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Designation: 2015 EK7 · NASA id: 3713283
· Potentially Hazardous
Estimated diameter: 106 – 238 meters
These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.
18.9 megatonnes – 705.2 megatonnes of TNT
This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.
The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.
Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.
Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:
The two terms:
AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing.
See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.
So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.
Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:
| Object | Size | Orbit’s closest to Earth’s | Missed by, that day | Flagged |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 JR28 | 122–272 m | 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) | 39.2 M km | Yes — both tests pass |
| 2012 LE11 | 629–1,406 m | 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) | 26.1 M km | No — orbit never gets near enough |
| 2007 EK | 3.7–8.2 m | 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) | 4.2 M km | No — far too small |
The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.
“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.
Orbit class: APO — Near-Earth asteroid orbits which cross the Earth’s orbit similar to that of 1862 Apollo
a (semi-major axis) > 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) < 1.017 AU
| Orbital period | 678.3 days (1.86 years) |
| Eccentricity | .3664437687896225 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated) |
| Semi-major axis | 1.510896997073159 AU |
| Inclination | 3.426266125385971° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's) |
| Perihelion distance | .9572382072127477 AU (closest approach to the Sun) |
| Aphelion distance | 2.064555786933571 AU (farthest from the Sun) |
| Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance | 0.01560 AU = 2,333,323 km (closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing) |
| Ascending node longitude | 140.7425189390409° |
| Argument of perihelion | 125.8703649282182° |
| Mean anomaly / motion | 213.475146225432° / .530703298404048°/day |
| Jupiter Tisserand invariant | 4.445 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets) |
| Reference epoch / equinox | JD 2461000.5 / J2000 |
| Orbit determined | 2021-04-15 13:08:35 |
| Observed | 2015-03-14 to 2017-10-17 (948 day arc, 51 observations used) |
| Orbit uncertainty | 1 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain) |
Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 68 total.
It orbits the Sun. Not Earth, and not Venus. The column above does not say what the asteroid goes around — it says which planet a given close approach was to. 61 of them were approaches to Earth and 7 of them were approaches to Mars.
This one’s path runs from 0.957 AU at its closest to the Sun out to 2.065 AU at its farthest. For scale, Venus orbits at about 0.72 AU and Earth at 1.00 AU — so an orbit spanning that range crosses the path of every planet in between, once on the way out and once on the way back.
Crossing a planet’s path is not the same as meeting the planet. Almost every time the asteroid crosses, that planet is somewhere else along its own orbit. A close approach is logged only on the rare occasions when both happen to arrive at the crossing point at roughly the same time — which is why the dates below are scattered rather than regular. This object takes 678.3 days to go round, against Earth’s 365.25, so the two drift in and out of step over years rather than repeating on a neat cycle.
The Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance in the table above (0.0156 AU) is the closest the two paths ever come. The miss distances below are how far apart the two bodies actually were on the day, which is almost always very much larger.
next approach: 2028-04-01
