Illustration of Earth with several asteroids passing at different distances, one flagged as potentially hazardous

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(2015 FQ)

Designation: 2015 FQ · NASA id: 3713320

Estimated diameter: 93 – 208 meters

≈ a football pitch
That comparison is of size only — what an impact would do depends on speed, angle, composition and where it arrives, none of which follows from width.
(absolute magnitude H = 22.28) · JPL Small-Body Database →

Earth impact concern
No identified impact threat
Why?
  • Its closest recorded pass was 0.6 lunar distances.
  • It is not on NASA/JPL’s Sentry list, which holds every object with a computed chance of impact above zero. Most objects are not on it.
What the four levels mean
  • No identified impact threat — not on any risk list. 98.8% of the objects here.
  • On a monitored risk list — a computed chance above zero, however small. 1.2% of the objects here.
  • Among the highest-ranked — Palermo at or above −2. Two objects worldwide qualify, both studied for decades and both centuries away.
  • Exceptional — Torino 1 or more, or Palermo at or above zero. No object anywhere currently qualifies.

These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.

Energy of motion, if it ever entered the atmosphere

28.5 megatonnes – 1,063 megatonnes of TNT

This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.

The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.

Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.

Why is one asteroid “hazardous” when closer ones are not?

Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:

  • Its orbit can bring it within 0.05 AU of Earth’s — about 7.5 million km. This is the Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance, the closest the two paths ever come, not the distance on any given pass.
  • It is big enough to matter — absolute magnitude 22.0 or brighter, which is roughly 140 metres across and up. That threshold is a planning convention, not a physical boundary: it is about the size at which an impact could do regional damage. Smaller objects are not harmless, they are simply outside this definition — the Chelyabinsk object of 2013 was around 20 metres and injured about 1,500 people with the shock wave from its airburst, without ever reaching the ground intact.

The two terms: AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing. See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.

So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.

Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:

Object Size Orbit’s closest to Earth’s Missed by, that day Flagged
2013 JR28 122–272 m 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) 39.2 M km Yes — both tests pass
2012 LE11 629–1,406 m 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) 26.1 M km No — orbit never gets near enough
2007 EK 3.7–8.2 m 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) 4.2 M km No — far too small

The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.

“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.

Orbital Data

Orbit class: APO — Near-Earth asteroid orbits which cross the Earth’s orbit similar to that of 1862 Apollo
a (semi-major axis) > 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) < 1.017 AU

Orbital period1,228.2 days (3.36 years)
Eccentricity.7154456885009839 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated)
Semi-major axis2.24452162674854 AU
Inclination2.396379894654428° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's)
Perihelion distance.6386883061440822 AU (closest approach to the Sun)
Aphelion distance3.850354947352997 AU (farthest from the Sun)
Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance0.00303 AU = 453,211 km
(closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing)
Ascending node longitude192.3396442392277°
Argument of perihelion86.69227039005678°
Mean anomaly / motion42.61171184579991° / .2931017303854037°/day
Jupiter Tisserand invariant3.235 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets)
Reference epoch / equinoxJD 2461000.5 / J2000
Orbit determined2023-03-01 06:02:53
Observed2015-03-11 to 2015-04-11 (31 day arc, 151 observations used)
Orbit uncertainty3 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain)

Close Approach History

Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 44 total.

Why does it pass Earth, Juptr, Venus and Mars? Doesn’t it orbit just one?

It orbits the Sun. Not Earth, and not Venus. The column above does not say what the asteroid goes around — it says which planet a given close approach was to. 25 of them were approaches to Earth, 9 of them were approaches to Juptr, 8 of them were approaches to Venus and 2 of them were approaches to Mars.

This one’s path runs from 0.639 AU at its closest to the Sun out to 3.850 AU at its farthest. For scale, Venus orbits at about 0.72 AU and Earth at 1.00 AU — so an orbit spanning that range crosses the path of every planet in between, once on the way out and once on the way back.

