Illustration of Earth with several asteroids passing at different distances, one flagged as potentially hazardous

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(2014 TL)

Designation: 2014 TL · NASA id: 3692289 · Sentry Object

Estimated diameter: 7 – 16 meters

≈ a city bus
That comparison is of size only — what an impact would do depends on speed, angle, composition and where it arrives, none of which follows from width.
(absolute magnitude H = 27.8) · JPL Small-Body Database →

Earth impact concern
On a monitored risk list
Why?
  • Its closest recorded pass was 0.3 lunar distances.
  • It is on the Sentry list, which holds every object with a computed chance above zero — 2,207 of them. Being listed is not by itself a warning.
  • The computed chance is about 1 in 151,456, over the window 2072–2121.
  • Palermo -6.75 — below zero, meaning less than the background risk from everything not yet found.
  • Torino 0.
  • Last observed 2014-10-21. A listing often reflects a short observation arc rather than a known trajectory, and more observations usually remove an object from the list.
What the four levels mean
  • No identified impact threat — not on any risk list. 98.8% of the objects here.
  • On a monitored risk list — a computed chance above zero, however small. 1.2% of the objects here.
  • Among the highest-ranked — Palermo at or above −2. Two objects worldwide qualify, both studied for decades and both centuries away.
  • Exceptional — Torino 1 or more, or Palermo at or above zero. No object anywhere currently qualifies.

These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.

Energy of motion, if it ever entered the atmosphere

4 kilotonnes – 133 kilotonnes of TNT

This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.

The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.

Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.

Why is one asteroid “hazardous” when closer ones are not?

Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:

  • Its orbit can bring it within 0.05 AU of Earth’s — about 7.5 million km. This is the Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance, the closest the two paths ever come, not the distance on any given pass.
  • It is big enough to matter — absolute magnitude 22.0 or brighter, which is roughly 140 metres across and up. That threshold is a planning convention, not a physical boundary: it is about the size at which an impact could do regional damage. Smaller objects are not harmless, they are simply outside this definition — the Chelyabinsk object of 2013 was around 20 metres and injured about 1,500 people with the shock wave from its airburst, without ever reaching the ground intact.

The two terms: AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing. See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.

So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.

Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:

Object Size Orbit’s closest to Earth’s Missed by, that day Flagged
2013 JR28 122–272 m 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) 39.2 M km Yes — both tests pass
2012 LE11 629–1,406 m 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) 26.1 M km No — orbit never gets near enough
2007 EK 3.7–8.2 m 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) 4.2 M km No — far too small

The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.

“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.

Orbital Data

Orbit class: APO — Near-Earth asteroid orbits which cross the Earth’s orbit similar to that of 1862 Apollo
a (semi-major axis) > 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) < 1.017 AU

Orbital period440.7 days (1.21 years)
Eccentricity.3393474536130398 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated)
Semi-major axis1.133405069302275 AU
Inclination3.24277651344255° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's)
Perihelion distance.7487869451224374 AU (closest approach to the Sun)
Aphelion distance1.518023193482113 AU (farthest from the Sun)
Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance0.00042 AU = 63,052 km
(closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing)
Ascending node longitude187.8473352669954°
Argument of perihelion90.68686879825793°
Mean anomaly / motion135.2827067495289° / .8168199713697868°/day
Jupiter Tisserand invariant5.468 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets)
Reference epoch / equinoxJD 2461000.5 / J2000
Orbit determined2021-04-15 11:27:40
Observed2014-10-02 to 2014-10-21 (19 day arc, 59 observations used)
Orbit uncertainty6 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain)

Close Approach History

Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 44 total.

Why does it pass Earth, Venus and Moon? Doesn’t it orbit just one?

It orbits the Sun. Not Earth, and not Venus. The column above does not say what the asteroid goes around — it says which planet a given close approach was to. 38 of them were approaches to Earth, 5 of them were approaches to Venus and 1 of them were approaches to Moon.

This one’s path runs from 0.749 AU at its closest to the Sun out to 1.518 AU at its farthest. For scale, Venus orbits at about 0.72 AU and Earth at 1.00 AU — so an orbit spanning that range crosses the path of every planet in between, once on the way out and once on the way back.

