Illustration of Earth with several asteroids passing at different distances, one flagged as potentially hazardous

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(2015 HH10)

Designation: 2015 HH10 · NASA id: 3717048

Estimated diameter: 617 – 1,381 meters

≈ the Burj Khalifa
That comparison is of size only — what an impact would do depends on speed, angle, composition and where it arrives, none of which follows from width.
(absolute magnitude H = 18.17) · JPL Small-Body Database →

Earth impact concern
No identified impact threat
Why?
  • Its closest recorded pass was 37.3 lunar distances.
  • It is not on NASA/JPL’s Sentry list, which holds every object with a computed chance of impact above zero. Most objects are not on it.
What the four levels mean
  • No identified impact threat — not on any risk list. 98.8% of the objects here.
  • On a monitored risk list — a computed chance above zero, however small. 1.2% of the objects here.
  • Among the highest-ranked — Palermo at or above −2. Two objects worldwide qualify, both studied for decades and both centuries away.
  • Exceptional — Torino 1 or more, or Palermo at or above zero. No object anywhere currently qualifies.

These describe where an object sits in a catalogue, not how dangerous it is. The full ranked list is on the impact risk page.

Energy of motion, if it ever entered the atmosphere

9,256 megatonnes – 344,967 megatonnes of TNT

This is not a forecast. Nothing here says this object will arrive, and almost nothing ever does — what is actually assessed, by people with far better data than this page has, is on the impact risk page. This is simply the kinetic energy such a body would carry, worked out from its size and its usual encounter speed.

The range spans a factor of 37, and it cannot be narrowed. Nobody has weighed this object. Its diameter is inferred from how bright it is under an assumed reflectivity, which carries a fixed factor of 2.24 — and because mass goes as the cube of diameter, that alone becomes a factor of 11. Density is then assumed somewhere between 1,500 and 5,000 kg/m³, from a loose rubble pile to dense rock. Quoting a tighter figure would be invented precision.

Megatonnes do not mean what the word suggests here. Most of this energy is spent high in the atmosphere, not on the ground, and the comparison with weapons misleads badly. The Chelyabinsk body released around 440 kilotonnes in 2013 — this same calculation gives it 166 to 904 — and the damage was broken windows across a city, from the shock wave of an airburst some thirty kilometres up. No crater, and nothing that reached the ground intact.

Why is one asteroid “hazardous” when closer ones are not?

Because the flag has nothing to do with how close it came on the day. NASA marks an object a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid only if both of these are true of its orbit and its size:

  • Its orbit can bring it within 0.05 AU of Earth’s — about 7.5 million km. This is the Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance, the closest the two paths ever come, not the distance on any given pass.
  • It is big enough to matter — absolute magnitude 22.0 or brighter, which is roughly 140 metres across and up. That threshold is a planning convention, not a physical boundary: it is about the size at which an impact could do regional damage. Smaller objects are not harmless, they are simply outside this definition — the Chelyabinsk object of 2013 was around 20 metres and injured about 1,500 people with the shock wave from its airburst, without ever reaching the ground intact.

The two terms: AU — astronomical unit, the average Earth–Sun distance, 149,597,871 km. 0.05 AU is about 7.5 million km.
MOID — minimum orbit intersection distance, the closest the two orbits ever come, whatever the timing. See the glossary for NEO, PHA and H.

So a large rock passing at 39 million km today can be flagged, because on some future orbit it could come far nearer — while a pebble skimming past at 4 million km is not, because it would never reach the ground.

Three objects that all passed Earth on 30 August 2026 make the point better than any definition:

Object Size Orbit’s closest to Earth’s Missed by, that day Flagged
2013 JR28 122–272 m 5.3 M km (0.035 AU) 39.2 M km Yes — both tests pass
2012 LE11 629–1,406 m 23.3 M km (0.156 AU) 26.1 M km No — orbit never gets near enough
2007 EK 3.7–8.2 m 198,000 km (0.0013 AU) 4.2 M km No — far too small

The middle one is five times larger than the flagged one and passed closer on the day, but its path can never come within 23 million km of ours. The last one’s orbit crosses inside the Moon’s distance — nearer than any other object here — and it is still not hazardous, because at a few metres across it would burn up long before it landed.

