Illustration of Earth with several asteroids passing at different distances, one flagged as potentially hazardous

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(2015 EQ7)

Designation: 2015 EQ7 · NASA id: 3713318

Estimated diameter: 51 – 113 meters

≈ a football pitch
That comparison is of size only — what an impact would do depends on speed, angle, composition and where it arrives, none of which follows from width.
(absolute magnitude H = 23.6) · JPL Small-Body Database →

Earth impact concern
No identified impact threat
Why?
  • Its closest recorded pass was 30.7 lunar distances.
  • It is not on NASA/JPL’s Sentry list, which holds every object with a computed chance of impact above zero. Most objects are not on it.
What the four levels mean
  • No identified impact threat — not on any risk list. 98.8% of the objects here.
  • On a monitored risk list — a computed chance above zero, however small. 1.2% of the objects here.
  • Among the highest-ranked — Palermo at or above −2. Two objects worldwide qualify, both studied for decades and both centuries away.
  • Exceptional — Torino 1 or more, or Palermo at or above zero. No object anywhere currently qualifies.

These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.

Energy of motion, if it ever entered the atmosphere

445 kilotonnes – 16.6 megatonnes of TNT

This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.

The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.

Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.

Why is one asteroid “hazardous” when closer ones are not?

Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:

  • Its orbit can bring it within 0.05 AU of Earth’s — about 7.5 million km. This is the Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance, the closest the two paths ever come, not the distance on any given pass.
  • It is big enough to matter — absolute magnitude 22.0 or brighter, which is roughly 140 metres across and up. That threshold is a planning convention, not a physical boundary: it is about the size at which an impact could do regional damage. Smaller objects are not harmless, they are simply outside this definition — the Chelyabinsk object of 2013 was around 20 metres and injured about 1,500 people with the shock wave from its airburst, without ever reaching the ground intact.

The two terms: AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing. See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.

So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.

Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:

Object Size Orbit’s closest to Earth’s Missed by, that day Flagged
2013 JR28 122–272 m 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) 39.2 M km Yes — both tests pass
2012 LE11 629–1,406 m 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) 26.1 M km No — orbit never gets near enough
2007 EK 3.7–8.2 m 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) 4.2 M km No — far too small

The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.

“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.

Orbital Data

Orbit class: AMO — Near-Earth asteroid orbits similar to that of 1221 Amor
1.017 AU < q (perihelion) < 1.3 AU

Orbital period442.5 days (1.21 years)
Eccentricity.05581093902802971 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated)
Semi-major axis1.136468601993836 AU
Inclination11.08803633435757° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's)
Perihelion distance1.073041222140688 AU (closest approach to the Sun)
Aphelion distance1.199895981846984 AU (farthest from the Sun)
Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance0.07768 AU = 11,620,478 km
(closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing)
Ascending node longitude191.77625244°
Argument of perihelion334.875624641552°
Mean anomaly / motion305.9833516166084° / .8135193950735387°/day
Jupiter Tisserand invariant5.494 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets)
Reference epoch / equinoxJD 2461000.5 / J2000
Orbit determined2021-04-15 13:08:35
Observed2015-03-15 to 2020-11-23 (2080 day arc, 60 observations used)
Orbit uncertainty1 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain)

Close Approach History

Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 55 total.

next approach: 2032-07-22

Date Passed near Velocity (km/h) Miss distance
2198-08-09 Earth 16455.82 37,643,957 km
97.9 LD
2192-10-04 Earth 22735.09 28,992,171 km
75.4 LD
2187-02-27 Earth 24084.73 38,775,650 km
101 LD
2186-11-30 Earth 16586.13 35,322,825 km
91.9 LD
2181-04-08 Earth 21179.41 16,001,139 km
41.6 LD
2175-09-03 Earth 20808.46 34,213,516 km
89.0 LD
2169-10-21 Earth 22351.77 29,623,634 km
77.1 LD
2164-03-22 Earth 22532.26 21,319,651 km
55.5 LD
2158-04-25 Earth 23473.52 32,516,127 km
84.6 LD
2152-09-22 Earth 22446.62 30,405,537 km
79.1 LD
2146-11-09 Earth 20541.64 32,606,341 km
84.8 LD
2141-04-01 Earth 20669.94 11,801,218 km
30.7 LD
2135-08-16 Earth 17814.58 37,146,672 km
96.6 LD
2129-10-08 Earth 22718.77 28,891,389 km
75.2 LD
2124-03-09 Earth 25118.46 34,531,890 km
89.8 LD
2123-12-13 Earth 12832.51 35,905,161 km
93.4 LD
2118-04-11 Earth 21756.54 19,760,780 km
51.4 LD
2112-09-07 Earth 21416.64 33,224,749 km
86.4 LD
2106-10-26 Earth 22056.53 30,151,755 km
78.4 LD
2101-03-25 Earth 21699.13 17,257,719 km
44.9 LD
2095-05-03 Earth 22854.05 36,519,774 km
95.0 LD
2089-09-25 Earth 22567.82 29,879,168 km
77.7 LD
2083-11-13 Earth 19909.41 33,209,538 km
86.4 LD
2078-04-02 Earth 20650.39 12,061,952 km
31.4 LD
2072-08-19 Earth 18840.35 36,576,190 km
95.2 LD
2066-10-10 Earth 22665.87 28,865,155 km
75.1 LD
2061-03-13 Earth 24603.44 30,453,514 km
79.2 LD
2055-04-14 Earth 22351.11 23,590,155 km
61.4 LD
2049-09-11 Earth 21817.91 32,394,037 km
84.3 LD
2043-10-29 Earth 21739.52 30,691,062 km
79.8 LD
2038-03-27 Earth 21154.03 14,422,950 km
37.5 LD
2032-07-22 next Earth 12001.27 38,647,336 km
101 LD
2026-09-28 Earth 22629.51 29,487,899 km
76.7 LD
2020-11-16 Earth 19214.16 33,733,243 km
87.8 LD
2015-04-04 Earth 20735.48 12,975,135 km
33.8 LD
2009-08-23 Earth 19573.55 36,051,431 km
93.8 LD
2003-10-14 Earth 22580.85 28,929,821 km
75.3 LD
1998-03-17 Earth 23914.38 26,870,751 km
69.9 LD
1992-04-17 Earth 22822.05 26,965,994 km
70.2 LD
1986-09-15 Earth 22077.87 31,773,386 km
82.7 LD
1980-11-01 Earth 21419.07 31,124,330 km
81.0 LD
1975-03-29 Earth 20896.37 12,928,208 km
33.6 LD
1969-08-01 Earth 14518.04 38,492,902 km
100 LD
1963-10-01 Earth 22680.83 29,227,705 km
76.0 LD
1957-11-21 Earth 18307.63 34,252,927 km
89.1 LD
1952-04-05 Earth 20904.01 14,538,804 km
37.8 LD
1946-08-28 Earth 20207.91 35,451,544 km
92.2 LD
1940-10-16 Earth 22482.18 29,039,577 km
75.5 LD
1935-03-20 Earth 23194.11 23,628,625 km
61.5 LD
1929-04-21 Earth 23123.92 30,167,855 km
78.5 LD
1923-09-18 Earth 22290.79 31,219,251 km
81.2 LD
1917-11-04 Earth 21073.28 31,552,086 km
82.1 LD
1912-03-30 Earth 20723.56 12,060,880 km
31.4 LD
1906-08-08 Earth 16300.38 38,155,667 km
99.3 LD
1900-10-03 Earth 22716.31 28,972,151 km
75.4 LD

Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-09-23T02:58:51.510916+00:00.