Crossing a planet’s path is not the same as meeting the planet. Almost every time the asteroid crosses, that planet is somewhere else along its own orbit. A close approach is logged only on the rare occasions when both happen to arrive at the crossing point at roughly the same time — which is why the dates below are scattered rather than regular. This object takes 440.7 days to go round, against Earth’s 365.25, so the two drift in and out of step over years rather than repeating on a neat cycle.

The Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance in the table above (0.0004 AU) is the closest the two paths ever come. The miss distances below are how far apart the two bodies actually were on the day, which is almost always very much larger.

next approach: 2026-10-20

Date Passed near Velocity (km/h) Miss distance
2061-10-15 Earth 71472.30 45,804,972 km
119 LD
2060-03-30 Earth 37182.16 2,147,323 km
5.59 LD
2059-03-04 Venus 32645.19 12,226,875 km
31.8 LD
2058-01-15 Venus 29648.49 15,481,381 km
40.3 LD
2055-10-07 Earth 50422.24 16,636,872 km
43.3 LD
2054-03-22 Earth 54175.38 21,839,145 km
56.8 LD
2049-09-29 Earth 34932.92 5,270,771 km
13.7 LD
2048-03-15 Earth 71663.99 45,971,754 km
120 LD
2043-08-19 Earth 29184.07 32,021,256 km
83.3 LD
2043-01-23 Earth 36055.27 74,653,829 km
194 LD
2037-11-10 Earth 29485.96 58,496,626 km
152 LD
2037-07-09 Earth 37599.17 40,454,493 km
105 LD
2037-02-08 Earth 32393.12 65,163,533 km
170 LD
2031-11-29 Earth 34452.28 70,682,190 km
184 LD
2031-06-04 Earth 34896.96 37,838,608 km
98.4 LD
2031-03-02 Earth 25266.00 49,293,763 km
128 LD
2027-10-30 Venus 20153.36 8,672,081 km
22.6 LD
2026-10-20 next Earth 81713.78 59,813,436 km
156 LD
2025-04-10 Earth 25285.92 19,334,958 km
50.3 LD
2020-10-11 Earth 60988.58 31,414,853 km
81.7 LD
2019-03-27 Earth 44749.30 8,588,036 km
22.3 LD
2014-10-01 Earth 40046.61 98,057 km
0.26 LD — closer than the Moon
2014-10-01 Moon 36356.71 285,988 km
0.74 LD — closer than the Moon
2013-12-06 Earth 34900.56 65,839,723 km
171 LD
2013-05-31 Earth 38310.80 43,219,054 km
112 LD
2013-02-03 Earth 29558.11 53,022,644 km
138 LD
2012-03-01 Earth 71173.56 45,124,043 km
117 LD
2011-03-03 Venus 29200.07 5,005,522 km
13.0 LD
2005-10-17 Earth 79450.24 56,536,576 km
147 LD
2004-10-31 Earth 27045.20 47,262,713 km
123 LD
2004-07-27 Earth 35063.14 40,731,779 km
106 LD
2004-01-02 Earth 35456.00 67,490,436 km
176 LD
2003-03-18 Earth 31916.98 9,793,953 km
25.5 LD
1995-10-03 Earth 43470.60 6,788,742 km
17.7 LD
1994-12-02 Earth 34342.20 64,257,748 km
167 LD
1994-06-08 Earth 39711.04 44,570,494 km
116 LD
1994-01-28 Earth 31020.99 56,458,466 km
147 LD
1993-03-04 Earth 64002.46 35,354,883 km
92.0 LD
1984-12-20 Earth 35845.03 68,158,551 km
177 LD
1984-04-26 Earth 28481.85 33,875,433 km
88.1 LD
1984-02-29 Earth 21795.95 36,798,708 km
95.7 LD
1983-02-22 Earth 89806.46 70,186,302 km
183 LD
1981-01-11 Venus 26700.00 4,752,515 km
12.4 LD
1976-10-13 Earth 69634.83 43,224,616 km
112 LD

Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-10-15T19:09:11.214676+00:00.