116 LD
1963-08-08 Earth 12900.49 3,797,994 km
9.88 LD
1957-04-21 Earth 26057.93 17,609,945 km
45.8 LD
1951-04-05 Earth 61061.10 67,005,424 km
174 LD

Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-10-12T12:26:05.868892+00:00.