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Designation: 2015 FQ · NASA id: 3713320
Estimated diameter: 93 – 208 meters
These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.
28.5 megatonnes – 1,063 megatonnes of TNT
This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.
The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.
Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.
Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:
The two terms:
AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing.
See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.
So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.
Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:
| Object | Size | Orbit’s closest to Earth’s | Missed by, that day | Flagged |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 JR28 | 122–272 m | 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) | 39.2 M km | Yes — both tests pass |
| 2012 LE11 | 629–1,406 m | 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) | 26.1 M km | No — orbit never gets near enough |
| 2007 EK | 3.7–8.2 m | 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) | 4.2 M km | No — far too small |
The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.
“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.
Orbit class: APO — Near-Earth asteroid orbits which cross the Earth’s orbit similar to that of 1862 Apollo
a (semi-major axis) > 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) < 1.017 AU
| Orbital period | 1,228.2 days (3.36 years) |
| Eccentricity | .7154456885009839 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated) |
| Semi-major axis | 2.24452162674854 AU |
| Inclination | 2.396379894654428° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's) |
| Perihelion distance | .6386883061440822 AU (closest approach to the Sun) |
| Aphelion distance | 3.850354947352997 AU (farthest from the Sun) |
| Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance | 0.00303 AU = 453,211 km (closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing) |
| Ascending node longitude | 192.3396442392277° |
| Argument of perihelion | 86.69227039005678° |
| Mean anomaly / motion | 42.61171184579991° / .2931017303854037°/day |
| Jupiter Tisserand invariant | 3.235 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets) |
| Reference epoch / equinox | JD 2461000.5 / J2000 |
| Orbit determined | 2023-03-01 06:02:53 |
| Observed | 2015-03-11 to 2015-04-11 (31 day arc, 151 observations used) |
| Orbit uncertainty | 3 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain) |
Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 44 total.
It orbits the Sun. Not Earth, and not Venus. The column above does not say what the asteroid goes around — it says which planet a given close approach was to. 25 of them were approaches to Earth, 9 of them were approaches to Juptr, 8 of them were approaches to Venus and 2 of them were approaches to Mars.
This one’s path runs from 0.639 AU at its closest to the Sun out to 3.850 AU at its farthest. For scale, Venus orbits at about 0.72 AU and Earth at 1.00 AU — so an orbit spanning that range crosses the path of every planet in between, once on the way out and once on the way back.
Crossing a planet’s path is not the same as meeting the planet. Almost every time the asteroid crosses, that planet is somewhere else along its own orbit. A close approach is logged only on the rare occasions when both happen to arrive at the crossing point at roughly the same time — which is why the dates below are scattered rather than regular. This object takes 1228.2 days to go round, against Earth’s 365.25, so the two drift in and out of step over years rather than repeating on a neat cycle.
The Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance in the table above (0.0030 AU) is the closest the two paths ever come. The miss distances below are how far apart the two bodies actually were on the day, which is almost always very much larger.
next approach: 2035-09-17
| Date | Passed near | Velocity (km/h) | Miss distance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2191-11-15 | Juptr | 19835.61 | 216,101,238 km 562 LD |
| 2190-03-22 | Earth | 112476.36 | 52,105,741 km 136 LD |
| 2168-03-12 | Juptr | 21028.55 | 228,664,108 km 595 LD |
| 2166-10-23 | Earth | 127379.22 | 71,361,310 km 186 LD |
| 2163-03-19 | Earth | 115952.55 | 55,533,106 km 144 LD |
| 2146-06-25 | Earth | 70714.27 | 57,223,754 km 149 LD |
| 2144-07-24 | Juptr | 23716.31 | 260,484,267 km 678 LD |
| 2136-04-13 | Earth | 66125.20 | 14,648,727 km 38.1 LD |
| 2129-11-30 | Mars | 64695.94 | 2,169,902 km 5.64 LD |
| 2129-10-21 | Earth | 125018.12 | 67,875,926 km 177 LD |
| 2126-03-17 | Earth | 119713.77 | 60,368,883 km 157 LD |
| 2096-01-15 | Venus | 74811.24 | 8,738,188 km 22.7 LD |
| 2089-06-05 | Venus | 53972.28 | 13,466,512 km 35.0 LD |
| 2089-04-06 | Earth | 74290.64 | 3,731,244 km 9.71 LD |
| 2084-07-29 | Juptr | 28911.11 | 289,203,795 km 752 LD |
| 2082-11-24 | Mars | 67984.05 | 7,066,639 km 18.4 LD |
| 2082-10-17 | Earth | 117791.10 | 58,449,428 km 152 LD |
| 2079-03-13 | Earth | 126371.09 | 69,740,742 km 181 LD |
| 2072-09-13 | Earth | 58755.86 | 25,215,165 km 65.6 LD |
| 2062-07-13 | Earth | 71443.96 | 58,132,445 km 151 LD |
| 2060-12-15 | Juptr | 24067.75 | 243,274,015 km 633 LD |
| 2052-04-07 | Earth | 73685.05 | 2,069,918 km 5.38 LD |
| 2045-10-17 | Earth | 119135.13 | 60,539,981 km 157 LD |
| 2045-08-20 | Venus | 53360.54 | 9,143,533 km 23.8 LD |
| 2042-03-15 | Earth | 120847.42 | 62,732,064 km 163 LD |
| 2039-01-10 | Venus | 78836.87 | 17,638,776 km 45.9 LD |
| 2037-04-26 | Juptr | 20361.08 | 214,047,266 km 557 LD |
| 2035-09-17 next | Earth | 63288.25 | 15,751,862 km 41.0 LD |
| 2025-06-26 | Earth | 70022.50 | 56,614,155 km 147 LD |
| 2015-04-12 | Earth | 67076.13 | 10,609,883 km 27.6 LD |
| 2013-09-04 | Juptr | 18530.87 | 198,635,254 km 517 LD |
| 2008-10-09 | Earth | 104896.85 | 42,753,078 km 111 LD |
| 1998-08-22 | Earth | 53729.98 | 40,317,497 km 105 LD |
| 1990-01-14 | Juptr | 18329.71 | 197,769,712 km 514 LD |
| 1988-05-18 | Venus | 78976.58 | 16,216,491 km 42.2 LD |
| 1988-05-13 | Earth | 55231.16 | 42,691,586 km 111 LD |
| 1981-09-14 | Venus | 50712.09 | 14,216,073 km 37.0 LD |
| 1978-03-23 | Earth | 100474.38 | 36,090,708 km 93.9 LD |
| 1975-01-17 | Venus | 81195.54 | 21,264,478 km 55.3 LD |
| 1971-09-28 | Earth | 83514.77 | 12,884,748 km 33.5 LD |
| 1966-05-31 | Juptr | 19589.16 | 215,933,812 km 562 LD |
| 1961-07-30 | Earth | 63459.49 | 51,871,805 km 135 LD |
| 1951-06-23 | Earth | 69959.60 | 56,520,262 km 147 LD |
| 1944-09-20 | Venus | 61035.15 | 217,345 km 0.57 LD — closer than the Moon |
Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-09-06T13:09:19.641353+00:00.