“Potentially hazardous” is a watchlist criterion, not a prediction. None of these is on a collision course; the label means an object is worth keeping precise track of over the coming centuries.

Orbital Data

Orbit class: APO — Near-Earth asteroid orbits which cross the Earth’s orbit similar to that of 1862 Apollo
a (semi-major axis) > 1.0 AU; q (perihelion) < 1.017 AU

Orbital period748.9 days (2.05 years)
Eccentricity.651542977924634 (0 = circular, closer to 1 = more elongated)
Semi-major axis1.613862420836778 AU
Inclination8.011952494299516° (tilt of its orbit vs. Earth's)
Perihelion distance.5623616932041248 AU (closest approach to the Sun)
Aphelion distance2.665363148469431 AU (farthest from the Sun)
Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance0.10089 AU = 15,093,528 km
(closest its orbit path ever comes to Earth's, regardless of timing)
Ascending node longitude254.1246355562856°
Argument of perihelion143.2183462877688°
Mean anomaly / motion53.42588963481044° / .4807334150249246°/day
Jupiter Tisserand invariant4.061 (helps distinguish asteroids from comets)
Reference epoch / equinoxJD 2459200.5 / J2000
Orbit determined2021-05-10 05:53:40
Observed2013-04-09 to 2021-05-09 (2952 day arc, 187 observations used)
Orbit uncertainty0 (0 = best known, 9 = least certain)

Close Approach History

Every close approach NASA has on record for this object — 64 total.

Why does it pass Earth and Mars? Doesn’t it orbit just one?

It orbits the Sun. Not Earth, and not Venus. The column above does not say what the asteroid goes around — it says which planet a given close approach was to. 63 of them were approaches to Earth and 1 of them were approaches to Mars.

This one’s path runs from 0.562 AU at its closest to the Sun out to 2.665 AU at its farthest. For scale, Venus orbits at about 0.72 AU and Earth at 1.00 AU — so an orbit spanning that range crosses the path of every planet in between, once on the way out and once on the way back.

Crossing a planet’s path is not the same as meeting the planet. Almost every time the asteroid crosses, that planet is somewhere else along its own orbit. A close approach is logged only on the rare occasions when both happen to arrive at the crossing point at roughly the same time — which is why the dates below are scattered rather than regular. This object takes 748.9 days to go round, against Earth’s 365.25, so the two drift in and out of step over years rather than repeating on a neat cycle.

The Minimum Orbit Intersection Distance in the table above (0.1009 AU) is the closest the two paths ever come. The miss distances below are how far apart the two bodies actually were on the day, which is almost always very much larger.