| Date | Passed near | Velocity (km/h) | Miss distance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2199-04-11 | Earth | 71301.63 | 62,424,273 km 162 LD |
| 2197-08-20 | Earth | 47758.03 | 28,112,018 km 73.1 LD |
| 2197-03-24 | Earth | 20033.43 | 73,284,626 km 191 LD |
| 2186-04-08 | Earth | 77707.65 | 71,352,153 km 186 LD |
| 2184-08-15 | Earth | 41774.45 | 19,732,404 km 51.3 LD |
| 2184-03-31 | Earth | 15871.17 | 67,196,587 km 175 LD |
| 2173-04-07 | Earth | 78933.56 | 73,061,423 km 190 LD |
| 2171-08-16 | Earth | 41388.55 | 19,274,625 km 50.1 LD |
| 2171-04-01 | Earth | 15711.32 | 66,786,022 km 174 LD |
| 2160-04-08 | Earth | 74375.43 | 66,782,557 km 174 LD |
| 2158-08-19 | Earth | 46636.49 | 26,737,168 km 69.6 LD |
| 2158-03-25 | Earth | 19446.78 | 72,179,804 km 188 LD |
| 2147-04-13 | Earth | 66589.39 | 55,913,054 km 145 LD |
| 2145-08-23 | Earth | 54807.66 | 38,183,018 km 99.3 LD |
| 2134-04-17 | Earth | 57773.86 | 43,618,405 km 113 LD |
| 2132-08-28 | Earth | 63380.03 | 50,406,701 km 131 LD |
| 2121-09-18 | Earth | 19391.64 | 74,671,138 km 194 LD |
| 2121-04-21 | Earth | 48901.07 | 31,644,029 km 82.3 LD |
| 2119-09-01 | Earth | 71549.41 | 62,121,995 km 162 LD |
| 2109-11-04 | Mars | 31212.59 | 7,504,503 km 19.5 LD |
| 2108-09-06 | Earth | 13155.58 | 65,923,823 km 171 LD |
| 2108-04-26 | Earth | 40347.37 | 20,517,729 km 53.4 LD |
| 2106-09-05 | Earth | 79635.18 | 73,751,973 km 192 LD |
| 2095-04-29 | Earth | 36736.55 | 16,280,935 km 42.4 LD |
| 2082-09-07 | Earth | 14040.19 | 67,199,772 km 175 LD |
| 2082-04-25 | Earth | 41650.93 | 22,226,520 km 57.8 LD |
| 2080-09-01 | Earth | 76626.60 | 69,455,722 km 181 LD |
| 2077-02-20 | Mars | 28064.97 | 8,766,951 km 22.8 LD |
| 2075-04-10 | Mars | 35207.31 | 10,967,150 km 28.5 LD |
| 2069-04-18 | Earth | 51514.07 | 35,103,007 km 91.3 LD |
| 2067-08-28 | Earth | 66874.33 | 55,482,844 km 144 LD |
| 2056-04-12 | Earth | 61996.73 | 49,421,402 km 129 LD |
| 2054-08-23 | Earth | 56565.82 | 40,753,915 km 106 LD |
| 2043-04-08 | Earth | 72423.25 | 63,948,382 km 166 LD |
| 2041-08-16 | Earth | 46324.84 | 26,270,812 km 68.3 LD |
| 2041-03-23 | Earth | 19122.95 | 71,850,957 km 187 LD |
| 2028-08-11 | Earth | 39090.49 | 16,187,128 km 42.1 LD |
| 2028-04-01 next | Earth | 13411.99 | 64,223,547 km 167 LD |
| 2017-04-04 | Earth | 79516.32 | 74,056,666 km 193 LD |
| 2015-08-13 | Earth | 41185.26 | 19,090,832 km 49.7 LD |
| 2015-03-29 | Earth | 15522.22 | 66,531,979 km 173 LD |
| 2004-04-06 | Earth | 73818.46 | 65,982,658 km 172 LD |
| 2002-08-17 | Earth | 47270.08 | 27,471,158 km 71.5 LD |
| 2002-03-21 | Earth | 19806.32 | 72,742,861 km 189 LD |
| 1991-04-10 | Earth | 66500.07 | 55,694,243 km 145 LD |
| 1989-08-21 | Earth | 54599.17 | 37,904,561 km 98.6 LD |
| 1978-04-14 | Earth | 57400.90 | 43,115,187 km 112 LD |
| 1976-08-25 | Earth | 63512.79 | 50,682,839 km 132 LD |
| 1965-09-14 | Earth | 19062.28 | 74,114,688 km 193 LD |
| 1965-04-19 | Earth | 48408.24 | 30,827,973 km 80.2 LD |
| 1963-08-30 | Earth | 72374.22 | 63,385,118 km 165 LD |
| 1963-02-14 | Mars | 35397.72 | 14,795,187 km 38.5 LD |
| 1961-04-03 | Mars | 29370.90 | 9,321,028 km 24.2 LD |
| 1952-09-05 | Earth | 14228.26 | 67,224,362 km 175 LD |
| 1952-04-23 | Earth | 41680.28 | 22,234,469 km 57.8 LD |
| 1950-09-01 | Earth | 78265.79 | 71,888,984 km 187 LD |
| 1939-08-31 | Earth | 11472.33 | 64,594,701 km 168 LD |
| 1939-04-25 | Earth | 39275.06 | 19,338,523 km 50.3 LD |
| 1937-09-02 | Earth | 79593.51 | 73,717,702 km 192 LD |
| 1930-06-06 | Mars | 26883.59 | 11,267,346 km 29.3 LD |
| 1928-07-23 | Mars | 34383.50 | 8,983,169 km 23.4 LD |
| 1926-09-08 | Earth | 15774.00 | 69,000,661 km 180 LD |
| 1926-04-22 | Earth | 43320.14 | 24,307,221 km 63.2 LD |
| 1924-08-30 | Earth | 75218.53 | 67,390,860 km 175 LD |
| 1913-09-14 | Earth | 19262.13 | 74,587,222 km 194 LD |
| 1913-04-18 | Earth | 48923.35 | 31,594,998 km 82.2 LD |
| 1911-08-28 | Earth | 70010.61 | 59,941,390 km 156 LD |
| 1900-04-13 | Earth | 56488.65 | 41,808,978 km 109 LD |
Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-09-05T23:05:05.427527+00:00.