Crossing a planet’s path is not the same as meeting the planet. Almost every time the asteroid crosses, that planet is somewhere else along its own orbit. A close approach is logged only on the rare occasions when both happen to arrive at the crossing point at roughly the same time — which is why the dates below are scattered rather than regular. This object takes 1228.2 days to go round, against Earth’s 365.25, so the two drift in and out of step over years rather than repeating on a neat cycle.

The Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance in the table above (0.0030 AU) is the closest the two paths ever come. The miss distances below are how far apart the two bodies actually were on the day, which is almost always very much larger.

next approach: 2035-09-17

Date Passed near Velocity (km/h) Miss distance
2191-11-15 Juptr 19835.61 216,101,238 km
562 LD
2190-03-22 Earth 112476.36 52,105,741 km
136 LD
2168-03-12 Juptr 21028.55 228,664,108 km
595 LD
2166-10-23 Earth 127379.22 71,361,310 km
186 LD
2163-03-19 Earth 115952.55 55,533,106 km
144 LD
2146-06-25 Earth 70714.27 57,223,754 km
149 LD
2144-07-24 Juptr 23716.31 260,484,267 km
678 LD
2136-04-13 Earth 66125.20 14,648,727 km
38.1 LD
2129-11-30 Mars 64695.94 2,169,902 km
5.64 LD
2129-10-21 Earth 125018.12 67,875,926 km
177 LD
2126-03-17 Earth 119713.77 60,368,883 km
157 LD
2096-01-15 Venus 74811.24 8,738,188 km
22.7 LD
2089-06-05 Venus 53972.28 13,466,512 km
35.0 LD
2089-04-06 Earth 74290.64 3,731,244 km
9.71 LD
2084-07-29 Juptr 28911.11 289,203,795 km
752 LD
2082-11-24 Mars 67984.05 7,066,639 km
18.4 LD
2082-10-17 Earth 117791.10 58,449,428 km
152 LD
2079-03-13 Earth 126371.09 69,740,742 km
181 LD
2072-09-13 Earth 58755.86 25,215,165 km
65.6 LD
2062-07-13 Earth 71443.96 58,132,445 km
151 LD
2060-12-15 Juptr 24067.75 243,274,015 km
633 LD
2052-04-07 Earth 73685.05 2,069,918 km
5.38 LD
2045-10-17 Earth 119135.13 60,539,981 km
157 LD
2045-08-20 Venus 53360.54 9,143,533 km
23.8 LD
2042-03-15 Earth 120847.42 62,732,064 km
163 LD
2039-01-10 Venus 78836.87 17,638,776 km
45.9 LD
2037-04-26 Juptr 20361.08 214,047,266 km
557 LD
2035-09-17 next Earth 63288.25 15,751,862 km
41.0 LD
2025-06-26 Earth 70022.50 56,614,155 km
147 LD
2015-04-12 Earth 67076.13 10,609,883 km
27.6 LD
2013-09-04 Juptr 18530.87 198,635,254 km
517 LD
2008-10-09 Earth 104896.85 42,753,078 km
111 LD
1998-08-22 Earth 53729.98 40,317,497 km
105 LD
1990-01-14 Juptr 18329.71 197,769,712 km
514 LD
1988-05-18 Venus 78976.58 16,216,491 km
42.2 LD
1988-05-13 Earth 55231.16 42,691,586 km
111 LD
1981-09-14 Venus 50712.09 14,216,073 km
37.0 LD
1978-03-23 Earth 100474.38 36,090,708 km
93.9 LD
1975-01-17 Venus 81195.54 21,264,478 km
55.3 LD
1971-09-28 Earth 83514.77 12,884,748 km
33.5 LD
1966-05-31 Juptr 19589.16 215,933,812 km
562 LD
1961-07-30 Earth 63459.49 51,871,805 km
135 LD
1951-06-23 Earth 69959.60 56,520,262 km
147 LD
1944-09-20 Venus 61035.15 217,345 km
0.57 LD — closer than the Moon

Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-09-06T13:09:19.641353+00:00.