next approach: 2028-11-17

Date Passed near Velocity (km/h) Miss distance
2197-02-22 Earth 115319.36 62,087,401 km
162 LD
2195-02-06 Earth 80231.52 21,500,683 km
55.9 LD
2193-01-09 Earth 51310.17 38,839,579 km
101 LD
2190-11-26 Earth 71863.31 60,531,221 km
157 LD
2188-10-22 Earth 76411.35 65,140,103 km
169 LD
2186-09-14 Earth 57181.41 56,101,152 km
146 LD
2184-07-29 Earth 61517.53 22,111,219 km
57.5 LD
2182-07-13 Earth 94661.87 35,935,355 km
93.5 LD
2156-02-18 Earth 105574.40 49,631,223 km
129 LD
2154-02-01 Earth 71115.66 18,012,241 km
46.9 LD
2151-12-26 Earth 55330.99 47,408,500 km
123 LD
2149-11-16 Earth 75311.27 62,928,871 km
164 LD
2147-10-13 Earth 73698.35 64,352,020 km
167 LD
2145-08-29 Earth 48024.55 49,479,083 km
129 LD
2143-07-25 Earth 70358.23 16,071,787 km
41.8 LD
2141-07-09 Earth 103077.53 46,604,664 km
121 LD
2115-02-13 Earth 96858.44 38,734,194 km
101 LD
2113-01-26 Earth 62562.29 22,309,203 km
58.0 LD
2110-12-13 Earth 62055.72 53,551,704 km
139 LD
2108-11-06 Earth 77043.76 64,490,770 km
168 LD
2106-10-03 Earth 69287.72 62,549,150 km
163 LD
2104-08-10 Earth 46837.00 39,416,188 km
103 LD
2102-07-20 Earth 79125.36 18,615,252 km
48.4 LD
2100-07-04 Earth 112296.83 58,540,431 km
152 LD
2076-02-22 Earth 118418.60 65,868,227 km
171 LD
2074-02-06 Earth 84311.23 24,420,823 km
63.5 LD
2072-01-14 Earth 52248.25 34,800,342 km
90.5 LD
2069-11-27 Earth 70161.72 59,429,198 km
155 LD
2067-10-24 Earth 76973.36 65,237,420 km
170 LD
2065-09-17 Earth 60606.64 58,165,392 km
151 LD
2063-07-29 Earth 58591.97 24,551,257 km
63.9 LD
2061-07-12 Earth 91202.73 31,122,123 km
81.0 LD
2059-06-28 Earth 123553.46 73,540,321 km
191 LD
2035-02-17 Earth 109464.58 54,143,760 km
141 LD
2033-02-01 Earth 75342.62 17,901,520 km
46.6 LD
2030-12-31 Earth 52220.03 43,533,564 km
113 LD
2028-11-17 next Earth 73958.39 62,194,683 km
162 LD
2026-10-16 Earth 75213.56 64,935,264 km
169 LD
2024-09-05 Earth 53093.97 53,566,707 km
139 LD
2022-07-25 Earth 65553.69 17,825,661 km
46.4 LD
2020-07-09 Earth 97829.61 39,394,214 km
102 LD
1994-02-15 Earth 106253.68 49,871,563 km
130 LD
1992-01-31 Earth 72416.73 17,070,761 km
44.4 LD
1989-12-26 Earth 53706.18 45,935,574 km
119 LD
1987-11-16 Earth 74694.28 62,742,778 km
163 LD
1985-10-13 Earth 74519.34 64,758,453 km
168 LD
1983-09-03 Earth 51251.79 52,251,881 km
136 LD
1981-07-23 Earth 67477.92 16,315,474 km
42.4 LD
1979-07-08 Earth 99461.18 41,409,471 km
108 LD
1953-02-15 Earth 105699.11 49,134,653 km
128 LD
1951-01-29 Earth 71420.31 16,879,392 km
43.9 LD
1948-12-24 Earth 54375.51 46,750,263 km
122 LD
1946-11-14 Earth 75210.13 63,133,821 km
164 LD
1944-10-11 Earth 73912.28 64,557,160 km
168 LD
1942-08-29 Earth 49296.54 50,652,499 km
132 LD
1940-07-22 Earth 69092.30 15,249,790 km
39.7 LD
1938-07-07 Earth 101664.45 44,218,070 km
115 LD
1928-02-22 Mars 59130.36 14,341,170 km
37.3 LD
1912-02-12 Earth 98828.81 40,386,048 km
105 LD
1910-01-24 Earth 64015.72 20,204,654 km
52.6 LD
1907-12-13 Earth 60627.25 52,642,989 km
137 LD
1905-11-05 Earth 76984.02 64,593,879 km
168 LD
1903-10-02 Earth 69904.53 62,941,195 km
164 LD
1901-08-09 Earth 45915.63 40,583,793 km
106 LD

Looked up from NASA's NeoWs API and cached — last refreshed 2026-10-12T15:36:09.482218+00:00.